1/ Russian Railways is planning to reduce the number of freight cars it operates by 100,000 as it faces a deep crisis, with employees leaving to fight in Ukraine and a lack of spare parts due to sanctions. It's expected to have a widespread economic impact. ⬇️
2/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel has posted a leaked recording of a speech by the head of Russian Railways Oleg Belozerov to the Central Directorate of Traffic Management and the Centre for Branded Transport Services.
3/ According to the channel, in the recording "Belozerov instructs Sergei Krokhin, the deputy head of the Central Directorate of Traffic Management for operational work, to reduce the working fleet of cars to 1.1 million (while even less was proposed)."
4/ He issues an order to "Reduce the number of empty cars on the network by 100 thousand and decide with the operators how many of whose cars will be sent to storage or will not be picked up after unloading from customers on each route."
5/ "There is simply nothing left to carry in them, the volume of transportation is constantly decreasing."
6/ The channel comments that Russian Railways has been experiencing increasing problems since the start of the war in Ukraine. Many of its employees, who are generally low-paid, have signed up for better-paid military positions or other war-related jobs.
7/ Sanctions have also put a severe strain on the railway system, with shortages of spare parts such as cassette bearings, for which Russia depended on foreign suppliers. (It's actually more likely that the withdrawal of freight cars is due to them wearing out.)
8/ Replacement railway wagons, tank cars, hoppers and other freight cars are also in short supply due to the main manufacturer, Uralvagonzavod (UVZ), switching its resources to producing tanks and other armoured vehicles for the war effort.
9/ As this useful thread from @prune602 in August highlights, loading on Russian Railways is in decline. This is a serious problem for the entire Russian economy, as it's heavily dependent on rail freight.
10/ Russian Railways effectively has a chokehold on much of the Russian economy. The principal victims of the crisis will be "small companies-owners of cars, whose business is tied to Russian Railways", but oligarchs will likely be able to cope through bribes and connections.
11/ The channel reports that restrictions have been introduced via the ETRAN (electronic consignment note) system for preparing and processing shipping documents for railway freight transportation. It says the system is being exploited for "total corruption" to bestow favours.
12/ ETRAN "was originally created for the convenience of operating the car fleet and transferring everything to a digital format. Now ETRAN serves as a lever, all restrictions on the registration of cars lead to total corruption in the management structures of Russian Railways."
13/ "After all, Russian Railways does not clearly inform where which cars will go and where they will not. The amounts named at the meeting are also interesting. Belozerov himself emphasizes that a 1 million ruble [$10,100] premium (official) is ridiculous money…
14/ …because the structures of Russian Railways, the Central Directorate of Traffic Management, together with the Centre for Branded Transport Services, decide who will earn and who will be left behind." /end
1/ Russian UAV development is seriously hampered by a lack of support from commanders and the state, in contrast to the much more open and supportive approach taken by the Ukrainians, according to a Russian drone developer. ⬇️
2/ The 'Project Archangel' Telegram channel, which represents volunteer Russian drone developers, has posted a critical commentary contrasting the Russian and Ukrainian approaches towards UAV development. The author calls for urgent changes on the Russian side.
3/ He highlights three key issues:
"1. Commanders and their approach 2. Promising and effective products. 3. Training for promising and effective products."
1/ Daniel Martindale, the US missionary who has defected to Russia and publicly declared that he has spent the last two years spying on the Ukrainian military, describes himself as a Christian and 'conservative American', and subscribes to a wide range of conspiracy theories. ⬇️
2/ Martindale, a native of Indiana, held a press conference earlier today in Moscow in which he explained why he decided, as soon as the war broke out in Ukraine, that he would cross the border and spy for Russia while posing as an aid worker.
3/ During the press conference, he explained that he decided to support Russia because "the war in Ukraine is not as much of a cultural issue ... for people in Russia and Ukraine, as it is a continuation of Washington's battle with the rest of the world, really, …
1/ US citizen Daniel Martindale, who has disclosed that he spied on Ukraine for Russia for two years, worked alongside German volunteers as an aid worker in frontline towns near Vuhledar and Pokrovsk. It's likely that he used this as cover to spy on the Ukrainian Armed Forces. ⬇️
2/ Martindale's extraction by Russian forces was publicised in an announcement on 27 October by the military authorities in the 'Donetsk People's Republic'. He spoke in much more detail in a Moscow press conference on 2 November.
3/ The German news outlet t-online reports that German volunteers in the Vuhledar region recall Martindale working with them to deliver aid from the end of 2022. According to the volunteer, "he introduced himself to us as Daniel from Indiana."
1/ An American citizen who secretly spied for Russia throughout the war in Ukraine, providing Russian forces with targeting information while possibly posing as an aid worker or volunteer, has given a press conference in Moscow explaining why he acted as he did. ⬇️
2/ 34-year-old Daniel Martindale is said by Russian sources to have been in Ukraine since 11 February 2022 and proactively contacted Russian security forces when he arrived. He sent them the coordinates of Ukrainian military facilities, helping them to carry out airstrikes.
3/ He is said, in particular, to have "played a key role in preparing the assault on the village of Bohoiavlenka [north of Vuledar] in late October." The Russians captured the village on 27 October and were filmed raising their flag there.
1/ Propaganda has given many Russians an unrealistic view of Russia's progress in the war, according to a Russian milblogger. "People have forgotten how to separate truth from fiction", while in reality the Ukrainians remain determined and are inflicting heavy losses. ⬇️
2/ "Voenkor Kotenok" writes that "our society and the media have an absolutely inadequate assessment of the military situation in the Special Military Operation zone."
3/ "Unfortunately, the tone for distorting the information background, and often disinformation, was set even before the start of the Special Operation by official security forces in the form of some talking heads with generals' stars, who, when broadcasting ticker tapes, threw…
1/ Age, chronic physical illness, infectious diseases, mental illness, and becoming a single parent due to the death of a spouse are no longer valid reasons to end a contract with the Russian army. Now "they dismiss you only if you died or your limbs were torn off." ⬇️
2/ The Russian blogger Anastasia Kashevarova writes about the consequences of a decree automatically extending contracts indefinitely (they were previously valid for one- or two-year periods) and eliminating many categories under which people could leave early.
3/ "1. Dismissal with category D + HIV/hepatitis/cancer. Soldiers and even female servicemen who are assigned category D – unfit for military service – contact us, but they are not dismissed from the ranks of the Russian Armed Forces.