Joni Askola Profile picture
Nov 8, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/8 The Kiel Institute, a well-known German think tank, has calculated that the cost of not supporting Ukraine is 10 to 20 times greater than the cost of offering that support Image
2/8 In recent months, there has been a rise in political voices in Europe and the US calling for a reduction or cessation of military support for Ukraine. The Kiel Institute has attempted to assess the approximate costs associated with this stupid idea. Image
3/8 Some argue that financial support for military assistance extends the duration of the war, which is both peculiar and ironic. This is particularly true since many of these same people advocate for Palestine in its conflict, a struggle that appears much less likely to succeed Image
4/8 The Kiel Institute evaluates the expenses associated with military support for Ukraine against the anticipated costs of withholding that support. It finds that providing support to Ukraine is significantly less expensive than not doing so. Image
5/8 To date, the average amount of German military support for Ukraine represents approximately 0.1% of Germany's GDP annually. According to their projections, ceasing support for Ukraine could lead to costs ranging from 1% to 2% of annual GDP over the next five years. Image
6/8 Consequently, discontinuing aid to Ukraine would lead to economic costs for Germany in the coming years that are 10 to 20 times higher than the costs of sustaining the current levels of military support. Image
7/8 Europe needs to take action and boost its assistance to Ukraine, whether through common debt, bilateral agreements, or even by using russia's frozen assets. Image
8/8 Sources:
Kiel Institute - The cost of not supporting Ukraine
@Erik2604 Image

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More from @joni_askola

Jun 22
1/5 How unreliable can russia be?

It’s abandoning another partner—this time, Iran.

Just like it did with Armenia, Assad, the RSF in Sudan, and the junta in Myanmar.

russia talks a big game about loyalty.

But when things get tough, it disappears Image
2/5 Iran gave russia drones. Training. Know-how.

In return? Silence.

Iran is getting hit—and russia is doing nothing.

No support. No deterrence.

Just like Armenia. Just like Syria. Just like Sudan. Just like Myanmar. Just like always Image
3/5 russia loves to say the US is a selfish ally.

But russia is way worse.

It bleeds its partners dry—then leaves them to burn.

In Syria and across Africa, it took resources and influence.

But when the fire starts, it runs Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 21
1/5 Mearsheimer said NATO provoked russia.

He claimed Putin didn’t want Ukraine.

Now Putin says Ukraine is russia.

Mearsheimer wasn’t just wrong—he gave cover to a war of conquest Image
2/5 His ”realism” only sees russian interests.

No room for Ukraine’s sovereignty.

No respect for its people’s choices.

That’s not realism. That’s imperial nostalgia in disguise Image
3/5 He mocked Ukraine’s resistance.

Ignored russia’s failures.

Dismissed Ukrainian voices.

His predictions didn’t just miss—they erased reality Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 21
1/4 russia’s massive size isn’t natural—it’s the result of centuries of aggressive imperialism.

From Siberia to the Caucasus, it expanded by conquest, colonization, and erasure.

That same imperial mindset is driving its invasion of Ukraine today Image
2/4 Putin claims Ukraine ”is russia’s.”

That’s not just imperialism—it’s genocidal rhetoric and behavior.

Denying a nation’s existence is not acceptable.

This isn’t just about borders. It’s about domination and forced russification Image
3/4 russia’s expansion never stopped.

It just adapted—using propaganda, hybrid warfare, and brute force.

Ukraine is the latest target, but it won’t be the last unless the world wakes up and takes the right steps Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 20
1/4 Trump is desperate for a win after months of failure—and now he’s boxed himself in on Iran.

He dropped his classic ”two weeks” line again.

He’s put himself in a lose-lose situation: if he strikes, he risks a long war. If he backs down, he looks weak.

No good move Image
2/4 This isn’t new.

Trump has a pattern: bluff, stall, and hope someone else takes the hit.

He did it on tariffs and on russia.

Now he’s doing it again—on Iran Image
3/4 He may be waiting for Israel to do the dirty work, hoping to jump in later and claim the victory.

Or he will go all in soon.

Or he’s stalling to see if it’s worth the risk.

But wars rarely follow scripts—and china and russia are watching closely Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 20
1/6 Bot farms are the digital bioweapon of the 21st century.

Authoritarian regimes are flooding our social media with bots to divide, radicalize, and weaken the West. And we are barely fighting back.

What we can do before it’s too late: Image
2/6 russia, china, iran—they have mastered the art of digital warfare.

Millions and millions of bots spread disinformation, amplify outrage, and erode trust in democracy.

They are turning citizens into extremists who trust nothing—not even our own institutions Image
3/6 And it’s not just bots.

It’s a full ecosystem:

- Disinformation campaigns
- Paid influencers & ”journalists”
- Traitorous politicians

All working to destabilize the West from within—while we scroll in silence Image
Read 6 tweets
Jun 19
1/5 The ”isolationist Trump base” was always only a loud minority and largely a myth.

Many believed Trump’s base wanted peace and better ties with russia.

In reality, Trump is a corrupt, selectively isolationist neocon—driven by ego, corruption, fear, friendships, and debt Image
2/5 The loudest pro-russian isolationists are a tiny minority—amplified by bots, media manipulation, and influential traitors.

They made it seem like a movement. It wasn’t.

Most Trump voters are classic GOP neocons who just don’t care much about foreign policy details Image
3/5 Trump’s ”America First” and ”pivot to Asia” promises? Total scams!

He’s not shifting resources to Asia. He’s not pulling back from conflicts.

He’s just redirecting US power—especially to the Middle East, where he will do whatever Israel asks, including strikes on Iran Image
Read 5 tweets

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