tern Profile picture
Oct 27 16 tweets 4 min read Read on X
If you think the pandemic's over, you're badly wrong.

This is the staff absence rate for the seventh largest employer in the world.

See the consistency of the absence rate leading up to the pandemic...

Look at how it changed in 2020.

And see where it's going *now*.Image
When you break it down by month. You get this. Image
Pre-covid, this variation is your classic northern hemisphere seasonal infection cycle.
It's annual.
Peak in January most of the time, sometimes a month earlier, sometimes a month later.
Trough in May most of the time, sometimes a month earlier or later. Image
Since then... chaos.
Peaks of sickness absence in April, January, March, July, December, and when's the next one going to peak?
And troughs in March, August, May, September...
You know what these all correlate with?

WAVES AND TROUGHS OF FECKING COVID INFECTIONS. Image
And meanwhile, the troughs never drop as low as before.
In fact, the BEST absence rate of the last two years is worse than the worst of three of the 8 years leading up to the pandemic... Image
But the most recent trough?
It's worse than SEVEN of the EIGHT *peaks* pre-pandemic. Image
You want to fix the NHS, @wesstreeting?
Fix Covid, you mewling dewflap.
Oh yeah.
And these graphs don't include the staff who left employment because they were disabled by Covid.
And it doesn't include the staff who were killed by Covid.
note: all of this data is from the NHS.

Just do a search for 'nhs sickness absence report'.

It's all there.
Oh yeah.
And there are people stupid enough to call this bit 'the pandemic'.
😂 Image
oh yeah too:
and the best point of the 12 month rolling sick rate in the last three years is TWENTY PERCENT WORSE THAN THE TREND BEFORE THE PANDEMIC. Image
Why?

BECAUSE WE ARE *DURING COVID NOW*.
Oh yeah three... ambulance staff...

Ambulance staff did peak at SIXTY PERCENT worse sickness absence rates in summer (SUMMER) 2022.

They're currently at TWENTY FIVE PERCENT WORSE than the pre-pandemic trend. Image
Again, that doesn't include the paramedics disabled by catching Covid.
Or the ones it killed.

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More from @1goodtern

Dec 9
When you see people posting that 2024 is going to be the hottest year on record, bear in mind that there’s an extra factor in there.
It’s not just about the temperatures.
The atmosphere’s capacity for heat energy is also increasing as global humidity levels rise.
🧵 Image
Let me explain why that's a big deal:
You may have heard the stat that for every degree of temperature increase, the air has the capacity to hold 7% more water vapour.

You might think that just means it's going to rain more.
Read 22 tweets
Dec 6
This is a good point, and it illustrates the degree to which the powers that be are concerned with *crisis points*.

A quick thread on golf clubs.
🧵
As Cat rightly points out, Covid numbers have been high ALL YEAR.

But, in the eyes of politicians, the numbers have not been high enough at any one point to 'overload the system'.
Covid is the bag of golf clubs in your car boot/trunk.

Well, five bags.
Read 20 tweets
Dec 4
Every now and then I check back in on the progress of this graph of the proportion of 5-9 year old boys dying in England and Wales.

I keep wondering if that straight rising line that has been maintained for three years will stop rising.

It hasn't yet. Image
That's not the whole of the story of the last ten years, but it's the story of the last three.

Mortality rates in that age group had been generally dropping and dropping.

Then covid was allowed to run rampant, and since then, it's been one direction. Image
Like I said.
I keep checking back in hoping that the current trend has stopped.

But instead it keeps going. Image
Read 4 tweets
Dec 4
Do you know who is most likely to experience a drug resistant infection?

Someone with immune dysfunction.

Why?
Think of it like a team effort.
When you start taking antibiotics, it's you AND the antibiotics fighting the infection.
But if your immune system is not pulling its weight in the fight, or if your body isn't distributing the antibiotics effectively throughout your body, or if your body's nutrient levels mean you're not producing the right building blocks for your immune system to work...
Then it's not both you and the antibiotics in the fight.

It's just the antibiotics.

And that makes it more likely for the infection to find a way to fight back.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 3
In 2021 in England, public health decided that the way to get well was to get sicker, and that the way to get rid of disease was to catch it.
It's official policy.
They write it down and everything.

Since then... Multiple infections showing huge spikes since 2021  And they're not all coming down.
All of those graphs are on the same timescale.

For some of them, the data only starts in 2021 - before then, they were rare, but are now becoming more and more commonplace.
I think there are two main causes of those spikes.

The first is that people here have been told they should do nothing to stop spreading and catching disease other than vaccination and handwashing.
Read 21 tweets
Nov 26
Aargh.
So here we are again with a government white paper about bullying <checks notes> sorry, encouraging people who are long term sick into work.

Let's break some of this malicious incompetence down into bite sized chunks so we can understand it...

gov.uk/government/new…
What's the heart of the problem?

The heart of the problem is here: its employment rate fall over the last five years, which has been largely driven by a significant rise in the number of people out of work due to long-term ill health
But that word garbage sentence is mostly there to confuse.
Read 25 tweets

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