tern Profile picture
Oct 27, 2024 16 tweets 4 min read Read on X
If you think the pandemic's over, you're badly wrong.

This is the staff absence rate for the seventh largest employer in the world.

See the consistency of the absence rate leading up to the pandemic...

Look at how it changed in 2020.

And see where it's going *now*.Image
When you break it down by month. You get this. Image
Pre-covid, this variation is your classic northern hemisphere seasonal infection cycle.
It's annual.
Peak in January most of the time, sometimes a month earlier, sometimes a month later.
Trough in May most of the time, sometimes a month earlier or later. Image
Since then... chaos.
Peaks of sickness absence in April, January, March, July, December, and when's the next one going to peak?
And troughs in March, August, May, September...
You know what these all correlate with?

WAVES AND TROUGHS OF FECKING COVID INFECTIONS. Image
And meanwhile, the troughs never drop as low as before.
In fact, the BEST absence rate of the last two years is worse than the worst of three of the 8 years leading up to the pandemic... Image
But the most recent trough?
It's worse than SEVEN of the EIGHT *peaks* pre-pandemic. Image
You want to fix the NHS, @wesstreeting?
Fix Covid, you mewling dewflap.
Oh yeah.
And these graphs don't include the staff who left employment because they were disabled by Covid.
And it doesn't include the staff who were killed by Covid.
note: all of this data is from the NHS.

Just do a search for 'nhs sickness absence report'.

It's all there.
Oh yeah.
And there are people stupid enough to call this bit 'the pandemic'.
😂 Image
oh yeah too:
and the best point of the 12 month rolling sick rate in the last three years is TWENTY PERCENT WORSE THAN THE TREND BEFORE THE PANDEMIC. Image
Why?

BECAUSE WE ARE *DURING COVID NOW*.
Oh yeah three... ambulance staff...

Ambulance staff did peak at SIXTY PERCENT worse sickness absence rates in summer (SUMMER) 2022.

They're currently at TWENTY FIVE PERCENT WORSE than the pre-pandemic trend. Image
Again, that doesn't include the paramedics disabled by catching Covid.
Or the ones it killed.

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More from @1goodtern

Mar 20
Enormously massively huge studies have shown that each wave of Covid infections causes damage to people's immune systems. The science is incontrovertible.

And yet you will not find a single media article about the current meningitis outbreak that mentions that.
It's really simple.
It's been established science for decades that "a low CD4 count... has been shown to be associated with an increased risk of Invasive Meningococcal Disease"
Governments base policies on this established science.
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10…Image
And Covid infection... Covid infection hammers your lymphocytes including CD4 T cells... and the rest. Image
Read 11 tweets
Mar 20
Don't you get it?

If lots of people in your population have lower ability to fight infection, it doesn't just mean those people are more likely to *catch* infections.

It means they are more likely to *spread* them too.

Let me explain.
This is important.
Jack has a metal lunchbox.
No ants can get into his lunchbox, so when he leaves the park, no ants fall out of his lunchbox.

Annie has a lunch bag made of wool.
Ants can climb into it, and they can also fall out easily too.
And that's what they do.
Obviously it's more complex than that. But if you don't catch something in the first place then you don't spread it.

But there's much more to it than that.
Read 24 tweets
Mar 19
Ten things they'll be telling us about meningitis before the end of the week:
1
It's mild
2
Kids can't get it.
Read 56 tweets
Mar 19
I'm sitting at my computer with 46 tabs open with media stories about the meningitis outbreak from the last 3 days.

Following mainstream coverage, govt statements and UKHSA briefings on the meningitis outbreak has been surprisingly tiring.

Here are a few of the inconsistencies:
"Outbreak has been contained." Then within 16 hours: "It is too soon to say the outbreak is contained."
UKHSA said this looked like a "single event cluster" linked to a nightclub. Then they started saying there was likely "ongoing spread" in university halls. A contained exposure event and active transmission through accommodation networks are not the same thing, Susan.
Read 21 tweets
Mar 13
All day I've been whacking my head against this vital tweet and the press release attached to it.

It's probably one of the most important things I've read about the early progression of the pandemic, but it's very hard to express concisely the huge scandal they've exposed here.
The central difficulty with getting your head round it is that there are *two* scandals detailed here:

👉The first is that key advice by experts was ignored in 2020.

👉The second is that a huge amount of money seems to have been spent covering that up.
So you need to think about the first scandal first, before being able to fully appreciate the second one.
Read 22 tweets
Mar 8
Them: But if Covid infections lower your lymphocytes wouldn't more people be dying from infections??

Me: Yes, that's right, that's exactly what's happening. 👇 Image
Also them: But those people are probably just weak and old. Surely we'd also see some kind of increase in sickness among healthy young people, specifically from infections?

Me: Yes, that too 👇 Image
Them: But those are just young doctors, we know they keep threatening to go on strike and they're probably foreign and we don't like them or care about them.

Me: What about young civil servants? 👇 Image
Read 12 tweets

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