joshua steinman (🇺🇸,🇺🇸) Profile picture
Oct 18 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
As @EzraACohen pointed out (tweet below), the “goodbye tours” are underway.

But what does that mean?

Usually when a presidential administration is “over” (defacto or dejure), the senior folks will run blow-out trips around the world.

The purpose is three-fold:

1/6
Ezra pointed this out, but why do “goodbye tours?”

1) say goodbye to counterparts
2) set themselves up for cushy post-admin jobs (dinners with executives, at which the ‘well, what will you do next’ question is met with winks and nods)
3) boondoggle tourism

2/6
These tours are part of the Washington “revolving door”.

I’ve talked about those, below:

But cabinet-secretary revolving doors are SLIGHTLY different.

Those often involve board seats, book deals, TV gigs, consulting agreements ($100k/mo!)

3/6
For what you’re seeing here — foreign revolving doors — it’s more complicated.

Look for these folks to go to places like “German Marshall Fund” or other well-endowed think tanks. They’ll take non-resident fellowships, “Professor of Practice” gigs at say the LSE, & more.

4/6
For the foreign stuff it’s not exactly FARA work (they won’t explicitly be lobbying on behalf of foreign governments), it’s a “thank you for the billions in unaccounted for U.S. Tax Dollars,” and the like.

Maybe they’ll make 500k a year on it, likely much less.

5/6
In the end, it all comes down to one of the most depressing revelations I had during my time at the White House:

That senior government officials sell out all the time, and the price for which they do is shockingly low.

I wish we could stop the practice.

6/6

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More from @JoshuaSteinman

Nov 10
99% of people have NO IDEA what a "recess appointment" is, or why it is CRITICAL to a President being able to govern.

TIME FOR ANOTHER LESSON IN HOW WASHINGTON WORKS:

1/
Article II, Section 2, Clause 3:

"The President shall have Power to fill up all Vacancies that may happen during the Recess of the Senate, by granting Commissions which shall expire at the End of their next Session."

This is (1) useful, and (2) a FORCING FUNCTION

2/
In recent times, however, Senate leadership has PREVENTED the use of recess appointments by using "pro forma sessions."

While everybody is out of town, one Senator stays behind, and gavels a brief "session," thus blocking this presidential power.

CRAZY.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Nov 8
DEAR STARTUP FOUNDERS

The election is over. The future has been secured.

But the people who wanted to put Elon in jail, restrict for your AI model, keep funneling government contracts to the usual suspects, and more have one last trick:

They’re going to ask you for a job.

1/
This happens EVERY CYCLE. But this time, I propose, it is different.

No administration has been SO HOSTILE to growth as the one now leaving power.

And so, in the coming weeks, you must keep your guard up.

HERE’S THE GAME PLAN:

2/
Normally I wouldn’t be so aggressive, but the Biden-Harris Administration just spent four years ...

- threatening to nationalize SpaceX
- using social media co’s as a cutout for restricting the first amendment
- threatening to tax unrealized gains

3/
Read 15 tweets
Nov 7
THE K STREET PROJECT

Or: What a 1994 effort by Tom DeLay to level the playing field might tell us about the second Trump Administration in Washington, DC.

1/
The year is 1994.

Republicans re-took the House of Representatives for the first time in FORTY YEARS.

A Congressman from Texas by the name of Tom DeLay – who would go on to earn the nickname "THE HAMMER" – becomes Majority Whip.

And decides to send a message to DC.

2/
It had been FORTY YEARS since Republicans had meaningful power in Washington; the private sector had adapted.

Without leverage, few GOP Staffers got lobbying gigs – those went almost exclusively to Democrats. Same with in-house "policy advisor" jobs at major corporations.

3/
Read 18 tweets
Oct 25
Conservatives are sleeping on the fact that @elonmusk is out building a competitor to Data Trust.

My guess is that, come November 5th, @America PAC will have one of the best "voter files" in all of politics.

And it's going to cause political tectonic plates to shift.

1/
I'm no political consultant, so this might be completely wrong, but from everything I have read "voter files" are the lifeblood of elections.

Campaigns spend MILLIONS to figure out who is in their districts, where they live, what they care about, etc.

2/
And on the right, there were only two groups that had them: the GOP, and the Koch network.

Until – again, guessing here – now.

Have you looked at the @America PAC signup?

- Name
- Email
- Phone number
- Address

GEE WHAT COULD THIS BE USED FOR...

(PS I think it's great)

3/Image
Read 10 tweets
Oct 14
you may not like it but this is what peak psychological operations look like.

ANATOMY OF A "BUFFALO RUN"

Or: How to convince your political opposition of a believable-yet-false narrative, so you can eventually discredit them and kill their momentum.

1/
First things first. I have no idea if Ian Carroll is involved in it, or just doing what he does: making incredibly viral videos.

That said, let's talk about the op that is unfolding right now. It starts here:

first: Something about this @ feels "off" to me.

2/ Image
Next: the claims are (1) odd while (2) believable.

BELIEVABLE. Tim is a weird guy.

But that's not the point. What we're seeing here is a BUFFALO RUN. The point is to get a bunch of folks to believe it, regardless of truth.

3/
Read 11 tweets
Sep 14
At his rally in Las Vegas tonight, @realDonaldTrump is going to reveal details around one of his most exciting policy ideas:

FREEDOM CITIES

1/ Image
Why do we need new cities?

The average Americans spends between 20 and 50% of their post-tax income on rent or a mortgage.

And that percentage has been increasing.

It’s most people’s biggest expenditure!

2/
Image
Image
ECON 101 REMINDER: we model the price of goods and services with curves representing the amount of stuff for sale (supply), and the desire folks have to buy that stuff (demand).

The intersection between the curves is the price.

Increase the supply, and price goes down.

3/ Image
Read 10 tweets

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