Collingwood 🇬🇧 Profile picture
Oct 14 18 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Some thoughts on slavery and reparations.

The saddest thing, I think, about the return of the question of whether Britain should pay reparations for the practice of slavery, now centred on the foreign secretary David Lammy, is the way that such a heinous and sickening...

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...practice has been politicised. It is, when one thinks for even a moment about what went on in the trans-Atlantic slave trade, and the scale of suffering involved, hugely affecting and a stain on our national story. Yet the tone of the debate somehow inures us to the...

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...details of this horror. Nevertheless, it is understandable that Britons are angered by the tone and form of the demands. It is implied that Britain should pay reparations absent of any broadly accepted legal framework, or even international norms, to deal with such...

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...historical outrages. If there were such laws and accepted practices, of course, Britain would not be the only country on the hook for reparations, and perhaps not even the priority target. Other such candidates, including Turkey, the Arab nations, China, and the North...

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...west African counties, are often put forward in well rehearsed arguments. The problem being that the 'institution' of slavery, far from being a uniquely British (or Anglo) practice, was simply the most common state of affairs throughout human history. Certainly the...

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...Romans, for all their civilisation and intellectual achievements, would have seen no problem with it. Nor the Ottomans. By which I don't mean that they would not have had this debate, but that they would, for the most part, *not have seen any problem*. I'm too ignorant...

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...suggest that Western, liberal Christianity--with all its focus on caring for the weak, on doing unto others, and viewing humans as equal before God--allowed for a break in the normal state of human societies, and further that the global dominance of Western Christian...

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...empires from the 18th century allowed for the slow eradication of this heinous practice. But it does seem a possibility. So, added to the fact slavery was commonplace, should Britain, as many argue, get offsetting credit for leading the way on eradication? And Western...

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...societies in general. Has any economist looked into the value of that as they have on the toll of slavery itself? Also, why stop at slavery? Shouldn't Jews be compensated for the Holocaust? Armenians for their genocide? Poland was recently claiming reparations from...

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...Germany for the Second World War. And if Britain is to pay reparations to, say, Barbados, should we also pay to China for the deliberately addicting their population to opium? The general practice, of course, is that these old outrages are not punished. The entire...

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...concept of international law as we understand it today only took root a hundred years ago, after the Great War. The idea of punishments for individuals for 'crimes against humanity' is even younger, being drawn from Nuremberg. Should we now go back and start...

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...litigating and passing judgment on the past? If so, how far do we go and where do we stop? I don't mean to be glib, but the entire idea of a nation willingly paying large compensation for past crimes is novel (reparations were paid in past, but only when compelled...

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...by national defeat in war). Mr Lammy, Barbados, and the wider community of intellectuals, political leaders and activists would be far more persuasive if they sought to first create a framework for addressing historical harms, dealing with the questions touched upon...

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...in this thread. First, how far do we punish actions and policies that are now seen as morally wrong, but were simply not by anybody at the time? Secondly, on the matter of slavery, who is liable, which countries were involved, how much, and how do they all net out?

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(By which I mean, the UK was a large participant in the trans Atlantic slave trade, but suffered from the Barbary slave trade: What's the net net?) Thirdly, does fighting to stop slavery (or a genocide, say) count on the credit side of the ledger? Fourthly, what other...

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...crimes against humanity deserve to be addressed in this way? Fifthly, how far back do we go? A fair conversion would ask all these questions, and seek, intentionally, to find an answer. Until then, I think it's not wrong of us to wonder whether the focus of Mr...

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...Lammy and others on Britain is because of personal feeling (understandable perhaps), an instinct common among the British liberal left that Britain is uniquely bad (infinitely less understandable), or just selective targeting for whatever other reason. None of...

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...that would seem objective, or even fair, but that's what we're currently left with. Is it any wonder, therefore, that Britons are outraged by the suggestion? Meantime, let's not make the horrors of the transatlantic slave trade another victim of tribal political war.

