1/8 The Kiel Institute, a well-known German think tank, has calculated that the cost of not supporting Ukraine is 10 to 20 times greater than the cost of offering that support
2/8 In recent months, there has been a rise in political voices in Europe and the US calling for a reduction or cessation of military support for Ukraine. The Kiel Institute has attempted to assess the approximate costs associated with this stupid idea.
3/8 Some argue that financial support for military assistance extends the duration of the war, which is both peculiar and ironic. This is particularly true since many of these same people advocate for Palestine in its conflict, a struggle that appears much less likely to succeed
4/8 The Kiel Institute evaluates the expenses associated with military support for Ukraine against the anticipated costs of withholding that support. It finds that providing support to Ukraine is significantly less expensive than not doing so.
5/8 To date, the average amount of German military support for Ukraine represents approximately 0.1% of Germany's GDP annually. According to their projections, ceasing support for Ukraine could lead to costs ranging from 1% to 2% of annual GDP over the next five years.
6/8 Consequently, discontinuing aid to Ukraine would lead to economic costs for Germany in the coming years that are 10 to 20 times higher than the costs of sustaining the current levels of military support.
7/8 Europe needs to take action and boost its assistance to Ukraine, whether through common debt, bilateral agreements, or even by using russia's frozen assets.
8/8 Sources:
Kiel Institute - The cost of not supporting Ukraine
@Erik2604
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1/9 A new class of people has become the biggest threat to democracy, freedom of speech, human rights, and humanity as a whole.
Who are they?
Tech oligarchs
2/9 On Trump’s inauguration, a group of tech oligarchs were present, celebrating.
These tech billionaires with political influence are not champions of freedom.
They are enemies of democracy, ready to back any side, even fascists, if it serves their interests
3/9 Why did they support Trump?
Because Trump was useful. He promised deregulation, tax cuts, and chaos, perfect conditions for oligarchs to grow richer and more powerful. He can be bought. He gives them more power.
Evil forces around the world have started to struggle in 2025, giving hope for a better future.
The tide is turning.
Let’s hope they struggle even more in 2026
2/12 The last few years felt hopeless.
Dictators grew aggressive. Russia invaded Ukraine. China rose as a global power. Trump attempted a coup in 2021 and returned in 2024. Tech oligarchs gained influence.
Post-truth made everything worse
3/12 Enemies of the West exploited chaos.
Russia expanded aggression. China pushed harder. Trump betrayed allies. Musk and Thiel used power for profit while cutting aid that cost thousands of lives.
1/10 Ukraine must make sure Russians never feel in control.
It is going more and more asymmetric because playing fair will not win this war where Russia never does.
Ukraine must push this strategy even harder
2/10 Just defending gives Russia no reason to stop.
Trading land for time is smart, but not enough.
Ukraine is striking deep inside Russia and must scale up production even further and shift toward more asymmetric tactics to make the war far more costly for Russia
3/10 Ukraine’s two-part strategy is to trade land for time and crush Russia’s economy with deep strikes on oil and infrastructure.