🧵New HRW "report" claiming Israel committed crime of “forcible transfer” is a work of fantasy and fake law. HRW ridiculously claims Israel has no “military imperative” to evacuate Gazans by pretending IDF is not battling Hamas and has other options—but offers none. Analysis: 1/
First, HRW's entire 176-page analysis assumes Gaza is occupied thus Geneva Article 49 (below) applies to Israel’s evacuation actions—otherwise entire report falls apart. We’ll assume for this thread Gaza is occupied (it’s not); even so, Israel’s actions are still 100% legal. 2/
HRW’s thesis relies entirely on claiming Israel has no legitimate “military imperative” to evacuate Gazans—thus a crime. HRW does this by effectively pretending Hamas was/is not in active combat in Gaza, is not embedded in civilian areas & poses no threat to IDF or Israel. 3/
HRW claims presence of Hamas does not justify displacement of civilians, but does not explain why. HRW just claims IDF had other options but does not say what those are. Is it: 1) attacking Hamas with civilians in place? or 2) granting Hamas permanent immunity? HRW wants #2. 4/
Later in report HRW even says it is “impossible” to fully understand Israel’s strategy (so admitting entire report is based on fake analysis) but again declares presence of Hamas does not justify evacuating citizens. HRW offers no analysis or other option to defeat Hamas. 5/
In a total & deliberate erasure HRW omits Hamas: 500km of tunnels, non-stop rocket fire no nation on earth would tolerate, 1000s of buildings booby-trapped, Hamas dressed as civilian, combat from apartments & hospitals. Total removal to claim IDF has no “military imperative.” 6/
Not one section of report (all sections below) discusses Hamas, analyzes war, discusses other “options” for Israel, discusses option of not evacuating Gazans, assesses Hamas threat to Israel, consults military experts. Hamas is a total non-player in HRW’s fantasy narrative. 7/
HRW fabricates int’l law claiming Israel must “guarantee protection of displaced persons” & guarantee “safe areas.” But Geneva does not require this; the word "guarantee" is not even written in Article 49. It only says obligations required to "greatest practicable extent." 8/
In an active war zone, with many 1,000s of Hamas dressed as civilians in tunnels, IEDs & booby-trapping buildings, snipers, etc. causing >5,000 IDF casualties (5 killed in north Gaza last week), perfect evacuations are not "practicable." But HRW pretends Hamas does not exist. 9/
HRW deliberately makes no mention of Geneva Protocol I.58 which requires evacuation of civilians in combat zone. If Israel DID NOT evacuate Gazans it is 100% certain HRW would write report how Israel violated Article 58. For Israel it's a crime if you do, crime if you don’t. 10/
HRW demands perfection of Israel’s evacuation otherwise it’s criminal, devoting many pages to how orders were confusing, disabled people had trouble and many other hardships. Geneva again understands it's war: evacuations are to “extent feasible” as analysis below explains: 11/
HRW also claims Israel is unlawful by not allowing population to return after "threat is no longer present.” HRW ignores that Hamas remains a deadly threat all over Gaza, constantly returning to places IDF clears like north Gaza. HRW's "I don't see Hamas" fantasy continues. 12/
HRW devotes many pages to IDF attacks in humanitarian zones, thus claiming Israel's evacuations were not intended to move Gazans for their safety, but won't say why: Hamas embedded in these zones. Mohammed Deif was killed inside the Mawasi safe zone. No mention by HRW. 13/
Another core claim of HRW is that IDF attacked main evacuation routes, such as Salah al-Din Road. But the only evidence are news reports & Hamas statements where it’s not clear at all what happened – in fact evidence shows Hamas attacked the evacuees, but HRW omits this. 14/
HRW's fantasy of Hamas not existing is affirmed in “Recommendations” section. Israel must do just about everything. Hamas is free & clear, no obligations, no fault. They don’t even have to release hostages. They freely can attack Israel and promise publicly to do 10/7 again. 15/
HRW reveals true goal of report: dismantle Israel as a Jewish state in favor of a Palestinian state that enshrines Islam & Sharia law in its constitution (Remember: dozens of Muslim states OK; one Jewish not OK). HRW brings up fake “right” of return several times in report. 16/
Conclusion: This long report is another in an endless series of anti-Israel propaganda masking as "reports" and "research" by a formerly respected NGO. In HRW’s warped world view, Israel is solely responsible for the perfect well being of Gazans while Hamas has zero responsibility, zero fault. In fact, the report is an incredibly weaved fairy tale where Hamas does not exist. Other than a brief mention by HRW that they committed crimes on 10/7, Hamas is in the clear. Hamas can freely spend billions building a 30,000 strong military, firing rockets (even just a few days ago), attacking from tunnels, booby-trapping 1000s of buildings, holding & killing hostages, causing 5,000 IDF casualties (even yesterday an IDF soldier was killed in north Gaza where supposedly there is no justification to move civilians) and keep doing this now and in the future. Hamas can publicly boast that they will do 10/7 again, refuse to surrender, but to HRW, this is not relevant, not mentioned, not analyzed. Thus Israeli still cannot claim a "military imperative" to justify evacuating civilians. HRW claims instead that Israel has other "options," but does not say what these options are. There is no analysis of the war, and certainly no consultation with military experts (of course: none would agree with HRW). One can be sure that if Israel did not evacuate civilians they'd also be guilty of crimes, a 176-page report on how Israel violated Protocol I.58 and the horror of attacking Hamas without moving out civilians first. To HRW, the laws of war are written in such a way that Hamas has permanent immunity, and literally any action Israel takes is always criminal. END
