This morning, Ukrainian drones struck several important military facilities deep inside Russia. Among the targets hit were Voronezh, Volgograd, the airfield in Eysk, and Rostov. Of particular note was the attack on the military arsenal in Koluban, where not only Russian
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ammunition but also Iranian ballistic missiles stored there were destroyed. These attacks were part of a new wave of air operations aimed at disrupting supply chains and weakening the enemy’s military infrastructure. Ukrainian forces have previously struck large arsenals,
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including a strategically important warehouse in Toropets, which significantly complicated the supply of the Russian army. These operations are part of a general plan and once again demonstrate Ukraine’s consistency in its actions. Ukraine will win, but when this happens
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greatly depends on its allies. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky explained in one of his recent speeches: “The plan for victory is to strengthen Ukraine. That is why we ask our friends, our allies, to strengthen us. This is very important. I think we are closer to peace
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than we think. We are closer to the end of the war. We just need to be very strong, very strong." He said these words during his visit to the United States. During this trip, Zelensky met with Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, as well as with congressional leaders, including the
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Speaker of the House of Representatives and senators, with whom he discussed the need to continue arms supplies and economic assistance. The United States has allocated a new aid package to Ukraine. The US Department of Defense announced the allocation of a new military aid
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package to Ukraine on September 25, 2024. This package is $ 375 million. Following this, on September 26, the US Department of Defense announced the allocation of another military aid package to Ukraine in the amount of $ 2.4 billion, but this time within the framework
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of the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative. AGM-154A JSOW long-range cluster air-guided munitions were included for the first time in the package. The package includes missiles, air defense, artillery shells and much more. Zelensky also met with Donald Trump. This
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meeting caused mixed reactions. His stance on Ukraine has been inconsistent, raising questions among observers and diplomats. Unlike Biden and Congress’ clear support for Ukraine, Trump’s rhetoric has been more evasive and has not provided clear guarantees of continued
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assistance if he returns to power. Nevertheless, Zelenskyy has tried to convey to Trump the importance of supporting Ukraine for global stability and security. The plan for victory requires the continued support of allies, without limitations and in full. Zelenskyy
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has repeatedly emphasized that Ukraine needs weapons, finances, and political support from the West to effectively counter Russian aggression and speed up the end of the war. Despite the difficulties and mixed political signals, Ukraine counts on continued support from all
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its allies, both in Europe and the United States. Attacks on major military installations, such as the arsenal in Koluban, where Iranian weapons shipments were also destroyed, and the ongoing operation in the Kursk region are important elements of this plan. These military
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actions not only undermine the capabilities of Russian troops, but also play an important political role. The successes of the Ukrainian army strengthen the country's position on the international stage,
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add weight in negotiations with allies and show the world that Ukraine is ready and able to defend its independence and defeat Russia.
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The Russian economy is losing momentum. Sberbank chief German Gref warned that the country is entering a period of serious challenges. Speaking at the bank’s annual shareholders’ meeting, Gref pointed to military spending, inflation, and high interest rates as key factors
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that will continue to weigh on the economy through 2026. He noted that loan quality is declining, and more individuals and businesses are seeking to restructure their debts. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reports that senior bank executives see the risk of a banking crisis within
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the next 12 months. Unpaid loans are quietly piling up, though this has yet to show in official figures. The agency estimates that bad loans could hit 3.7 trillion rubles — about 20% of the banking sector’s capital. Much of this traces back to the war. Many soldiers received
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According to BILD, "Russia is expected to emerge stronger after the war in Ukraine, and the Kremlin is actively preparing for a potential invasion of NATO countries." While the Russian threat remains real, and it must not be dismissed — and we must indeed prepare for it — at
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this stage, nearly all statements about a potential Russian attack on NATO countries are nothing more than attempts to divert NATO’s attention and resources away from the war in Ukraine. Let’s look at the facts. The so-called “grand” summer offensive in the Sumy region
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stalled after just a month. Russia gathered 50,000 troops, but it has no more equipment. Its reserves are nearly depleted, while Ukraine’s arsenal is expanding — its range of weapons is growing, and its capabilities are increasing despite all the challenges with manpower.
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Ultimately, the main achievement of both Putin and Trump is that NATO has now committed to increasing annual defense spending to at least 5% of GDP by no later than 2035 — a level unseen since the Cold War. Previously, the target was just 2%. Some countries, like Estonia, 1/7
are already set to reach this threshold as early as next year. Spain opposed the move, but it is geographically the farthest from the main threat — Russia. At least, that’s how it seems to them. But one should not forget that Russia’s core strategy revolves around hybrid 2/7
threats, which have no borders. For major European countries — France, Germany, and others — the decisive factor was pressure from Trump. The war in Ukraine, ongoing since 2014, had not pushed Europe toward a more serious approach to security. While the Baltic states, Poland, 3/7
NATO suggests that Russia can sustain the war at its current pace until 2027. Of course, I may be accused of being sympathetic to Ukraine and having a biased opinion, but let’s look at the facts—what’s wrong with this statement? The Russian war machine currently relies on
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Soviet-era equipment reserves, a large number of soldiers, and the National Wealth Fund. Let’s start with the first point. Soviet equipment reserves are almost completely depleted. The offensive on Sumy is carried out mainly through infantry assaults, and the amount of
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destroyed Russian equipment in recent weeks is two to three times lower than during the same period in previous years. If Russia continues the war at the same pace, by 2027 almost all of its equipment will be gone—perhaps even the few donkeys they have. As for soldiers,
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The appointment of Robert Brovdi, known by his call sign "Madyar," as head of the Unmanned Systems Forces of Ukraine has already yielded noticeable results, according to Russian military bloggers. They report that Ukrainian drone strikes are now primarily aimed at eliminating
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Russian UAV operators. Madyar has openly declared his goal of building a "drone wall" along the entire front line and destroying up to 35,000 Russian soldiers per month—the estimated number that the Russian army can mobilize on a monthly basis. He advocates for establishing
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dedicated UAV units for each section of the front line, with operators who are intimately familiar with their own sector, rather than deploying UAV teams as a mobile reserve shuffled between hotspots. His concept is to create a continuous "kill zone" across the whole
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The war in Iran benefits Russia in the short term, but in the long run, the loss of Iran would be a major defeat for Moscow in the region, further weakening its already diminished position in the Middle East. The fall of Syria has significantly undermined Russia’s influence
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there, and Iran remains its last major ally in the region. Russia is trying to squeeze every possible advantage out of this unfavorable situation. The war in Iran distracts the West and its allies from the conflict in Ukraine, but the main gain for Russia is the rise in oil
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prices. Russia’s 2025 budget is under enormous strain because it was planned based on an oil price of $80 per barrel. However, since the summer of 2024, oil prices have been steadily falling, reaching around $50 per barrel for Urals crude in the spring of 2025. The war in
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