tern Profile picture
Oct 27, 2024 16 tweets 4 min read Read on X
If you think the pandemic's over, you're badly wrong.

This is the staff absence rate for the seventh largest employer in the world.

See the consistency of the absence rate leading up to the pandemic...

Look at how it changed in 2020.

And see where it's going *now*.Image
When you break it down by month. You get this. Image
Pre-covid, this variation is your classic northern hemisphere seasonal infection cycle.
It's annual.
Peak in January most of the time, sometimes a month earlier, sometimes a month later.
Trough in May most of the time, sometimes a month earlier or later. Image
Since then... chaos.
Peaks of sickness absence in April, January, March, July, December, and when's the next one going to peak?
And troughs in March, August, May, September...
You know what these all correlate with?

WAVES AND TROUGHS OF FECKING COVID INFECTIONS. Image
And meanwhile, the troughs never drop as low as before.
In fact, the BEST absence rate of the last two years is worse than the worst of three of the 8 years leading up to the pandemic... Image
But the most recent trough?
It's worse than SEVEN of the EIGHT *peaks* pre-pandemic. Image
You want to fix the NHS, @wesstreeting?
Fix Covid, you mewling dewflap.
Oh yeah.
And these graphs don't include the staff who left employment because they were disabled by Covid.
And it doesn't include the staff who were killed by Covid.
note: all of this data is from the NHS.

Just do a search for 'nhs sickness absence report'.

It's all there.
Oh yeah.
And there are people stupid enough to call this bit 'the pandemic'.
😂 Image
oh yeah too:
and the best point of the 12 month rolling sick rate in the last three years is TWENTY PERCENT WORSE THAN THE TREND BEFORE THE PANDEMIC. Image
Why?

BECAUSE WE ARE *DURING COVID NOW*.
Oh yeah three... ambulance staff...

Ambulance staff did peak at SIXTY PERCENT worse sickness absence rates in summer (SUMMER) 2022.

They're currently at TWENTY FIVE PERCENT WORSE than the pre-pandemic trend. Image
Again, that doesn't include the paramedics disabled by catching Covid.
Or the ones it killed.

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More from @1goodtern

Jun 28
There's a six month old in our community just been admitted to hospital because they've been affected badly by a covid infection.

I am concerned about the effect of Covid on this age group.
Covid infection does two things:
It causes short term health problems.
It causes long term health problems.
The main reason that covid infection isn't causing even worse short term health problems for *everyone* is vaccination and previous covid infections.
Read 12 tweets
Jun 18
🚨
Look, I've gone round on this a few times, and I hope I'm wrong, but there seems to be a *really nasty increase* in mortality rates for under 1s here in the last 24 months.

People were already on top of this for the 2022 and 2023 data, but I think the trend has worsened. Image
Look. The deaths in that age range have trended up slightly... Image
... so if you're just looking at the deaths you might not notice that *births have kept on dropping*.
Read 9 tweets
Jun 13
Ten misconceptions about WWIII
1
That it's only WWIII if it goes nuclear.
2
That someone will blow a whistle and announce that it's starting
Read 50 tweets
Jun 12
Think about nucleotide entropy this way.
There's a remote island and a flock of one species of finch get blown there.
There are dozens of different species of seed-producing plants on the island.
The finches are initially adapted to only one type of seed, but gradually their ancestors change through selection so that the ones with bigger beaks are able to eat the bigger seeds, and ones with long thin beaks are able to eat the smaller ones.
Ones with strong beaks are able to crack through the hard seeds.

Ones with curvy beaks are able to reach into the pine cones.
Read 17 tweets
Jun 12
Covid nucleotide entropy had *never* been higher than it was in mid-May...
The first nucleotide entropy peak was June 2021.

You know that one, right?
Delta.
Read 28 tweets
Jun 1
One of the brilliant things about the Ukrainian drone strikes on the Russian airbases by way of drones shipped close to the targets in shipping containers is that the only logical Russian response is to increase security checks on all shipping inside Russia. Which means...
... that Russia may have to start treating every shipping container like a potential bomb.
Massive delays at ports, rail hubs, warehouses. Every container merits inspection. That’s thousands per day. Russia’s military logistics, already straining, potentially gets a whole lot slower.
Read 11 tweets

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