1-9 The resistance to evidence about COVID and Trump has puzzled me until now.
KGB agent Yuri Alexandrovich Bezmenov defected to Canada in 1970 and stated 85% of KGB work was “a slow process which we call either ideological subversion, active measures, or psychological warfare.”
2-“What it...means is: to change the perception of reality of every American to such an extent that despite of the abundance of information no one is able to come to sensible conclusions in the interest of defending themselves, their families, their community, and their country.”
3-"Bezmenov described this process as “a great brainwashing” that has four basic stages. The first stage is called “demoralization” which takes from 15 to 20 years to achieve...the time it takes to change what the people are thinking".
4-"You cannot change their mind even if you expose them to authentic information. Even if you prove that white is white and black is black, you still can not change the basic perception and the logic of behavior."
5-"A person who was demoralized is unable to assess true information. The facts tell nothing to him. Even if I shower him with information, with authentic proof, with documents, with pictures; even if I take him by force to the Soviet Union and show him [a] concentration camp...
6-he will refuse to believe it, until he [receives] a kick in his fan-bottom. When a military boot crashes his balls then he will understand. But not before that. That’s the [tragedy] of the situation of demoralization."
7-"Once demoralization is completed, the second stage of ideological brainwashing is “destabilization”. During this two-to-five-year period...what matters is the targeting of essential structural elements of a nation: economy, foreign relations, and defense systems."
8-"The third stage would be “crisis.” It would take only up to six weeks to send a country into crisis, explained Bezmenov. The crisis would bring “a violent change of power, structure, and economy” and will be followed by the last stage...
9-9...“normalization.” That’s when your country is basically taken over, living under a new ideology and reality."
My list of worries right now is quite overwhelming.
Let's start with a couple of my pandemic slides from 20 years ago. In this one, I was talking about how SE Asia has the densest human, waterfowl, and pig populations anywhere on Earth.
2- The importance of that is a little bit more subtle. Typically, human and avian influenza viruses don't cross between those species. That has a little bit to do with receptors and body temperatures, among other things.
3- The bad thing is that influenza is a very promiscuous virus. It's more than happy to swap some genes or even mop up genetic material from the environment and incorporate it into its genome.
"Despite ideal conditions that fueled pre-season predictions of upwards of 20 named storms, the immediate prospects for one are low, and none have formed in the Atlantic since Ernesto in mid-August – a streak unmatched in 56 years."
So far during the pandemic, about 1-5% of people have needed hospitalization. I'll take the low number of that for argument. That's 15 million hospitalizations.
3 -
On average, omicron has resulted in about 0.4% acute mortality, which means 600,000 deaths this wave.
I'm writing about COVID and MVAs, but pulled together some data that is really interesting to share now. The black line is road miles, the light blue is air miles, and the red is MVA deaths per 100,000 population per 100,000 miles.
2-3 The orange line is simply to make it easy to look at the year 2000 on all three. The drop in air and road miles is expected, but the big jump in mortality is telling.
3-3 Part may be due to higher speeds on empty roads, but that also might be related to increased risk-taking behavior as a result of COVID infection. Now the highways are congested again, but the mortality hasn't dropped. It's another argument that COVID is driving up MVAs.
I thought I would explain why I am so concerned about H5N1. Even if it isn't causing severe illness and death at present in humans, each infection exponentially increases the chance of mutation to a version that would.
2- To date, the case fatality rate has been about 56%, although that number could be high due to insufficient testing leading to case ascertainment bias.