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Oct 29, 2024 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
The Simplest Way Of Looking At Candlesticks: OHLC/OLHC

This was a game-changer in my understanding of price movement!

After reading this, you'll see just how powerful the OHLC/OLHC concept really is in anticipating moves before they happen.

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First, let’s define them properly.

As you can see, OLHC stands for Open, Low, High, and Close which is the movement of a bullish candle.

The understanding of power of 3 can be applied here.

If we are expecting the next candle to be bullish, it will almost always form like this:

Price accumulates in the open, then manipulates below opening price, and then distributes higher, and finally closes.Image
Next, we have the OHLC which stands for Open, High, Low, and Close which is the movement of a bearish candle.

The understanding of power of 3 can also be applied here.

If we are expecting the next candle to be bearish, it will almost always form like this:

Price accumulates in the open, then manipulates above opening price, and then distributes lower, and finally closes.Image
As stated, you can also view OHLC and OLHC through the lens of Power of Three.

When you’re expecting an OLHC, it is ideal to buy below the open.

When you’re expecting an OHLC, it is ideal to sell above the open.

Essentially, the reversal in the manipulation phase of power of three.Image
You can also pair OHLC/OLHC with the concept respect/disrespect candles.

When we see price tapping and respecting a HTF PD array, we can anticipate the next candle to be OHLC/OLHC towards the direction of our draw.

Essentially allowing us to anticipate with high accuracy exactly how the next candle will formImage
So, to summarize,

We can use OHLC/OLHC to:

-See LTF orderflow through 1 candle
-See if it respects/disrespects a HTF PD array
-Anticipate Power of Three forming Image
Now, for your homework,

I want you to observe live how OHLC/OLHC forms after respecting a HTF PD array and journal them.

This will lead you to better understanding of direction. Image
I hope you’ve found this insightful!

Thanks for reading until the end!

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More from @SirPickle_

Nov 13
Most Traders Don’t Understand This About FVGs

Not all FVGs are created equal.

Read until the end and you’ll see EXACTLY why

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What Is A Fair Value Gap?

Simply put its a three candle pattern where the middle candle has an area where the wicks of the candles before and after it do not overlap.

This leaves behind a visible gap, a sign that one side of the market, either buyers or sellers, pushed price quickly and aggressively, leaving behind an imbalance.Image
The Market Is All About Efficiency

FVGs create an inefficiency in the market…

There are two types of FVGs:

1. Buyside Imbalance Sellside Inefficiency (BISI) - there’s an imbalance on the buyside because price is moving higher, leaving price inefficient in sellside.
2. Sellside Imbalance Buyside Inefficiency (SIBI) - there’s an imbalance on the sellside because price is moving lower, leaving price inefficient in buyside.

Don’t be confused. Remember that FVGs = Imbalances = Inefficiencies.Image
Read 10 tweets
Sep 5
If you're not following this process, you’re entering the trading week blind

It is literally what I implement every week to get the high-probability trades that I’m taking.

Finish this thread and you’ll master the simple weekly trading process.

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The economic news calendar is your roadmap.

It shows you what day during the week will likely provide volatility to trade with.

You see, news is what injects volatility into the market. Volatility = energy

Price is highest probability to trade when there is ENERGY in the markets.

This is when we see price in a hurry to get to its draws and not chop/consolidate.

We want to be EXTRA cautious on days without red folder news since assets have an increased chance of consolidating during those days.

We also wanna be cautious the day before NFP, CPI, and FOMC. Price typically likes to be held in a range as it awaits the main volatility injector for the week.Image
Lack of news = Lack of energy

We want to avoid trading bank holidays as the volatility simply isn’t there.

Below you’ll see the effect of bank holidays to the price action. We had USD bank holiday on Monday and see what the effect of it in major pairs.

So, to be aware of this: Go to forexfactory.com/calendar and ask yourself: “Where are the high impact news events laid out for this week? Which assets are they on? Is there Big 3 news events? Is there a bank holiday?”Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 28
Give me 5 minutes and I’ll simplify your understanding of price action…

The only concepts you need to know in order to find bias are orderflow and candlestick logic.

