🇺🇸 Less than 3 wks to election day and the race is LEAN TRUMP🧵
📈Trump has surged since Sept - Harris' Honeymoon came to an abrupt end
🐘Trump wins the EC in 61% of simulations
⛴️Great Lakes states flipped for Trump on 10/10 and remain Trump
@J_L_Partners/@DailyMail
📈Trump has surged since Sept - Harris' Honeymoon came to an abrupt end
🐘Trump wins the EC in 61% of simulations
⛴️Great Lakes states flipped for Trump on 10/10 and remain Trump
@J_L_Partners/@DailyMail
🤏 The race was tied during Aug and Sept but since has opened up quite wide - with Trump leading by 23% in our probability tracker
🏇Trump leads Harris by a head and shoulders coming into the final furlongs of the race. Huge push needed from Harris to turn the Trump tide.
🏇Trump leads Harris by a head and shoulders coming into the final furlongs of the race. Huge push needed from Harris to turn the Trump tide.
🗳️ Harris is still on track to win the overall popular vote
📉 Although this has come down since her high in mid-Sept
Incongruence between popular vote and EC victory comes down to the swing states. Generally they break for Trump - and in the EC that's all that matters.
📉 Although this has come down since her high in mid-Sept
Incongruence between popular vote and EC victory comes down to the swing states. Generally they break for Trump - and in the EC that's all that matters.
📊 Betting markets largely agree with @J_L_Partners/@DailyMail model
🕓 Our model predicted the Trump tide before the betting markets cottoned on
📈 General movement clear though - momentum is with Trump.
🕓 Our model predicted the Trump tide before the betting markets cottoned on
📈 General movement clear though - momentum is with Trump.
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