Crémieux Profile picture
Nov 25, 2024 25 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Huge new result:

Anti-racism trainings probably lead people to accuse others of racism even when they're not racist.

That's exactly the result of a new study on DEI trainings, with a special focus on the impacts of the works of Ibram X. Kendi and Robin DiAngelo.

Let's dig in🧵 Image
In the first experiment, the researchers took 324 participants and randomized them to either read an Ibram X. Kendi or Robin DiAngelo excerpt or to a racially-neutral condition where they read about corn.

Here are some excerpts from the reading materials, for your understanding:Image
After learning, for example, that western countries are compromised by virtue of their racist ideologies and pasts, participants were presented with a scenario that was totally racially neutral.

The scenario is described as follows, and everyone involved did nothing racist: Image
The participants who were exposed to the 'racism' scenario imagined more racism into existence.

They believed there was a lot more bias, tons of microaggressions and whatnot, even though there was nothing.Image
What's worse, the participants who read the DEI passages also wanted to punish the "offenders" who—I'll remind—literally did nothing racially biased.

They were more likely to want to harm people who did nothing due to their own imaginations.Image
These findings were so shocking and forceful that the authors immediately sought to replicate them.

They gathered a nearly three-times larger sample and found... the same results! Image
But this wasn't the last study. We know that people exposed to DEI racism trainings invent racism out of thin air, but what about other -isms?

Next up is Islamophobia.

The 2,017 participants in this study read either anti-Islamophobia materials or stuff about corn.
After either reading about corn or materials from the Institute for Social Policy and Understanding (ISPU), participants were then asked to evaluate identical trials, for either the clearly-Muslim Ahmed Akhtar or the clearly-just-White George Green.Image
Participants though the trial of Ahmed was considerably more unfair after they "learned" about Islamophobia.

But once again, there was no bias. They just read the DEI materials and invented the bias in their minds. Image
But why? Mechanistically, it does not seem that learning about (and seemingly believing in) Islamophobia increased tolerance for Muslims.

What it did was just to increase the perception of bias. Islamophobia materials did not boost positive sentiment towards Muslims:Image
A final major point of DEI trainings nowadays is caste.

I am referring not to "involuntary caste" stuff a la scholars like Ogbu, but to the Indian caste system.

As the timeline shows, its supposed importance has rapidly gained acknowledgement across the U.S.Image
Despite institutional acceptance that caste matters, and in particular because of bias against members of low castes, most Americans probably still don't understand caste.

So in this experiment, participants were exposed to caste oppression information, or to neutral caste info: Image
Participants were then exposed to a totally caste-neutral scenario in which an Indian admissions officer at an elite East Coast university interviews Raj Kumar and, ultimately, Raj gets rejected. Image
As you might predict from the other results, the nearly 850 respondents who read about casteism invented a lot more caste bias into the scenario than people who read about caste in general. Image
Not only that, but the people exposed to casteism reading material were more likely to see Hindus as racists and to want to punish the admissions officer.Image
What was really alarming was that, after the casteism readings, people were considerably more likely to agree with explicitly anti-Brahmin statements that were really rough, like "Brahmins are parasites", "Brahmins are a virus".

These seem like damaging ideas to promote!Image
Turning back to the original sample, we see something interesting: the people who scored higher on Left-Wing Authoritarianism were more likely to want to punish the people they believed were being racist.

Keep that in mind. Now let's review. Image
All these large-scale studies, with their simple designs, and direct and conceptual replications, with all of their results, support several conclusions.

First, DEI training introduces narratives that lead people to assume certain groups are oppressors and others are victims.
Second, DEI trainings lead to hostile attribution biases, leading participants to see discrimination when there is none.

DEI trainings ironically promote racial prejudice, hostility, suspicion, and division.
Third, DEI trainings lead to demands for punishment again perceived oppressors, as well as the ideologically impure.

This happens despite the perception of being an oppressor always being wrong in these studies.
Fourth, heightened suspicion of "oppressors" and the "impure" triggers people with authoritarian tendencies to endorse surveillance, purity testing, strict social control, and ever-increasing responses that range from corrective to coercive.

Authoritarians want to punish.
And fifth, the heightened punitive atmosphere generated by DEI trainings feeds into demands for more anti-oppression trainings, creating a self-reinforcing cycle of totally needless suspicion and intolerance.
DEI trainings have been noted to be ineffective at promoting tolerance and productivity, and plenty of people have noticed backfiring.

