Saul Sadka Profile picture
Nov 3, 2024 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Why is Israel destroying so many buildings in these border villages? Random vengeance?

The truth is accidentally revealed by anti-Israel researcher Evan Hill: The blank patch (i.e., almost no buildings are damaged) between Ayta al-Shab and Yaroun is Rmaich. (1/4)Image
Despite the negligence of the Lebanese government and UNIFIL, the citizens of this Christian village fought all attempts to turn the bucolic mountain township into a terror base to destroy Israel. They bravely defied Hezbollah, unlike their neighbors. (2/4) Image
When a village adjacent to an international border is made into a swiss cheese of tunnels and dungeons filled with weapons—ready for an invasion at the beep of a pager—that infrastructure needs to be destroyed.

Its destruction is good, the tragedy is that it was built. (3/4)
The Lebanese border villages chose: Some allowed Hezbollah encroachment, became terror forts, and are getting wrecked. Some fought Hezbollah—they chose life. I hope Israel offers an olive branch and helps revive them.

The real culprits here are UNIFIL, the UN and Iran. (4/4) Image
Of course, this is a report for the Washington Post, so even though they evidence clearly shows that as Netanyahu claimed, Israel is attacking Hezbollah, not Lebanon, they quote "analysts" to say the opposite.

(And Hezbollah is merely "showing solidarity" with Hamas. And WaPo, by the way, the use of explosive weapons in empty urban areas, is the only way to remedy the storage of massive quantities of such weapons under inhabited civilians buildings.)Image
For the curious, here are 2 maps. The first shows the religious breakdown of the villages of S. Lebanon. When the outlines of the Christian villages are drawn on the damage map, the effect becomes obvious. They alone resisted Hezbollah. Sadly even the Sunnis seem to have failed. Image
Image
Watch this clip from the Druze village of Hasbaya (about 10km from the border) as the locals catch a Hezbollah man ferrying weapons.

A mob attacks and evicts him & they share the video to deter more incursions.

They knew: Hezbollah today means death and destruction tomorrow.

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More from @Saul_Sadka

Jan 30
An intractable and revealing tension:

On the left, a hostage release the way Hamas likes it, portraying a picture of victory.

On the right, the setting for today's release of Arbel Yehoud, Agam Berger and Gadi Mozes—after some production notes from Qatar—featuring a devastated landscape, to present a picture of victimhood.

Both are lies. They are defeated, and they are not victims.Image
When you see images like this, of Palestinian flag bunting used as decoration for the celebration of war crimes aggaisnt Jews, can you blame Jews worldwide for seeing thst flag as a hate symbol? If Abbas was a leader he would protest this and tell Hamas to use their own flags.
Hamas and the UNRWA education system have made Gaza a very sick society.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 20
The year 2025 marks 20 years since the BDS movement set out to bring about the defeat of Israel by isolating it geopolitically and boycotting it economically. So let's review the results of their campaign: 🧵 Image
Over that period, Israel has overtaken all the major European nations in terms of GDP per capita and now boasts the 8th highest GDP per capita in the world, of all nations with 10 million population. Image
Image
Far from being isolated, the Israeli passport is now one of the most powerful in the world:

Israelis have visa-free or visa on arrival access to 170 countries, making the Israeli passport 19th in the world. Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 15
Since Hamas are now celebrating their “great victory” over Israel, let's review their many achievements over the last 15 months in the light of their initial goals:

