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Oct 21 24 tweets 5 min read Read on X
1/ Russia continues to expend many specialist troops in assaults, such as drone operators, sappers, machine gunners and mortar operators. A Russian milblogger says this causes even higher losses because the loss of specialists means less fire support. ⬇️
2/ The 'Philologist in ambush' Telegram channel passes on a report from a Russian brigade fighting in the Pokrovsk area in the Donetsk region:

"Gunners from the 12.7 mm [machine gun] and AGS [automatic grenade launcher] crews were sent to storm with assault rifles." Image
3/ "Everyone was hit: some were 200 [killed], some 300 [injured]. Now we have [the weapons], but no crews for them. Only the fire support platoon commander from the entire platoon remained. When new machine gunners are brought to him, he will begin training them."
4/ The 'Philologist' characterises this as "a small but characteristic illustration of the systemic problem of non-core use and sadly senseless waste of specialists (i.e. specialists in the broad sense – alas, not only UAV operators)."
5/ "Is the situation changing as a whole? No, it is not. Such cases continue to be common practice, the systemic problem remains. Moreover, such cases directly highlight the general problem of excessive losses in the infantry.
6/ "In addition to the conceptual problem of the catastrophic inability of the state to manage intellectual and human capital with minimal efficiency, I see the following roots of the problem of excess losses.
7/ "Insufficiently effective organization of offensive actions, including planning and comprehensive support, due to the insufficient competencies of a significant number of command personnel and insufficient military-technical equipment, in principle, …
8/ …leads to the fact that the infantry continues to suffer excess losses, which the command tries to compensate for at the moment with all available resources according to the principle of 'everyone who can hold a weapon [can fight]'.
9/ "The excess of infantry losses is also to a large extent a consequence of the insufficient level of comprehensive combat training of infantry unit personnel, starting with individual (including first aid, the basics of engineering and sapper work, etc.) and group training…
10/ …and ending with combat coordination of units and practicing interaction with air reconnaissance and fire support, due to inadequately compressed training periods."
11/ "The inappropriate use of specialists who do not have the appropriate assault training only multiplies excess losses.

In addition, such a waste of specialists (UAV operators, sappers, machine gunners, mortarmen, snipers, etc.) in assault operations…
13/ …has the most negative impact on the organization of reconnaissance, engineering and fire support for offensive operations, which in turn again leads to excessive infantry losses.
14/ "This situation is aggravated by the actual absence of a strict directive on the performance of combat missions with the maximum possible savings of personnel and the responsibility of commanders for excessive losses (despite official declarations).
15/ On the contrary, in the army in the third year of the current campaign, a completely different directive continues to dominate – if you don't have 200s [fatalities], it means you're fighting poorly (and don't expect any rewards or promotions), …
16/ …which is only reinforced by both the general approach along the lines of 'these [men] will run out, new ones will be sent', and the unhindered waste of specialists.
17/ "Moreover, subordinate commanders are regularly pushed to neglect the survivability of personnel by their superior army command, which demands that they attack literally until the resources are completely exhausted, including not only specialists, …
18/ … but also wounded and sick people who are at least somehow able to move.

Plus, the excess of losses also stems from the practice of submitting false reports.
19/ "On the one hand, the discrepancy between the formal combat and numerical composition and the actual availability of combat-ready units leads to the higher command setting combat missions that do not correspond to the real capabilities of the units.
20/ "On the other hand, premature reports of the occupation of certain positions or settlements lead to feverish attempts to take them or recapture them (if the consolidation fails) without proper preparation and support."
21/ The 'Philologist's' comments are consistent with many previous reports on the way Russia is approaching the war in Ukraine, which I've covered in a number of previous threads.

