1/8 The Kiel Institute, a well-known German think tank, has calculated that the cost of not supporting Ukraine is 10 to 20 times greater than the cost of offering that support
2/8 In recent months, there has been a rise in political voices in Europe and the US calling for a reduction or cessation of military support for Ukraine. The Kiel Institute has attempted to assess the approximate costs associated with this stupid idea.
3/8 Some argue that financial support for military assistance extends the duration of the war, which is both peculiar and ironic. This is particularly true since many of these same people advocate for Palestine in its conflict, a struggle that appears much less likely to succeed
4/8 The Kiel Institute evaluates the expenses associated with military support for Ukraine against the anticipated costs of withholding that support. It finds that providing support to Ukraine is significantly less expensive than not doing so.
5/8 To date, the average amount of German military support for Ukraine represents approximately 0.1% of Germany's GDP annually. According to their projections, ceasing support for Ukraine could lead to costs ranging from 1% to 2% of annual GDP over the next five years.
6/8 Consequently, discontinuing aid to Ukraine would lead to economic costs for Germany in the coming years that are 10 to 20 times higher than the costs of sustaining the current levels of military support.
7/8 Europe needs to take action and boost its assistance to Ukraine, whether through common debt, bilateral agreements, or even by using russia's frozen assets.
8/8 Sources:
Kiel Institute - The cost of not supporting Ukraine
@Erik2604
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1/7 Ukraine’s defense industry is not operating at full capacity. What are we waiting for to place enough orders to reach full capacity? Europe, wake up!
2/7 Europe loves making excuses. We claim we can’t send more aid because our stockpiles are low, yet we don’t place orders to replenish them. If we don’t want to send our own equipment, we can always order from Ukraine’s industry
3/7 Ukraine’s defense industry is formidable, producing weapons quickly and at a low cost. It’s the best bang for your buck, and Ukraine knows how to use them effectively. This also helps Ukraine become less dependent on its allies
1/4 russia is losing the unprovoked war it started and has been fighting for nothing for the last three years. The fact that Trump’s peace proposal is more favorable to Ukraine than the 2022 Istanbul draft proves this
2/4 russia is losing the war, now occupying about 19% of Ukraine compared to 30% in March 2022. The fact that the Istanbul draft was worse for Ukraine than Trump’s current proposal shows russia has fought for nothing all this time. What a waste! Pathetic!
3/4 The deal Trump is offering to Ukraine is better than one in Istanbul, but it is still unfair. The war is likely to continue, and Europe needs to make long-term commitments of aid to Ukraine to give it more leverage in the negotiations
1/17 Europe is already at war. It’s high time we stop ignoring this reality!
2/17 Most Europeans are divided between those who know how serious the situation is but prefer not to think about it too much, and those who don’t know what a war is. It’s time they learn, and high time we all admit to ourselves that we are at war with russia
3/17 Some have been criticized in Europe for saying that we are at war, but they were right. There are many forms of war, and russia is imposing several of them on Europe
1/7 Failure Unlimited: russia has suffered 900,000 total casualties, expanded NATO, militarized Ukraine, and ruined its own economy, while reducing its control from about 30% of Ukraine in March 2022 to roughly 19% now. Look at the maps and witness the catastrophe!
2/7 russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has marked its most significant failure during Putin’s reign. Not only has russia failed in its invasion, but it has also paid a huge price on many levels
3/7 In March 2022, russia occupied approximately 30% of Ukraine, but over three years later, it now occupies only 19%. This reduction has come at the expense of 900,000 russian casualties, ruined demographics, and a devastated economy. Pathetic!
1/6 Trump’s negotiation strategy on Ukraine is failing: Being soft on russia has never worked and never will. Putin keeps humiliating him, yet Trump keeps asking for more
2/6 Trump vowed to bring peace to Ukraine within 24 hours. However, after nearly 3 months in the White House, he has yet to secure even a partial ceasefire. It is important to hold him accountable for this unfulfilled promise because it comes at the cost of Ukrainian lives
3/6 Trump’s strategy has consistently been misguided. Despite Ukraine agreeing to an unconditional ceasefire, he continues to pressure and threaten them. Meanwhile, he exerts no pressure on russia and even makes excuses for their actions. He keeps projecting weakness
1/9 russia is actually losing the war it started in Ukraine. Here’s why:
2/9 russia is unable to reach its stratetic goals of demilitarization and ’denazification,’ which require a forced ’regime change’ in Ukraine. Ukraine is more sovereign and more militarized than before the war
3/9 russia occupied around 30% of Ukraine at the end of March 2022. Three years and approximately 900k total casualties later, it occupies 19% of Ukraine. russia has achieved nothing, but this nothing has come at a huge cost!