At the end of this thread, you’ll have everything you need to read and trade any asset effectively.

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Orderflow and Candlestick Logic

These two concepts give you both the direction and the confirmation.

In a bullish orderflow leg, once bullish PD arrays are respected, then there’s a higher chance of price going higher.

In a bearish orderflow leg, once bearish PD arrays are respected, then there’s a higher chance of price going lower.

It’s that simple.Image
Everything you should know about Orderflow

Orderflow gives you the direction and targets through price legs.

Price legs are formed by swing highs/lows and fair value gaps.

Again, on a bullish orderflow, bullish PD arrays are respected and the opposite for bearish orderflow.

TIP: the best orderflow (price) legs comes from previous orderflow legs.

Lastly, I mainly trade once price retraces to the HTF FVG then we target the swing high/low based on the current orderflow. No orderflow (consolidation) = No trade.Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 14
This rule helps me avoid unnecessary losses

The “magnet theory” rule states that the higher the timeframe, the stronger the pull.

By the end of this thread, you’ll learn the reason behind A LOT of your losses

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Magnet theory rule states that the higher the timeframe, the stronger the pull.

HTF FVGs act like strong magnets, drawing price toward them with more force than LTF FVGs

If a HTF FVG exists above your current setup, then that setup is lower-probability.

So for example:

There is a Weekly -FVG created above a 4h -FVG. That 4h FVG becomes lower probability

or

There is a hourly +FVG created below a 5m FVG. That 5m FVG becomes lower probability

Price will prioritize the higher timeframe array.Image
‘Are we creating a new FVG on the timeframe above?’

You don’t go straight to the daily timeframe and use whatever orderflow you see there as context.

You do a top-down analysis first because Monthly and Weekly FVGs will be prioritized before Daily FVGs.

Ask yourself constantly: 'Are we creating a new FVG on the timeframe above my current setup?'

If the answer is yes, then your setup is low probability.Image
Read 7 tweets
Jul 23
𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗮𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗹𝘀 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝘄𝗵𝗲𝗻 𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗲…

An Impulse Shift is a clear footprint left by Smart Money when they flip the market's direction.

By the end of this thread, you’ll know how to spot it!

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𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗶𝘀 𝗮𝗻 𝗜𝗺𝗽𝘂𝗹𝘀𝗲 𝗦𝗵𝗶𝗳𝘁?

It's a powerful, V-shaped reversal that occurs at a HTF level (your Context).

You're looking for a V-shaped displacement away from that key level. The Fair Value Gap created during this sharp move is the Impulse Shift. Image
𝗦𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗶𝗳𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗜𝗺𝗽𝘂𝗹𝘀𝗲 𝗦𝗵𝗶𝗳𝘁

The best case scenario for an impulse shift is when price does this:

1. FVG In: Price creates an FVG into the HTF level, luring traders into the "obvious" trend.
2. FVG Out: Price then displaces sharply away from the level, creating a new FVG and trapping those traders.

Price disrespects the orderflow by making an impulse opposite to the current orderflow. Hence the name, impulse shift.Image
Read 8 tweets
Jul 3
This is the best way to trade a FVG which failed to expand higher

It's called the “Pivot Context”, and it opens up an alternative way to frame trades

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Before we proceed, you need to know about swing points.

There are two types of swing points:

1. 𝗦𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵: A 3-candle pattern forming an inverted V. Buyside liquidity rests above it.
2. 𝗦𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗟𝗼𝘄: A 3-candle pattern forming a V. Sellside liquidity rests below it.

Swing points are important because these are where we find resting liquidities that acts as a magnet for price.Image
Pivot Context is the move from 𝗦𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗣𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁 → 𝗦𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗣𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁.

It's a continuation pattern. Price takes liquidity at an external range (a swing high/low) and then aggressively seeks the opposing external range liquidity.

It's a hunt for stops, followed by a reversalImage
Read 9 tweets

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