The declassified British intelligence memo about Russia's involvement in the poisonings in the EU has caused a lot of noise in the media, but even when it was happening, there were many people who pointed to Russia's involvement. Back then, everyone wanted to be friends with
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Russia and it didn't cause any response. It hardly does now. Today's plane crash in Vilnius happened 20 days after the WSJ wrote about Russia's plans to sabotage airlines. The investigation has just begun, but if it is established that the fire on board was caused by
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deliberate actions, Russia is the main suspect. After Trump's victory, Russia has stepped up its attacks on the European Union and continues to test how far it can go. So far, EU countries, especially its largest members, such as Germany and France, have never responded to
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the Russian threat properly. Because of this, Russia feels unpunished and continues its hybrid war. The West does not want to understand that war has been declared on it and the risk of casualties is only growing. Poisonings, arson, damage to Internet cables, cyber attacks,
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protests, riots - after the US elections, Russia is only increasing sabotage in the EU, because it seems to it at this point that the White House and the US are now under its control. And it is partly right. After a long pause, Polish farmers have become active again and are
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blocking the Ukrainian border, new sabotage of underwater communications, and now, perhaps, a plane crash. The reaction of the European Union - they will announce a response, but words are unlikely to be followed by actions. The ship that damaged the Estonian pipe a year
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ago has not been arrested, those involved in arson in European countries will be detained, but only the perpetrators whom Russia hires via the Internet in the EU. For almost 3 years of war, Western politicians have not dared to take tough measures, and Russia, meanwhile,
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continues to test how far it can go. And while it is allowed to do what it wants with impunity. Modern democracy has proven toothless when faced with a threat. Politicians travel from meeting to meeting, live in expensive hotels, eat in fancy restaurants on the money of EU
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citizens and discuss, discuss, discuss. In their reports, they write that solutions are proposed, steps are alienated, conditions are discussed, but no action follows from all this. The allies were not even able to send all the previously declared aid to Ukraine, and are
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already discussing its reduction. Russian propaganda has seeped into all spheres of life, but the Internet giants are not going to do anything about it, because it brings in money and there is no legislation yet that could control it. Estonia could serve as an example for
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the EU. We were able to create a "digital government". Decisions and actions are taken much faster, because it takes much less time to process new programs and documents, because everything is in digital form, as are the signatures to them. Estonia is under constant
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pressure from Russia, but successfully repels cyber attacks and other its actions. However, big EU countries still look down on "Eastern Europe", although "Eastern" countries could offer the right steps against Russia. If it turns out that Russia is involved in the crash
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of the DHL flight, this is another terrorist attack by the Russian authorities, but Russia will never be recognized as a country sponsoring terrorism because it has an atomic bomb and the US wants to leave a window for negotiations with the Russian Federation. North Korea
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also has a bomb, but it was recognized as a country sponsoring terrorism. If Russia is included in this list, its economy will be finished. It will be finished sooner or later anyway, but this would speed up the process several times.
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But for now the West is not even capable of admitting that Russia has declared war on it, and therefore the number of sabotage acts will only increase.
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According to BND estimates, last year Russia’s military spending may have amounted to almost half of the state budget and around 10% of the country’s GDP. According to the German intelligence service, Russia is spending significantly more on the war and its armed forces
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than it has declared in recent years. Since the start of the war against Ukraine in February 2022, Russia’s defense budget has increased sharply every year. In addition, Russia’s interpretation of “defense spending” differs significantly from the NATO definition, German
intelligence officials note. A comprehensive analysis of budget data conducted by BND shows that Russia’s defense budget in recent years was 66% higher than officially reported. Unaccounted expenditures include, for example, construction projects of the Ministry of Defense,
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky explained why he sharply criticized Europe at the World Economic Forum in Davos. He made these remarks during a meeting with journalists in Kyiv, according to a correspondent from European Pravda. Zelensky said he had grounds for critical
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statements toward Europe after a lack of funding led to a shortage of air defense missiles, allowing Russia to strike Kyiv’s energy infrastructure. Zelensky did not deny that his speech may have sounded overly harsh from European capitals and explained this by saying that
Ukraine and the rest of Europe live in different information spaces. He also acknowledged that the differences are not only informational but also emotional in how events are perceived. The president explained that his Davos speech was preceded by heavy strikes on energy
Putin is losing the game he himself started. His bet was placed on a return to the world of the 19th and early 20th centuries - a world of empires and spheres of influence, where Europe, America, Africa, and Asia are divided among several “superpowers.” In Putin’s vision of
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the world, there were supposed to be three such powers: the United States, Russia, and China. However, the real transformation of the global order is unfolding in a completely different way. The key failure is Ukraine. At the end of the fourth year of war, Russia has still
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been unable to subjugate it. The army is visibly degrading, human and technological resources are being exhausted, the economy is held together by military spending and gray schemes, and the state increasingly resembles an overextended empire losing its ability to govern
3/19
Within NATO, the possibility of conducting a special joint mission in Greenland is being considered in order to accommodate the interests of US President Donald Trump. This week, the US president once again stated that he wants Greenland. Military intervention is not being 1/8
ruled out. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen previously said that this would mean the end of the Alliance if the United States were to begin military action against her country. On Thursday morning, the 32 ambassadors of the Alliance gathered for their weekly meeting. 2/8
It took place in a "calm atmosphere." Denmark raised the Greenland issue in a "positive and forward-looking manner," NOS insiders reported. The US ambassador to NATO, Whitaker, also reportedly spoke in a conciliatory tone. As became clear during the meeting, almost all 3/8
Russia has once again staged a media stunt with the story about a drone attack on Putin’s residence. In the Novgorod region no one heard air raid sirens, yet according to Lavrov, 91 drones were launched from Ukraine and all of
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them were shot down. There is not a single video and not a single piece of evidence. Why is this needed? This entire performance was staged specifically for Trump. Putin personally called the American president and told him about it. Russia has long convinced Trump that it
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is Zelensky together with the “warmongering shadow government of Europe” who allegedly do not want the war to end. This show was played out so that Ukraine would be blamed for the failure of peace talks. Unfortunately, with Trump, this works. Meanwhile, Lavrov declares that
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Daily strikes by Ukrainian drones and missiles on Russian oil depots, warehouses and refineries have created an image in the information space of a “leaky” Russian air defense system. This image sharply contrasts with what Russian propaganda had been instilling in its audience🧵
for decades, namely the idea of an “impenetrable shield” capable, according to Defense Minister Andrey Belousov, of intercepting up to 97 percent of targets. The reality of a full scale war has proven far more complex. Ukraine has not managed to destroy Russian air defense as a
single integrated system, but it has succeeded in exposing its real limits. As analysis by the Royal United Services Institute shows, the strength of Russian air defense depends not only on missiles and radars, but also on industry, logistics and the ability to replenish losses