While I am generally supportive of the idea of offering NATO membership to Ukraine without including territories outside of Kyiv's sustainable control under the Article 5 umbrella, I think we should be honest to ourselves: if that, indeed, happens, Ukraine will unlikely ever re-gain those territories in any foreseeable future. 1/10
The reason why the above-mentioned security arrangement cannot be called "a divided Germany scenario" lies in the conceptual difference between the Soviet occupation of parts of Germany and Russian occupation of parts of Ukraine. 2/10
The Soviet occupation of East Germany was predominantly a traditional case of occupation despite the Soviet efforts at long-term ideological transformation. The Russian occupation of parts of Ukraine, however, dramatically diverges from classical cases of occupation, as it is underpinned by the genocidal intentions. 3/10
Of course, Soviet occupations sometimes involved elements of ethnocultural engineering (one prominent example was in the Baltic States), but the Soviets never intended to destroy the German nation in East Germany. And although the Soviets did manage to divorce East Germans from West Germans culturally and ideologically (Western democracies contributed to that process too), neither society ceased to be German. 4/10
Today’s Russian genocidal occupation of Ukrainian territories projects a very different approach: those territories get thoroughly cleansed of all Ukrainian ethnocultural elements. In many ways, these developments are significantly worse than those during the Soviet times. 5/10
A Soviet Ukraine was still Ukraine, an ethnocultural Ukrainian republic. In contrast, Russia-occupied Ukrainian territories are included into the ethnic “Russian world” and even legally are incorporated into the Russian state as regions devoid of any reference to Ukraine. 6/10
All Moscow’s lies about a beautiful Russia-friendly Ukraine are exactly what they are – lies – as Moscow has no intentions whatsoever to keep anything Ukrainian – be that anything Russophobic or Russophile – on the Ukrainian territories it occupies. 7/10
The lack of understanding of the drastic difference between different modes of occupation (political/economic vs. genocidal) prevents many to the West of Vienna from seeing the reasons why Ukraine so ardently resists the Russian invasion. 8/10
The overwhelming majority of Western societies do not have any recent experience of being invaded by a foreign military force intending to eradicate their ethnocultural core. And the experience of occupation they do have is related to the cases of more traditional occupation that focused on political and economic rather than ethnic engineering. 9/10
So there will no "East Germany" in the Russia-occupied parts of Ukraine, and there will be no Ukrainian people to re-integrate into the re-united Ukrainian community some time in the future, as those people will simply not exist. 10/10
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Earlier this month, Italian cities saw a pro-Russian billboard campaign: “Russia is not our enemy” was written on billboards that also depicted an Italy-Russia handshake. The billboards also called on stopping to provide money for “weapons for Ukraine and Israel”. 1/15
Ukraine’s Embassy in Italy responded quickly to the campaign saying that it was “deeply concerned by the arrogance of Russian propaganda” in Rome and asking the Rome authorities “to reconsider granting permits for such posters that have a clear purpose of rehabilitating the image of the aggressor state” 2/15
CNN alleged that an Italian group called “Sovranità Popolare” (Popular Sovereignty) was behind the campaign (), but the group itself – although avowedly pro-Russian – denied it was responsible for the campaign: 3/15edition.cnn.com/2024/09/13/eur… sovranitapopolare.org/2024/09/25/gue…
A brief comment on the FT recent piece on Michel Houellebecq. First, a quote. 1/6
When I read "Submission" - knowing that it was considered controversial - I actually could not understand why it was seen as such. I myself thought it was some artsy porn tinged with parlour political conversations - a sort of a pale, hollowed-up version of revolutionary porn of Marquis de Sade. 2/6
Of course, Houellebecq saw "Submission" - with its political context of an Islamist takeover of France - as a novel discussing "the hypocrisy of 'the moral Left'" that submitted to Islamisation. 3/6
While the links between Russia and the far-right riots in the UK remain hypothetical, the connection between a number of Russian stakeholders and Tommy Robinson (real name: Stephen Yaxley-Lennon) is well established. Let me review them in this thread. 1/17
Robinson appeared in the Kremlin-controlled Russian-language media sphere around summer 2019. His first Russian media contact was Edvard Chesnokov, a correspondent working at the foreign affairs desk of the Russian pro-regime tabloid Komsomolsksaya pravda. 2/17
At that time, the convicted criminal Robinson had, again, troubles with the British justice, and Chesnokov used Robinson’s case to attack the UK, a country that plays a major role in deterring Russian aggression against the West. Following Robinson’s own propaganda, Chesnokov presented Robinson as a victim of state repressions for his opposition to “migrant criminality”. 3/17
Nigel Farage's claims that the West allegedly provoked the Russian invasion of Ukraine are not coming out of nowhere, and the context behind this picture from a few years ago helps understand his claims. Left: Farage, right: Nadia Borodi (Sass). 1/10
Borodi is originally from Ukraine, and together with her partner Oleh Voloshyn they operated an agent network in Europe on behalf of Ukrainian pro-Russian politician Viktor Medvedchuk. Left: Borodi, right: Voloshyn. 2/10
While still in Ukraine, and when Ukraine still tolerated (mistakenly) agents of Russian influence, both promoted pro-Kremlin politics, and actively used European politicians for their objectives. Here's Borodi with Nicolas Bay of the French National Front/Rally. 3/10
Ukrainian athlete Olga Kharlan refused to shake her Russian opponent Anna Smirnova’s hand after winning the bout at the Fencing World Championships, and was disqualified by the International Fencing Federation @FIE_fencing. 1/7
The International Fencing Federation (FIE) was, until recently, presided by a Russian Kremlin-linked businessman Alisher Usmanov, here in the right. 2/7
Usmanov was sanctioned by the EU following the Russian full-blown invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, and dared to call the EU’s decision “unfair”. He suspended his position at the FIE. 3/7
The latest report on Russian non-Kremlin right-wing extremism suggests that the war and the Kremlin’s pro-war rhetoric have emboldened the Russian far right who had been in crisis for many years. 1/10sova-center.ru/racism-xenopho…
Right-wing extremists are deeply integrated into various civil society structures around the war: they help “refugees”, residents of the regions affected by the war, and the Russian military. 2/10
They also recruit volunteers for the Russian genocidal war and participate in it themselves. 3/10