Joni Askola Profile picture
Nov 8, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/8 The Kiel Institute, a well-known German think tank, has calculated that the cost of not supporting Ukraine is 10 to 20 times greater than the cost of offering that support Image
2/8 In recent months, there has been a rise in political voices in Europe and the US calling for a reduction or cessation of military support for Ukraine. The Kiel Institute has attempted to assess the approximate costs associated with this stupid idea. Image
3/8 Some argue that financial support for military assistance extends the duration of the war, which is both peculiar and ironic. This is particularly true since many of these same people advocate for Palestine in its conflict, a struggle that appears much less likely to succeed Image
4/8 The Kiel Institute evaluates the expenses associated with military support for Ukraine against the anticipated costs of withholding that support. It finds that providing support to Ukraine is significantly less expensive than not doing so. Image
5/8 To date, the average amount of German military support for Ukraine represents approximately 0.1% of Germany's GDP annually. According to their projections, ceasing support for Ukraine could lead to costs ranging from 1% to 2% of annual GDP over the next five years. Image
6/8 Consequently, discontinuing aid to Ukraine would lead to economic costs for Germany in the coming years that are 10 to 20 times higher than the costs of sustaining the current levels of military support. Image
7/8 Europe needs to take action and boost its assistance to Ukraine, whether through common debt, bilateral agreements, or even by using russia's frozen assets. Image
8/8 Sources:
Kiel Institute - The cost of not supporting Ukraine
@Erik2604 Image

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More from @joni_askola

Feb 11
1/6 If Xi and Putin dispatched agents to seize control and weaken the US from within, what would they do that differs from the current administration? I can't think of much Image
2/6 One might genuinely question whether the US administration is serving the interests of china and russia. Its actions over the past few weeks appear aimed at undermining the US and its global influence. Image
3/6 The US can't be a world leader without its allies. Trump's administration and Musk's criticisms of USAID appear to undermine US alliances and soft power, leading to perceptions of the US as unreliable and unstable. Image
Read 6 tweets
Feb 10
1/7 Why are Elon Musk, Peter Thiel, David Sacks, and other far-right billionaires willing to sacrifice Ukraine and Taiwan? Image
2/7 Elon Musk, Peter Thiel, and David Sacks are far-right billionaires who indirectly gained power in the 2024 presidential election. They significantly influence Trump's policies and want him to abandon Ukraine and Taiwan. Image
3/7 These billionaires consistently prioritize their business interests over American interests. They rely on china for its market, labor, and natural resources, which leads them to avoid confronting china, regardless of its actions. Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 10
1/8 General @SPE_Kellogg (@generalkellogg) must convince Trump that the only way to end russia's war in Ukraine is by demonstrating strength through long-term commitments of weapons to Ukraine. Nothing else will persuade Putin to halt his invasion! Image
2/8 General Kellogg plans to present Donald Trump with a strategy to end russia's war in Ukraine. The plan will likely involve threats to russia, such as sanctions, aimed at pressuring Putin to negotiate and bring the conflict to an end. Image
3/8 Putin is currently confident that russia's situation on the front lines will improve in the future, which provides him with no motivation to negotiate. He believes he can secure a better deal in six or twelve months than what is available to him now. Image
Read 8 tweets
Feb 4
1/11 Finally! The Ukrainian Army is transitioning from a Brigade to a Corps system Image
2/11 The long-awaited reform of the Ukrainian Army and the creation of new corps is now underway. Commander-in-Chief Sirskyi has informed President Zelensky that the reorganization plan for the Armed Forces has been approved and is actively being implemented. Image
3/11 Butusov reports that the command plans to create up to 20 Army Corps to enhance the top brigades and form new forces around them. Each corps will be designated a specific area of responsibility and will manage at least five brigades. Image
Read 11 tweets
Feb 3
1/7 The 2025 high-tech version of child soldiers: Ruthless warlords have often risen to power by exploiting child soldiers. Musk is employing a similar strategy, but with inexperienced young engineers who, much like child soldiers, are unlikely to challenge his authority Image
2/7 A WIRED report reveals troubling insights into the Elon Musk-led DOGE, highlighting that engineers aged 19 to 24, primarily associated with Musk's companies, are crucial in his takeover of federal infrastructure. Image
3/7 This represents the 2025 high-tech version of a warlord gaining power with the assistance of child soldiers who blindly obey their leader. Musk could employ more seasoned engineers aged 25 to 50. Why isn't he choosing to do so? Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 2
1/7 Trump's economic policy feels like it was crafted by an Econ 101 student who just discovered mercantilism, with assistance from russian and chinese assets determined to weaken the US as quickly as possible Image
2/7 Under Trump, the US is intimidating its allies while catering to its adversaries. If russia and china had installed a joint agent as president, he would likely behave just like Donald Trump. Image
3/7 Trump and his administration are working hard to undermine US hegemony as quickly as possible. The US can only compete with china by leveraging its alliances, yet Trump is taking steps to damage those very partnerships. Image
Read 7 tweets

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