🇬🇪Occupied Georgia. Let’s talk about Abkhazia, an occupied part of Georgia. This small, Black Sea coastal territory has been at the center of historical conflicts, ethnic tensions, and geopolitical struggles.
🧵Here is the background and why this week’s unrest matters so much
/25
Abkhazia was historically part of medieval Georgian kingdoms. It became a principality in the 15th century and eventually part of the Russian Empire in the 19th century. After the Soviet Union's collapse, tensions in the region escalated.
2/25
In 1992-1993, a brutal war erupted between Abkhaz separatists and Russian forces, and Georgian forces. The war marked one of the darkest chapters in post-Soviet history.
3/25
During the conflict, ethnic Georgians—who made up around 45.7% of Abkhazia’s population (about 240,000 people)—were targeted in a campaign of ethnic cleansing.
Entire villages were destroyed, and thousands were killed.
4/25
By the war’s end, an estimated 200,000–250,000 ethnic Georgians and some others were forcibly displaced from their homes in Abkhazia. Most have not been able to return to this day. The UN and international organizations condemned these actions as ethnic cleansing.
5/25
The war left Abkhazia under de facto control of separatists, supported by occupying Russian forces. Despite its "independence" claim, only Russia and a handful of other countries recognize Abkhazia as a separate state.
6/25
Russia has exerted significant influence over Abkhazia since then, providing military "protection" and economic "aid." However, these measures have increasingly tied Abkhazia’s future to 🇷🇺 Moscow, limiting its autonomy.
7/25
Fast-forward to today: Abkhazia is still an occupied region of Georgia. The majority of the world, including the UN, considers it part of Georgia’s territory.
But tensions remain high.
8/25
In November 2024, widespread protests erupted in Abkhazia. At the heart of the unrest is a controversial investment treaty with Russia, granting Russian companies preferential terms, including tax breaks and potential property ownership.
9/25 aljazeera.com/news/2024/11/1…
The treaty, signed in October 2024, was seen as another step toward eroding Abkhazia’s autonomy. Opposition groups accuse the government, led by President Aslan Bzhania, of prioritizing Russian interests over local needs.
10/25
Five opposition leaders, vocal critics of the treaty, were arrested in early November. Their detention sparked protests, with demonstrators blocking key roads and bridges leading to the capital, Sokhumi.
11/25
The protests escalated, forcing the government to release the detained leaders. However, the unrest highlighted a deeper frustration among Abkhazians over Russian dominance in the region.
12/25 edition.cnn.com/2024/11/15/eur…
Abkhazia’s opposition argues that the treaty is part of a broader pattern of Russian encroachment. They fear economic dependence will lead to further loss of sovereignty, mirroring the region’s history of external control.
13/25 sakartvelosambebi.ge/en/news/protes…
This isn’t the first time public anger over Russian influence has erupted. In 2023, protests flared over the transfer of a prime Black Sea resort to Russian ownership. The fear of “selling out” to Moscow is widespread.
14/25
Russia’s strategic interest in Abkhazia is clear: control over a Black Sea coastline, a foothold in the South Caucasus, and leverage over Georgia. Its influence is economic, military, and political.
15/25
Meanwhile, the Georgian Dream @GeorgianDream41 government has faced criticism for its passive response to the situation. Advocacy groups accuse Tbilisi of failing to challenge Russia’s actions in Abkhazia or adequately advocate for the rights of displaced Georgians.
16/25
Ethnic Georgians, who were forced out during the 1992–1993 war, remain displaced to this day. Their voices are often sidelined in discussions about Abkhazia’s future, leaving them in a state of limbo.
17/25
The scars of the ethnic cleansing are still visible. The demographic void left by the expulsion of Georgians drastically altered the region, making reconciliation and return even harder to achieve.
18/25
The November protests have drawn international attention to Abkhazia’s precarious position. It’s a stark reminder of the ongoing geopolitical tug-of-war between Russia and the West in the South Caucasus.
19/25 dailywrap.ca/protests-in-ab…
As of now, tensions in Abkhazia remain high. A major opposition rally is planned for November 15, coinciding with parliamentary discussions on ratifying the investment treaty.
20/25 civil.ge/archives/635655
The outcome of these discussions could shape Abkhazia’s trajectory—either deepening its economic dependence on Russia or sparking a stronger push for sovereignty among its population. A Georgian EU membership would probably also increase the interest for reunification 🇬🇪.
21/25
For Georgia, Abkhazia remains a painful and unresolved issue. For Russia, it’s a strategic pawn. And for Abkhazia’s people, the question of identity and autonomy is more pressing than ever.
22/25 oc-media.org/russia-cuts-fi…
Understanding Abkhazia requires looking at its complex history: its ties to Georgia, its brutal war, the ethnic cleansing of Georgians, and its entanglement with Russian interests.
