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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Oct 4 • 4 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
You all realize that this Ukrainian thermite drone innovation just made every field fortification design by every army in the world obsolete?

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Any trench w/o overhead cover and any passage or firing slit that is big enough to shoot a crew served heavy weapon or vehicle out of is also big enough for a FPV drone spewing thermite to fly into.

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Every field fortification manual ever written by every military in the world is obsolete and will have to be re-written with an eye to placing curtains, nets or wire screens across firing slits and doors to keep out small drones.

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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 4
Thermite drones inside a bunker are all sorts of evil beyond burns.

My WW2 flame weapon research found that CO, carbon monoxide, fills the chemical bonds that O2 does in the lungs of air breathing fauna.

That means once CO hits those bonds in your lungs, you suffocate.

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What killed Imperial Japanese soldiers in WW2 "without a mark" inside bunkers was carbon monoxide poisoning, not a lack of O2.

Once you get enough CO in the lungs on the O2 chemical bonds.

No further O2 can get into the bloodstream and you suffocate.

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I ran across that fact in a trip report of a US Army Chemical Warfare Service (CWS) medical doctor sent to Leyte to take blood samples from IJA corpses that died from flame weapons.

It didn't work out and the CWS used goats in bunkers hit with flamethrower weapons to get the CO poisoning medical data.

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Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 1
These appear to be long range heavy MLRS of 240 mm to 400 mm diameter rather than "ballistic missiles."

1/
Heavy MLRS like the Chinese PLA, 350 km range, PCL191 erases the distinction between short range ballistic missiles & guided MLRS.

It is unclear exactly what the real ranges range of Iranian Heavy MLRS are given Chinese technology transfers.
2/
The "missile" impacts have the classic artillery rocket impact ellipse with strikes being on the line of flight axis having more dispersal (long/short) that left or right of it.

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Read 7 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 1
Just...no. That's bad analysis.

One of the spaces @secretsqrl123 had with @RyanO_ChosenCoy present. He made clear Ukrainian FPV drones based on Hollywood camera multi-copters have a 50 km one way range.

The other issue is the disintermediation of drones from platforms.
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"Disintermediation" means any shipping container or flat space on a vessel/vehicle works as a launcher.

A ISO container with 126 drones can be stacked on a 24 X 24 top level of a Chinese MGX-24 container ship and lob 72,576 drones in a simultaneous wave 50 km or more.

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Another thing that works are simple racks in cargo aircraft, helicopters or boats.

The Russians are using simple racks in the Mi-8 to hold FPV drones in large numbers to engage Ukrainian boat drones or special forces craft with MANPADS or FPV's.

3/
Read 18 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 30
Missiles are structurally strong nose to tail because, rocket acceleration. Side to side missile structure is as weak/light as possible for performance reasons.

Railway gondola cars moving missiles like this rattles them side to side like beans in a maraca.😱

1/3
Things like the Russian SAM malfunction you see below happen for reasons, some of them involving long distance railway transportation.

2/3
These sorts of Russian heavy SAM failures are showing up every so often.

How much of it is due to Gondola rail car transportation isn't knowable, barring someone stealing Russian documents about the issue.


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Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 30
This seems to be my day to kick the cognitive bias blind spot failures of Western intelligence.

This time on casualty ratios due to 💩 Russian military medical care.

The horrible thermite injuries in the video below will likely produce lots of preventable fatalities.
1/
It takes 40 hours for RuAF casualties to reach medical care equivalent to a battalion aid station.

The odds are RuAF field hospitals will not be able to control the infections that thermite burns generate, because they don't evacuate quickly enough.
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Deep burns like this will result in permanent disabilities.

There are reasons I applauded Russian Army doctors breaking out maggot therapy to remove gangrenous tissue.

Military medical professionalism in the middle of horror deserves recognition.

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Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 23
Given the latest failure of the Russian Sarmat ICBM...

...it is time to ask some hard questions about the combat readiness of the RU nuclear triad.

Extraordinary claims of Russian nuclear readiness now require extraordinary evidence🧵
1/
This is the 4th failed test attempt of the "combat operational" RS-28 Sarmat Heavy ICBM.

The RS-28 is a derivative of the original R-36M / SS-18 which was Ukrainian built and maintained until 2014.

2/
The RS-28 Sarmat was to replace the Ukrainian built/maintained SS-18 SATAN.

Russia had to reverse engineer SATAN's Ukrainian missile technology to make Russian knock-off tech and supposedly uprated engines for 3 Avangard​ HGV or a FOBS payload.
3/
 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RS-28_Sar…
Read 31 tweets

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