Joni Askola Profile picture
Sep 29 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/9 Running out of excuses: Insufficient stockpiles in Europe do not justify a lack of military aid to Ukraine. The Ukrainian defense industry and those of other allies who are not at full production capacity are ready and willing to take on more orders! Image
2/9 Europe has outpaced the US in providing aid to Ukraine, yet many European countries still contribute insufficiently. While some of these nations may have low stockpiles of equipment to send, this is not a valid excuse, as equipment can be procured from other sources. Image
3/9 There is nothing preventing these countries from ordering equipment from Ukrainian manufacturers because Ukraine is not operating at full production capacity, its products are more affordable, and they are well-versed in using them. Image
4/9 Denmark and Lithuania have directly placed orders with the Ukrainian defense industry, and other European countries should follow suit. Image
5/9 When the Ukrainian industry achieves full capacity, it's crucial to remember that many NATO countries are not operating at full production capacity for several systems that Ukraine requires. Therefore, orders should be placed. Image
6/9 Additionally, there is a significant amount of used Soviet and Western equipment available globally that can still be purchased and sent to Ukraine, similar to what the Czech shell initiative accomplished with shells. Image
7/9 Orders can also be made in countries outside of the EU. For instance, Turkey has the capability to produce a variety of systems that are either compatible with or can be integrated into the F-16, including cruise missiles. Image
8/9 Europeans must recognize that the continent is still not doing enough, and that our support will need to expand as the US begins to disengage from Ukraine. There is much we can accomplish that has yet to be done. Image

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More from @joni_askola

Oct 1
1/15 What the beginning of the end of a failed regime looks like: russia is allocating 41% of its public expenditure and 8% of its GDP toward defense and security while its economy is overheating. Will a further increase in the Central Bank's key interest rate be necessary? Image
2/15 russia plans to boost defense spending by a quarter in 2025. This increase marks a new post-Soviet record for the nation as it persists in its unsuccessful invasion of Ukraine. Image
3/15 In last year's draft, the government intended to cut defense spending by 21 percent in 2025. This reversal highlights once again that things are not proceeding as planned; the invasion has failed, and russia is all in. Image
Read 15 tweets
Sep 30
1/7 A ground operation by Israel in southern Lebanon appears to be imminent. While this move seems quite predictable, hezbollah, iran, and its other proxies are unlikely to have significant capacity to counter it. Image
2/7 Numerous rumors are circulating regarding Israel's potential launch of a ground operation in southern Lebanon. Recently, Israel has conducted several small raids into Lebanon. Image
3/7 Israel has deployed additional troops to the border, and a big information campaign is currently underway. The entire operation appears quite predictable, likely aimed at exerting maximum pressure on hezbollah. Image
Read 7 tweets
Sep 30
1/10 Common EU debt is the best way to support Ukraine in its existential struggle against russia. We did it for COVID-19, and russia's invasion poses an equally significant threat to the EU. Image
2/10 During the COVID-19 crisis, the EU introduced several programs to assist member states, which included joint borrowing and the issuance of bonds to finance recovery efforts. Image
3/10 This was mainly enabled by the Next Generation EU (NGEU) recovery fund, which represented a notable change in EU financial policy. For the first time, the EU was able to collectively issue bonds to finance recovery initiatives across its member states. Image
Read 10 tweets
Sep 30
1/18 Following the footsteps of his mentor Putin, Orbán has turned Hungary into the most corrupt country in Europe. This is the traitor the Western far right looks up to. How much public money has he embezzled over the years? Image
2/18 Establishing the precise sum of money that Orbán and his inner circle have stolen is difficult. Nevertheless, there are signs that Orbán and his associates have been involved in significant corruption, especially concerning EU funds and public resources. Image
3/18 “All the other countries in the region made better use of the generous EU funds and opportunities than we did,” he laments bitterly. “This is a historic sin by Orban – and I hope history will judge him for it" said Jeszenszky, a Hungarian historian and former diplomat. Image
Read 18 tweets
Sep 30
1/14 Pacifism is for naive fools, and a ceasefire in Ukraine is a horrible idea: demands for a ceasefire in Ukraine are, at best, unrealistic and naive. It would ultimately be detrimental to Ukraine and would only prolong russia's ability to continue its invasion. Image
2/14 Calls for a ceasefire in Ukraine are, at best, naive. There are clear reasons why most advocates of a ceasefire in Ukraine are either naive pacifists or individuals who support russia's invasion. Ukraine itself is not requesting a ceasefire. Image
3/14 Given the current situation, a ceasefire would only embolden Putin, weaken Ukraine, and result in additional hostilities. It would provide russia the opportunity to regroup and launch further attacks later on. The West requires a significantly more effective strategy. Image
Read 14 tweets
Sep 29
1/5 P like Pathetic: Putin's deadline to remove Ukrainian troops from russia is only two days away, and a new deadline is reportedly set for two weeks later. Both efforts are likely to fail, leading to yet another embarrassing failure for russia's invading forces Image
2/5 Putin's deadline to drive Ukrainians out of russia by October 1st is just two days away. russia is not going to achieve this goal by then, and the new rumored deadline is a little over two weeks from now. Image
3/5 russia is highly likely to fail in meeting the new deadline as well. Putin will need to establish a third deadline and will have to expend increasingly more resources if he wants to drive Ukrainians out. Image
Read 5 tweets

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