Thread by @FluteMagician

1) So when I saw the first reports of this last night and read aircraft were used, I knew two things:
A) Aerial refueling was necessary.
B) Air defense suppression was necessary.
But rather than try to be “first” to say it, I decided to wait for more information. Let’s begin⬇️

2) This will be a boost for F-35 sales. Recent Russian disinformation criticizing the F-35 is now proven false. And what Israel did is exactly what the US very much wanted to know about the F-35: What’s the airstrike performance of it? Especially against Iran. And also⬇️

3) Yes, here we see the first phase of the operation. Suppression of air defense. Destruction of radar and SAM sites. The attack on Syrian air defense might be a clue as to the route the Israelis used into Iran. Or it just deprived Iran of early warning. Let’s keep going⬇️

4) Here we see the main factor that confronted the Israeli Air Force: Aerial refueling. Now, somehow the Israelis solved this problem. Obviously. And a route into Iran and operational airspace for tanker aircraft became available. Let’s keep going⬇️

5) Here we see everything came together perfectly for these airstrikes. Therefore, Iran’s ballistic missile manufacturing capability has suffered quite the setback. And Iran’s air defense, too, which will be an ongoing peril for Iran. Let’s keep going⬇️

6) Here we see that Iranian drone manufacturing facilities were also hit. So that, along with the ballistic missile manufacturing hit, is going to hurt not just Iran, but Russia also. Russia might lose the Iranian weapon supply it needs for the Ukraine war. Let’s keep going⬇️

7) Here is where we see more evidence of the aerial refueling aspect of Israel’s mission. Here we also see the foolishness of Iran. This should’ve been a warning heeded by Iran not to provoke Israel. Because Israel was practicing to nail Iran good and proper. And then⬇️

8) Iran has made a gargantuan mistake in provoking Israel. Now not just Israel, but the US knows successful airstrikes against Iran are more than possible. And this was something the US wasn’t sure was possible. Iranian air defense is proven weak and incompetent. And also⬇️

9) Now Israel and the US both know Iranian missile and drone manufacturers can be destroyed and there’s nothing Iran can do to prevent it. Because not only is Iranian air defense ineffective and incompetent, but it too can be destroyed in the airstrikes. Iran is a paper tiger.

10) Possible route used. I say possible because this could be a cover story to protect the route they used.

https://twitter.com/flutemagician/status/1850220905202368668

11) Israeli aircraft with external fuel tanks. Obviously necessary.

https://twitter.com/flutemagician/status/1850219631740338629

12) In August, there were already questions about Iran’s air defense capabilities. Or, more accurately, its quality. This is very bad for Iran, but also Russia and any country that relies upon Russian-made air defense systems.

https://twitter.com/flutemagician/status/1850243623415329215

13) Some people have tried to deny that Israel has aerial refueling tankers. Israel has them. And they’re about to get more.

14) Here’s more proof that Israel has aerial refueling capabilities. And, specifically, the F-35s could be refueled this way. Israel already war gamed this, as I said. And now Iran has discovered, to its regret, that it should’ve heeded the warning.

15) Sound precision bombing strategy. This is an idea from US strategic bombing of Nazi Germany during World War Two. Russia will also be whining now, since they’ve become reliant on Iranian weapons.

https://twitter.com/flutemagician/status/1850331859986583839