Data-driven Investment Research | Follow to learn about markets & the global economy | Get swing trade ideas & market analysis at https://t.co/T0CiXSQ7lD
34 subscribers
May 27 • 26 tweets • 9 min read
History is REPEATING
Buckle up.
A thread 🧵 2/ The S&P 500 has seen a sharp rebound since the April lows
Today, a record 60% of US households have stock market exposure
The big question now is: can this rally really last?
May 20 • 25 tweets • 8 min read
History is REPEATING.
A thread 🧵 2/ The US stock market has been melting up
Gaining over 20% in just the last 6 weeks
That officially makes this the strongest rally since 2020
May 19 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
This will catch a lot of investors off-guard
A thread 🧵 2/ The stock market has seen an aggressive bounce off the April lows
This is happening after a crash as violent as during the pandemic and the Financial Crisis
May 16 • 26 tweets • 9 min read
It’s happening AGAIN
Buckle up.
A thread 🧵 2/ A $54 trillion asset class has been bouncing back now
This is happening after a crash as violent as during the pandemic and the Financial Crisis
Today, a record 60% of US households have stock market exposure
The big question now is: can this rally really last?
May 14 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
BIG divergence between US dollar and bond yields
Either rates must rise further to stabilize the dollar
Or the dollar is at real risk of a deeper collapse
A thread 🧵 2/ The US dollar index (DXY) has faced heavy selling pressure since Trump’s new tariff announcement
Something has happened that is suggesting that this decline in the US dollar could be a lot more dangerous than it looks
May 13 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
In the 1900s, the British Pound lost its status as a global reserve currency due to 2 key reasons
Today, the US Dollar is facing a similar threat
A thread 🧵 2/ Since the dawn of civilization, every fiat currency has eventually collapsed into irrelevance
And when that collapse comes, those holding the currency usually see their wealth wiped out
History is clear about how this ends
May 12 • 27 tweets • 9 min read
The COLLAPSE of the US Dollar has begun
This could have major consequences for the markets
A thread 🧵 2/ Something has just broken on the US dollar
The DXY just posted its biggest drop since COVID
And it’s now completely disconnected from its fundamentals
May 5 • 28 tweets • 9 min read
US government debt market COLLAPSE has begun
This has MASSIVE implications for the economy
A thread 🧵 2/ The US Treasury bond market may be nearing total collapse
This $27 trillion asset is nearly the size of the entire US economy
If this market breaks down, the ripple effects across the economy would be catastrophic
Apr 25 • 28 tweets • 10 min read
Big tech has risen by as much as 12,000% since 2005
Now another sector has set the stage for massive gains
This is a MAJOR opportunity today
A thread 🧵 2/ If you had put $10,000 into Microsoft 20 years ago, you’d be sitting on $140,000 today
That same investment in Google would’ve grown to $250,000
And if you had chosen Amazon, you’d be looking at $1 million
Apr 24 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
US government debt market COLLAPSE has begun
This has MASSIVE implications for the economy
A thread 🧵 2/ US government bonds have broken below a 40-year uptrend
After experiencing one of the most painful bear market since the 1980s
Apr 23 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
The market has broken below all key moving averages
This also happened in 1998 before a 18 month RALLY
But in 2007, it ended in a 20% CRASH instead
Which one will play out today?
A thread 🧵 2/ Today’s high volatility markets has been chopping around a lot of traders
This is where people get burnt and end up not having capital left when the next leg up begins
Apr 21 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
WARNING: Housing defaults have skyrocketed
This is unlike anything we’ve seen in a decade
A thread 🧵 2/ The Fed had been on an unprecedented hiking cycle
Taking rates from near 0% to 5.5% in just 1.5 years
Ensuring tight monetary policy in the process
Apr 18 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
Credit card defaults are at RECORD levels
This is HIGHER than even the 2008 Financial Crisis
A thread 🧵 2/ From 1940s to 1970s, Americans used to save around 10% of their annual income
But today, savings relative to income is almost near 0%
Apr 18 • 28 tweets • 9 min read
History is REPEATING
Buckle up.
A thread 🧵 2/ You’ve probably seen news headlines warning of another Great Depression
Those fears are being fueled by Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs
Which some are comparing to President Hoover’s tariffs from 1930, right as the Great Depression began
Apr 17 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
US debt is now getting completely out of control
This will NOT end well…
A thread 🧵 2/ Since 1966, US debt has risen from $1 trillion to over $36 trillion
With a staggering $3+ trillion rise just in the last year alone
Apr 11 • 14 tweets • 5 min read
A lot of investors are now anticipating a 2025 recession
But hard economic data does NOT confirm that yet…
A thread 🧵 2/ Consumer confidence in the labor market has declined aggressively
Historically, such a big drop has typically been followed by real labor market weakness
So far, the jobs data hasn't broken down
But if poor confidence is right again, the labor market could weaken soon
Apr 10 • 22 tweets • 8 min read
A MAJOR confidence collapse has just hit America
This signal has only been triggered 5 times in 60 years
The last time was right before the 2008 Financial Crisis
A thread 🧵 2/ We just got a signal that’s only occurred 5 times since the 1970s
Each time, it lined up closely with the start of a violent market decline and a recession
Each signal also followed a complete collapse in job market confidence
Apr 8 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
A key risk-off signal has just flashed in the market
But remember, not every risk-off move occurs with a recession
A thread 🧵 2/ The gold-to-silver ratio has just broken out of a basing pattern that had been forming since 2022
Apr 8 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
Markets and yields have declined together
This is a growth scare driven sell-off
But it’s NOT the time to go all-in on shorts yet
A thread 🧵 2/ The US stock market has been in full panic mode
In our YouTube video last week, we said that downside risk was still present
Which is why we moved to a defensive positioning
Apr 7 • 25 tweets • 8 min read
A MAJOR market signal has just flashed
This also happened in the 2022, 2020, & 2008 crashes
Each of them marked a significant buying opportunity
A thread 🧵 2/ The US stock market is in full panic mode
In our last YouTube video, we said there was still plenty of short-term downside risk
Which is why we removed most of our exposure to US stocks during the recent bounce
Apr 7 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
Extreme market panic has just been triggered
VIX has crossed above the 36 level threshold
This has marked MAJOR buying opportunities
A thread 🧵 2/ Since 2009, there have been multiple non-recessionary corrections
Most of them were caused by growth-related concerns and saw a big spike in fear