Artur Rehi Profile picture
Nov 1 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
The participation of North Korean units on the Ukrainian front will not bring about major changes and they will probably suffer major losses, said Colonel Ants Kiviselg, commander of the Estonian Defense Forces Intelligence Center. However, in the Donetsk region,
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Russian armed forces still hold the initiative and have forced the Ukrainian armed forces to gradually retreat, he added. "Unfortunately, there is nothing positive from the Ukrainian front line this week. The Russian Armed Forces still hold the initiative along the entire
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front line, which has forced the Ukrainian armed forces to gradually retreat," Kiviselg said at a Defense Ministry press conference. According to him, the average number of attacks per day remained at the same level as in previous weeks, i.e. about 167 attacks per day.
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"The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are capable of capturing most of the territories in the Donetsk region, primarily in the areas of Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, Vuhledar and Velyka Novosilka. Over the past week, the Russian Federation has occupied an additional 150 square
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kilometers of territory in these regions," Kiviselg said. "In addition, there are signs that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are preparing assault strikes in the area of ​​​​the Zaporizhzhia region. It is likely that the already known to us 76th Airborne Division
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with a permanent deployment location in Pskov, Then the goal will be to capture new territories, as well as additional involvement of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in this region," Kiviselg said. "To summarize, it can be said that alarming events continue to occur in the
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Donetsk region and the Donetsk region. It is possible that the Russian Armed Forces will achieve a local breakthrough in the Pokrovsk, Kurakhovo or Vuhledar areas this year," he added. The Russian army has asked to extend the deadline for taking Kursk. Speaking about
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the arrival of North Korean soldiers at the front, Kiviselg said that according to Ukraine, 3,000 soldiers of the 11th Army Corps of the North Korean Armed Forces, including several hundred servicemen of the North Korean special forces, have arrived in the Kursk region.
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"These servicemen probably arrived on the territory of the Russian Federation in early October, where they underwent preliminary training in the Eastern Military District, which lasted approximately two to four weeks, after which they were sent to the Ukrainian front,"
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Kiviselg said. "In total, North Korea had to allow the Russian Federation to send from 10 to 12 thousand soldiers, including 500 officers and three generals. Probably, the arrival of North Korean soldiers to the Ukrainian front will take place in stages. "The arrival of
the
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next North Korean units on the Ukrainian front will take place in the coming weeks," Kiviselg said. Kiviselg said that, as a rule, North Korean soldiers are trained for combat in mountainous terrain, which means that the territory of Ukraine, its climate and geography are
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unknown to them. "And therefore, their training does not actually require combat in such areas. The training they receive in the Russian Federation is certainly not very good. "Therefore, we can expect that North Korean units will suffer heavy losses in Ukraine, and
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presumably even heavier losses than the armed forces have suffered in the Russian Federation so far," Kiviselg said. Despite this, Kiviselg believes that it is possible that North Korea will continue to send units to Russia and the Ukrainian front. "Despite this, the
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intelligence center's assessment is still that this sending of North Korean units to the Ukrainian front will not bring about major changes at the moment. But if this kind of additional sending of units to Russia, their training, and then their arrival at
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the Ukrainian front continues for a long time, then this could certainly bring about certain changes on the front line," Kiviselg said.
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More from @ArturRehi

Dec 16
This week, we received an answer on how effective the Korean troops are and how much they are helping Russia in the Kursk region. Footage of North Korean attacks demonstrates that they lack the skills to conduct modern warfare, which was not a surprise. They managed to
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capture several trenches, which were eventually recaptured by Ukrainian forces. The North Koreans became easy targets as they advanced through open fields in large groups. They proved to be ineffective, but it should not be forgotten that Ukrainians still have to repel these
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attacks, incurring their own losses. The situation remains difficult on the Pokrovsk direction as well. However, there have been some changes and personnel reshuffles. For a long time, reports from the area highlighted inadequate command, which led to the advancement of
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Read 15 tweets
Dec 11
No dictatorship lasts forever, and all dictators are mortal. Putin, due to his age alone, may "kick the bucket" very soon, although, unlike ordinary Russians, he can afford proper medical care. The events in Syria are clearly a significant blow to his nervous system and
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heart health. Such a scenario is now easy to imagine within Russia itself. The fall of Assad created a power vacuum in Syria, and now several countries are advancing their interests. Sunnis backed by Turkey, Kurds supported by the U.S., factions supported by Israel, Iran and
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remnants of Hezbollah, along with the remains of Russian units — all of it has become a chaotic mix. It's far too early to speak of an end to the crisis. Stability in Syria will not return soon. Over the years, Assad destroyed the moderate opposition, leaving only the most
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Read 9 tweets
Dec 9
Russia continues to advance and achieve local successes in the areas of Pokrovsk and Kurakhove. However, it is difficult to call this a success, as it comes at a huge cost in Russian losses. In this sense, the report differs little from previous ones from this section of the
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front. But the main events of recent days are, of course, in Syria. The regime of Bashar al-Assad has fallen, and it took only a few days for this to happen. Bashar al-Assad was the last dictator from the era of the Arab Spring. Ben Ali, Hosni Mubarak, Abdelaziz Bouteflika,
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Muammar Gaddafi – for various reasons, they are no longer in power. Among all the countries of the Middle East and North Africa, Syria saw the highest number of casualties and destruction. Protests, which escalated into a civil war, began in 2011. Losing power and control,
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Read 22 tweets
Dec 4
The recent setbacks of the Russian military in Syria could prompt the Kremlin to strengthen its influence in Georgia as a way to compensate for its declining regional power. With its reputation in ruins and the world growing less fearful of Russia, Moscow may seek to
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reassert its presence where it can. Although Russia currently lacks the resources to deploy troops into Georgia, it still has enough financial leverage to ensure that the Georgian Dream party remains in a strong position. This could enable Russia to spark renewed conflicts
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in Abkhazia or South Ossetia, capitalizing on the existing tensions in these regions. Even if Russia were to withdraw, there is no guarantee that the Georgian Dream party would step down. If they manage to consolidate their power, they could continue to govern unchecked,
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Read 16 tweets
Dec 2
The attempt to ignite a conflict in the Middle East and draw Israel into it and distract the West from Ukraine turned out to be a shot in the foot for Putin. After several crushing blows to Hezbollah, Israel has greatly weakened the group, and Bashar Assad relied on it,
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among other things. The weakening of forces was used by the rebels fighting against Assad. Government troops are retreating and Aleppo has already come under the control of the rebels. A lot of weapons have been captured, including Russian equipment. Syria was an important
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stronghold for Russia in the region, from where operations in the Middle East and Africa were coordinated. Syria was an important logistical hub, from where Russian weapons and Russian military specialists were delivered, mainly arriving by sea through the Mediterranean Sea
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Read 8 tweets
Nov 28
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky believes that Russian leader Vladimir Putin is now "waving his 'Oreshnik'" only to thwart Donald Trump's efforts to stop the war. Direct speech: "And today in Kazakhstan, Putin again advertised his missiles - his readiness
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to kill and destroy. Putin obviously wants to add thousands more to the thousands of missiles that have already hit Ukraine. He does not need this war to end. In addition, Putin does not want to let others end this war. He can wave his 'Oreshnik' now only to thwart
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President Trump's efforts, which will definitely happen after the inauguration. Putin wants to escalate the situation now so that President Trump will not succeed, so that he will not be able to end the war. Putin is the only culprit
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Read 5 tweets

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