tern Profile picture
Oct 27, 2024 16 tweets 4 min read Read on X
If you think the pandemic's over, you're badly wrong.

This is the staff absence rate for the seventh largest employer in the world.

See the consistency of the absence rate leading up to the pandemic...

Look at how it changed in 2020.

And see where it's going *now*.Image
When you break it down by month. You get this. Image
Pre-covid, this variation is your classic northern hemisphere seasonal infection cycle.
It's annual.
Peak in January most of the time, sometimes a month earlier, sometimes a month later.
Trough in May most of the time, sometimes a month earlier or later. Image
Since then... chaos.
Peaks of sickness absence in April, January, March, July, December, and when's the next one going to peak?
And troughs in March, August, May, September...
You know what these all correlate with?

WAVES AND TROUGHS OF FECKING COVID INFECTIONS. Image
And meanwhile, the troughs never drop as low as before.
In fact, the BEST absence rate of the last two years is worse than the worst of three of the 8 years leading up to the pandemic... Image
But the most recent trough?
It's worse than SEVEN of the EIGHT *peaks* pre-pandemic. Image
You want to fix the NHS, @wesstreeting?
Fix Covid, you mewling dewflap.
Oh yeah.
And these graphs don't include the staff who left employment because they were disabled by Covid.
And it doesn't include the staff who were killed by Covid.
note: all of this data is from the NHS.

Just do a search for 'nhs sickness absence report'.

It's all there.
Oh yeah.
And there are people stupid enough to call this bit 'the pandemic'.
😂 Image
oh yeah too:
and the best point of the 12 month rolling sick rate in the last three years is TWENTY PERCENT WORSE THAN THE TREND BEFORE THE PANDEMIC. Image
Why?

BECAUSE WE ARE *DURING COVID NOW*.
Oh yeah three... ambulance staff...

Ambulance staff did peak at SIXTY PERCENT worse sickness absence rates in summer (SUMMER) 2022.

They're currently at TWENTY FIVE PERCENT WORSE than the pre-pandemic trend. Image
Again, that doesn't include the paramedics disabled by catching Covid.
Or the ones it killed.

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More from @1goodtern

Mar 6
Why don't people grasp how serious this is?

Across an entire population, losing more than three years of your healthy life expectancy...

That is just staggering.

Especially because of this:
The big problem is that it *isn't even distributed evenly*.
I mean you might think that losing 3.3 years is bad.

But actually, that's 3.3 years spread across all the people.
Read 27 tweets
Mar 3
This one should be labelled 'Public Health Failure'.
Yep, I've taken funerals for two of these. Image
COVID IS A VASCULAR DISEASE. Image
Read 15 tweets
Mar 3
What are people dying from?
How do those causes of death change from year to year?
We have a big database here in England that helps catalogue causes of death. The most recent version is for the year 2024.
This dataset contains official ONS annual mortality data for England, based on registered death certificates and coded using 'ICD-10' codes.
Read 90 tweets
Feb 7
People don't understand that there are several real models of cumulative harm that apply to covid infections.

People don't like complex ideas, so they avoid them.

This is going to be a long thread, with several simple ideas that combine to make a big complex one.
First off, we *know* beyond all doubt that covid infections cause short term harm.
The amount of short term harm varies from person to person and infection to infection, but it's there.
Read 46 tweets
Feb 5
Do midwives know that they're now twice as likely to be off sick with a pregnancy related disorder than before the Covid pandemic started? Image
Do nurses?
And health visitors? Image
Similar trend across all staff groups, with an apparent accelerating increase more recently. Image
Read 32 tweets
Jan 22
I think one of the most important conclusions people are missing from the data in the recent big studies is that covid infections cause radically diverse long term effects in different age groups.
So much so that it could appear as if they've been infected with different viruses.
But it's not the virus that's different, it's the immune system, the metabolism, and the way the body repairs the damage done by the infection.
Read 9 tweets

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