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🧵DID YOU KNOW? Gaza's population & birth rate have grown since 10/7. WHO vaccinated 603,000 kids under age 10—more than existed pre-war. UN reports 60,000+ births in Gaza in 2024—higher than pre-war. Palestinian authorities confirm data. Shatters "genocide" libel. Details: 1/
How many children under 10 lived in Gaza before and during the war? Using 10 years of actual birth data, we can estimate closely. Palestinian authorities report ~58,000 births/year in Gaza from 2007–2022. What about 2023 and 2024? Let’s break it down: 2/ pcbs.gov.ps/statisticsIndi…
UN and Save the Children report a rise to 60,000+ births in Gaza across 2023–2024—directly contradicting the UNHRC’s blood libel that Israel 'targeted female reproduction' in an alleged genocide. One of the most false and antisemitic UN reports in history. 3/
Hamas Ministry of Health official admits NATURAL DEATHS were included in fatality lists—a claim they always denied. There have been ~8,000 natural deaths since 10/7, or 16% of all fatalities. Admission further corroborates my Jan 2025 estimate of Gaza fatalities. Analysis: 1/2
Here is my original estimate that included about 7,000 natural deaths. The many Hamas "list defenders" said no chance, Hamas has said there are no natural deaths. Turns out there are. And there still are. 2/2
And further corroborates the @HJS_Org by @Mr_Andrew_Fox that contended natural deaths were included. Every day we're finding more evidence that corroborates this Dec 2024 report. henryjacksonsociety.org/publications/q…
🧵Recent @TheLancet study claimed 60,000 Gaza deaths using statistical analysis on 3 fatality lists, mainly Hamas’ June 2024 list. But 881 “confirmed” June deaths were REMOVED in Hamas' Oct 2024 & March 2025 lists—invalidating study's conclusions. Review & analysis: 1/
Data for Lancet study was anchored on June 2024 Hamas list of 22,347 “identified” fatalities recorded only by the hospital, excluding self reports. But a comparison of these supposedly 100% confirmed deaths to Hamas' later lists shows 881 “deaths” removed—they never happened. 2/
Even if removing 4% of names yields similar results (I don't know), it’s irrelevant. The core assumption—that hospital-issued deaths by Hamas are reliable—has collapsed. June 2024 list is no longer a valid data source. The authors should retract (or at least redo) the study. 3/
🧵BOMBSHELL: Hamas’ new March 2025 fatality list quietly drops 3,400 fully “identified” deaths listed in its Aug & Oct 2024 reports—including 1,080 children. These "deaths" never happened. The numbers were falsified—again. Examples, analysis and evidence: 1/
What happened? How did 1000s of supposedly confirmed, fully identified deaths just vanish? Were some actually missing persons? Sloppy records? Intentional deception? Hamas’ Ministry of Health was never reliable. Expect Hamas' many “list defenders” to come up with excuses. 2/
Fact is, from day one, Hamas has gamed the fatality data—from including 471 fake “deaths” at al-Ahli Hospital in the official count, to claiming 70% of fatalities were women & children (then quietly backing off). Managed fakery, dressed up as precision—just like in past wars. 3/
🧵GAZA FATALITY UPDATE: Hamas issued new list of 50,021 fatalities. Findings: (a) Fatalities age 13-55 are 72% men (b) Teen soldiers confirmed; males=65% of deaths age 13-17 (c) Natural deaths are ~8,300 of total fatalities. (4) IDF targeted combatants; NO genocide. Analysis: 1/
As in prior lists, well known use by Hamas & PIJ of teen combatants as young as 13 is confirmed, with 65% of teen fatalities male. There are ~1,500 excess teen combatants recorded (Silence, of course, from so-called NGOs). Under age 10, fatalities close to 50-50 male/female. 2/
At this point it is certain natural deaths & infant mortality are included in the Hamas fatality list. After 16 months, Hamas and its "Ministry of Health" does not have a hidden separate list of natural deaths. These are ~8,300 since 10/7, based on historical data for Gaza. 3/
🧵IDF's strike on Hamas leader Ismail Barhoum at Nasser hospital was legal, in compliance with Geneva Conventions regarding protection of hospitals, distinction, proportionality & warnings. Claims that strike was illegal willfully ignore evidence and int'l law. Full analysis: 1/
Barhoum was in Hamas' politburo, its main decision making body directing its policy & activities. It's not just Israel who said this; EU put him under individual sanctions for "financing" Hamas “enabling their violent actions,” corroborating Israeli claims. NOT a civilian. 2/
The US has Barhoum listed as a terrorist under program SDGT which is “Global Terrorism Sanctions Regulations” – he is personally listed as part of Hamas, a US designated terror org. Again, corroborating Israeli claims. 3/ sanctionssearch.ofac.treas.gov/Details.aspx?i…