Dan Neidle Profile picture
Oct 31 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
The Country Land and Business Association says the new £1m cap on agricultural inheritance tax relief will "harm 70,000 farms". That's 1/3 of all farms.

What does the actual data show? Less than 500 farms/year will be pay more tax as a result of this change every year. Possibly as few as 100.Image
Why 500? Because this table shows only 500 farm estates claimed agricultural property relief (APR) of more than £1m in 2022. Image
But that overstates the issue. Married couples can easily claim the £1m cap twice. Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band. So for a married couple running a farm, it could be worth £2.65m before the restriction on the relief costs them a penny.
That could mean as few as 100 farms per year are affected. And the 20% tax is only on the excess over the threshold, so for most of the 100, the additional tax will be reasonably small. Insure against it when you're young(ish). Give some/all to your kids when you get older.
And the data shows that most of the cost of the tax increase will be borne by a few very large estates. In 2022 2% of agricultural estates - just 37 - claimed an average of £6m.

That's what this is really about - not 70,000 farms. So let's drop the hyperbolic fake stats. Image
@bea_johanssen @triplesilk @melindiscott There are other valuation points here too - average price per acre may not reflect the price of a large estate; the IHT changes may themselves reduce value; etc 2/2

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More from @DanNeidle

Dec 1
I often get legal threats. This one's a little different - it's printed on blue ink, babbles incomprehensibly about mail fraud, and was also served on Janet Yellen and Richard Hermer (UK attorney general). A quick thread about why this isn't funny. Image
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The document is from Ian Clifford Stamp, who runs "Matrix Freedom". They sell get-rich-quick schemes that promise to eliminate debts/mortgages and "create currency". This email shows them selling £500,000 of "currency creation" for the low, low, price of £2,000. Image
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It's all "sovereign citizen" inspired nonsense - a conspiracy theory that there are hidden legal and financial truths that can make you rich. That's been going round the internet for years - these people have monetised it: you pay them 1% of the debt you want to "disappear". Image
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Read 14 tweets
Nov 24
New data on farms and inheritance tax: a third of farm estates over £1.5m aren’t farmers but wealthy people avoiding IHT by sinking money into farmland.

The Budget hits farmers too hard and tax avoiders too lightly. It needs to change. Image
Detailed analysis and full proposal here, with technical input from farm tax specialists like @StuartMaggs.

Summary thread: taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/11/24/how…Image
@StuartMaggs The previous data we had showed agricultural relief claims by farmers, but not business property relief claims (broadly, APR covers the agricultural value of land; BPR covers other stuff). We now have more. And it comes with a surprise, hidden in this paragraph: Image
Read 25 tweets
Nov 22
The mystery tax avoider's name will be revealed in three weeks. A quick thread, and update on our story from May. Image
Full background, references and links here: taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/05/08/mys…Image
People bringing court/tribunal cases don't get to be anonymous. Open justice is an important principle, and so your name will be published unless there's a very good reason.
Read 15 tweets
Nov 21
The Budget employer national insurance increase will mostly end up being passed to employees in the form of lower wages and reduced employment. A thread on why I'm disappointed by the Budget, and why this chart makes me sad. Image
A longer version of this thread here: , with links to references, sources, and the spreadsheet generating the charts. taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/11/21/the…Image
Some of the worst features of the UK tax system are the product of short term political expediency:
Read 49 tweets
Nov 2
A horrible mess for some private school parents who paid fees in advance to try to avoid Labour's VAT hike. And it's entirely the fault of the private schools and their associations.

A quick thread on how to avoid VAT successfully, and how the schools didn't.. Image
We warned back in May that private schools were encouraging parents to pay in advance to avoid Labour's VAT hike, but structuring these schemes *really badly*.

We said that, under usual VAT principles, there was a high risk these schemes would fail, and parents *would* end up paying the VAT. taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/05/09/pri…Image
The problem was that most of the schemes weren't *really* paying fees in advance. They looked more like putting money on deposit, to be used to satisfy future fee demands. And that doesn't work.

An example from one school: Image
Read 11 tweets
Oct 31
Lots of over-the-top coverage right now about the £1m cap on inheritance tax agricultural property relief (APR).

Quick thread:
Background: if I'm a landlord with a portfolio of properties, or an investor with a portfolio of listed shares, when I die my estate pays 40% inheritance tax (IHT). Until now, APR meant that agricultural estates were completely exempt from IHT.
The Budget caps the exemption at £1m. Beyond that, IHT applies to agricultural property at half the usual rate - so 20%.
Read 16 tweets

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