The declassified British intelligence memo about Russia's involvement in the poisonings in the EU has caused a lot of noise in the media, but even when it was happening, there were many people who pointed to Russia's involvement. Back then, everyone wanted to be friends with
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Russia and it didn't cause any response. It hardly does now. Today's plane crash in Vilnius happened 20 days after the WSJ wrote about Russia's plans to sabotage airlines. The investigation has just begun, but if it is established that the fire on board was caused by
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deliberate actions, Russia is the main suspect. After Trump's victory, Russia has stepped up its attacks on the European Union and continues to test how far it can go. So far, EU countries, especially its largest members, such as Germany and France, have never responded to
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the Russian threat properly. Because of this, Russia feels unpunished and continues its hybrid war. The West does not want to understand that war has been declared on it and the risk of casualties is only growing. Poisonings, arson, damage to Internet cables, cyber attacks,
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protests, riots - after the US elections, Russia is only increasing sabotage in the EU, because it seems to it at this point that the White House and the US are now under its control. And it is partly right. After a long pause, Polish farmers have become active again and are
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blocking the Ukrainian border, new sabotage of underwater communications, and now, perhaps, a plane crash. The reaction of the European Union - they will announce a response, but words are unlikely to be followed by actions. The ship that damaged the Estonian pipe a year
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ago has not been arrested, those involved in arson in European countries will be detained, but only the perpetrators whom Russia hires via the Internet in the EU. For almost 3 years of war, Western politicians have not dared to take tough measures, and Russia, meanwhile,
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continues to test how far it can go. And while it is allowed to do what it wants with impunity. Modern democracy has proven toothless when faced with a threat. Politicians travel from meeting to meeting, live in expensive hotels, eat in fancy restaurants on the money of EU
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citizens and discuss, discuss, discuss. In their reports, they write that solutions are proposed, steps are alienated, conditions are discussed, but no action follows from all this. The allies were not even able to send all the previously declared aid to Ukraine, and are
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already discussing its reduction. Russian propaganda has seeped into all spheres of life, but the Internet giants are not going to do anything about it, because it brings in money and there is no legislation yet that could control it. Estonia could serve as an example for
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the EU. We were able to create a "digital government". Decisions and actions are taken much faster, because it takes much less time to process new programs and documents, because everything is in digital form, as are the signatures to them. Estonia is under constant
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pressure from Russia, but successfully repels cyber attacks and other its actions. However, big EU countries still look down on "Eastern Europe", although "Eastern" countries could offer the right steps against Russia. If it turns out that Russia is involved in the crash
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of the DHL flight, this is another terrorist attack by the Russian authorities, but Russia will never be recognized as a country sponsoring terrorism because it has an atomic bomb and the US wants to leave a window for negotiations with the Russian Federation. North Korea
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also has a bomb, but it was recognized as a country sponsoring terrorism. If Russia is included in this list, its economy will be finished. It will be finished sooner or later anyway, but this would speed up the process several times.
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But for now the West is not even capable of admitting that Russia has declared war on it, and therefore the number of sabotage acts will only increase.
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The defeat of Viktor Orban in the Hungarian elections, after he was strongly backed by Donald Trump and US Vice President JD Vance, has become a turning point for Europe’s far right. According to Politico, many ultra-right parties are now distancing themselves from Trump,
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as his increasingly aggressive stance toward Europe and the new war in the Middle East has made him politically costly. It is becoming clear that closeness to him can damage electoral prospects. “We need to keep our distance from him,” Marine Le Pen told members of her party
at a National Rally meeting, according to a senior party official present. A further factor has been Trump’s attack on Pope Leo XIV. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni had been one of the last European leaders trying to maintain good relations with Trump, but reportedly
russian President Vladimir Putin demanded that the government and the Central Bank explain why economic indicators are falling short of forecasts and again called for measures to restore growth, noting that GDP has been declining for two consecutive months. After slowing
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sharply to about 1% growth in 2025 due to weak domestic demand, high borrowing costs, and expanded Western sanctions, the economy has now shifted into contraction, shrinking by around 1.8% over the first two months of the year. The Ministry of Economic Development initially
attributed the decline to a calendar effect, citing fewer working days compared to the same period last year, but Putin dismissed this as insufficient and asked officials to explain why actual data is worse than their own projections. Speaking to senior economic officials,
The State Duma has approved in the first reading a bill expanding the powers of the President of russia to deploy troops abroad to “protect the rights of russian citizens.” According to the government proposal, Vladimir Putin would be able to use the military in response
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to the arrest, detention, or prosecution of russians in foreign countries, including decisions made by courts and international bodies that russia does not recognize. The president already has authority to send troops abroad under the law “On Security,” particularly if actions
by other states or institutions are seen as contradicting russia’s interests or public order. The new bill comes amid growing warnings from NATO and European intelligence agencies about a potential conflict involving russia and alliance members. In 2025, Germany’s BND warned
On average, from March 8 to April 5, russia exported 3.35 million barrels of oil per day - the highest export level since June 2022. Bloomberg reports this. The largest deliveries went to Asian countries, particularly India and China. In China, an average of 1.07 million
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barrels of oil per day was delivered, and to India - 1.9 million. Turkey also purchased 210 thousand barrels per day. Overall, russia earned about $2.02 billion per week from this export. Some russian tankers also do not have a specified destination. Instead, Suez or Port Sudan
is often listed as the final point. The number of such tankers is increasing, while the number of tankers officially heading to China and India is decreasing. In addition, the amount of oil loaded onto tankers at sea dropped to 105 million barrels. By mid-March, this figure was
Over the past couple of months, russian military sources have been reporting that the intensity of Ukrainian strikes on logistics has increased many times over. We are talking about so-called middle strike. Until 2025, despite innovations in drone technology, Ukraine was
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losing to russia in this segment. The “drone wall” developed by Ukraine is effective at relatively short distances - up to 20 km from the line of contact. At the same time, long-range drones were developed, which Ukraine has been actively using to strike oil refineries and
the military industry of russia, but until recently Ukraine could not effectively carry out middle strike. This problem began to be actively discussed in the summer of 2025, and since then the Armed Forces of Ukraine have taken the right steps in the right direction. In June,
The sharp rise in oil prices due to the war in Iran strongly plays into russia’s hands, as prices for russian oil grades have exceeded 100 dollars per barrel and Asian countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia and Sri Lanka are actively ordering russian
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oil, increasing the likelihood that demand in the region will exceed russian supply. This is driven by the easing of US sanctions. This allows russia, despite waging an aggressive war, to improve its standing on the international stage. Along with oil contracts, russia also
offers investments in other sectors and new business opportunities, including military cooperation. Thus, instead of isolation and toxicity, russia gains new markets and expands its influence. All thanks to Trump. However, oil is not only russia’s strength but also its most