If you think the pandemic's over, you're badly wrong.
This is the staff absence rate for the seventh largest employer in the world.
See the consistency of the absence rate leading up to the pandemic...
Look at how it changed in 2020.
And see where it's going *now*.
When you break it down by month. You get this.
Pre-covid, this variation is your classic northern hemisphere seasonal infection cycle.
It's annual.
Peak in January most of the time, sometimes a month earlier, sometimes a month later.
Trough in May most of the time, sometimes a month earlier or later.
Since then... chaos.
Peaks of sickness absence in April, January, March, July, December, and when's the next one going to peak?
And troughs in March, August, May, September...
You know what these all correlate with?
WAVES AND TROUGHS OF FECKING COVID INFECTIONS.
And meanwhile, the troughs never drop as low as before.
In fact, the BEST absence rate of the last two years is worse than the worst of three of the 8 years leading up to the pandemic...
But the most recent trough?
It's worse than SEVEN of the EIGHT *peaks* pre-pandemic.
You want to fix the NHS, @wesstreeting?
Fix Covid, you mewling dewflap.
Oh yeah.
And these graphs don't include the staff who left employment because they were disabled by Covid.
And it doesn't include the staff who were killed by Covid.
note: all of this data is from the NHS.
Just do a search for 'nhs sickness absence report'.
It's all there.
Oh yeah.
And there are people stupid enough to call this bit 'the pandemic'.
😂
oh yeah too:
and the best point of the 12 month rolling sick rate in the last three years is TWENTY PERCENT WORSE THAN THE TREND BEFORE THE PANDEMIC.
Why?
BECAUSE WE ARE *DURING COVID NOW*.
Oh yeah three... ambulance staff...
Ambulance staff did peak at SIXTY PERCENT worse sickness absence rates in summer (SUMMER) 2022.
They're currently at TWENTY FIVE PERCENT WORSE than the pre-pandemic trend.
Again, that doesn't include the paramedics disabled by catching Covid.
Or the ones it killed.
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I think one of the most important conclusions people are missing from the data in the recent big studies is that covid infections cause radically diverse long term effects in different age groups.
So much so that it could appear as if they've been infected with different viruses.
But it's not the virus that's different, it's the immune system, the metabolism, and the way the body repairs the damage done by the infection.
The word mucinous is going to become much more common.
Yes, bookmark this tweet, it looks bland, but it's important.
oh, okay. I won't leave you hanging.
I've written a lot recently about how we're missing the big picture of how covid infection is doing cumulative damage to interfaces in the body - linings, membranes, barriers, walls, filters.
I don't want to rewrite that all here, but I don't want to bust the flow of this thread, so at the end of it, I'll post the thread I wrote on linings.
I know, I know, you're going to laugh at me for saying that you're more likely to have problems with cramp after you've had a covid infection, but it's all very simple science.
Loads of people have been mentioning cramp recently, and like so many other conditions, yes, covid infection makes it more likely, and makes it worse.
It's just an extra factor on top of all the normal factors for cramp.
Muscles are fussy about blood flow.
They need a steady supply of oxygen to contract and, crucially, to relax.
Covid messes with the small blood vessels that supply it, so muscles end up slightly under-fuelled, and under-fuelled muscles cramp.