Joni Askola Profile picture
Nov 8, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/8 The Kiel Institute, a well-known German think tank, has calculated that the cost of not supporting Ukraine is 10 to 20 times greater than the cost of offering that support Image
2/8 In recent months, there has been a rise in political voices in Europe and the US calling for a reduction or cessation of military support for Ukraine. The Kiel Institute has attempted to assess the approximate costs associated with this stupid idea. Image
3/8 Some argue that financial support for military assistance extends the duration of the war, which is both peculiar and ironic. This is particularly true since many of these same people advocate for Palestine in its conflict, a struggle that appears much less likely to succeed Image
4/8 The Kiel Institute evaluates the expenses associated with military support for Ukraine against the anticipated costs of withholding that support. It finds that providing support to Ukraine is significantly less expensive than not doing so. Image
5/8 To date, the average amount of German military support for Ukraine represents approximately 0.1% of Germany's GDP annually. According to their projections, ceasing support for Ukraine could lead to costs ranging from 1% to 2% of annual GDP over the next five years. Image
6/8 Consequently, discontinuing aid to Ukraine would lead to economic costs for Germany in the coming years that are 10 to 20 times higher than the costs of sustaining the current levels of military support. Image
7/8 Europe needs to take action and boost its assistance to Ukraine, whether through common debt, bilateral agreements, or even by using russia's frozen assets. Image
8/8 Sources:
Kiel Institute - The cost of not supporting Ukraine
@Erik2604 Image

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More from @joni_askola

Jan 18
1/6 Self-Serving Cowards: For those with significant business ties to china, Ukraine and Taiwan are nothing more than a nuisance. This perspective sheds light on why the tech bros in power in the US support russia Image
2/6 Many Western businesses rely heavily on china. They will soon realize the risks of this dependence when china begins to make more significant geopolitical moves that heighten tensions between china and the West. Image
3/6 In the forthcoming Trump administration, Elon Musk and his tech bro friends hold considerable power. Musk won't ever confront china due to his extensive business connections there, consistently prioritizing his business interests over those of the United States. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jan 16
1/8 More than five months into Ukraine's Kursk offensive, russia has still not succeeded in pushing Ukraine out of its territory. It is crucial for Ukraine to maintain its presence there until negotiations begin, as this provides it with significant leverage Image
2/8 On January 16, the press service of the Airborne Assault Troops reported that Ukrainian paratroopers and other units captured 27 russian soldiers during clashes in russia's Kursk Oblast. Image
3/8 It has been 5 months, 1 week, and 3 days since Ukraine humiliated russia, showcasing its ability to surprise the world and shift the front lines. Ukraine has demonstrated that russia is overstretched, as it cannot even defend all of its borders with Ukraine. Image
Read 8 tweets
Jan 15
1/9 How the EU can regulate social media and reduce foreign interference without resorting to censorship or content moderation (platform owners with bad intentions and bot farm operators don’t want you to know this!) Image
2/9 Many people believe that regulating social media inherently involves censorship or moderation, but that's simply not the case. There are numerous approaches to regulate social media without resorting to those measures. Image
3/9 Foreign interference on social media occurs in various forms, such as algorithms that promote specific types of content over others and the significant use of bots to amplify certain messages. Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 14
1/12 Masters of Double Standards: South African oligarchs in power in the US often criticize the US and its allies while praising china and russia. Where does this hypocrisy come from? Image
2/12 The South African oligarch clan in the US fared well during the elections, successfully securing power by facilitating Trump's victory in the presidential race. Image
3/12 This group has recently gained attention for various reasons, including their criticism of the societal direction in the West, yet they refrain from criticizing russia and china, revealing significant double standards. What explains this behavior? Image
Read 12 tweets
Jan 13
1/6 Good news: Zelensky has ordered a halt to the formation of new brigades and will instead utilize mobilized troops to replenish the existing brigades Image
2/6 Ukrainian journalist Yuriy Butusov reports that Zelensky has decided that no newly raised troops will be allocated for the formation of new combat units; instead, they will be dedicated solely to reinforcing existing formations. Image
3/6 This comes in the wake of the scandal involving the 155th Mechanized Brigade, which revealed to the media the dire conditions faced by these newly formed brigades. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jan 10
1/7 Is Trump finally shifting his approach to ending the war? He must take control of his transition team, as their unprofessional conduct is jeopardizing his chances Image
2/7 US president-elect Donald Trump has postponed his campaign promise to end the war in Ukraine within “24 hours” to several months. European partners view this change as an indication that his administration will not swiftly withdraw support for Kyiv. Image
3/7 Two European officials told the Financial Times that talks with Trump’s incoming team revealed they haven't yet decided on a solution for the conflict, and support for Ukraine will continue after the inauguration on January 20. Image
Read 7 tweets

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