Matthew Yglesias Profile picture
Nov 9 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
What’s tragicomic is the extent to which the very existence of The Groups is largely a silly misreading of like one Theda Skocpol essay.

The whole machinery could (and should) be turned off.
Skocpol has a long line of scholarship about the role of social movements and mass membership organizations in American politics, and she’s critical of the replacement of that form of politics by a politics dominated by professionalized insider lobby shops.
After Waxman-Markey fails, she’s commissioned to write an assessment of why the strategy didn’t work.

In “Naming The Problem” she says what of course she would say, that it was too much of an insider job and you need a real mass movement which engages the public.
During Obama’s second term, people who want to see progress on all kinds of issues are frustrated — Obama is so good at politics but since Dems lost the House in 2010 nothing new can actually pass.

So they decide the “Naming The Problem” diagnosis applies to all topics.
Well, okay, but it’s not like a program officer can just push the “create an authentic mass movement with broad-based national membership” button.

So instead of saying “what’s realistic in the absence of such a movement” they start creating fake movements!
These Potemkin social movements — the groups — have all the flaws of the unrepresentative insider dominated lobby shops that Skocpol criticized.

But they don’t have the virtue of those lobby shops — actual professionalism and technical expertise, it’s just smoke and mirrors.
It would obviously be very helpful to all kinds of causes to have an authentic grassroots movement demanding change.

But unless you actually have one, stick with political pragmatism and technical expertise and try to do stuff that makes sense. Don’t fund fake BS!

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More from @mattyglesias

Nov 9
The thing to consider is that people who pay the least attention to politics are likely to align with whichever coalition seems like it has the chiller, larger tent and makes the fewest demands of what it counts to be on the team.
To be a resident in good standing of MAGA Island you need to basically say nice things about Trump — that’s a huge leap for many (he’s actually a scumbag!) but it’s pretty simple.

To be a Progressive In Good Standing is hard, long list of items to follow.
This is what I’ve been arguing with @brianbeutler on about all year.

He thinks Dems could be effective anti-MAGA warriors just by being tougher and more aggressive.

I think you need to refashion a much chiller coalition with less ideological content.Politix.fm
Read 6 tweets
Oct 28
If you deprive Social Security of revenue, the benefits get cut.

That’s the facts and the law.

If you don’t want to believe a Committed for a Responsible Federal Budget chart because you’re invested in simping for plutocrats who hate you, that’s your right as an American.
Something I think you see every time I get into it with these people is that MAGA is sincerely terrified of discussing the concrete policy stakes — tax cuts for billionaires that explode the deficit, raise interest rates, and bankrupt social security.

It’s not fun for them.
This is Trump’s economic policy — I get a tax cut, you get a tax increase, and Elon Musk gets a tax cut so enormous that even though 80% of you are paying higher taxes the deficit explodes anyway. Image
Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 15
A top think tank put out a report about how to build solar power faster, but all of their recommendations — tougher protection for forests & “arid landscapes,” more community benefits, project labor agreements — would make it harder and more expensive.

slowboring.com/p/tradeoffs-ar…Image
It reads almost like an op to keep the electricity grid as dirty as possible, but the real truth is dumber — they’ve convinced themselves that if you layer on enough process you can do things without tradeoffs.

slowboring.com/p/tradeoffs-ar…Image
You see tradeoff denialism everywhere, like when the right not only wants fewer immigrants for cultural reasons (fair enough) but also denies that fewer workers means faster bankruptcy for Social Security and Medicare.

Everyone wants a free lunch.

slowboring.com/p/tradeoffs-ar…Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 10
So I was doing a panel discussion with @DKThomp today about the idea of "abundance" and this bunch of jackasses funded by a Getty Oil heiress showed up to yell at me because I agree with VP Harris and Joe Biden that we shouldn't ban fracking.
In addition to slandering hotel staffers by pretending he got pushed, this guy and others kept yelling "why do you support fracking!?!?"

I said they know I support fracking because I wrote an article about it — the reasons are in the article!

slowboring.com/p/harris-is-ri…
One key thing is that the US Department of the Interior cannot control global *demand* for fossil fuels, but they can impact the extent to which the oil & gas that are burned come from the US vs Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Venezuela.

slowboring.com/p/global-warmi…
Read 6 tweets
Sep 12
You are absolutely being lied to, by Elon Musk and Donald Trump who are peddling bullshit about crime statistics to try to frighten you into cutting taxes for Elon Musk and Donald Trump. Image
This entire conspiracy theory is based on data reporting problems *from 2022*

Please look at a calendar and report back to me what year it is today. Image
The NIBRS transition problem was a real issue, but the year after 2022 was 2023 and they fixed it!

jasher.substack.com/p/is-the-nibrs…
Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 17
Trump says: "A tariff is a tax on a foreign country. That's the way it is. And a lot of people like to say, 'oh, it's a tax on us.' No, no, no, it's a tax on a foreign country."

Not true IMO.
Tax incidence is complicated, but a good rule of thumb to any question of the form “who pays the tax?” is that it’s some of both.

Note that unless consumers pay much of the incidence of a tariff it can’t help domestic producers!

slowboring.com/p/the-surprisi…
If something like Trump’s tax on Korean washing machines comes *purely* out of the pockets of LG and Korean workers then no assistance is provided to US washing machine makers.

Higher consumer prices (to boost domestic producers’ margins) is the only way it can work.
Read 4 tweets

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