7/ BTR-80s: almost gone too, just 73 out of 429 left here by now, almost all reorganized in this spot and ready to be shipped out.
8/ BMPs: there were at least 124 BMP-3s stored at the 22nd before the war, and by 2023 all were gone. Now it's mostly BMP-1s and BRM-1s (reccon BMP-1 variant) left, and a lot of them are in terrible condition.
9/ Almost half of the BMPs, plus some 30 BTR-50s, are stored here. You can see that they started moving them around, despite being little more than husks:
10/ BRDM-2s: also stored in shitty condition in a specific spot of the base and almost untouched:
11/ However, you can see that they're getting desperate now and looking for every piece of equipment they can get running again: BRDM-2s, BTR-50s, and even the seven MT-LBus stored here have been moved around to be ready to ship out or cannibalize them for spare parts:
12/ And I disagree with @a_from_s here: if anything, ordening everything in nice rows made up of vehicles clearly not missing turrets or engines points to those vehicles being the last batches of working armor that will be demothballed.
13/ In fact, you can see that some BMPs are already missing in these areas, despite haven't been left there for more than a few months at most. Plus track marks everywhere.
14/ Take another look at the BMPs stored at the 6018th, showed in the quoted tweet: there too vehicles show recent movement, and it seems they lump together all remaining working vehicles, as there's also BTRs, BRDM-2s and MT-LBs alongside BMPs.
15/ TL;DR: they're scrapping the barrel at the 22nd storage base and prepping all remaning AFVs in decent condition to be sent to Ukraine to replenish armor losses for the Russian invading forces. This base will probaby be depleted of anything but broken, rusty hulls by 2025.
16/ Finally, I know I've been pretty out these last couple months, but I'll have alot of free time in December to put out some decent threads.
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1/ Sort 🧵about the 6018th: while there's still no new decent footage of this major storage base, a closer look at a recent update on Copernicus (Sentinel-2) appears to show a lot of naked ground on the spot where there used to be a lot of the remaining (poorly conserved) armor.
2/ After mostly emptying out the 6018th earlier in the war, in recent times they've come back to pick up the remains.
3/ I previously speculated that these base probably has seen, at the vary least, most or all of their remaining rusty T-80s and better preserved BMP-1/2/3s taken in recent months. We'll just have to wait until better proof of it.
It would appear whatever stock of T-72Bs held UVZ at their own facilities, is now exhausted, as the Russians have restarted to take T-72Bs stored at the 1311th base to be refurbished at that factory. The stock probably won't last long, I estimate they pull ~20 per month.
Also, unless I'm seriously mistaken with the count/IDs, there are no more T-80BVs at the 1311th. By now it's likely there are no stored T-80s left at all (possibly the ones remaining at the 22nd are all T-80UDs).
Would need a recent image of the 6018th to prove it, but unfortunately that base gets no coverage at all as of lately. This would also point to Omsktransmash being able to quickly work through its backlog of T-80s, similar to what I already analyzed in previous BTRZ threads.
3/ So, before taking a look into the facilities and their capabilities, we have to consider that for the last year Russia has decisively switched tactics to infantry and light vehicles intensive ones.
1/ Time to review Russian Armor Repair Plants (BTRZs)! Been a long time since the last time we checked them, and they’re crucial to the Russian war machine.
2/ Before starting, first I recommend watching @CovertCabal's video on BTRZs:
1/ Bit of a long-delayed update, but after all the recent footage I wanted to focus on showing the changes on the smaller storage bases for a change, not the major ones everyone has heard about.
2/ I talked about the different types of storage bases in depth on the attached thread, but I'll focus on the former MESRBs:
3/ These are brigade-sized storage facilities with equipment ready-to-go to refit movilized units or quickly replace material losses. As expected, they're long gone for the most part by now.