tern Profile picture
Oct 27, 2024 16 tweets 4 min read Read on X
If you think the pandemic's over, you're badly wrong.

This is the staff absence rate for the seventh largest employer in the world.

See the consistency of the absence rate leading up to the pandemic...

Look at how it changed in 2020.

And see where it's going *now*.Image
When you break it down by month. You get this. Image
Pre-covid, this variation is your classic northern hemisphere seasonal infection cycle.
It's annual.
Peak in January most of the time, sometimes a month earlier, sometimes a month later.
Trough in May most of the time, sometimes a month earlier or later. Image
Since then... chaos.
Peaks of sickness absence in April, January, March, July, December, and when's the next one going to peak?
And troughs in March, August, May, September...
You know what these all correlate with?

WAVES AND TROUGHS OF FECKING COVID INFECTIONS. Image
And meanwhile, the troughs never drop as low as before.
In fact, the BEST absence rate of the last two years is worse than the worst of three of the 8 years leading up to the pandemic... Image
But the most recent trough?
It's worse than SEVEN of the EIGHT *peaks* pre-pandemic. Image
You want to fix the NHS, @wesstreeting?
Fix Covid, you mewling dewflap.
Oh yeah.
And these graphs don't include the staff who left employment because they were disabled by Covid.
And it doesn't include the staff who were killed by Covid.
note: all of this data is from the NHS.

Just do a search for 'nhs sickness absence report'.

It's all there.
Oh yeah.
And there are people stupid enough to call this bit 'the pandemic'.
😂 Image
oh yeah too:
and the best point of the 12 month rolling sick rate in the last three years is TWENTY PERCENT WORSE THAN THE TREND BEFORE THE PANDEMIC. Image
Why?

BECAUSE WE ARE *DURING COVID NOW*.
Oh yeah three... ambulance staff...

Ambulance staff did peak at SIXTY PERCENT worse sickness absence rates in summer (SUMMER) 2022.

They're currently at TWENTY FIVE PERCENT WORSE than the pre-pandemic trend. Image
Again, that doesn't include the paramedics disabled by catching Covid.
Or the ones it killed.

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More from @1goodtern

May 27
I've been thinking about this a lot since a woman in our community lost her unborn baby at 32 weeks while ill with a viral infection.

If you look at this chart, it's horribly obvious how much extra suffering viral infections have caused to pregnant women since 2020.

But... Image
But the huge spike in 2020/1, 2021/22, and 2022/3 hides a bigger problem.

That as of the latest data, viral diseases are now causing *three times as many hospital episodes as before Covid came along*. Image
I'm just going to gray those three years out to help you see.. Image
Read 13 tweets
May 19
If covid infections make you *more vulnerable* to almost every other pathogenic infection by multiple mechanisms, then you'd expect increases in almost every other pathogenic infection.

And that's what we see.

Ten completely unsurprising news stories:
1
Dengue virus
"Cases of the mosquito-borne viral illness have touched a record high in the Americas this year."
reuters.com/world/us/us-cd…
2
Measles virus
"Measles cases in the European region doubled in 2024."
reuters.com/business/healt…
Read 70 tweets
May 18
I was absolutely appalled to hear Bonnie Henry say "Personal Protective Equipment, the word we all dread".

You may have had an instant visceral reaction to that yourself, but here are the eleven things wrong with what she said:
It's like the head of NASA talking about the dread everyone has of space suits.
The space suit is something you *need* in space to be able to do the thing you want to do, and then to be able to do it again.

To hear the head honcho saying they dread it turns every single concept on its head.
Read 43 tweets
May 14
I don't think I have ever been so appalled about public health policy, information, and communication than by what I'm hearing about hanta at the moment.

It's like people's brains are just switched off.
Like they can't think straight.
It's unbelievable.
I genuinely think we should *not* be at high risk of a universal spread of hantavirus, but we don't need universal spread for it to have been an absolute failure.
If there are a couple more generations of spread, then it risks becoming a nightmare.

Is that going to happen? I don't know.
Neither do you.
The WHO doesn't know.
No one does.
Read 27 tweets
May 9
Since we've decided to do this all again:
🔟
Ten things that can reduce the risk of catching an airborne pathogen:
1 An ffp2+/n95+ mask (respirator) worn properly
2 Ventilation
Read 31 tweets
May 9
People are just not going to be able to get their heads round the slow incubation period of hantavirus.

On reflection, thousands of people have probably already been exposed, and those thousands could expose tens, even hundreds, of thousands more.
The sheer time scale is almost impossible to grasp when placed in the context of people engaged in the kind of fast international travel involved with a cruise ship.
You might think that's ridiculous because a cruise ship is slow and contained, but it's not the cruise ship so much as the interwoven pattern of flights people take to *get to and from* the cruise ship.
Read 23 tweets

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