Torsten Bell Profile picture
Nov 25 13 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Here’s a short story about who wins and loses from the status quo of our inheritance tax rules - and about, what you might politely call ‘sub-optimal’ journalism🧵
On 19 November, the Times ran a ‘news’ piece on the demonstration in Westminster by farmers opposed to changes to inheritance tax. Obviously reporting the news is good, but reading such a one sided piece made me think it belonged in the comment pages thetimes.com/uk/environment…
In it they tell the story of John Kemp-Welch. Here’s how he’s described: “Kemp-Welch, 88, who owns 5,000 acres of "difficult hill farming land" in Perthshire where he and his children farm blackface sheep.” Image
Clear impression is of someone who’s given their life to farming. They quote him sympathetically saying “It's not easy. Farming in Scotland is very tough but we are determined to go on."
They even include a nice photo of him. Image
What they don’t mention is anything else about John Kemp-Welch, beyond presenting him as a struggling farmer
Now maybe this is a different John Kemp-Welch… but in that case it’s a big coincidence that another 88 year old John Kemp-Welch managed to be chair of the London Stock Exchange from 1994 to 2000
Before that? He spent over three decades at the stockbroker Cazenove. After his period at the stock exchanges he joined the board of HSBC.
The Times might have decided not to mention any of this but Companies House confirms that this is one and the same person …te.company-information.service.gov.uk/officers/iBGkA…
Now John Kemp-Welch has’t done anything wrong. He’s completely entitled to protest against a tax change that would be costly to him. Many people would do the same.
But our ‘paper of record’ might want to at least consider the fact that stockbroker, banker, or businessmen would be better labels, at least to sit alongside that of ‘farmer’
This is just a gentle reminder of who the status quo inheritance tax wise works for (there’s a reason the very largest estates pay less than some far smaller) & that proper facts should form part of proper journalism when reporting an entirely legit inheritance tax debate
Afterall, the Times also managed to publish an entire article on James Dyson opposing this change without once mentioning that he reportedly owns more land than the monarch…

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More from @TorstenBell

Nov 19
So much misinformation around today on who will be affected by changes to inheritance tax - and lobbyists pretending the data isn't clear to obfuscate. We have detailed data on estates so the truth is in fact very clear if you care to look 🧵
If what you care about is just agricultural property, 84% of claims for relief are for less than £1.5m (which realistically is the minimum you'd have to have in assets including a farm before you start paying any tax). 96% are less than the £3m couples will still pass on tax free Image
Some farms include wider business assets - but even then 78% of claims are for less than £1.5m and 93% for less than £3m Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 4
Not news = those hugely benefitting from a tax exemption, despite never being the intended beneficiaries, are opposed to reform of that tax exemption
It takes a special kind of nonsense speak to claim the way to protect future generations of farmers is to provide a large tax incentive for non-farmers to buy up land, pricing actual would be farmers out. That is exactly what the status quo does
It's also totally untrue that a farm worth 'only £1m' will be affected. A couple passing on a farm + farmhouse worth £3m will remain entirely exempt from inheritance tax
Read 6 tweets
Oct 24
Today @RachelReevesMP has swept away one of the biggest weaknesses in the UK’s macroeconomic framework: the bias against public investment. It’s a very big deal.
This means this government will avoid the huge falls in public sector investment planned by the last government, but it’s a bigger deal than just shaping next week’s Budget…
…because the new fiscal rules reshape the Treasury’s incentives - removing the short term incentive to cut investment to pay for tax cuts or fiscal shortfalls. Those pressures have driven our disastrously low and volatile levels of public investment for over 4 decades
Read 7 tweets
Jul 24
Understandably lots of debate about child poverty this morning – something we as a country should spend much more time focusing on
The context here is the first Labour Kings Speech in 14yrs – implementing a manifesto just endorsed by the election result. No-one should be surprised that 98+% of Labour MPs voted for it/against amendments from other parties. That’s business as normal just days after an election
More importantly we shouldn’t confuse parliamentary procedure with what actually matters - reducing child poverty, something I’ve spent my life working on – in the last Labour government (which did exactly that) and ever since.
Read 11 tweets
Jul 8
The case for @RachelReevesMP’s sweeping changes to the planning system announced today…
1. For 15yrs, we’ve been attempting to dig a tunnel under the Thames. No digging has taken place, but £800m has been spent & 9k pages of planning applications drafted. This is double what Norway spent actually building Lærdalstunnelen, the world’s longest road tunnel… Image
2. If we want net zero to happen, and to happen without higher costs, then things are going to have to be built. Things that not everyone loves. And they will also have to be built if we want our firms to be able to invest, grow and pay higher wages
Read 5 tweets
May 27
This is yet another example of total tax policy chaos - this proposal is to reintroduce the exact same higher tax allowance for pensioners that George Osborne abolished a decade back. As with the personal allowance & corporation tax it’s going back to square one (ie Gordon Brown) Image
What is going on? A Tory panic that recent tax rises having been particularly large for richer pensioners (see the blue bars) rather than having confidence in all pensioners having gained from the triple lock (red bars) Image
Read 7 tweets

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