🔺 On the use of specialists as assault troops:
22/ 🔺 On the use of badly injured soldiers as frontline or assault troops:
23/ 🔺 On the rewarding of commanders who get huge numbers of their own men killed:
24/ 🔺 On the culture of false reporting that has caused many Russian military failures:

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Oct 20
1/ In an unusual alternative to the usual 'appeal to the Tsar' videos, two Russian soldiers have published a pair of rap videos in which they explain why they deserted from their unit and accuse their allegedly drunken commander 'Prokop' of deliberately killing his own men. ⬇️
2/ The two men – former convicts named Vyacheslav Trutnev and Dmitry Ostrovsky – deserted from the 132nd brigade, 109th regiment, 3rd company after they say their commander, whose callsign is 'Prokop', ordered them to advance across a minefield at night.
3/ In their first rap video, titled 'No, Comrade Commander', the men say:

"You're not just behind our backs,
you're somewhere in the basement.
Hid your ass while we were dying.
We open our eyes, seeing the sky from the trench.
No food and water, thanks to 'Prokop'.
Read 37 tweets
Oct 19
1/ The Russian authorities are reported to have opened an investigation into possible fraud on a massive scale in the building of border defences in the Kursk region. It's suspected that much of the 12 billion rubles ($125m) allocated was stolen by officials and contractors. ⬇️ Image
2/ Anastasia Kashevarova reports that "the Department of Economic Crimes of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, together with other services, are investigating the facts of fraud in the construction of fortifications on the border of Ukraine with the Kursk region."
3/ "According to my information, not only were all these defense lines not built on time, but the structures themselves, for example, the anti-tank dragon's teeth, do not comply with [government standards]."
Read 11 tweets
Oct 18
1/ The story of a Russian soldier who died last week, having signed a six-month contract but serving two years fighting in Ukraine, illustrates the career of a Russian drone operator. He was one of only 2 volunteers from 2022 to have survived in his unit until recently. ⬇️ Image
2/ The 'Shelter No. 8' Telegram channel, which is written from the perspective of a mobilised Russian soldier, tells the story of a friend of the channel's author who volunteered for service in August 2022 while studying history at university.
3/ The man, who the author calls 'A', graduated from the Tambov training school for electronic warfare (EW) specialists. He was not put to work in EW – men were only accepted as infantry or drivers. This proved a short-sighted policy, as EW specialists were desperately needed.
Read 22 tweets
Oct 18
1/ Wounded Russian soldiers are reportedly being forced by their commander Colonel Igor 'Evil' Puzik to fight at the front lines regardless of the extent of their injuries, due to a huge number of casualties and an acute shortage of personnel. Evacuation has been 'cancelled'. ⬇️ Image
2/ The Russian Telegram channel 'When the guns started singing' reports that the 87th Motorised Rifle Regiment suffered huge losses in the battles around Avdiivka from late 2023 onwards, where it fought alongside the Pyatnashka Brigade, a 'Donetsk People's Republic' formation.
3/ Since then, the regiment has been continuing to fight west and southwest of Avdiivka. However, the channel reports, "the regiment has a very severe shortage of personnel."
Read 14 tweets
Oct 17
1/ More details have emerged of the assassination of a high-ranking GRU colonel in Solnechnogorsk near Moscow yesterday. It's not yet known who was behind the killing of 44-year-old Nikita Klenkov, who died after 8 shots were fired into his car. ⬇️ Image
2/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel reports that Klenkov "was born in Germany and was a hereditary military man."
3/ "His father, a native of Port Arthur [a former Russian naval base in Manchuria, now Lüshunkou in China], was registered in the same military town near Solnechnogorsk as his son.
Read 11 tweets
Oct 17
1/ A project to develop a new Russian heavy-duty military drone has taken two and a half years and cost a billion rubles but has not yet produced any drones in service, in what commentators say is an example of corruption and bureaucracy that hinders Russia's UAV programme. ⬇️ Image
2/ In August 2023, the Russian state-owned defense conglomerate Rostec unveiled the BAS-200 UAV. It has a claimed carrying capacity of 50 kg, a maximum speed of 160 km/h, and four hours of endurance. It is controlled by a pilot and a load operator.
3/ As well as being able to carry payloads, the BAS-200 is designed to be able to "monitor the terrain in the dark and daylight hours, [and] conduct aerial photography, magnetometric and thermal imaging surveys."
Read 21 tweets

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