Joni Askola Profile picture
Nov 8, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/8 The Kiel Institute, a well-known German think tank, has calculated that the cost of not supporting Ukraine is 10 to 20 times greater than the cost of offering that support Image
2/8 In recent months, there has been a rise in political voices in Europe and the US calling for a reduction or cessation of military support for Ukraine. The Kiel Institute has attempted to assess the approximate costs associated with this stupid idea. Image
3/8 Some argue that financial support for military assistance extends the duration of the war, which is both peculiar and ironic. This is particularly true since many of these same people advocate for Palestine in its conflict, a struggle that appears much less likely to succeed Image
4/8 The Kiel Institute evaluates the expenses associated with military support for Ukraine against the anticipated costs of withholding that support. It finds that providing support to Ukraine is significantly less expensive than not doing so. Image
5/8 To date, the average amount of German military support for Ukraine represents approximately 0.1% of Germany's GDP annually. According to their projections, ceasing support for Ukraine could lead to costs ranging from 1% to 2% of annual GDP over the next five years. Image
6/8 Consequently, discontinuing aid to Ukraine would lead to economic costs for Germany in the coming years that are 10 to 20 times higher than the costs of sustaining the current levels of military support. Image
7/8 Europe needs to take action and boost its assistance to Ukraine, whether through common debt, bilateral agreements, or even by using russia's frozen assets. Image
8/8 Sources:
Kiel Institute - The cost of not supporting Ukraine
@Erik2604 Image

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More from @joni_askola

Nov 27
1/10 The Russian narrative is starting to collapse.

For years, Moscow pushed the idea that Ukraine was doomed and Russia unstoppable. That narrative is collapsing under the weight of reality.

Here’s why Russia is failing strategically despite tactical gains👇 Image
2/10 Russia’s goals were clear: overthrow Ukraine’s government, install a puppet regime, rewrite its constitution, and embed permanent Russian military control.

Nearly four years later, none of this has happened. And it’s far from happening Image
3/10 Instead, Russia is still fighting for Donbas and is further from its strategic objectives than in March 2022.

That is not a tactical setback. It is a strategic failure.

The Kremlin started this war with goals it cannot reach Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 26
1/5 Why do we still allow Trump to negotiate on the war in Ukraine?

The US does not fund Ukraine. Trump and his team are compromised by Russia.

Europe pays the bills, yet Trump sits at the table.

There is zero reason for him and his team of traitors to be involved Image
2/5 Ukraine and Europe keep letting Trump negotiate with Russia. It makes no sense.

Europe funds Ukraine. Trump’s United States doesn’t. If we pay and they don’t, why are they the ones negotiating?

Their negotiators are far worse than ours, and they are compromised too Image
3/5 Epstein emails show Russia has leverage over Trump thanks to Epstein’s past help.

Bloomberg leaks prove Witkoff is helping Moscow influence him.

When the leaks broke, Trump backed Witkoff, the man he chose.

This is a deeply compromised administration Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 26
1/5 The Witkoff leaks prove that Trump does not want peace in Ukraine as soon as possible, no matter what the deal looks like, despite what many claim.

He wants peace on Russia’s terms, no matter how long it takes Image
2/5 People keep saying Trump wants peace “no matter the deal.” They are wrong.

He has shown repeatedly he is in no rush and won’t walk away despite empty threats.

His goal is peace on Russia’s terms Image
3/5 The leaks confirm what we have seen for months:

Trump pressures Ukraine repeatedly but almost never pressures Russia. That imbalance speaks volumes.

He is not negotiating for peace; he is negotiating for Putin Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 24
1/7 What the Vance-Rubio rivalry is really about.

It’s not just ideology. It’s a fight for Trump’s throne after he’s gone.

The last few days made that clearer than ever 🧵 Image
2/7 Both men are MAGA heavyweights, but they represent different futures.

Vance is the radical post-Trump candidate backed by tech oligarchs like Peter Thiel and Elon Musk.

Rubio is the polished neocon trying to survive in Trump’s shadow Image
3/7 This rivalry exploded over Trump’s 28-point “peace plan.”

Vance pushed it hard, framing surrender as strategy. Rubio quietly worked to sabotage it without getting blamed.

Both want to look loyal while positioning for 2028 Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 21
1/11 Trump’s 28-Point “Peace Plan” and what it really means for Ukraine Image
2/11 Trump’s plan is not peace. It is surrender.

The timing is no coincidence. It comes as Ukraine faces a tough front and a corruption scandal.

Perfect storm for pressure Image
3/11 The leaked document is worse than expected. It mirrors Russia’s maximalist demands.

No concessions from Moscow Image
Read 11 tweets
Nov 19
1/9 Trump’s secret talks with Russia are not about peace.

They are about surrender and blackmail.

Here’s what Axios and Epstein emails reveal 🧵 Image
2/9 Axios says Trump is negotiating with Moscow behind Ukraine’s and Europe’s back again.

Rumors even claim peace is near.

Epstein emails showed it’s not stupidity, it’s blackmail.

Trump is betraying the US and its allies because Russia owns him Image
3/9 This will not lead to peace.

There can’t be negotiations about Ukraine without Ukraine.

And there is no way Russia agreed to a deal Ukraine would accept Image
Read 9 tweets

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