Jeff's claim: This [invasion] is not an attack by Putin on Ukraine, [but a reaction to NATO expansion]
Reality: It is literally an attack on Ukraine. Whatever motives Jeff tries to pin on Putin, this remains an invasion—the largest war Europe has faced since 1945 2/
Also, NATO hadn’t expanded before the invasion—it only did so after. Putin issued his ultimatum not in response to any NATO action, but to craft a pretext for his invasion—a narrative Jeff eagerly parrots 3/
Jeff's claim: This started in 1990s, when the US promised to Russia that NATO will not move eastward one inch if they agree to German unification. The US then cheated in 1994 when NATO expanded all the way to Ukraine 4/
Reality: Even if this were true—and it’s been debunked repeatedly—Russia’s betrayal is far greater. Russia signed at least seven agreements affirming Ukraine’s sovereignty, with no conditions tied to NATO 5/
Jeff's claim: In 2004, we engaged in soft regime change in Ukraine, the first color revolution
In February 2014, the US actively participated in overthrow of Yanukovych who was elected on neutrality in 2010 6/
Here, Jeff finally cites “evidence”—a phone call with Nuland. But what was actually discussed? The U.S. preferences for Ukraine’s future government, not directives or orders. 7/
The irony for Jeff is that he presents this call as proof of U.S. “omnipotence” in selecting Ukraine’s government. Yet, none of the candidates discussed actually became president. If anything, the call shows that the U.S. couldn’t install their preferred candidates in office 8/
Jeff’s claim: After the invasion, Zelensky agreed to neutrality, but the U.S. and U.K. insisted, “no, you fight on.”
Reality: Jeff distorts the Istanbul talks. Russia derailed them last minute, when 9/
Putin demanded a veto over any Western support to Ukraine in case of Russian future aggression. 10/
Reality: Jeff is confused; he’s citing the number of Russian casualties, dead and wounded, and wrongly attributing it to Ukraine 11/
Jeff’s claim: Putin isn’t a madman like Hitler; he’s a reasonable strategic statesman—the Hitler comparison is bogus 12/
Reality: True, Putin isn’t Hitler; he’s a state terrorist. He relies on terror, war crimes, mass killings of civilians, torture, city bombings, child deportations, and the beheading of POWs. Like bin Laden post-9/11, he uses nuclear threats to paralyze the West and Ukraine 13/
Jeff’s claim: Putin’s attack on Ukraine is just a U.S. government PR narrative.
Reality: Jeff implies the U.S. is more at fault than Putin. But even if it were true, it doesn’t absolve Putin 14/
Putin chose this invasion and has killed hundreds of thousands, not the U.S. government. Even if NATO was a concern, there are peaceful ways to address it—like making ties with Russia more attractive than NATO 15/
But Russia has done the opposite, making itself the real threat in Europe through murder, bombings, and attacks. Countries turn to NATO for protection from Russia, not because of U.S. “PR.” X
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The best explanation for Trump’s nominations of Matt Gaetz and Tulsi Gabbard comes from Konstantin Sonin @k_sonin : they won’t be confirmed, but it’s Trump’s way of rewarding loyalty.
I quote: 1/
Tulsi Gabbard, former congresswoman (back then a Democrat) and veteran, is proposed for National Security Coordinator. Matt Gaetz, congressman, is nominated for Attorney General 2/
The reaction — shock and outrage, as these nominations are, to say the least, highly controversial. 3/
NYTimes on the new department for government efficiency under Musk @elonmusk and Ramaswamy @VivekGRamaswamy
Their job is to get $2 trillion in federal budget cuts by July 4, 2026
They are also thinking about shutting down Education dept, FBI, IRS 1/
#DOGE
Musk's has a major conflict: SpaceX has $10 billion in federal contracts, faces 20 investigations/lawsuits from agencies he'd oversee. Also, department to provide "advice from outside government." 2/
Ramaswamy proposes eliminating Education Department, FBI, IRS by executive order, cutting federal workforce by 75%, slashing foreign aid to Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan.
Good luck with that! There is no way they will be able to do it and they are up for a surprise 3/
“You know what ceasefires are for him [Putin]? An opportunity to reload”
“[We should be] equipping and supplying Ukraine with what it needs
The Biden administration has not been doing it fast enough” 1/
But more recently, he expressed skepticism about U.S. involvement in Ukraine. Pete suggested that the conflict “pales in comparison” to domestic issues affecting Americans’ quality of life 2/mediamatters.org/russias-invasi…
Pete has characterized Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine as “Putin’s give-me-my-shit-back war”
Many view this as an implicit acceptance of the idea of the spheres of influence 3/
Ten days before the election, Michael Waltz launched a scathing critique of Biden’s weak foreign policy, exposing his hardline stance on China, Russia, and Ukraine. Now set to become Trump’s national security advisor, Waltz is likely to push further than Biden ever dared. 1/
Waltz echoes what Ukrainians have long argued: Biden’s “support as long as it takes” lacks strategy and invites failure. Instead, he calls for economic pressure on Russia through oil, gas, sanctions —or, if that fails, to arm Ukraine well with few restrictions. 2/
Michael argues that peace now, with a West-aligned Ukraine, marks a strategic defeat for Putin—and Beijing also knows it. Biden’s approach, he adds, will achieve the same outcome but at a greater cost in lives and funds 3/
Rubio is a foreign policy hawk who is tough on China and Iran. And hawkish is good when dealing with Russia and thus is good for Ukraine. But he is also a realist. 2/
In September 2024, Rubio discussed the necessity of a negotiated settlement in the Russia-Ukraine war: “I’m not on Russia’s side — but unfortunately the reality of it is that the way the war in Ukraine is going to end is with a negotiated settlement.” 3/
Russia has turned occupied Ukraine into gulags—places of fear where people are tortured, killed, and stripped of hope, forced to live like animals. A Russian “mind police,” in true Orwellian fashion, can have you killed simply for appearing too defiant 1/
The Economist writes that occupied Ukraine transformed into "prison society" where citizens fear everything and without Russian passports can’t even get basic services.
Even if you are not threatening to Russia, you are "like being a refugee in your own land" 2/
There is a severe population decline: from 6.4m to 3.5m in occupied regions (excluding Crimea), with continued exodus of up to 100,000 last year from "new regions" 3/