Artur Rehi Profile picture
Nov 25 15 tweets 6 min read Read on X
The declassified British intelligence memo about Russia's involvement in the poisonings in the EU has caused a lot of noise in the media, but even when it was happening, there were many people who pointed to Russia's involvement. Back then, everyone wanted to be friends with
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Russia and it didn't cause any response. It hardly does now. Today's plane crash in Vilnius happened 20 days after the WSJ wrote about Russia's plans to sabotage airlines. The investigation has just begun, but if it is established that the fire on board was caused by
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deliberate actions, Russia is the main suspect. After Trump's victory, Russia has stepped up its attacks on the European Union and continues to test how far it can go. So far, EU countries, especially its largest members, such as Germany and France, have never responded to
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the Russian threat properly. Because of this, Russia feels unpunished and continues its hybrid war. The West does not want to understand that war has been declared on it and the risk of casualties is only growing. Poisonings, arson, damage to Internet cables, cyber attacks,
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protests, riots - after the US elections, Russia is only increasing sabotage in the EU, because it seems to it at this point that the White House and the US are now under its control. And it is partly right. After a long pause, Polish farmers have become active again and are
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blocking the Ukrainian border, new sabotage of underwater communications, and now, perhaps, a plane crash. The reaction of the European Union - they will announce a response, but words are unlikely to be followed by actions. The ship that damaged the Estonian pipe a year
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ago has not been arrested, those involved in arson in European countries will be detained, but only the perpetrators whom Russia hires via the Internet in the EU. For almost 3 years of war, Western politicians have not dared to take tough measures, and Russia, meanwhile,
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continues to test how far it can go. And while it is allowed to do what it wants with impunity. Modern democracy has proven toothless when faced with a threat. Politicians travel from meeting to meeting, live in expensive hotels, eat in fancy restaurants on the money of EU
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citizens and discuss, discuss, discuss. In their reports, they write that solutions are proposed, steps are alienated, conditions are discussed, but no action follows from all this. The allies were not even able to send all the previously declared aid to Ukraine, and are
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already discussing its reduction. Russian propaganda has seeped into all spheres of life, but the Internet giants are not going to do anything about it, because it brings in money and there is no legislation yet that could control it. Estonia could serve as an example for
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the EU. We were able to create a "digital government". Decisions and actions are taken much faster, because it takes much less time to process new programs and documents, because everything is in digital form, as are the signatures to them. Estonia is under constant
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pressure from Russia, but successfully repels cyber attacks and other its actions. However, big EU countries still look down on "Eastern Europe", although "Eastern" countries could offer the right steps against Russia. If it turns out that Russia is involved in the crash
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of the DHL flight, this is another terrorist attack by the Russian authorities, but Russia will never be recognized as a country sponsoring terrorism because it has an atomic bomb and the US wants to leave a window for negotiations with the Russian Federation. North Korea
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also has a bomb, but it was recognized as a country sponsoring terrorism. If Russia is included in this list, its economy will be finished. It will be finished sooner or later anyway, but this would speed up the process several times.
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But for now the West is not even capable of admitting that Russia has declared war on it, and therefore the number of sabotage acts will only increase.
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More from @ArturRehi

Nov 22
After many years of heavy fighting, Ukraine is experiencing a shortage of soldiers, and most importantly, experienced commanders. In some areas, Ukraine is 6 times inferior in numbers to Russia. There is also a severe shortage of ammunition, and when it is necessary to hold
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a position, ammunition often runs out and its delivery is complicated due to Russia's superiority in artillery and aviation. Support vehicles come under fire and are destroyed. Ukrainian brigades are exhausted. First of all, there is a shortage of medium- and long-range
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weapons. Ukraine is quite effective in hitting Russia's logistics, but due to Russia's huge numerical superiority, this is not enough. In addition, Russia is also not standing still, but learning and adapting. Due to the shortage of weapons, drones have become Ukraine's main
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Read 10 tweets
Nov 21
The strike on the Dnipro by an intercontinental ballistic missile damaged an industrial enterprise, a rehabilitation center, residential buildings and garages. As a result of the strike, 2 people were injured. The 57-year-old man received medical assistance on the spot,
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the 42-year-old woman was hospitalized. "Ukrainian Truth" writes that it was an RS-26 "Rubezh" medium-range missile. This is the entire escalation that Russia threatened, but Russia is already hitting Ukrainian cities with everything it can - drones, missiles, artillery.
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This strike did not bring any serious tactical benefit and serves only one purpose - intimidation. There will be talk that the next time the missile will have a nuclear warhead and all that. However, this is how bluff works. Putin is always "one step away" from using
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Read 12 tweets
Nov 20
Unable to respond to permission to fire long-range Western missiles at Russian territory, Russia has resorted to attacks on civilians and infrastructure in Ukraine and hybrid tactics. There is no doubt that Russia is behind the damage to the Finland/Germany and
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Lithuania/Sweden submarine cables at the bottom of the Baltic Sea. A Danish military vessel recently stopped Chinese flagged bulk carrier Yi Peng 3 suspected of sabotaging the cables. According to Russian federal port records, the ship was captained by a Russian citizen
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(Stechentsev A.E.). Interestingly Yui Peng 3 was only transferred to its current owner in China earlier this month. The ship is carrying goods/oil from Ust-Luga in Russia, to Port Said in Egypt. The same captain also commanded URSUS ARCTOS also carrying goods from Ust-Luga
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Read 13 tweets
Nov 20
North Korea has sent Col. Gen. Kim Yong-bok to lead North Korean troops in Russia, a top North Korean military official who often serves as Kim Jong-un’s lieutenant. Col. Gen. Kim Yong-bok has rarely been seen — or even mentioned — in public. His role leading North Korean
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special forces required him to keep a low profile to protect his identity. But he is now a very public figure. He is the top North Korean military official in Russia, where more than 11,000 North Korean soldiers have been deployed to help Moscow push out Ukrainian forces
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that have seized a chunk of Russian territory. Officials in Kyiv and Seoul have reportedly confirmed his presence in Russia. Col. Gen. Kim is technically tasked with integrating North Korean troops with Russian ones, learning from combat experience to bring home, and
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Read 9 tweets
Nov 18
Apparently, the US is lifting restrictions on the use of ATACMS on Russian territory. It seems that the introduction of North Korean troops into Ukraine and the latest massive Russian attack on Ukrainian infrastructure on the night of November 17 could have influenced this
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decision. Despite the fact that this is a very belated decision, since Russia has already withdrawn most of its targets from the ATACMS missile strike zone, this decision will expand Ukraine's capabilities. This decision has caused a negative reaction not only from Russian
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propagandists, but also in the West, where statements about escalation are still being made. The permission will not greatly affect the situation on the front at the moment, because there is no Wunderwaffe that wins the war, but it will greatly help the Ukrainians in the
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Read 15 tweets
Nov 15
After the pro-Kremlin Georgian Dream party won the elections in Georgia, the Kremlin began to implement a plan to integrate the unrecognized republics of Abkhazia and North Ossetia into Russia. However, it did not work out. After the local authorities in Abkhazia announced
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an investment agreement with Russia, residents of the unrecognized republic took to the streets and seized the local government. Protesters surrounded the complex of government buildings and demanded the resignation of the head of the self-proclaimed republic, Aslan Bzhania.
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Earlier, protesters tore down part of the fence with a car and entered the territory adjacent to the parliament building. The protesters threw eggs and bottles at the police, who in turn used smoke bombs. Shots were heard near the parliament. Eight people were injured during
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Read 7 tweets

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