Essential to understand the seasons of life. Stress is at its max from 35-55. Raising/affording children. Caring for sick parents. Society changing far past your formative yrs
Satisfaction precipitously bounces at 60 when (most) ppl become grandparents. Ppl vote accordingly 🧵
What happened to Millenials is equal parts inevitable + unique macro circumstances + Trump
Gender discontents occur here just as they do for Gen Z males (albeit more muted). Econ anxiety is MOST accrue as you approach prime-prime earning years (45-60)
This Millenial swing FEELS dramatic only b/c we were such hard Obama Ds
This mean reversion looks profound b/c the baseline was so elevated
Again, not thing away from Trump’s very unique and potent value prop…but part of it is how well it hits for this season of life
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I have low-medium confidence in map but higher in top line Harris W. Let me explain
This election is odd b/c both parties got their “dream” opponent
Rs were thrilled to face Harris believing Biden’s gains with whites could not be recreated by Harris
Dems have based their entire platform on Trump animus, casually saying “If it had been Hayley she’d romp”
But ofc (and as I’ve said 100x) Trump was/is the only hope for Rs
His falling short in blue wall would almost certainly be better than Hayley/Desantis. Rs have assembled a MAGA male coalition that “respectful Rs” can’t lead
My cousin is a couples therapist serving the well to do suburbs of NYC
At $375/hr, her book is *overflowing*
She, a Rutgers grad, makes 2x her Ivy League husband b/c she is solving the banal crisis wreaking havoc on UMC parents; the discontents of progressive marraiges
“Chores are sexy” is the worst piece of advice ever given
It gave the impression women are transactional…but they are NOT. Millenial males have taken on huge swaths of domestic & parental labor…w/ a (deeply misguided) implicit idea that there would be a “reward” for this
Counter intuitively, men “taking things off the wife’s plate” did not actually make women less stressed. Coordinating play dates, filling out forms for kids activities, staying in top of the school emails, being a “room parent” etc
Ppl who succeed today are, 90% of the time, female coded
It’s neither good nor bad. But you need to accept this to understand our new social mores
@wanyeburkett buried the lead: meanness even in service to truth is unacceptable. Trump however, squares the circle 🧵
I say it constantly but Trump’s cartoonishness lets him channel a reactionary id with a laugh vs upsetting chill if RDS/Cruz said it
This is his superpower
Most Rs have a sufficient EQ to know that you can’t just be a jerk…and thus Trump is best of both worlds
The “Pink collar” is real b/c everything today is consensus oriented. Zuck & Uber may have “moved fast and broken things” but as they matured into real companies, that gave way
The process & consensus oriented soft corporate world will domesticate every cowboy