Joni Askola Profile picture
Nov 8, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/8 The Kiel Institute, a well-known German think tank, has calculated that the cost of not supporting Ukraine is 10 to 20 times greater than the cost of offering that support Image
2/8 In recent months, there has been a rise in political voices in Europe and the US calling for a reduction or cessation of military support for Ukraine. The Kiel Institute has attempted to assess the approximate costs associated with this stupid idea. Image
3/8 Some argue that financial support for military assistance extends the duration of the war, which is both peculiar and ironic. This is particularly true since many of these same people advocate for Palestine in its conflict, a struggle that appears much less likely to succeed Image
4/8 The Kiel Institute evaluates the expenses associated with military support for Ukraine against the anticipated costs of withholding that support. It finds that providing support to Ukraine is significantly less expensive than not doing so. Image
5/8 To date, the average amount of German military support for Ukraine represents approximately 0.1% of Germany's GDP annually. According to their projections, ceasing support for Ukraine could lead to costs ranging from 1% to 2% of annual GDP over the next five years. Image
6/8 Consequently, discontinuing aid to Ukraine would lead to economic costs for Germany in the coming years that are 10 to 20 times higher than the costs of sustaining the current levels of military support. Image
7/8 Europe needs to take action and boost its assistance to Ukraine, whether through common debt, bilateral agreements, or even by using russia's frozen assets. Image
8/8 Sources:
Kiel Institute - The cost of not supporting Ukraine
@Erik2604 Image

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More from @joni_askola

Sep 14
1/6 Europe is already at war.

Russian drones have hit Poland, Romania, and Lithuania.

This is not just Ukraine’s fight.

The war is spreading. And it will keep spreading until Russia is stopped Image
2/6 Putin has tied his legacy and survival to the war in Ukraine.

Ukraine is not the final goal.
It is the first step.

Russia will escalate again and again unless it is defeated Image
3/6 Europe cannot just defend and wait.

Every time Russia escalates, it must pay a price.

That means long-range weapons for Ukraine, more aid, tougher sanctions, and seizing frozen Russian assets Image
Read 6 tweets
Sep 14
1/5 Elon Musk has a clear civil war fetish and is recklessly exploiting Charlie Kirk’s assassination to incite political violence before the motives are even known.

He’s openly calling for violence against Democrats and must be held accountable Image
2/5 Before a suspect was identified and with no known motive, Musk blamed Democrats, spread false claims, and fueled conspiracy theories.

While Democrat leaders condemned the killing, Musk escalated division and refused to call for calm Image
3/5 Musk also amplified far-right voices in the UK, engaging with Tommy Robinson and his supporters, a figure too extreme even for Reform UK.

He pushed coup talk and inflammatory rhetoric, using Kirk’s murder as an excuse, while the killer's motives remain unknown Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 12
1/6 Political violence is a threat to democracy.

It exists on both sides — and it should never be accepted. But let’s be honest: calling it a “leftist problem” is dishonest.

The data shows it’s overwhelmingly a right-wing issue.

Let’s look at the facts👇 Image
2/6 Between 1990 and 2024:

🔹 Right-wing extremists responsible for ~85% of ideological killings (523 deaths)
🔹 Left-wing: ~15% (78 deaths)
🔹 From 2022–2024: 100% of extremist murders were committed by right-wing actors

Sources: CSIS, ADL, ECDB, Reuters

Ask Grok! Image
3/6 Real cases of violence against Democrats:
• Hortman murdered by man with a hit list of Democrats
• Pelosi’s husband attacked
• Trump supporter attempted to assassinate Gov. Shapiro
• Men convicted for trying to kidnap Gov. Whitmer
• Trump’s shooter? Registered Republican Image
Read 6 tweets
Sep 11
1/7 Since returning to the White House, Trump has been buying time for russia in Ukraine.

He keeps stalling while pretending to act. It’s clear he won’t pressure russia.

But that extra time will end up hurting russia more than helping it Image
2/7 This delay is a gift to Putin.

Trump isn’t just doing nothing, he’s actively helping russia by refusing to act.

But time is not on russia’s side. The longer the war lasts, the more expensive it becomes Image
3/7 russia is overpaying soldiers to keep recruitment up and compensating families of the dead.

The numbers keep rising.

The longer the war drags on, the heavier the financial and human cost Image
Read 7 tweets
Sep 11
1/5 No matter what you think of Charlie Kirk—political violence is never acceptable.

His assassination is a tragedy that will make the world worse.

It will deepen polarization, empower authoritarians like Trump, and fuel a dangerous cycle of retaliation Image
2/5 Trump, MAGA influencers, and even Elon Musk are already exploiting Kirk’s murder for political gain.

They’re using it to justify crackdowns, demonize opponents, and push the US further down an authoritarian path.

They are horrible people—just like Kirk was too Image
3/5 Kirk built his career on division, disinformation, and incitement. He called dissenters enemies, glorified guns, justified gun violence, and supported russia’s annexation of Ukraine. He spread lies to defend Putin and attack Ukraine.

I never agreed with him—and still don’t Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 10
1/6 Everything Trump does starts to make sense—if you assume he’s a russian asset working to sabotage the US and its allies from within.

From foreign policy to domestic chaos, the pattern is hard to ignore Image
2/6 He’s isolating the US globally:

– Attacked South Korea over defense costs
– Undermined NATO
– Started trade wars with allies
– Blocked cooperation on disinformation with Europe
– Made foreign investment in the US riskier Image
3/6 He cozies up to adversaries:

– Praised Putin repeatedly
– Sided with russia over US intelligence in Helsinki
– Downplayed russian war crimes in Ukraine
– Cut funding for investigations into child kidnappings by russia Image
Read 6 tweets

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