One big takeaway: This was a 50/50 election, and the polls are very likely to simply have been right. The anecdotes about ground game, enthusiasm, late movement etc don't square with the simple reality we're seeing, which is that polls were broadly fine.
The national polls look like they'll be broadly okay. Harris may win the NPV by under a point (still possible she loses it altogether).
The swing state polls are also likely to be okay. Michigan, Wisconsin, and PA will probably end up within 2 points of what the polls said.
The swing state polls are also likely to be okay. Michigan, Wisconsin, and PA will probably end up within 2 points of what the polls said.
The models said it was a 50/50 election, the polls said it was a 50/50 election, and...well, it does look like the models and polls were mostly correct.
Despite everything, Trump is doing better than ever in many key areas, which may help stem suburban bleeding.
Despite everything, Trump is doing better than ever in many key areas, which may help stem suburban bleeding.
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