#BeforeBuchaWasAbkhazia
23/25
Today, Abkhazia is at a crossroads. Protests and debates about sovereignty reflect the region’s struggles with its past and uncertainties about its future.
The world is watching.
24/25
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25/25buymeacoffee.com/terjehelland
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🌍History offers a sobering lesson: when rulers empower minority or religious groups to maintain control, they often sow the seeds of future conflict.
🧵In this thread, I’ll explore how this recurring strategy has shaped—and fractured—societies across time.
1/23
From colonial Rwanda to Ottoman Bosnia, and from Northern Ireland to Austro-Hungarian Krajina, empowering a specific group often created short-term stability for rulers but left behind deep divisions, mistrust, and violence. Let’s dive in.
2/23
Rwanda: During Belgian colonial rule, the Tutsi minority was elevated above the Hutu majority. Tutsis were granted better education, administrative roles, and political power. This favoritism created resentment among the Hutus.
3/23 modernhistoryproject2012.wordpress.com/history-of-hut…
🇬🇪 MAJOR COVER-UP: Georgia’s democracy is under siege. From multi-layered election fraud to a coordinated state cover-up. Georgian Dream (GD) consolidates power through rigging and cover-up.
🧵 Here are the details, implications, and what must happen next.
1/24
Election fraud was no accident. Hans Gutbrod @HansGutbrod outlines how GD’s tactics, from the “snowball” voter mobilization to targeted intimidation, were part of a calculated strategy to secure victory through fear and control.
2/24 politicsgeo.com/article/106
Election Day was marred by irregularities across Georgia. Sergi Kapanadze @sergikap details unauthorized personnel at polling stations, the distribution of multiple ballots, and other tactics used by GD that undermined the fairness of the vote.
3/24 politicsgeo.com/article/105
🇬🇪RECOMMENDED: The parliamentary elections in Georgia were not merely flawed but represented a calculated, multi-faceted assault on democracy.
🧵Prof. @HansGutbrod report highlights Georgian Dream’s extensive and systematic tactics to rig the outcome. 1/5 civil.ge/archives/633898
Key methods included massive vote-buying, estimated to exceed GEL 45 million, voter intimidation, and manipulations that stripped away voting secrecy. These abuses disproportionately impacted rural voters, leaving them highly vulnerable.
2/5
Gutbrod’s analysis, using statistical techniques like “matching,” underscores the scale of manipulation. Physical violence, compromised vote secrecy, and pre-election intimidation cumulatively altered thousands of votes in favor of Georgian Dream.
3/5
🇬🇪In Tbilisi, Judges Khatuna Khomeriki, Zaza Ramishvili, and Shota Siradze are facing what might be their “application for sanctions” moment.
They’re deciding on Judge Khuchua’s ruling, which exposed serious election secrecy breaches—something Georgian Dream don´t like. 🧵
1/14
Judge Khuchua’s decision to reveal these flaws was a rare act of judicial independence. Now, Khomeriki, Ramishvili, and Siradze must choose: do they back Khuchua’s stand for democracy, or help protect the ruling party’s stranglehold on power?
2/14
Judge Khatuna Khomeriki’s next move will say a lot. Does she prioritize voters’ rights, or will she align with Georgian Dream’s undemocratic tactics? Her decision could be the difference between accountability and complicity.
3/14
🇬🇪In Georgia's captured judiciary, where US sanctioned clan judges reign, true justice is rarely served.
But today, we see a rare exception: Tetritskaro District Judge Vladimer Khuchua.
🧵His courage may signal a crack in the Georgian Dream's grip on power. More here:
1/7
The Tetritskaro District Court took an unprecedented step by granting @GYLA_CSO’s motion to examine ballots—confirming that voter secrecy was breached in #GeVote2024. In a system where election manipulation is the norm, this is monumental. 2/7
Judge Khuchua demanded the actual vote-counting machine, ballots, marker, and envelope, revealing how the system allowed the choice marked on the back of the ballot to be visible. Such a detail, typically buried, now lays bare for all to see. 3/7
🇬🇪SHOCKING REPORTS emerge of widespread, coordinated election fraud during Georgia’s parliamentary elections. The details reveal a well-oiled machine of manipulation—far too intricate to be local improvisation.
🧵Here’s what went down and why international action is essential.
A report from a polling station in Iormughanlo: observers saw Georgian Dream (GD) operatives monitoring voter turnout, organizing transport, and even paying voters. This had to be centralized planning with clear directives from GD leadership.
2/24 oc-media.org/features/whoev…
Across Georgia, intimidating figures were stationed outside polling stations. Their job? To signal to every voter that they were being watched. This fear tactic wasn’t isolated; it was a widespread, coordinated pre-planned effort to suppress opposition votes.
3/24