1/8 The Kiel Institute, a well-known German think tank, has calculated that the cost of not supporting Ukraine is 10 to 20 times greater than the cost of offering that support
2/8 In recent months, there has been a rise in political voices in Europe and the US calling for a reduction or cessation of military support for Ukraine. The Kiel Institute has attempted to assess the approximate costs associated with this stupid idea.
3/8 Some argue that financial support for military assistance extends the duration of the war, which is both peculiar and ironic. This is particularly true since many of these same people advocate for Palestine in its conflict, a struggle that appears much less likely to succeed
4/8 The Kiel Institute evaluates the expenses associated with military support for Ukraine against the anticipated costs of withholding that support. It finds that providing support to Ukraine is significantly less expensive than not doing so.
5/8 To date, the average amount of German military support for Ukraine represents approximately 0.1% of Germany's GDP annually. According to their projections, ceasing support for Ukraine could lead to costs ranging from 1% to 2% of annual GDP over the next five years.
6/8 Consequently, discontinuing aid to Ukraine would lead to economic costs for Germany in the coming years that are 10 to 20 times higher than the costs of sustaining the current levels of military support.
7/8 Europe needs to take action and boost its assistance to Ukraine, whether through common debt, bilateral agreements, or even by using russia's frozen assets.
8/8 Sources:
Kiel Institute - The cost of not supporting Ukraine
@Erik2604
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Jake Sullivan did far more for Ukraine than the entire Trump administration—and its supporters—combined.
- Biden/Sullivan: $54.2B in security aid to Ukraine
- Trump: $0
2/6 Jake Sullivan was far from perfect. But let’s be honest:
He did far more for Ukraine than anyone in the Trump administration—and anyone supporting it.
Results matter more than rumors, rhetoric, or vibes.
- Under Biden and Sullivan: $54.2B in security aid
- Under Trump: $0
3/6 Under Sullivan as National Security Advisor:
✅ $54.2B in military aid to Ukraine
✅ No talk of stopping aid
✅ No pressure on Ukraine to accept a bad deal
✅ Sanctions on russia
✅ Clear messaging on who started the war
We must stop holding on to the illusion that the war in Ukraine will end soon.
It won’t.
Trump’s actions—and our inaction—have made that impossible.
If we don’t wake up now, we’ll pay the price later
2/5 Trump has weakened Ukraine by cutting aid and refusing to add sanctions on russia.
Meanwhile, Europe has stood by, letting Trump and Putin decide its fate.
This war isn’t just Ukraine’s fight.
It’s existential for Europe
3/5 We must act like we understand this war will last for years.
That means:
- Long-term orders of heavy equipment for Ukraine
- Relaunching production lines
- Supplying Ukraine with SAMP/T batteries and Aster interceptors
- Investing even more in Ukraine’s defense industry