IMPORTANT PLS SHARE. It's rumoured the English £9,250 tuition fee cap may be raised this pm for the 1st time in 8yrs, as University's finances are strained. As student finance misunderstandings abound, I've bashed out a few notes to help...
1. Higher tuition fees WON'T change what most pay each year. For most, they're paid for you by the student loans company and you repay afterwards only if you earn over the threshold. The amount you repay each year (9% over the threshold) solely depends on what you earn not on what you borrow.
2. Increasing tuition fees will only see those who clear the loan in full over the 40yrs pay more. That is generally mid-high to higher earning university leavers only, so the cost of increasing them will generally be born by the more affluent. Most lower and middle earning university leavers will simply pay 9% extra tax above the threshold for 40yrs (and higher tuition fees won't change that)
3. The rise is tuition fees is likely to be trivial compared to the changes the last govt made for 2023 starters. 2023 starters had their repayment thresholds dropped to £25,000 (from £27,295/yr) and had the time they had to keep repaying for (unless cleared) extended to 40years from 30years.
So these higher annual repayments for longer, increased by over 50% the amount many graduates will eventually have to pay back for going to university. Yet they were almost stealth changes because people can't intuitively feel the seismic impact.
Changing tuition fees is a more obvious rise, but in reality has far less of an impact on the amount most will repay (though combined with the 2023 changes it does certainly up the cost).
4. The biggest practical problem for students isnt tution fees (even if raised) its the fact maintenace loans aren't big enough. English maintenance loans have not kept pace with inflation. I'd urge the govt to couple the tuition fee loans with bigger living loans - if not it is a real risk to social mobility, with those from the poorest backgrounds likely to be worse affected.
I could write more, but will stop here, hopefully this gives an idea the issues are less straightforward than many feel.
A few raising questions of 'interest'. This was also changed in 2023. New starters only pay interest at the RPI inflation so there is no 'real' interest. The above inflation interest rates of the past only apply to those on previous plans.
CONFIRMED IN PARLIAMENT: Max England tuition fees to rise to £9,535/yr from current £9,250 in the next academic year (do read my tweet below explaining it)
Plus thankfully, maintenance loans to rise with inflation (3.1%) - it won't catch up the many substantially lower than inflation rises in previous years, but its better than nowt.
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On Mon the new Ofgem Apr-Jul Energy Price Cap's announced. Yet in practice it's likely to be not hugely impactful as currently
- It's GOVT THAT SETS ENERGY PRICES
- And GOVT plans to INCREASE EM 20% in Apr (I'm campaigning for it not to)
Let me explain..
(2/7) The energy price cap (Cap) is set by Ofgem based on wholesale rates - those energy retailers pay.
Until Oct 2022 solely it dictated the max standing charge & unit rates firms could levy. And as in recent times all firms charge near-enough the max, it set the price we paid.
(3/7) Then in Oct, the Govt introduced the Energy Price Guarantee (EPG), set to last til April 24, which means if the Cap is very high (as it is) the govt reduces what we pay, by subsidising it.
Yet the rule is, if the Cap drops below the EPG, we will then pay the lower amount.
Thanks to @Jeremy_Hunt for today's mortgage summit with lenders. A decent meet on putting best practice flexibility & forbearance measures in place for spring. They'll put a few announcements out today but I hope there will be more to come once things are worked through...
Lenders and the FCA seemed open to suggestions.
Thanks from me to all the mortgage brokers, @CitizensAdvice, @WhichUK who fed in suggestions and research to my team in our pre planning.
My three tenets I suggested for temp relief measures were
1. Communication (ensure people know pros and cons of all options) 2. Reversibility, if and when things improve people can return to prior setting 3. Limited credit score impact for temporary help
Please share (1/5)
Tomorrow the Jan - April energy price cap is announced. I've had fellow journos asking me about the huge bill increases predicted. So to stave off any misreporting, let me be plain
THE JAN ENERGY PRICE CAP IS ALMOST TOTALLY MEANINGLESS FOR CONSUMERS.
Now to explain in seven points...
1) Since Oct household bills've been dictated by the Energy Price Guarantee, the Price Cap which mattered before is now mostly irrelevant
2) The Guarantee is set by the govt eg for a home on typical use its £2,500 now, rising to £3,000 Apr 23
3) The Price Cap is based on wholesale rates (with a time lag) and dictates what energy firms can charge.
4) When the Cap is higher than the Guarantee (as it is now) the state pays the difference, household bills are still at the guarantee rate.
Wow I'm nearing 2m followers. So to say THANK YOU & promote small charities, I'll again donate
-£500 to charity picked by my 2000000th follower
-£500 to charity of randomly picked existing follower who replies
So pls reply with a charity, noting if ur new or already follow (1/2)
(2/2) Mini t&cs
-Charity must have a UK charity number
-Its hard to exactly spot follower 2m. I'll do m'best but my pick (even if inaccurate) is final.
-If 2millionth doesn't name charity, I'll pick nearest who does.
-'Randomly picked' means Ill scroll thru eyes closed & point
Amazing to see so many great charities mentioned. And also to see those charities responding to people - hope its a positive way to connect the two when the third sector is really struggling at the moment.
NEWS: The projected new energy price cap, that will start in April when the price guarantee ends, will be:
UP 73% taking a bill for typical use (use more pay more use less pay less) from £2,500/yr to £4,350
The cap will then be DOWN 15% in July to £3,700/yr typical use.
cont/d
Then it is predicted to stabilise around that level.
However these are very early day predictions (thanks to @CornwallInsight for getting them to us so quickly), we are not even in the April cap assessment period (17/11 to 17/2) yet, so could change a lot
cont/d
If these are in the right ballpark, the promised 'targeted help' will need to be targeted up into middle incomes for people to get through this. Especially if it stays at those levels for the next winter.
Its arguable the entire economic problems Liz Truss has, stems back to her energy bill policy. Let me explain, in 5 points
1. During the zombie govt, due to leadership contest, even though it was blindingly obvious energy intervention was needed, no plans were made or promised
2. Yet campaign pledges on tax cuts were made at that point, possibly without factoring in the cost of the coming unavoidable energy intervention.
3. Liz Truss at the time also strongly poo-pooed handouts to differentiate from Rishi Sunak scheme
4. When they hit govt and it became blindingly obvious that intervention was needed. They needed to do it at breakneck speed, with urgent meets with the energy firms.
The only route without it being called 'a handout' was a universal reduction - the most expensive intervention