🧵New HRW "report" claiming Israel committed crime of “forcible transfer” is a work of fantasy and fake law. HRW ridiculously claims Israel has no “military imperative” to evacuate Gazans by pretending IDF is not battling Hamas and has other options—but offers none. Analysis: 1/
First, HRW's entire 176-page analysis assumes Gaza is occupied thus Geneva Article 49 (below) applies to Israel’s evacuation actions—otherwise entire report falls apart. We’ll assume for this thread Gaza is occupied (it’s not); even so, Israel’s actions are still 100% legal. 2/
HRW’s thesis relies entirely on claiming Israel has no legitimate “military imperative” to evacuate Gazans—thus a crime. HRW does this by effectively pretending Hamas was/is not in active combat in Gaza, is not embedded in civilian areas & poses no threat to IDF or Israel. 3/
HRW claims presence of Hamas does not justify displacement of civilians, but does not explain why. HRW just claims IDF had other options but does not say what those are. Is it: 1) attacking Hamas with civilians in place? or 2) granting Hamas permanent immunity? HRW wants #2. 4/
Later in report HRW even says it is “impossible” to fully understand Israel’s strategy (so admitting entire report is based on fake analysis) but again declares presence of Hamas does not justify evacuating citizens. HRW offers no analysis or other option to defeat Hamas. 5/
In a total & deliberate erasure HRW omits Hamas: 500km of tunnels, non-stop rocket fire no nation on earth would tolerate, 1000s of buildings booby-trapped, Hamas dressed as civilian, combat from apartments & hospitals. Total removal to claim IDF has no “military imperative.” 6/
Not one section of report (all sections below) discusses Hamas, analyzes war, discusses other “options” for Israel, discusses option of not evacuating Gazans, assesses Hamas threat to Israel, consults military experts. Hamas is a total non-player in HRW’s fantasy narrative. 7/
HRW fabricates int’l law claiming Israel must “guarantee protection of displaced persons” & guarantee “safe areas.” But Geneva does not require this; the word "guarantee" is not even written in Article 49. It only says obligations required to "greatest practicable extent." 8/
In an active war zone, with many 1,000s of Hamas dressed as civilians in tunnels, IEDs & booby-trapping buildings, snipers, etc. causing >5,000 IDF casualties (5 killed in north Gaza last week), perfect evacuations are not "practicable." But HRW pretends Hamas does not exist. 9/
HRW deliberately makes no mention of Geneva Protocol I.58 which requires evacuation of civilians in combat zone. If Israel DID NOT evacuate Gazans it is 100% certain HRW would write report how Israel violated Article 58. For Israel it's a crime if you do, crime if you don’t. 10/
HRW demands perfection of Israel’s evacuation otherwise it’s criminal, devoting many pages to how orders were confusing, disabled people had trouble and many other hardships. Geneva again understands it's war: evacuations are to “extent feasible” as analysis below explains: 11/
HRW also claims Israel is unlawful by not allowing population to return after "threat is no longer present.” HRW ignores that Hamas remains a deadly threat all over Gaza, constantly returning to places IDF clears like north Gaza. HRW's "I don't see Hamas" fantasy continues. 12/
HRW devotes many pages to IDF attacks in humanitarian zones, thus claiming Israel's evacuations were not intended to move Gazans for their safety, but won't say why: Hamas embedded in these zones. Mohammed Deif was killed inside the Mawasi safe zone. No mention by HRW. 13/
Another core claim of HRW is that IDF attacked main evacuation routes, such as Salah al-Din Road. But the only evidence are news reports & Hamas statements where it’s not clear at all what happened – in fact evidence shows Hamas attacked the evacuees, but HRW omits this. 14/
HRW's fantasy of Hamas not existing is affirmed in “Recommendations” section. Israel must do just about everything. Hamas is free & clear, no obligations, no fault. They don’t even have to release hostages. They freely can attack Israel and promise publicly to do 10/7 again. 15/
HRW reveals true goal of report: dismantle Israel as a Jewish state in favor of a Palestinian state that enshrines Islam & Sharia law in its constitution (Remember: dozens of Muslim states OK; one Jewish not OK). HRW brings up fake “right” of return several times in report. 16/
Conclusion: This long report is another in an endless series of anti-Israel propaganda masking as "reports" and "research" by a formerly respected NGO. In HRW’s warped world view, Israel is solely responsible for the perfect well being of Gazans while Hamas has zero responsibility, zero fault. In fact, the report is an incredibly weaved fairy tale where Hamas does not exist. Other than a brief mention by HRW that they committed crimes on 10/7, Hamas is in the clear. Hamas can freely spend billions building a 30,000 strong military, firing rockets (even just a few days ago), attacking from tunnels, booby-trapping 1000s of buildings, holding & killing hostages, causing 5,000 IDF casualties (even yesterday an IDF soldier was killed in north Gaza where supposedly there is no justification to move civilians) and keep doing this now and in the future. Hamas can publicly boast that they will do 10/7 again, refuse to surrender, but to HRW, this is not relevant, not mentioned, not analyzed. Thus Israeli still cannot claim a "military imperative" to justify evacuating civilians. HRW claims instead that Israel has other "options," but does not say what these options are. There is no analysis of the war, and certainly no consultation with military experts (of course: none would agree with HRW). One can be sure that if Israel did not evacuate civilians they'd also be guilty of crimes, a 176-page report on how Israel violated Protocol I.58 and the horror of attacking Hamas without moving out civilians first. To HRW, the laws of war are written in such a way that Hamas has permanent immunity, and literally any action Israel takes is always criminal. END
