Bravos Research Profile picture
Data-driven Investment Research | Follow to learn about markets & the global economy | Get swing trade ideas & market analysis at https://t.co/Yl0DdwqSc7
31 subscribers
Apr 25 28 tweets 10 min read
Big tech has risen by as much as 12,000% since 2005

Now another sector has set the stage for massive gains

This is a MAJOR opportunity today

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ If you had put $10,000 into Microsoft 20 years ago, you’d be sitting on $140,000 today

That same investment in Google would’ve grown to $250,000

And if you had chosen Amazon, you’d be looking at $1 million Image
Apr 24 11 tweets 3 min read
US government debt market COLLAPSE has begun

This has MASSIVE implications for the economy

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ US government bonds have broken below a 40-year uptrend

After experiencing one of the most painful bear market since the 1980s Image
Apr 23 9 tweets 3 min read
The market has broken below all key moving averages

This also happened in 1998 before a 18 month RALLY

But in 2007, it ended in a 20% CRASH instead

Which one will play out today?

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ Today’s high volatility markets has been chopping around a lot of traders

This is where people get burnt and end up not having capital left when the next leg up begins Image
Apr 21 12 tweets 4 min read
WARNING: Housing defaults have skyrocketed

This is unlike anything we’ve seen in a decade

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ The Fed had been on an unprecedented hiking cycle

Taking rates from near 0% to 5.5% in just 1.5 years

Ensuring tight monetary policy in the process Image
Apr 18 12 tweets 4 min read
Credit card defaults are at RECORD levels

This is HIGHER than even the 2008 Financial Crisis

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ From 1940s to 1970s, Americans used to save around 10% of their annual income

But today, savings relative to income is almost near 0% Image
Apr 18 28 tweets 9 min read
History is REPEATING

Buckle up.

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ You’ve probably seen news headlines warning of another Great Depression

Those fears are being fueled by Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs

Which some are comparing to President Hoover’s tariffs from 1930, right as the Great Depression began Image
Apr 17 11 tweets 4 min read
US debt is now getting completely out of control

This will NOT end well…

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ Since 1966, US debt has risen from $1 trillion to over $36 trillion

With a staggering $3+ trillion rise just in the last year alone Image
Apr 11 14 tweets 5 min read
A lot of investors are now anticipating a 2025 recession

But hard economic data does NOT confirm that yet…

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ Consumer confidence in the labor market has declined aggressively

Historically, such a big drop has typically been followed by real labor market weakness

So far, the jobs data hasn't broken down

But if poor confidence is right again, the labor market could weaken soon Image
Apr 10 22 tweets 8 min read
A MAJOR confidence collapse has just hit America

This signal has only been triggered 5 times in 60 years

The last time was right before the 2008 Financial Crisis

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ We just got a signal that’s only occurred 5 times since the 1970s

Each time, it lined up closely with the start of a violent market decline and a recession

Each signal also followed a complete collapse in job market confidence Image
Apr 8 13 tweets 4 min read
A key risk-off signal has just flashed in the market

But remember, not every risk-off move occurs with a recession

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ The gold-to-silver ratio has just broken out of a basing pattern that had been forming since 2022 Image
Apr 8 12 tweets 4 min read
Markets and yields have declined together

This is a growth scare driven sell-off

But it’s NOT the time to go all-in on shorts yet

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ The US stock market has been in full panic mode

In our YouTube video last week, we said that downside risk was still present

Which is why we moved to a defensive positioning Image
Apr 7 25 tweets 8 min read
A MAJOR market signal has just flashed

This also happened in the 2022, 2020, & 2008 crashes

Each of them marked a significant buying opportunity

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ The US stock market is in full panic mode

In our last YouTube video, we said there was still plenty of short-term downside risk

Which is why we removed most of our exposure to US stocks during the recent bounce Image
Apr 7 9 tweets 3 min read
Extreme market panic has just been triggered

VIX has crossed above the 36 level threshold

This has marked MAJOR buying opportunities

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ Since 2009, there have been multiple non-recessionary corrections

Most of them were caused by growth-related concerns and saw a big spike in fear Image
Apr 2 9 tweets 3 min read
Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” is finally here

Will this mark the end of extreme uncertainty?

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ Uncertainty around economic policy has surged to levels not seen since the 2020 pandemic

While this will eventually subside, there is no guarantee that uncertainty won’t increase in the near term Image
Apr 2 11 tweets 4 min read
Tech stocks pose a significant risk to the market today

Just 10 companies make up 37% of the S&P 500

This won’t end well

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ High market concentration has largely been overlooked due to the focus on tariffs

Today, the top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 represent 37% of the index Image
Apr 2 13 tweets 5 min read
Recession fears are back now

Goldman Sachs increased its recession forecast to 35%

But the bond market is still NOT confirming these fears

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ Recession fears have dominated headlines all year

But the most effective way to evaluate whether those concerns are justified is by analyzing the bond market

It offers a more reliable picture than headline-driven narratives Image
Mar 31 29 tweets 10 min read
Uncertainty has just spiked to levels seen only once since 1995

Right now, 3 KEY factors will decide if the market crashes or hits new ATHs

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ The US stock market has staged a sharp rally off recent lows

This comes immediately after some of the most oversold conditions seen since 2020

Given that level of selling pressure, a relief rally was almost inevitable Image
Mar 28 22 tweets 7 min read
This indicator has predicted the last 3 MAJOR crashes

Is it about to signal a 4th one?

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ The S&P 500 has finally seen a small bounce after its biggest drawdown since 2022

But this comes after the index broke below all key moving averages

Like it did just before the 2022 bear market Image
Mar 24 13 tweets 4 min read
Credit card defaults for small banks are near RECORD levels

This is HIGHER than even the peak of the 2008 Financial Crisis

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ From 1940s to 1970s, Americans used to save around 10% of their annual income

But today, savings relative to income is almost near 0% Image
Mar 24 24 tweets 8 min read
Gold has just hit new all-time highs

History shows this is a MAJOR warning sign

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ In the 6 months leading up to the 2008 financial crisis, gold prices surged 50%

This was a major warning sign, as investors rushed to safety right before the near-collapse of the financial system Image
Mar 24 14 tweets 4 min read
Personal savings have now fallen off the cliff

And everyone’s expecting a housing crash next

But this is why home prices can keep getting MORE expensive

A thread 🧵 Image 2/ personal savings as a percentage of GDP are at their lowest levels since the 2008 financial crisis

If Americans have little savings, how can home prices continue to rise, right? Image