This adds a new dimension that teaches us about feelings and perceptions of oppression more generally.
With these results in mind, we now know that people are more than willing to totally invent racism and other forms of bias in their heads and to want to harm people because of fully-imagined bias on those people's parts.

The era when everyone was colorblind was better.
Future studies replications with fake groups would be neat, but these probably got close enough using unfamiliar groups and with these large trials due to the nature of them being randomized

These are strong results worth keeping in mind

Here's the link: networkcontagion.us/wp-content/upl…

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Aug 16
One concept I wish more people were aware of is the Tocqueville Effect.

Named for Alexis de Tocqueville, this concept describes the curious phenomenon by which people become more frustrated as problems are resolved:

As life gets better, people think it's getting worse!🧵 Image
You go to a supermarket and it's time to get some fruit.

Of course, when you go to pick your bananas and your berries, you want to pick the freshest stuff.

But if what's on display is a little less fresh than ideal, you might consider a speckled banana or squishier grapes OK. Image
This is natural and fine.

You know what's not fine?

Cops beatinging jaywalkers because the crime rate dropped.

With too few "assaults", more mild crimes might start getting treated like assaults, even if they shouldn't. Image
Read 23 tweets
Aug 14
This is a great way to visualize the effect of divorce on children's success as adults🧵

Children whose parents went through a divorce while they were aged 0-5 ranked about 2.4 percentile points lower in the income distribution when they were 25 years old. Image
The other effects—on teen birth rates, mortality, college attendance, and incarceration—are all relatively large while being absolutely small in effect.

In order, those are +73%, +35%, -40%, and -43%.

But here are those absolute effects:Image
This study's dataset is uniquely good relative to the rest of the literature.

It's built off of administrative data, and it's very large in scale. That allowed the authors (the lead of which I heartily endorse!) to do a lot of well-powered analyses and produce cool descriptives.
Read 14 tweets
Aug 12
Why do GLP-1 drugs like Ozempic seem to fix so many different outcomes?

I just read a clever study that might help us find the answer🧵

The method they used was good ole Mendelian Randomization! Image
Mendelian Randomization is a causal inference technique that uses genetic variants affecting some trait as instrumental variables (IVs).

To grok IVs, consider an example: how do you estimate the effect of smoking during pregnancy on birth weight?

One way is sibling comparison: Image
But we often don't have the large, family-linked datasets needed for sibling comparisons.

An alternative is to use cigarette taxes as an instrument.

This works because cigarette taxes impact the amounts people smoke, but they don't directly affect birth weights.

Instrumenting! Image
Read 13 tweets
Aug 11
This is real!

Generally people who say they were sexually assaulted with sedatives involved are incorrect about being sedated.

In the study referenced here, the prevalence of sedatives among cases was minimal (~2%). For comparison, antidepressants were detected 375% more often. Image
Other details from the study worth mentioning:

1. This matches up with estimates from elsewhere. Women who think they were drugged generally were not.

2. Rohypnol is not common in general, nor is it commonly involved. Image
Image
Cases of alleged drugging are usually just cases of girls getting really drunk and thinking that there must have been a drug involved.

But there's usually not a sedative involved, it's usually just alcohol, and in fact, stimulants are more common. Image
Read 4 tweets
Aug 9
What happens when you provide students with subsidized or free meals?

Lots of studies have been published on this topic, but somehow the field hasn't reached a consensus.

Why?

Maybe because there's clearly publication bias. When accounting for it, effects fall towards zero: Image
If you just look at all the effect sizes in the literature, you might start seeing the issue.

Notice the long tail of positive results? Image
That tail shows up pretty much regardless of the details.

Universal or means-tested program? Outcome type? Meal type? Causal inference methodology?

Irrelevant: there's still a positivity bias. Image
Read 8 tweets
Aug 7
The Trump administration has officially taken a stance against debanking.

That means that, soon enough, no more Americans will be deprived of being able to hold a bank account because of the opinions they hold.

Americans will be free to think independently again🧵 Image
The executive order begins with some background:

Americans, often at the behest of government officials, have been subject to the loss of access to financial services.

That often meant having no access to bank accounts, debit and credit cards, investment tools, and so on. Image
And then it gets to the meat:

We want to stop this, because it is anti-freedom.

Financial institutions should not be able to stop Americans from holding whatever views they want to. It's not their business, so they're being asked to stay out of it. Image
Read 15 tweets

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