ENDS

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More from @admcollingwood

Sep 23
Has anybody tried using X to post fiction? Here's an attempt: a geopolitical future history. Let's see how much engagement/reposts it gets. I've named it after based on a recent panel discussion led by @DavidSacks (see authors note).

2049: Mearsheimer's American Nightmare
It was a hot and humid day in June when the Doomsday Clock hit one minute to twenty four hundred. We are undoubtedly even closer to midnight now, but the Institute of Atomic Energy in Beijing has not yet announced an update, and it is that day in June which sticks in the memory – when the Communist Party Central Committee released a statement which made it clear that humanity was on the eve of destruction again, just 23 years since the near miss in Ukraine.

The media here in Britain have largely regurgitated the Beijing view that a revanchist United States is fomenting the crisis in an effort to recapture its lost empire. Perhaps so, but by removing context and history from Washington’s actions, we are left with nothing but a story of a warmongering imperialist American President leading a propagandised people toward war. Such morality tales are seldom good explanations for great power relations.

As is often the case, the seeds of the present crisis were sowed by the last. With hindsight, it would have been wise to have listened to Henry Kissinger. On 24 May 2022, the ancient former US Secretary of State told the Davos World Economic Forum that negotiations between the West and Russia over Ukraine needed "to begin in the next two months before it creates upheavals and tensions that will not be easily overcome.”

Yet nobody then was close to ready for concessions, and the geopolitical consequences are now well known. First, Russia was driven into the arms of China. While previously the Kremlin had pursued a policy of cautious interaction with Beijing, it was now forced into a much closer relationship.

In effect, Beijing got the deal of the century. It instantly solved its Malacca problem, gaining overland access to almost limitless energy, natural resources and food. It also got its hands on Russian military technology in areas such as jet engines, air defence and submarines. Meanwhile, Russia gained a route through sanctions, geared its economy to a region with far more rapid growth than Europe, and linked itself to a country fast moving up the technology and value added manufacturing ladder.

Perhaps as importantly, China now benefited from a Russia implacably opposed to the US-led Western Bloc. In the decade after the Ukraine Crisis, Moscow was hugely active in expanding and strengthening BRICS and the SCO into counterweights to the G7, currying favour with the Global South, and generally making mischief in Iran, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, the broader MENA region, Pakistan, Africa and Latin America, all of which tied down small parcels of US resources and focus that might have been directed at China.

Secondly, Europe was hard hit by the war. Cutting itself off from the most economically rational source of energy, Russian pipeline gas, had led to grinding, slow-motion deindustrialisation and falling living standards. Strikes, protests and rising support for ever more extremist parties destabilised European politics and further worsened the investment outlook.

The American economy was doing better, but socially and politically it was even worse. The 2024 presidential election, between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, was somehow even more fractious than the 2020 campaign. Lawyers were more important than stump speeches and debates. The election did not finish on 5 November 2024; instead, it switched from vote gathering to lawfare, and thence to constitutional crisis.

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First, the two teams attempted to disqualify the other side’s mail-in ballots, including efforts to have the already strained US Postal Service disrupted to prevent them arriving on time. In the first sign that social order was breaking down, key individuals in various segments of the vote counting apparatus required police protection.

Secondly, on 8 December, both sides appointed their own rival Electoral College electors in key swing states, refusing to accept the legitimacy of the other side’s. On 14 December, the electoral college met without any sense of which set of electors could transmit the legitimate votes to Congress.

On 6 January, amid protests, counter protests, riots, looting and the presence of the National Guard, Kamala Harris, the President of the Senate, started the count of electoral college votes before a joint session of Congress. She quickly disqualified Arizona, where Mr. Trump had won by only a few thousand votes, on the basis that there was no agreement on which set of electors were valid. In a dramatic scene that is now one of the most viewed political events ever on WeChat, Speaker Mike Johnson immediately expelled all lawmakers from the House, preventing the count from proceeding. Without a declared winner, Speaker Johnson himself would be inaugurated as President.

