Artur Rehi Profile picture
Sep 29, 2024 14 tweets 5 min read Read on X
This morning, Ukrainian drones struck several important military facilities deep inside Russia. Among the targets hit were Voronezh, Volgograd, the airfield in Eysk, and Rostov. Of particular note was the attack on the military arsenal in Koluban, where not only Russian
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ammunition but also Iranian ballistic missiles stored there were destroyed. These attacks were part of a new wave of air operations aimed at disrupting supply chains and weakening the enemy’s military infrastructure. Ukrainian forces have previously struck large arsenals,
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including a strategically important warehouse in Toropets, which significantly complicated the supply of the Russian army. These operations are part of a general plan and once again demonstrate Ukraine’s consistency in its actions. Ukraine will win, but when this happens
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greatly depends on its allies. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky explained in one of his recent speeches: “The plan for victory is to strengthen Ukraine. That is why we ask our friends, our allies, to strengthen us. This is very important. I think we are closer to peace
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than we think. We are closer to the end of the war. We just need to be very strong, very strong." He said these words during his visit to the United States. During this trip, Zelensky met with Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, as well as with congressional leaders, including the
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Speaker of the House of Representatives and senators, with whom he discussed the need to continue arms supplies and economic assistance. The United States has allocated a new aid package to Ukraine. The US Department of Defense announced the allocation of a new military aid
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package to Ukraine on September 25, 2024. This package is $ 375 million. Following this, on September 26, the US Department of Defense announced the allocation of another military aid package to Ukraine in the amount of $ 2.4 billion, but this time within the framework
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of the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative. AGM-154A JSOW long-range cluster air-guided munitions were included for the first time in the package. The package includes missiles, air defense, artillery shells and much more. Zelensky also met with Donald Trump. This
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meeting caused mixed reactions. His stance on Ukraine has been inconsistent, raising questions among observers and diplomats. Unlike Biden and Congress’ clear support for Ukraine, Trump’s rhetoric has been more evasive and has not provided clear guarantees of continued
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assistance if he returns to power. Nevertheless, Zelenskyy has tried to convey to Trump the importance of supporting Ukraine for global stability and security. The plan for victory requires the continued support of allies, without limitations and in full. Zelenskyy
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has repeatedly emphasized that Ukraine needs weapons, finances, and political support from the West to effectively counter Russian aggression and speed up the end of the war. Despite the difficulties and mixed political signals, Ukraine counts on continued support from all
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its allies, both in Europe and the United States. Attacks on major military installations, such as the arsenal in Koluban, where Iranian weapons shipments were also destroyed, and the ongoing operation in the Kursk region are important elements of this plan. These military
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actions not only undermine the capabilities of Russian troops, but also play an important political role. The successes of the Ukrainian army strengthen the country's position on the international stage,
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add weight in negotiations with allies and show the world that Ukraine is ready and able to defend its independence and defeat Russia.
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More from @ArturRehi

Dec 12
Seven German journalism students tracked Russian-crewed freighters lurking off the Dutch and German coast and connected them to drone swarms over military bases. Using public tracking tools, their own drones and even driving 2500 kilometers while following a ship, they produced🧵 Image
a far more coherent picture of the Germany and Netherlands drone mystery than months of official hand-wringing and coordinated stonewalling. “Our trail leads to Russia,” the team concludes. “Not beyond doubt, but it’s currently the most probable explanation. We systematically Image
laid both things side by side: the secret reports about drone incidents and the routes of the ships. You can at least recognize a pattern.” They did not find a drone on any ship and they cannot prove causation, but they established the following: ships with Russian crews showed Image
Read 8 tweets
Dec 8
Brussels has found a way to make decisions on blocking Russian assets without the consent of all EU member states, the Financial Times reports. This would allow the assets to be frozen indefinitely rather than having the blockade renewed every six months as is currently
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the case. According to the publication, this is made possible by one of the EU treaty provisions stating that unanimous approval is not required in situations of economic shocks, which Brussels considers the war in Ukraine to be. Until now, when extending the freeze, there
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was a risk that one EU country, for example Hungary, could oppose it, and without unanimous agreement the assets would be unfrozen. In early December, the European Commission approved two options for financing Ukraine for 2026 and 2027. The first plan involves providing
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Read 9 tweets
Dec 5
Russia is laying the groundwork to make the 1990s look like a walk in the park. Everyone says Russia is returning to the nineties, but what does that mean? The collapse of the Soviet Union was driven by many factors. Economic problems had already begun in the 1970s. The USSR
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economy was built on the export of energy resources (oil and gas), metals, timber and grain. Most of the revenue went into the arms race of the Cold War. This is very similar to Russia today, whose military budget has reached record levels. The 1973 oil crisis initially
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worked in the USSR's favor by increasing export revenues, but soon an event occurred that had a greater impact on the crisis of the 1990s than anything else - the war in Afghanistan. Although the Soviet Union spent about $20 billion on the war, this was negligible compared
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Read 16 tweets
Dec 3
US-Russia negotiations will not lead to peace. Diplomacy with Russia does not work and this truth is something the Trump administration refuses to see. The more we learn about the details of the US-Russia deal on Ukraine, the clearer it becomes that this administration
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is pursuing only personal gain, both in the form of stakes in Russian business and in the form of a share of the frozen Russian assets whose unfreezing after a peace deal the US administration insists on. Russia is not striving for any peace and has never done so - this is
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obvious to anyone who truly understands the issue. Russia uses the same old Soviet negotiation tactics that Kaja Kallas described when she quoted Andrei Gromyko. Three things: first demand the maximum. Do not ask but demand something that has never been yours. Secondly,
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Read 9 tweets
Oct 29
In mid-October, Putin introduced a moratorium on the cancellation of the fuel damper. This mechanism provides that if the export price of gasoline and diesel fuel is higher than the conditional domestic one, the state compensates companies for part of this difference.
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It is intended to curb fuel prices, but prices continue to rise and have reached record highs not seen in the last 30 years. In September alone, oil companies received more than 30 billion rubles in compensation despite failing to keep their promises not to raise prices.
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The reason is that Putin himself is also a beneficiary of oil companies through various schemes. These companies are the main source of his personal wealth and the financial backbone of Russia’s war machine, and he will keep them afloat at any cost. These payments are an
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Read 8 tweets
Oct 20
The new talks between Trump, Putin, and Zelensky are likely to end in yet another deadlock. This time, Putin has softened his illegal demands and is now “ready to give up” the Zaporizhzhia region in exchange for a ceasefire and control over the rest of Donetsk region. These
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“concessions” have probably signaled to Trump that Putin is ready for negotiations, and that maybe, finally, he can strike a peace deal and get his long-coveted Nobel Prize - since it didn’t work out with Israel, where Hamas opened fire again. The White House rhetoric has
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once again shifted sharply, from “Tomahawks are already on their way to Kyiv” to “Donbas should be Russian.” It’s the same old Kremlin ploy - when things go badly, start pushing for negotiations. All this commotion began after Putin’s call with Trump and has now turned into
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Read 16 tweets

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