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Oct 21, 2024 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
This chart is making a lot of investors panic

But the data tells a different story for now

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ Recently, some people have been comparing today’s market to the 1970s

If we overlay a 1970s chart on today’s interest rates, the similarities stand out

It’s easy to see why people get nervous when rates jump

But the data tells a different story Image
3/ In the 1970s, there were 3 waves of inflation

Each one progressively larger than the previous one

Which led to a prolonged period of rising rates Image
4/ Today, US inflation has been falling sharply, not rising

This is not the inflationary environment like the 1970s or 2021 that led to rising interest rates Image
5/ Since interest rates tend to follow inflation, our expectation is that rates will likely trend lower

Assuming we don’t see a major escalation of conflict in the Middle East Image
6/ Lower interest rates should be a net positive for the stock market

Just as rising rates were a headwind Image
7/ The market recently broke out of a 3-month consolidation

With all key moving averages still pointing up

These are signs of a strong and healthy uptrend Image
8/ We’ve made some profitable trades with our clients throughout this bull market

Our buy & sell alerts on individual stocks, ETFs, crypto, and commodities have led to big winners

While our strict risk management has helped in keeping losses small and limited Image
9/ View our track record for FREE on our website

Our members have had a solid year

With an avg. win of 17.37% and an avg. loss of just 3.78%

Get real-time Trade Alerts at:

bit.ly/BravosResearch
10/ Thanks for reading!

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More from @bravosresearch

May 20
History is REPEATING.

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ The US stock market has been melting up

Gaining over 20% in just the last 6 weeks

That officially makes this the strongest rally since 2020 Image
3/ If we zoom out to the 1960s, rallies this strong have only happened a few times in history

Almost every time, they’ve marked major stock market bottoms

And were followed by powerful multi-year rallies Image
Read 25 tweets
May 19
This will catch a lot of investors off-guard

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ The stock market has seen an aggressive bounce off the April lows

This is happening after a crash as violent as during the pandemic and the Financial Crisis Image
3/ Now, there is a scenario where the market chops around here, digesting the bad news

But the economy holds up and avoids an economic downturn
Read 9 tweets
May 16
It’s happening AGAIN

Buckle up.

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ A $54 trillion asset class has been bouncing back now

This is happening after a crash as violent as during the pandemic and the Financial Crisis

Today, a record 60% of US households have stock market exposure

The big question now is: can this rally really last? Image
3/ To answer that, we’re going to dig into hard historical data

But first, let’s outline the 3 potential paths ahead:

1) A sharp V-shape recovery back to all-time highs
2) A deeper pullback breaking the April 7th low
3) A choppy consolidation before another leg higher
Read 26 tweets
May 14
BIG divergence between US dollar and bond yields

Either rates must rise further to stabilize the dollar

Or the dollar is at real risk of a deeper collapse

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ The US dollar index (DXY) has faced heavy selling pressure since Trump’s new tariff announcement

Something has happened that is suggesting that this decline in the US dollar could be a lot more dangerous than it looks Image
3/ You see, DXY usually moves in line with US bond yields

Which reflect the return on holding US dollars

That relationship makes sense:

As yields rise, the dollar should strengthen

But for the first time in years, that connection is starting to break Image
Read 12 tweets
May 13
In the 1900s, the British Pound lost its status as a global reserve currency due to 2 key reasons

Today, the US Dollar is facing a similar threat

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ Since the dawn of civilization, every fiat currency has eventually collapsed into irrelevance

And when that collapse comes, those holding the currency usually see their wealth wiped out

History is clear about how this ends Image
3/ Take the British pound, for example

In the 1940s, £1 was worth $5

It was the world’s dominant currency

By the 1980s, £1 was worth just $1

That collapse destroyed the purchasing power of its holders

And reshaped global trade, economic power, and geopolitics Image
Read 11 tweets
May 12
The COLLAPSE of the US Dollar has begun

This could have major consequences for the markets

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ Something has just broken on the US dollar

The DXY just posted its biggest drop since COVID

And it’s now completely disconnected from its fundamentals Image
3/ Since the dawn of civilization, every fiat currency has eventually collapsed into irrelevance

And when that collapse comes, those holding the currency usually see their wealth wiped out

History is clear about how this ends Image
Read 27 tweets

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