One week later, with protests swelling and becoming increasingly violent, President Biden, looking frail and unwell, addressed the nation to invoke the Insurrection Act in a shambling live announcement that inspired no unity and provided no sense that anybody was in control. As three people – Trump, Harris and Johnson – prepared to be inaugurated on 20 January, rumours swirled that the police, intelligence community and military had started taking sides. With civil order having broken down, the US stock markets, which had lost some 45% since the New Year, were closed.

Meanwhile, China quietly completed mobilisation.

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Read 7 tweets
Sep 13
For all those not worried about this, I want to help you to think as your opponent -- an important part of diplomacy. Imagine that during the Iraq War 2003-11, China or Russia had provided Iraqi militias with advanced weaponry, plus intelligence, plus targeting...

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...information to attack and kill our troops. How would we have responded? What would the media and political pressure on our leaders to respond have been? Now imagine Russia and China decide that they'll give the Iraqi militias the weapons and targeting to strike Britain...

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...itself. Britain says that this would constitute an act of war (especially since nobody believes the Iraqi militias are doing the intel and targeting needed to fire the weapons themselves), and Moscow or Beijing responded that the invasion of Iraq was illegal, that the...

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Read 11 tweets
Aug 15
As many of you will have read, the @WSJ has published what it claims to be the story of how #Nordstream was destroyed. I'm not sure I buy it, but if I did, it raises extremely important and concerning questions about our intelligence communities, governments and media.

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First, the story--that the operation was conducted by Valeriy Zaluzhniy, then Ukraine's most senior military officer, despite the fact the CIA got wind of the operation (from Dutch intelligence), and told President Zelensky to stop it, which he ordered Zaluzhniy to...

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...to do--is far too convenient. It is well known that Gen Zaluzhniy, now Ambassador to the UK, does not always see eye to eye with President Zelensky, who dismissed Zaluzhniy from his position as CinC of the AFU and, rumour has it, sees the general as a potential...

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Read 17 tweets
Aug 13
This tweet is a MESSAGE, and part of a thread of messages. PAY ATTENTION!

Sending this message was IMPORTANT to me.

What is in the thread below is REPULSIVE and DANGEROUS.

This tweet is a WARNING about that DANGER.

DO NOT SCROLL DOWN. There is NOTHING OF INTEREST there.


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Why did you scroll down? Wasn't I clear that you shouldn't? Didn't I even add unnerving pictures to elicit a *feeling* you shouldn't? Yet you're still here. Why? The answer to this question is vital to the safety of future humans, and suggests important lessons for us today.

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On Olkiluoto Island, off Finland's Gulf of Bothnia coast, 137 tunnels have been dug some 1,500ft deep into bedrock. They are designed to remain unreachable for millennia, and to resist groundwater flow, great hydrostatic pressure, and even the effects of future ice ages.

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Read 30 tweets
Aug 10
I think that all of us on the social conservative side of the debate, all of us who gave been in favour of lower migration and have warned at the consequences of successive governments ignoring the concerns of the majority of Britons, should state unequivocally that those...

1/n
...involved in rioting must feel the *full* force of the law. Rioting is unacceptable, and the government has not only the right but the duty to re-establish control. Furthermore, from a personal perspective, I find the outright racism, the crypto-revolutionary forces...

2/n
...that seem to underpin the instincts of many rioters and their supporters, repugnant and anathema. We can mock the government's response; we can highlight the contradictions (believing in punishment and prison, and yet not); we can respond with...

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Read 5 tweets
Aug 7
Britain's migration policy is an important driver of the protest, riots and ethnic violence that have erupted since the horrific attacks in #Southport. This thread tells the story of that policy, while aiming to provide as comprehensive and objective an overview as possible.

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The story starts with the Nationality Act of 1948. Prior to the Act, the concept of a 'British Citizen' did not quite exist. Britons, like Indians, Jamaicans, or Hongkongers, were subjects of the Crown to which they owed allegiance. The 1948 Act, prompted by the...

2/n
...accelerating changes in the Empire after WWII, effectively put those born in the UK’s Dominions and Commonwealth on equal footing to Britons. In other words, somebody from Kingston, Jamaica could live and work in the UK as freely as somebody from Kingston-upon-Thames.

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Read 33 tweets

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