1/9 He must really hate his country! Putin is ensuring that the number of russians decreases: the recent estimate from the BBC and Mediazona indicates deaths between 141,000 and 197,000. This suggests that total casualties likely range from 500,000 to 800,000
2/9 Using open-source research, Mediazona, an independent russian media outlet, in collaboration with BBC russia, has verified the names of 77,143 russian soldiers who have died since the onset of russia's full-scale invasion.
3/9 According to that data, it can be estimated that the total number of deaths among the russian army and pro-russian forces falls between 141,506 and 197,564 military personnel.
4/9 This indicates that russia likely has over 500,000 casualties at this point. The total number of casualties for russia is probably between 500,000 and 800,000, which aligns with most Western estimates.
5/9 russia was already facing severe demographic challenges prior to the war, and with the combined impact of deaths and those who have fled the country, the labor shortage is becoming a significant issue.
6/9 The labor shortage, coupled with rising public spending and sanctions, results in inflation, which complicates russia's ability to mobilize additional personnel, as this further exacerbates inflation.
7/9 This likely sheds light on why russia is currently using north korean troops, as they are less expensive for the russian economy and contribute to slower inflation growth.
8/9 Regardless of the circumstances, Putin is ensuring that there will be fewer russians by sacrificing his country's men in a war where he cannot achieve his original strategic objectives, and therefore cannot win.
9/9 Sources:
BBC
Mediazona
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1/11 The war is far from over, but Ukraine is still winning.
Here is how we can make sure that it defeats Russia 🧵
2/11 Russia’s 2022 invasion is a genocide.
They use genocidal rhetoric to justify erasing Ukraine's identity. They kidnap children and commit daily war crimes to punish civilians for simply refusing to be Russian.
This is a systematic attempt to destroy a nation
3/11 The human cost is massive.
In Mariupol, the death toll in 3 months potentially exceeded the total deaths in Gaza throughout the entire war, despite a much smaller population.
People underestimate this scale and don't see that Russia is committing genocide in Europe