Crémieux Profile picture
Oct 4, 2024 19 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Lots of people attacking this decision, but do you think YOU could pass the POST?

Here's a thread of test questions.

Question 1: Image
If you're already struggling, don't worry, just keep plugging in your answers.

For questions 2 and 3 you'll have to do some addition and subtraction: Image
The test might seem too tough for you now, but just wait until you see question number 4: Image
Question 5 separates the men from the boys, or apparently, the men women from the women: Image
Now we're going to transition from the mathematics section to reading comprehension.

Before getting to the questions, read this paragraph. You'll need it for questions 6 through 10: Image
Now here are the stumpers in question: Image
Question 11 gets its own passage: Image
Giving up yet? Well hang in there.

Questions 12 and 13 rely on this material: Image
Now you have to answer the hard questions like 'Can you read a paragraph that contains the answer?' Image
The following questions ask you to identify spelling and grammatical errors and to insert the correct word where it fits: Image
Question 18 also asks you to identify a spelling error. This can be a hard one! Image
Now here's how you do the final section.

You have to fill out forms correctly, according to a style guide everyone is provided. Image
The questions are based on this.

You have to fill in which items were stolen, where the victim lived, the suspect's name and address, the suspect's clothing items, and the names of the officers assigned to the complaint. Image
Now, without sarcasm, if you fail this sort of test, something is wrong with you. This test is incredibly easy and you would have to be illiterate and innumerate to fail.

And yet, 9% of Whites and 29% of Blacks fail. Incidentally, with equal variances, that's a 0.79 d difference
That difference is what's expected based on the Black-White difference in the general population with a bit of selection into test-taking added. It matches up with what we know to be unbiased differences in other tests of police officers (e.g., on the WAIS).
Now what do the women fail? Well, 49% of them can't do 18 push-ups in a minute, 27 sit-ups in a minute, run 1.5 miles in 15m20s, and reach 1.5 inches past their toes while seated.

They're pathetically physically incapable, so that's the department's fault.
The Maryland Department of State Police would need to show that the thresholds used in the test have equal predictive power by sex, that they're relevant to the job, etc.

Everyone knows a physical test is fine, but justifying it is obviously hard.
You could argue that maybe the female officers won't be stepping into the line of duty, or that the test just doesn't work at all, but argue that.

Otherwise, we get yet another senseless attack on having even bottom of the barrel standards.

It's pathetic.
Now if you really couldn't figure out the POST question answers, here's a link to the answer sheet: mdsp.maryland.gov/Careers/Troope…

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Nov 12
Amazing!

The missing heritability issue between SNP heritability methods and traditional pedigree-based estimates has now shrunken to just 12%.

Thanks to large-scale whole-genome data and simultaneously estimated phenotypes, there's not much missing heritability left! Image
This analysis has several advantages compared to earlier ones.

The most obvious is the whole-genome data combined with a large sample size. All earlier whole-genome heritability estimates have been made using smaller samples, and thus had far greater uncertainty.
The next big thing is that the SNP and pedigree heritability estimates came from the same sample.

This can matter a lot.

If one sample has a heritability of 0.5 for a trait and another has a heritability of 0.4, it'd be a mistake to chalk the difference up to the method.
Read 16 tweets
Nov 12
This policy change has resulted in liberal experts coming out of the woodwork to allege that the policy is...

Intended to discriminate against Hispanics and Indians!

This one even alleged that this is discrimination on the basis of genetic race differences!Image
Trump deserves some praise for getting people to fess up to their hereditarian views on this matter.

Also, frankly, the policy is reasonable.

No fat people, no psychos, no sick people who will be burdens.

The only exception should be for those *paying for treatment here*. Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 8
Here are some choice Watson quotes to think about.

"I wouldn't have married a gum-chewing vegetarian." Image
Just being correct: Image
Left-wing nuts and environmental kooks are still noted screamers today. Image
Read 21 tweets
Nov 8
I'm going to humbly request that everyone stop dunking on John when he isn't even wrong.

Firstly, the reason for the hollowed out middle between -1.96 and 1.96 (p = 0.05) is not due to calculating CIs from abstracts instead of full-texts.

The original source showed that!Image
The original source for the Medline p-values explicitly compared the distributions in the abstracts and full-texts.

They found that there was a kink such that positive results had excess lower-bounds above 1 and negative results had excess upper-bounds below 1.Image
They then explicitly compared the distributional kinkiness from Medline to the distributions from an earlier paper that was similar to a specification curve analysis.

That meant comparing Medline to a result that was definitely not subject to p-hacking or publication bias. Image
Read 18 tweets
Nov 7
I got blocked for this meager bit of pushback on an obviously wrong idea lol.

Seriously:

Anyone claiming that von Neumann was tutored into being a genius is high on crack. He could recite the lines from any page of any book he ever read. That's not education!
'So, what's your theory on how von Neumann could tell you the exact weights and dimensions of objects without measuring tape or a scale?'

'Ah, it was the education that was provided to him, much like the education provided to his brothers and cousins.' Image
'How could his teachers have set him up to connect totally disparate fields in unique ways, especially given that every teacher who ever talked about him noted that he was much smarter than them and they found it hard to teach him?'

'Education, OK???' Image
Read 6 tweets
Nov 6
A new study just came out on this topic.

Using data from almost 14 million young people in England, they found that COVID—but not COVID vaccination—was broadly associated with heart problems.

The myocarditis bump (which is milder than real myocarditis) was also small.Image
This study also provides more to differentiate viral myocarditis from vaccine """myocarditis""", which again, is mild, resolves quickly, etc., unlike real myocarditis.

To see what it is, first look at this plot, showing COVID infection risks by time since diagnosis: Image
Now look at risks since injection.

See the difference?

The risks related to infection hold up for a year or more. The risks related to injection, by contrast, are short-term.Image
Read 5 tweets

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