tern Profile picture
Nov 15 30 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Ahead of a potential bird flu pandemic, I would give one specific warning:

Be *very careful* about whom you trust for information.
For a start, don't believe anyone who says "the way to not catch respiratory infections is to cover your mouth when coughing".
Don't trust anyone who says "sneeze into your elbow".
Or anyone who says "most people will not die".
Don't trust anyone who says "it's mild in children".
In fact, don't trust anyone who seems to be trying to instill a happy vibe that there's no problem.
If there's a problem, you need people in charge who admit there's a problem.
Don't trust anyone who encourages you to get sick.
With bird flu, or covid, or anything, really.
How might bird flu transmit if it went person to person?

Probably in a combination of aerosols, droplets, and contact with fluids.
You wouldn't be able to absorb it through your skin, but if you got it on your hand and picked your nose, that might do the job.

It might not be as easily aerosolised as covid, but you're still going to want an ffp2/n95+ mask, not a surgical one.
All that handwashing practice will come in handy too.

More so than with Covid, probably.
There are good deals on N95/FFP2+ masks *now*, and you can get some practice in.
Will you be able to catch it through your eyes?

Honestly, I have no idea.
But anyone who has already got themselves a pair of stoggles may be wisely prepared.
If it starts to spread widely, you may want to think about how you handle and prepare food.

Don't trust anyone who says that it's fine to eat raw milk or eggs.

Those people do not have your best interests at heart.
Don't trust people who lied about Covid being fine to catch.
Don't trust anyone appointed by Donald Trump
And don't trust anyone who says the way to end the pandemic is for everyone to get infected.
Also, be very careful believing anyone who is trying to sell you a product like supplements or unproven treatments or preventatives.
Whom should you trust?
People who are cautious.
People who are compassionate.
People who consider the worst case scenario, and include it within their plans, rather than those who exclude them altogether.
People who aren't trying to sell you something or get you to do something like go to restaurants.
People who are taking into consideration the most vulnerable in society.
*Don't trust* people who are passing multi million dollar contracts to their friends.
Do trust people who put contracts properly out to tender.
*Don't trust* birds on the internet.
Yes, I know I'm one, that's the point.
Don't trust sociologists who tell you to get infected.
But trust people who have a consistent track record of being right, if you can find them.

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More from @1goodtern

Nov 17
I think that for a while we've been going through a phase where the term Long Covid has been developing a mixed usefulness.
In theory the term is used to refer to any health condition caused by a covid infection that you have three months after the infection, and that lasts for at least two.
Honestly, I think if that's your definition, then the majority of over 40s in our local community *have had* long covid.

Definitely the over 50s.
Read 28 tweets
Nov 16
I had an afternoon with two people with Long Covid, and it was interesting how they described it.
One describes it straight up: "I've got Long Covid".
The second one later says "I'm recovering from Long Covid".
Read 6 tweets
Nov 14
I've seen a couple of recent takes saying that people who consider covid to still be a problem are essentially antivax, because they don't trust the vaccine to deal with the problem.

That's obviously nuts, but let me just break it down into words one syllable:
Jabs don't stop long sars.
I couldn't say long covid because that's two syllables.
Read 13 tweets
Nov 13
When a medical professional writes "Covid Anxiety" on your chart, this is what it stands for:
A - Aware of your body and changes in health, because you are the one who knows what you're going through each day.
N - Noting symptoms responsibly, not obsessively, because this is your life we're talking about.
Read 10 tweets
Nov 12
Another kick in the balls study.

"We found that having a prior PASC (post acute symptom of Covid) increases the chances of having more PASC in subsequent infections."

🚨🚨The risk of Long Covid increases with each infection🚨🚨

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…Image
"This could be due to long-haulers’ inability to mount an appropriate, timely immune response to clear the COVID-19 infection each time, leading to greater susceptibility to developing PASC in subsequent infections." Image
It's what I see in everyday life.
Read 10 tweets
Nov 11
I think this is a comparison worth looking at.

Deaths of 5-9yos in Finland on the left, deaths of 5-9yo boys in England and Wales on the right.

I don't have the data for 2005-2015, as Ilkka does for Finland, but I've kept the timescale the same on the chart for comparison. Image
Image
Similar trends in other age groups here too. Image
Some of the data is quite messy, and trends can be temporary, but that's the point, isn't it?
Read 6 tweets

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