Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
Nov 13, 2024 18 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Can desalinated water deliver a future of infinite water?
Yes!
• It's cheap
• It will get even cheaper
• Limited pollution
• Some countries already live off of it

We can transform deserts into paradise. And some countries are already on that path:🧵 Image
Crazy fact:
Over half of Israel's freshwater is desalinated from the Mediterranean!
And the vast majority of its tap water is desalinated too!
And it costs less than municipal water in a city like LA! Image
It's not the only country. Saudi Arabia is the biggest desalinator in the world. 50% of its drinking water is desalinated. It's 30% in Singapore, a majority of water in the UAE...

What if we applied this, but at scale across the world? Image
Look at all these deserts around the world. 15% of all land! They are empty of life—both human (population density map at the bottom) and of animal/plants. What if we watered them with desalinated seawater? Is it economically viable? What about pollution? Image
Today, the best desalination plants can produce one ton of water for only $0.40! Image
To give you a sense of the cost, this is the cost of tap water in different cities around the world

Water in Oslo costs 15x more than the cost of desalinating it! Image
And since electricity is over a third of the cost, but its price is about to plummet thanks to solar and wind energy, within a decade we can expect desalination costs to reach $0.30/ton! Image
At this price, the cost of desalination is competitive even with the price of water for industrial purposes! Image
We could desalinate water & pump it into deserts. How far inland? Quite a lot!

It costs ~$0.05 to transport a ton of water 100 km inland or lift it up by 100 m.

So for $1/ton, you can send it 1200 km inland or 1200m up!

All this area of the Sahara could get freshwater! Image
In a country like Australia, everything but the white areas in the middle could receive desalinated freshwater!

(Even more if we made that depression in the middle into a sea, but that's for another day) Image
All these deserts are close enough to the sea (and low enough) that a big share of them could be transformed into lush gardens Image
Now, we couldn't transform them into agricultural centers... Or could we?

Water for agriculture costs nothing to a few cents around the world. Eg in California's Imperial Valley, it's 1-2 cents. $0.40/ton is not competitive.

For some crops
Here are a few farm products and how much more they would cost if they used water at $0.40/ton

Cheese would cost $2.2 more per kg, so that's not viable
But tomato costs would only grow by $0.15/kg! Image
And if we use enclosed greenhouses or vertical farms, which save 95% of water, we could basically farm anything in deserts!
If we can make and transport cheap freshwater inland, millions of km2 of desert land can be transformed into new cities, touristic resorts, agricultural land, and even lush forests and new lakes. The limit is our imagination Image
And if you think we can't make freshwater lakes with desalinated water... Israel is already replenishing the Sea of Galilee with desalinated water from the Mediterranean!! Image
So yes, desalination promises to make the world better:
• It's cheap: $0.40/ton
• Will get cheaper: $0.30/ton
• This is cheap enough for all drinking & industrial uses
• Also for agricultural uses, with enclosed greenhouses
• We can make cities, resorts, lakes, forests...
What about pollution?
Water quality?
They're not a problem, as I will cover in tomorrow's article:
unchartedterritories.tomaspueyo.com/subscribe

More details and sources for this thread in this week's article:
unchartedterritories.tomaspueyo.com/p/does-desalin…

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More from @tomaspueyo

Dec 5, 2024
Why are the top 20 US cities where they are? (including metropolitan areas): 🧵

1. New York: It became the trading hub between the Great Lakes and the Atlantic regions when it built its canals through the Appalachians

Image
2. Los Angeles:
• Trading hub between the world (Pacific) and the US (railways)
• Weather + biggest coastal valley on the Pacific➡️agriculture & cheap building
• Oil
• Landscapes + far from the East Coast centers of power➡️Attracted the film industry

Image
3. Chicago:
Trading hub between the Mississippi River Basin and the the Great Lakes area (and hence the world, via New York)

Image
Read 20 tweets
Nov 26, 2024
People think we must shrink the world's population to be happy, but they're wrong

A world with shrinking population would be decaying, poor, brutal, violent, hopeless

A world with 100 billion people would be dynamic, rich, innovative, peaceful, hopeful
🧵 Image
1. In the last 2 centuries, the world got better as the population exploded:
• Richer
• Live older
• Lower child mortality Image
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• Fewer homicides
• Fewer war deaths
• Fewer hours worked
• Lower share of poor people
And much more: fewer infections, diseases, accidents. More racial equality, sexual equality. Instant access to all the knowledge in the world. We can go anywhere, whenever we want... Image
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Read 17 tweets
Nov 19, 2024
We can raise our population on Earth from 8 billion to 100B humans if we want to

Would we starve?
Be too crowded?
Would pollution explode?
Ecosystems collapse?

No! Don't believe alarmist degrowthers. This is why they're wrong: 🧵 Image
Degrowthers put a label to "how many humans can the Earth sustain": carrying capacity

Their estimates vary wildly
Wait, what? What a surprise, the mode of their estimates is 8B—exactly the current number of ppl on Earth

WHAT A COINCIDENCE!Image
Or they lack imagination: OMG the Earth is already on the brink. Surely not one more soul fits here!

And then they try to find out what limits we might be hitting. Their most common fears are:
1. Room
2. Food
3. Water
4. Energy
5. Pollution
6. Resources
Let's look at each:
Read 20 tweets
Nov 12, 2024
President-elect @realDonaldTrump could own the environmentalists by solving global warming on his first day in office, and do it for 0.1% of current climate investments

Here's how: sulfate injection 🧵 Image
1. GLOBAL WARMING
2024 is the 1st year we pass 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels
This is caused by CO2
Some side-effects of this CO2 are good, but it's undeniable that the planet is warming fast, and it could create some nasty pbms Image
1. GLOBAL WARMING
2024 is the 1st year we pass 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels
This is caused by CO2
Some side-effects of this CO2 are good, but it's undeniable that the planet is warming fast, and it could create some nasty pbms
Read 18 tweets
Nov 9, 2024
Should you be able to experiment on your own cancer?

This expert virologist did. It was the 3rd time her cancer appeared. It didn't bode well. So she injected viruses in her tumor and it shrunk.

But most journals didn't want to publish her results. Why? Because they're dumb 🧵
Beata Halassy got cancer in 2016, then again in 2018, and again in 2020. That looked awfully bad. She knew if she continued in the traditional route, her cancer might eventually prevail. So she decided to try what she knew about: viruses Image
Here's the theory:
1. Select a virus that is likely to attack your target cancer cells
2. Because cancer cells neutralize the immune system, they're more likely to be killed by viruses than healthy cells
Read 17 tweets
Oct 15, 2024
Now that Starship can land, it's ready to go to Mars in 2026

Why then?
How will it go?
Why don't we need a Moon station for pit stops?
When will humans go?
🧵 Image
1. Why 2026?
As the Sun travels through space, its planets follow it
The Earth takes one year to orbit the Sun
Mars is farther away, and takes nearly two years
This means the 2 planets get close by every ~26 months
Read 15 tweets

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