Ryan James Girdusky Profile picture
Oct 9 4 tweets 2 min read Read on X
PA Absentee Ballot Request Update:

Dem: 962,256 (60.9%) +8,417 since 10/8
GOP: 435,862 (27.6%) +8,373 since 10/8
Indie: 182,359 (11.5%) +3,198 since 10/8

Change since 2022:
GOP: +136,598
Dem: -12,609

Change since 2020:
GOP: -336,456
Dem: -978,580 Image
Republicans are keeping up with Democrats on new ballot requests... something that they don't typically do.

I'm waiting till next week to see what it looks like with returns, where so far Democrats have a big advantage.
Most of the Democratic advantage is because Philadelphia, Allegheny, and Montgomery counties started accepting ballots before most GOP friendly counties by several weeks.

80% of Dem ballots come from those three counties compared to just 43% of GOP ballots returned.
This is a very very early start to absentee ballots received.

Counties with no color have none in yet.

Democrats have returned 188,185 ballots
Republicans have returned 56,791 ballots

It's all still very very early Image

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More from @RyanGirdusky

Aug 14
Twitter is really working hard on memory holing how bad polling was in 2020.

Yes, the RCP average for most of the Midwest was close right before the election but that's only because Traflgar and Insider Advantage moved the averages in PA and Michigan.
In Michigan, the average was Biden +4.2 and he won by 2.8, but subtract Insider Adv. and Trafalgar and the polls were far outside the margin of error:

CNBC: Biden +7
Mitchell: Biden +7
Reuters: Biden +10
MRA: Biden +7
CNN: Biden +12
NYT: Biden +8
Fox: Biden +12
ABC: Biden +7
Now look at PA, which RCP Average was Biden +1.2... exactly the amount he won by. Once again, take out Trafalgar and Insider Adv.

Susquehanna: Trump +1
Marist: Biden +5
Monmouth: Biden +7
Reuters: Biden +6
NYT: Biden +6
ABC/WaPo: Biden +7
Quinnipiac: Biden +7
Read 8 tweets
Mar 18
The trip to the border was eye opening. You really get the sense how little border enforcement there is.

I visited one migrant camp where about 100 migrants were waiting to get picked up. It was being run by Catholic Charities and had people from all over the world.


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A local who’s been in the area knew about it. First thing I noticed was the migrants began recording me and my group the minute we showed up. It was about 80 adults and 30 children, the guy from CC said they were mostly fleeing from the cartel but that wasn’t true.
Military-aged men from Southeast Asia were in their own group, there were also Africans, South Americans, and even some Europeans.

The local who brought me (he spoke Spanish) said a number of these kids were being trafficked.
Read 8 tweets
Nov 10, 2022
I understand that the establishment GOP media is trying to have this coordinated effort to takedown Trump… but they need to understand that no one likes them or trusts them either. Their pile on will make people more sympathetic to him.
Also it cannot be stressed enough how bad the establishment GOP screwed up this election. If McConnell complains about not having enough money for Arizona, then he shouldn’t have spent millions in the Alabama primary settling a score with Mo Brooks
Rick Scott was an utter disaster at NRSC where he spent the whole time floating if he wanted to run for majority leader or President. Emmer fumbled the ball over and over again at NRCC
Read 5 tweets
Sep 11, 2022
I read @pastpunditry’s oped in the Sunday Times about Pat Buchanan and was absolutely blown away at her lazy analysis of Buchanan’s political career.
Rather than note he was the genius mind that convinced Nixon to try and court ethnic whites from the court and pushed Reagan to nominate an Italian-American to court to gain stronger footing with them. Or voice concerns about Japan’s attempt to put Harley Davidson out of business
All she could muster is pathetic comparisons to David Duke, a man who came decades after Buchanan joined Nixon. Buchanan disavowed Duke repeatedly.

Buchanan got more inspiration from his friend Samuel Huntington than anyone else.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 2, 2022
When I attended Queens College, the school allowed an event called “How Islam Perfected Thanksgiving” where they invited the unindicted co-conspirator of the 1993 World Trade Center bombing as the speaker
The Muslim club also protested an event my College Republican Club held where we showed the film Fitna by Geerts Wilders. During a scene that showed the 9/11 attacks several members of their club laughed at the image of the Twin Towers being destroyed
I complained about the MSA there a lot. Where I was ignored, I said that there was a lot of extremists in that organization and I was called a racist for it. The college stripped funding from my Republican Club and I was told by student life I was not welcome
Read 5 tweets
May 15, 2022
(NBC News poll) is the country headed in the wrong direction/right direction

Wrong direction: 75%
Right direction: 16%

This is the worst number since the height of the financial crisis in 2008.
Biden approval: 39%
Biden disapproval: 56%

Worst result in his presidency for an NBC News poll
Positive/Negative opinion of the following institutions:

Zelensky: 62/9
Disney: 33/30
DeSantis: 28/26
SCOTUS: 36/35
The GOP: 35/46
Biden: 37/51
Trump: 36/51
Kamala: 31/48
Democratic Party: 31/50
Read 8 tweets

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