Our former student writes about the retreat of his brigade from Vuhledar this week. It is a heavy but honest reading
“The 72nd Brigade left Vuhledar battered, with heavy losses. 1/
Before that, the Russians had already reached the areas through which the brigade would retreat and set up firing positions in garages behind the cemetery. 2/
The 72nd’s withdrawal was brutal. Vehicles, armored carriers were hit and burned. After days of agony in the besieged city before that, the soldiers were drained. By the dawn of retreat, not all had the strength to move to try break through 3/
Some stayed behind, committing themselves to death to cover the retreat 4/
By a cruel twist, while my brigade was clawing its way out of Vuhledar, people across the country were sipping coffee, going to cinemas, and strolling to street music 5/
Well-wishes, both genuine and routine, were offered to the soldiers – even as they were dying, abandoned to their fate 6/
I have no way to bridge these two worlds - the peaceful Ukraine and the military, each marching relentlessly on its path 7/
We were reborn there in the war in the East. Born in Kyiv, we were forged again in the fields and basements of Vuhledar. Now those empty, iron-pierced spaces are our homeland, and we are strangers on the Kyiv’s streets 8/
In these three years of the war, unfamiliar faces have filled the sidewalks and metro, with new expressions I don’t recognize or can comprehend 9/
They seem light, translucent; we are grim and dirty, stained by a darkness that no bath or barbershop [a reference to the hipster culture of Kyiv] can wash away 10/
Now, the 72nd, driven from its den, risks annihilation in the open fields under artillery and FPV drones. The Russians’ control from Vuhledar’s heights stretches 15 kilometers, nearly to Kurakhove 11/
Pray, to anyone you can, that the 72nd – my first and forever brigade (though I left long ago) – isn’t ground into dust beyond Vuhledar 12/
Pray the remnants of this once-mighty force aren’t destroyed, that it has a chance to rise again, to carry its hard-won experience and pain into future victories (Igor Lutsenko) 13X
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Stubb (2024): You fight wars on the battlefield, but you win wars at home. We have civilian shelters. We can house about 4.5M Finns out of 5.5M.
We have a very comprehensive system of security of supply on food and energy, and we're doing dry runs on it right now. 1/
Stubb: The training activity that we are now providing to our allies is to such an extent, we're not even sure we can absorb as much of it. This shows the respect our allies have and their willingness to learn and train. So we're going to increase this. 2/
Stubb: We need a strong Franco-German axis for Europe to work properly, but be a little bit more lenient on how quick that axis is to be formed. We need German and French leadership. Polish leadership has come in very strongly as well because the nexus of power has moved eastbound in Europe. 3/
Ukraine’s Defense Minister Fedorov: Ukrainian forces killed 35,000 Russian soldiers in December and aim to reach up to 50,000 killed per month by the end of summer.
Bloomberg: European governments are assessing how long Russia is actually capable of sustaining the war. 1/
European intelligence services report a sharp spike in Russian losses over recent weeks. The number of killed soldiers is now approaching Russia’s recruitment capacity. 2/
If this trajectory continues, Russia will struggle to replace losses without a new mobilization, according to European assessments. 3/
Kyrylo Horbenko joined the Ukrainian army at 18 under the “18–24” contract.
After six months of service, he was killed by Russian artillery near Pokrovsk.
He was what Ukraine calls “the future of the army,” — WSJ. 1/
Right after turning 18, Kyrylo joined the Armed Forces.
He wanted frontline experience to later enter a military academy his family could not afford.
He wanted to become an officer. He wanted to serve for life.
Less than six months later, he was dead. 2/
In October 2025, the 18-year-old soldier was sent to the Pokrovsk sector.
Russian forces there outnumbered Ukrainian units by up to 10 to 1.
Kyrylo was killed during an artillery strike when his group was rushed to reinforce positions. Out of six soldiers, only one had real combat experience. 3/
Trump’s peace push on Ukraine runs into reality: territory, force, and exhaustion.
Washington’s idea is simple — Ukraine gives up land, gets security guarantees. Russia keeps bombing cities. Kyiv keeps fighting. 2026 offers three plausible paths, WSJ. 1/
Scenario 1: Keep fighting, keep talking.
The most likely outcome. Talks continue. War grinds on. Ukraine refuses to hand over Donbas without firm US-backed security guarantees. Russia demands territory first, rejects Western troops. 2/
Putin hasn’t softened.
Russian strikes on energy, maximalist goals and continued mobilization signal Moscow plans to keep going.
Ex-defense minister Andriy Zagorodnyuk: Giving Donbas now would hand Russia territory it failed to take by force and a launchpad for the next war. 3/
Serhiy Smolyaruk on 2022 Bakhmut: During the defense, Vagner group had a very interesting tactic. In front were those whom they recruited. Behind were already directly trained fighters. They were controlling the groups from a drone, what points to occupy, what to do. 1/
Smolyaruk on how they stole Russian heavy machine gun: Our group left at night. Extremely quietly. The enemy did not understand anything. The fighters also managed to take heavy machine gun with them. Everything around the house was mined, and the group safely returned. 2/
Smolyaruk: We gоt in the pickup truck to rescue wounded soldier. Went at full speed 50m from Russian position, in the daytime, without any reconnaissance. Everything is falling, there is a shootout. We managed to take him out, load him, and took him out without any losses. 3X
Petraeus: If Russia was ever successful in Ukraine, Moldova would be next. That country does not have capabilities to withstand Russian action. Then you start to worry about one or more of the Baltic states, in particular Lithuania, which has featured in Putin's diatribes 1/
Petraeus: Wars no longer clearly defined by trenches. It's so lethal to be in the area of the front lines. Ukraine has turned its incredible innovation in air, ground, and maritime systems into very substantial strategic achievements and have sunk over 35% of the Russian Black Sea fleet 2/
Petraeus: One of Russian calculations is that they can out suffer the Ukrainians the Europeans and the Americans. I don't think that is true or will prove to be true if the U.S takes the actions that I think we should be taking together with our European partners. 3X