1. They failed to conquer Jerusalem.
2. They failed to drive the Jews into the sea.
3. They failed to split Israeli society—instead they united them.
4. They failed to isolate Israel internationally—even the Abraham Accords remain intact.
5. They failed to harm Israel’s economy, which continues to grow.
6. They failed to prove Israel was fragile—if anything, they demonstrated the opposite.
7. They failed to make the Jews “flee back to Europe,” as Israel’s population has increased by 2.5%.
8. They failed to crash Israel’s currency, which is now stronger.
9. They destroyed their own “axis of resistance.”
10. They derailed the geopolitical plans of their backers, Iran, leaving them completely exposed.
11. Their once-fertile land is now devastated, requiring a generation to rebuild.
12. Most of their homes, booby-trapped and used as weapon caches, are destroyed. Clearing the rubble alone will take decades.
13. Their tunnel network is gone.
14. They have alienated almost all their own people.
15. They have lost 99% of their rockets and have no means to rearm.
16. Their leaders are either in hell or in Qatar—or both.
17. Most of their fighters are dead.
18. Over 5,000 of their men will face trial for war crimes.
19. They lost their fighters at a 50:1 ratio compared to Israeli troops.
20. More than 10% of their population has fled, and perhaps another million have lost everything.
21. They caused destruction and losses among their allies in Lebanon.
22. They are now boxed in by the IDF, with no hope of resupply and no means of harming Israelis.
23. They tarnished the reputation of their UNRWA allies.
24. Israel has established a presence in their territory and will maintain constant surveillance.
25. They are being extirpated from the West Bank by their own Palestinian brothers.

What other “great Hamas victories” can you think of?Image
Happy Unvictory Day to Hamas!
The mad hatter appears to be wearing a hat saying 10/6. Hamas will dream of 10/6 forever. It was their last day.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 11
It's not a miracle. It's called "concrete." Image
To be honest, I don't really understand why people build beautiful new homes with timber adjacent to forests that combust at regular intervals. Concrete houses will still often get destroyed in fires, but not nearly as often. Particularly if the glazing holds up.

It can't really be to save money? On some of the most expensive building plots on the planet?
This is the before picture from about a year ago. The house on the left of the survivor might also not be wood, but as we can see, the survivor is brand new construction, while the one on the left is 25 years old plus. It's a matter a luck too. Image
Read 7 tweets
Dec 30, 2024
The final months of 2024 will be looked back on as a turning point. It was when the Western secured another few centuries.

A 3-pronged war—relics of the Cold War—has failed: Turning its values into weapons, deleting its softest parts (Israel first), & building up rivals. (1/13) Image
It is all connected:

When living standards in the West made a proletarian uprising an unlikely vehicle for overturning the established world order and ushering in a New World, the focus turned to sowing social discord—turning every group against each other until the West, the USA first, fell apart at the seams. It nearly worked—until in November, it didn’t.

Even if Harris had won by a whisker instead of losing by one, it would have failed because of this graph: every group, including all those which were meant to be the tip of the spear of identity politics, moved in the wrong direction. (2/13)Image
Turns out that identity politics is doomed to fail in a First Past the Post system—as in the USA—particularly when, in the internet age, you have a completely transparent battlefield of ideas. Harris found this out when she tried to bribe Black males in Georgia with “loans, crypto n’ weed.” For every Black male she won in Georgia, she lost two white men in the Rust Belt. (3/13)Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 22, 2024
How can Israeli intel be so brilliant and yet so stupid at once?

How did they carry out the most successful and consequential covert operation in living memory but be unable to recognize the obvious signs leading up to Oct 7 or make the right calls re. Hezbollah? (1/6) Image
To understand why Israeli intel has had such epic wins on the tactical level but the worst failures possible on the strategic level, recall that the people doing all the clever practical stuff are in no way related to the to the upper echelons that interface with decision makers.

Parts of the old Israeli elite establishment, noting their marginalisation on the political level, have nevertheless maintained their grip on some of the reins of power within the IDF, and particularly the intel community. (2/6)Image
Promotion to the top of the Israeli intelligence apparatus is largely filtered by an old boy's network, and it is a political and strategic thinking monoculture.

This is reinforced by post-career appointments to lucrative think tank non-jobs (e.g. at the INSS) and education programmes at Harvard to ensure that future leading lights of the military have the 'right' views. (3/6)Image
Read 6 tweets

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