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🧵BOMBSHELL FINDING: Hamas inadvertently admits in new data release that far more men died than shown on “identified” list of fatalities, corroborating IDF claim of 20,000 combatants killed. Hamas reports 7x more fathers killed than mothers during war! Sources & analysis: 1/
See Hamas MoH report below. 32,152 children lost father and 4,417 lost mother. This 7.3x ratio is far higher than 2.2x adult men to woman listed on Hamas fatality list from Oct 2024. It can only mean many men killed missing from Hamas fatality list. 2/
Ratio of females age 18+ listed killed to “children who lost mothers” is almost 2:1, but for males it is 0.6:1. A staggering difference of almost 28,000 more “children who lost fathers” than a mother; this can only mean far more male fatalities not counted by Hamas. 3/
51,600 total deaths broken down as follows:
22,600 civilians
20,000 combatants
7,000 natural deaths
2,000 deaths caused by Hamas
Civilian/combatant ratio: ~1:1
See detailed analysis after 15 months of close review:
Here is estimate of children & women killed in war, using Hamas’ data, but adjusting for teen combatants, infant mortality and natural deaths. Combined ~37% of total fatalities (it was never 70% or even 50%) and ~72% of civilian fatalities (this is where the 70% came from). 2/
Key change to Hamas Jan 2025 total fatality numbers is adding in ~7,000 combatants to the 46,600 number that are not on any Hamas list or total count. It has been verified that Hamas by design limits reporting on combatant deaths. See combatant analysis below: 3/
🧵Lancet article claiming 64,000+ deaths in Gaza has many flaws, but one item in authors' final data output destroys validity of their analysis. Authors claim 52% of deaths age 45-59 are female; but Hamas' identified list of 40,700 deaths from Oct 2024 shows only 35% female. 1/
In Oct 2024 Hamas issued an updated “identified” fatality with age & sex detail. For age 45-59 it was 2,861 men & 1,557 women. So according to Lancet article that says overall Gaza deaths are 41% more than Hamas says, for this age range the undercount is 100% women, 0% males. 2/
Lancet analysis results don't make sense. It’s undisputed that more men than women die in wars, and in Gaza in all age ranges, especially within fighting age men. Claiming 1,481 missing female deaths but zero males in this age range is inane. Authors don't address or explain. 3/
🧵Arafat rejected the Clinton Parameters exactly 24 years ago in January 2001, rejecting statehood that would have ended the conflict. Every life lost since is due to Arafat saying no. Recent statements by Clinton affirms this history. Full details of offer and rejection: 1/
Overview: Following failed Camp David summit in Summer of 2000 and Arafat’s launch of 2nd Intifada, Clinton dictated a final set of peace terms in Dec 2000 (very brief summary below), well beyond offer at Camp David, and asked each side to say yes “within the Parameters.” 2/
Israeli PM Ehud Barak and his team accepted the terms “within the Parameters.” Revisionists claim this is not true, but Clinton, Saudi Prince Bandar & key American negotiators and released documents have corroborated Israel’s acceptance. See from Clinton & Dennis Ross below: 3/
🧵Ireland filed document at ICJ on Dec 20 outlining how it wants definition of genocide changed, as it admitted on Dec 11 it would do. Filing effectively proves claims of genocide against Israel at ICJ and by NGOs like Amnesty are invalid. Analysis of changes Ireland wants: 1/
Ireland’s tactic is to join the Rhoyinga genocide case (The Gambia v Myanmar), ask the ICJ here for definitional changes, mainly in how “special intent” or dolus specialis for genocide is defined and join South Africa case v Israel with new definition to use against Israel. 2/
Ireland never cared to join case vs Myanmar filed five years ago in Nov 2019. If Rhoyingas were of high concern why wait until now? Of course Ireland's sudden interest is hatred for Israel. But genocide's definition does not work for Israel, so they want to change it now. 3/
🧵With 500K+ views this fake list of "Zionist arguments" requires a full debunking. Every point Shehada makes is a lie, misrepresentation, strawman, and fake history (lots of it). Detailed thread below: 1/
1. The very first claim is a lie. That “Zionist arguments” argue “we were here first.” No “Zionist” claims Jews were the first human beings in the area, this is a strawman argument fabricated by Shehada. Instead, the fact (not an "argument") is that Jews originated in the region with a 3,000 year unbroken history that included independent kingdoms. That Jewish history in the region predates Arab and Muslim history.
2. Shehada says "many" Palestinians have Canaanite DNA. The DNA of Caananites, according to research, can be found in both Jewish and Arab populations in the region, even more so in Lebanon and Jordan. (english.tau.ac.il/news/canaanites) There have not been any Caananites on earth for some 3,000 years and there is no specific or direct connection of Caananites to Palestinians or Jews or anyone else. No human on earth today can claim a direct lineage or identity to Caananites. Palestinians sometimes claim to be direct descendants of Caananites in a feeble attempt to "predate" Jews who trace back 3,000 years.