Joni Askola Profile picture
Nov 8, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/8 The Kiel Institute, a well-known German think tank, has calculated that the cost of not supporting Ukraine is 10 to 20 times greater than the cost of offering that support Image
2/8 In recent months, there has been a rise in political voices in Europe and the US calling for a reduction or cessation of military support for Ukraine. The Kiel Institute has attempted to assess the approximate costs associated with this stupid idea. Image
3/8 Some argue that financial support for military assistance extends the duration of the war, which is both peculiar and ironic. This is particularly true since many of these same people advocate for Palestine in its conflict, a struggle that appears much less likely to succeed Image
4/8 The Kiel Institute evaluates the expenses associated with military support for Ukraine against the anticipated costs of withholding that support. It finds that providing support to Ukraine is significantly less expensive than not doing so. Image
5/8 To date, the average amount of German military support for Ukraine represents approximately 0.1% of Germany's GDP annually. According to their projections, ceasing support for Ukraine could lead to costs ranging from 1% to 2% of annual GDP over the next five years. Image
6/8 Consequently, discontinuing aid to Ukraine would lead to economic costs for Germany in the coming years that are 10 to 20 times higher than the costs of sustaining the current levels of military support. Image
7/8 Europe needs to take action and boost its assistance to Ukraine, whether through common debt, bilateral agreements, or even by using russia's frozen assets. Image
8/8 Sources:
Kiel Institute - The cost of not supporting Ukraine
@Erik2604 Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Joni Askola

Joni Askola Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @joni_askola

Nov 26
1/5 The Witkoff leaks prove that Trump does not want peace in Ukraine as soon as possible, no matter what the deal looks like, despite what many claim.

He wants peace on Russia’s terms, no matter how long it takes Image
2/5 People keep saying Trump wants peace “no matter the deal.” They are wrong.

He has shown repeatedly he is in no rush and won’t walk away despite empty threats.

His goal is peace on Russia’s terms Image
3/5 The leaks confirm what we have seen for months:

Trump pressures Ukraine repeatedly but almost never pressures Russia. That imbalance speaks volumes.

He is not negotiating for peace; he is negotiating for Putin Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 24
1/7 What the Vance-Rubio rivalry is really about.

It’s not just ideology. It’s a fight for Trump’s throne after he’s gone.

The last few days made that clearer than ever 🧵 Image
2/7 Both men are MAGA heavyweights, but they represent different futures.

Vance is the radical post-Trump candidate backed by tech oligarchs like Peter Thiel and Elon Musk.

Rubio is the polished neocon trying to survive in Trump’s shadow Image
3/7 This rivalry exploded over Trump’s 28-point “peace plan.”

Vance pushed it hard, framing surrender as strategy. Rubio quietly worked to sabotage it without getting blamed.

Both want to look loyal while positioning for 2028 Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 21
1/11 Trump’s 28-Point “Peace Plan” and what it really means for Ukraine Image
2/11 Trump’s plan is not peace. It is surrender.

The timing is no coincidence. It comes as Ukraine faces a tough front and a corruption scandal.

Perfect storm for pressure Image
3/11 The leaked document is worse than expected. It mirrors Russia’s maximalist demands.

No concessions from Moscow Image
Read 11 tweets
Nov 19
1/9 Trump’s secret talks with Russia are not about peace.

They are about surrender and blackmail.

Here’s what Axios and Epstein emails reveal 🧵 Image
2/9 Axios says Trump is negotiating with Moscow behind Ukraine’s and Europe’s back again.

Rumors even claim peace is near.

Epstein emails showed it’s not stupidity, it’s blackmail.

Trump is betraying the US and its allies because Russia owns him Image
3/9 This will not lead to peace.

There can’t be negotiations about Ukraine without Ukraine.

And there is no way Russia agreed to a deal Ukraine would accept Image
Read 9 tweets
Nov 18
1/7 Does Europe even want Ukraine to win?

Trump clearly does not. He still refuses to sell missiles to Ukraine, hurting Ukraine, the West, and even the US defense industry.

Waiting for him is a losing strategy. Europe must act now! Image
2/7 Ukraine’s strike campaign works. It hits Russian refineries, cripples infrastructure, and drains air defense interceptors.

But Ukraine lacks enough drones and missiles to scale this up and put Russia on its knees Image
3/7 Ukraine is building its own systems and scaling production, but that takes time.

Even small US sales of Tomahawks, Barracudas, ATACMS, or JASSMs would help. Trump blocks that, so Europe must fill the gap Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 18
1/13 Could Europe defeat Russia in a real war?

On paper yes. In reality, we are not ready.

Power without readiness is weakness.

Here is why Europe would struggle and what must change to deter Russia before it is too late🧵 Image
2/13 The problem is not just weapons.

Europe is behind not only in unmanned warfare, but also in coordination between public institutions, industry, and citizens.

Infrastructure and societal resilience matter as much as tanks and missiles Image
3/13 Europe has everything it needs to beat Russia: huge population, strong economies, advanced industry, innovation, and allies.

On paper, we should easily outmatch Russia. Yet if war started tomorrow, we would struggle and struggle for a long time before turning things around Image
Read 13 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(