Joni Askola Profile picture
Nov 8 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/8 The Kiel Institute, a well-known German think tank, has calculated that the cost of not supporting Ukraine is 10 to 20 times greater than the cost of offering that support Image
2/8 In recent months, there has been a rise in political voices in Europe and the US calling for a reduction or cessation of military support for Ukraine. The Kiel Institute has attempted to assess the approximate costs associated with this stupid idea. Image
3/8 Some argue that financial support for military assistance extends the duration of the war, which is both peculiar and ironic. This is particularly true since many of these same people advocate for Palestine in its conflict, a struggle that appears much less likely to succeed Image
4/8 The Kiel Institute evaluates the expenses associated with military support for Ukraine against the anticipated costs of withholding that support. It finds that providing support to Ukraine is significantly less expensive than not doing so. Image
5/8 To date, the average amount of German military support for Ukraine represents approximately 0.1% of Germany's GDP annually. According to their projections, ceasing support for Ukraine could lead to costs ranging from 1% to 2% of annual GDP over the next five years. Image
6/8 Consequently, discontinuing aid to Ukraine would lead to economic costs for Germany in the coming years that are 10 to 20 times higher than the costs of sustaining the current levels of military support. Image
7/8 Europe needs to take action and boost its assistance to Ukraine, whether through common debt, bilateral agreements, or even by using russia's frozen assets. Image
8/8 Sources:
Kiel Institute - The cost of not supporting Ukraine
@Erik2604 Image

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More from @joni_askola

Nov 10
1/13 You were warned! No sane person will be part of Trump's administration, and you can't say you weren't cautioned. He will only appoint anti-Ukraine isolationists who will throw the country under the bus. Putin and Xi must be thrilled, as their investment is yielding results! Image
2/13 Many analysts, myself included, cautioned readers about Trump's rhetoric and the anti-Ukraine stance of those around him and his transition team. Nevertheless, many pro-Ukraine individuals failed to grasp just how anti-Ukraine he really is. Image
3/13 After his election, many believed he would appoint Mike Pompeo, one of the few rational individuals in his circle, to his cabinet, insisting that concerns were unwarranted and everything would be fine for Ukraine. Image
Read 13 tweets
Nov 9
1/9 Is Angela Merkel the most overrated Western politician of the century? Her legacy is undeniably poor Image
2/9 Before russia initiated its full-scale war, Angela Merkel remained quite popular among many Europeans. After being admired for years, the former chancellor, who led for 16 years, is now facing increased scrutiny of her record due to the current challenges facing the country. Image
3/9 Critics claim Merkel was mainly a crisis manager who often delayed action, addressing immediate issues without confronting root causes. This approach has resulted in a mixed legacy both domestically and in her European policies. Image
Read 9 tweets
Nov 9
1/9 The Definition of a Hypocrite: Elon Musk has become the far-right version of what he previously warned us about regarding George Soros Image
2/9 In 2023, Elon Musk criticized Hungarian-born Holocaust survivor George Soros on Twitter, comparing him to Magneto, the X-Men anti-hero who despises humans and defends mutants at all costs. Image
3/9 Elon Musk also launched other unfounded Twitter attacks on Soros, a common target of antisemitic conspiracy theories, alleging that the financier hates humanity just days after Soros revealed he had sold a small stake in Tesla. Image
Read 9 tweets
Nov 8
1/12 The German coalition government has collapsed: what led to this situation and what can we anticipate moving forward? Image
2/12 German Chancellor Olaf Scholz dismissed his finance minister Lindner on Wednesday, resulting in the collapse of the coalition government in Germany. Image
3/12 Lindner's dismissal led him to pull his Free Democrats Party (FDP) out of the coalition with Scholz's Social Democratic Party (SPD), leaving Scholz to govern as a minority alongside the Green Party. Image
Read 12 tweets
Nov 7
1/10 If Trump is truly serious about achieving peace in Ukraine, he must stop displaying weakness to russia and instead project strength by providing arms to Ukraine prior to the negotiations. He should also threaten to send more if negotiations fail. Nothing else will work! Image
2/10 I am not at all convinced that Trump is an effective negotiator or has a viable plan that Ukraine and russia would accept. I do not want Ukraine to be pressured into any negotiations. However, if negotiations do occur, Trump should consider certain factors. Image
3/10 The problem with Trump's plan is that you shouldn't concede anything before negotiations begin, yet he has already made significant concessions by stating that he wants the war to end and plans to stop supporting Ukraine. This gives russia unnecessary leverage. Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 7
1/17 Identity crisis and the revenge of the Western white male: populists in Europe and the US are capitalizing on the failure of mainstream parties to listen to and engage with this demographic Image
2/17 There are several reasons why Americans chose to vote for Donald Trump again in 2024, despite his many known flaws. I covered many of these reasons in my thread yesterday, but one aspect that receives less attention is the role of white males. Image
3/17 Latino and Black voters, along with women, receive significant attention in discussions. The white male vote, however, is not a new phenomenon, which may make it seem less surprising or intriguing to commentators. Nonetheless, it remains a crucial factor in Trump’s victory. Image
Read 17 tweets

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