When Trump publicly told Israel to attack Iran's nuclear sites a few weeks back, he set up the next 10 weeks as peak danger time for the Middle East if he won, and he has won, so here we are.
1. Iran has lost Hamas and Hezbollah, proxies it used to deter Israel. (1/5)
1. Iran has lost Hamas and Hezbollah, proxies it used to deter Israel. (1/5)
2. Iran has lost control of its airspace along with much of its air defence network.
3. Iran is still reeling from finding out how deeply their elites are penetrated by spies. They are likely very busy chasing their own tails.
4. They are losing their influence agents and fellow travellers who have held positions of power in the USA since 2008, and ensured that the US is hamstrung and appeasement-focused in everything relating to Iran. (2/5)
3. Iran is still reeling from finding out how deeply their elites are penetrated by spies. They are likely very busy chasing their own tails.
4. They are losing their influence agents and fellow travellers who have held positions of power in the USA since 2008, and ensured that the US is hamstrung and appeasement-focused in everything relating to Iran. (2/5)
All this has made them much weaker, and more vulnerable, and the only thing that could flip this situation around for them are nukes.
If they actually are able to go for nuclear breakout, and it could be that they are not, it's probably now or never for them. They have 10 weeks. And if true, their enemies also have 10 weeks to stop them.
Israel and the USA also obviously know this, which likely explains the transfer of the B-52s to Qatar as a detternet. (3/5)
If they actually are able to go for nuclear breakout, and it could be that they are not, it's probably now or never for them. They have 10 weeks. And if true, their enemies also have 10 weeks to stop them.
Israel and the USA also obviously know this, which likely explains the transfer of the B-52s to Qatar as a detternet. (3/5)
So who will do it?
Some say that Israel is unable to deal with the Iranian Nuclear program alone, but I doubt that is true. Israel has been laser focused on Iran's nukes for 20 years, and I am sure that they have worked out ways to reach the deepest bunkers if needed. But it could be messy.
But for the US military, with stealth bombers and 30,000 pound bunker busters, the job could be done cleanly, without any risk to Iran's oil assets. (4/5)
Some say that Israel is unable to deal with the Iranian Nuclear program alone, but I doubt that is true. Israel has been laser focused on Iran's nukes for 20 years, and I am sure that they have worked out ways to reach the deepest bunkers if needed. But it could be messy.
But for the US military, with stealth bombers and 30,000 pound bunker busters, the job could be done cleanly, without any risk to Iran's oil assets. (4/5)
Would Biden, the lamest of lame ducks, and with little to show for his record, but vindicated by the Harris defeat he predicted, like to go out with a quick victory?
Would he want to close the book on the 45 year Iranian calamity that was set in motion by Jimmy Carter, another one-term Democratic president booted out in favour of a charismatic populist? (5/5)
Would he want to close the book on the 45 year Iranian calamity that was set in motion by Jimmy Carter, another one-term Democratic president booted out in favour of a charismatic populist? (5/5)
Biden certainly wouldn't want his only notable achievement in the history books to be that he was the old fool that gifted the Mullah's nukes and doomed the Middle East to a century of chaos, would he?
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