Joni Askola Profile picture
Nov 8, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/8 The Kiel Institute, a well-known German think tank, has calculated that the cost of not supporting Ukraine is 10 to 20 times greater than the cost of offering that support Image
2/8 In recent months, there has been a rise in political voices in Europe and the US calling for a reduction or cessation of military support for Ukraine. The Kiel Institute has attempted to assess the approximate costs associated with this stupid idea. Image
3/8 Some argue that financial support for military assistance extends the duration of the war, which is both peculiar and ironic. This is particularly true since many of these same people advocate for Palestine in its conflict, a struggle that appears much less likely to succeed Image
4/8 The Kiel Institute evaluates the expenses associated with military support for Ukraine against the anticipated costs of withholding that support. It finds that providing support to Ukraine is significantly less expensive than not doing so. Image
5/8 To date, the average amount of German military support for Ukraine represents approximately 0.1% of Germany's GDP annually. According to their projections, ceasing support for Ukraine could lead to costs ranging from 1% to 2% of annual GDP over the next five years. Image
6/8 Consequently, discontinuing aid to Ukraine would lead to economic costs for Germany in the coming years that are 10 to 20 times higher than the costs of sustaining the current levels of military support. Image
7/8 Europe needs to take action and boost its assistance to Ukraine, whether through common debt, bilateral agreements, or even by using russia's frozen assets. Image
8/8 Sources:
Kiel Institute - The cost of not supporting Ukraine
@Erik2604 Image

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More from @joni_askola

Oct 30
1/8 Ukraine will mourn Pokrovsk, but Russia will never recover from this war.

It is losing strategically, and the cost grows by the day.

Russia deserves its pathetic fate.

Maps: @TheStudyofWar Image
2/8 Ukraine is about to lose Pokrovsk after well over a year of brutal fighting.

Every city lost is a tragedy for Ukraine, but also a catastrophe for Russia.

Russia pays many times the acceptable military and human cost for every square kilometer it takes Image
3/8 Russia is all in. It has mobilized, recruited as much as possible, emptied prisons, shifted to a war economy, received military and financial aid from allies, and now uses North Korean troops and foreign mercenaries. This is not a partial effort. This is everything Russia has Image
Read 8 tweets
Oct 29
1/8 What if I told you the greatest threat to American power isn’t China or Russia, but Donald Trump?

Trump and his team are dismantling everything that made the US a global power Image
2/8 As Michael McFaul writes in The Atlantic, the US became a superpower by building alliances, defending democracy, promoting open markets, and leading global institutions.

Trump is actively destroying all four pillars, and much more Image
3/8 McFaul explains how Trump is demolishing the foundations of American power. But it goes further.

Trump is not just retreating from leadership. He is attacking the very core of what made the US strong Image
Read 8 tweets
Oct 29
1/5 Read this before you praise Musk again.

DOGE was sold as a patriotic plan to cut US spending and debt, but public debt keeps climbing.

So what was the real goal?

Either Musk lied or failed completely. I think this was the heist of the century Image
2/5 DOGE didn’t cut public debt. It’s still rising. Some of the fired staff had to be rehired.

The mission was a total failure, and Musk’s supporters would rage if Democrats did the same. But that was likely never the point.

DOGE was built for one thing: Musk’s personal gain Image
3/5 What did Musk really get?

• Power over institutions he hates
• Access to sensitive data
• A platform to punish critics

DOGE wasn’t reform. It was a heist and a scam dressed up as patriotism Image
Read 5 tweets
Oct 26
1/5 Russia's war on Ukraine is as black and white as it gets.

It is not morally complicated. It is one of the clearest cases of good vs evil in recent history.

Russia is the aggressor. Ukraine is the victim. No gray area. No equivalence.

Just a criminal invasion Image
2/5 Russia lied to the world and said it would not attack because it knew it had no legitimate reason.

Since then, it has changed its story a dozen times.

The real reason is imperialism and genocide.

Russia denies Ukraine’s right to exist as a state, a culture, a people Image
3/5 Ukraine fights to survive. Russia fights to erase.

Ukraine defends its land and identity. Russia wants Ukrainians who survive to become Russians.

It bombs cities, tortures civilians, and commits war crimes daily.

This is not just a conflict. It is a genocide Image
Read 5 tweets
Oct 24
1/5 I keep repeating myself and will until Europe understands.

The faster Ukraine scales up drone and missile production, the faster this war ends.

Europe is doing a lot, but not nearly enough. It is time to go all in Image
2/5 Ukraine needs volume.

Drones and missiles in numbers that overwhelm Russia’s air defense and choke its economy.

That is how you shorten this war Image
3/5 Europe must step up:

✅ Fund Ukraine’s missiles and drones
✅ Help scale up production
✅ Seize Russia’s frozen assets

Acting small is suicidal for Europe Image
Read 5 tweets
Oct 23
1/6 Better late than never!

Credit where it's due: Donald Trump has finally imposed sanctions on Russia.

This is the first time he has done so since returning to the White House.

Let’s hope he doesn’t lift them after Putin’s next call Image
2/6 Trump's record on Ukraine has been appalling.

Throughout 2025, he refused to pressure Russia and instead blamed Ukraine, the only side that accepted his demands and the victim of the war Image
3/6 Putin has repeatedly manipulated him, including last week's phone call that ended in another diplomatic embarrassment.

Still, Trump has now sanctioned Rosneft and Lukoil Image
Read 6 tweets

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