๐จClinically Vulnerable Families - closing
** Shared in full**
Thanks to the @covidinquiryuk staff & team
"The vast majority of people who died [.] were Clinically Vulnerable [.] including people who caught Covid-19 in hospitals, which were supposed to be places of safety."
1/
"Most urgently, we need to make healthcare safe for Clinically Vulnerable people."
"And by making it safe for them - by improving ventilation and putting in place other protective measures - we make it safe for others too."
2/
๐กShielding
CEV people are a diverse group with varied personal circumstances.
It provided a passport:
๐ Right to work from home
๐ท SSP entitlement
๐ Food & medicine deliveries
๐ Priority vaccine access
3/
๐กProblems with shielding
Communications: disempowering
No information on how to reduce risks
4/
CMO NI recognised "The approach [.] did not fully think through the loss of agency and loss of control."
Individual vs household approach unrealistic and unworkable:
๐ซChildren in school
โบ๏ธFamily members sleeping in a tent
๐ง Mental health impacts
๐ฉโ๐ฌExperimental programme
5/
๐กExecution of shielding
Systems are not up to the challenge
- Delays
- People falling through the cracks
Data sharing is recognised as "a colossal challenge" by the DHSC's most senior civil servant.
6/
๐กCommunications
๐ Communications let CEV people down
๐ Information is very important
๐ Wasn't regular enough
๐ Advice was incomplete
๐ Whitty & Vallance were only on the TV when asked. He tried to signpost information, but it "was clearly a hopeless way"
7/
Incomplete advice:
- Varying abilities to comply
- Lack of scientific rational
- Non Covid-19 treatments
- Steps to alleviate effects of shielding
Practical steps were needed to inform and empower people.
8/
Timing
โธ๏ธ Shielding was paused too soon
๐ฒ 'Eat Out the Help Out'
๐ Exponential growth after Lockdown 1
CEV (and CV) remained at risk.
9/
โ๏ธ Immunosuppressed and immunocompromised people were left behind.
Access to antivirals is problematic.
CVF๐๐๐ remain concerned that this issue could fall through the cracks of the inquiry.
10/
Transitional support after shielding
- Marked lack of support
"Public given false confidence that the virus no longer posed a significant threat."
11/
Clinically Vulnerable (unshielded)
๐ซ Not shielded
๐ซ Not contacted
๐ซ Not informed about their risks
Some didn't know until invited for vaccines
๐ซ No employment protections
๐ซ No help getting medications / food
๐ซ No SSP
Prof Snooks "Almost arbitrary cut off"
12/
Next time...
We cannot rule out shielding
"The core focus in any future pandemic should be that it is the duty of government to protect those who are vulnerable."
13/
Data issues
QCovid algorithm needs to be faster
14/
๐Support Clinically Vulnerable people to support themselves
๐Engage with Clinically vulnerable people
๐Prompt access to antiviral treatments
๐Educate the public - end #MaskAbuse
15/
๐ The elephant in the room
"You are more likely to catch Covid in hospital than in any other setting"
- Matt Hancock
Clinically Vulnerable people may stay safe in the community but they can't in healthcare.
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๐ฆ ๐ต Are healthcare acquired (nosocomial) infections inevitable, OR can we reduce them?
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Over 90% of Clinically Vulnerable people have delayed / cancelled medical appointments due to high Covid risks.
"it is [.] impossible for those at higher risk to comply with the [govt] guidance even today when [accessing] healthcare because the environment [.] is not safe."
18/
๐ฌ Covid Transmission
"Incorrect assumptions [.] led to a failure to adopt a sufficiently precautionary approach."
"The significant role of airborne transmission is beyond doubt."
19/
๐จ Adequate ventilation ๐จ
Dr. Shin picked this as his
"Headline Recommendation".
"If [the NHS estate, particularly ventilation and isolation capacity] is not improved, we will face the next emergency with the same difficulties that we encountered this Covid pandemic."
20/
Whitty "We should take indoor ventilation a lot more seriously."
"No one has seriously challenged @CliveBeggs [.] that the HTM guidelines are not fit for purpose and in urgent need of reform."
NB/ HTMs guide the design & operation of healthcare building systems for safety.
21/
@CliveBeggs A strong recommendation is needed despite the cost.
"The cost of doing nothing will be much higher, especially when, WHEN and not IF there is another pandemic with a pathogen which spreads through the air."
๐จ "In the meantime, HEPA filters are 'low hanging fruit'". ๐จ
22/
@CliveBeggs ๐ฅFRSM vs. FFP2/3 ๐ฅ
"CVF urges the inquiry to accept the common sense evidence of its own independent experts."
"We cannot wait for randomised control trails which probably will never come."
23/
@CliveBeggs "It is [.] inconsistent to do so, given that FFP3s are already recommended for high consequences infectious diseases and aerosol generating procedures."
Adam then explains the
๐งSwiss Cheese model๐ง (sadly no cheese) vs. the hierarchy of controls.
24/
@CliveBeggs Recommendations:
๐Information on masks
๐Training for HCWs so they don't tell Clinically Vulnerable patients to remove masks [unless medically necessary].
๐HCWs to wear a mask or test if requested
๐Routine testing
๐Monitor CO2
๐Staggered appointments
๐Less crowding
25/
@CliveBeggs In the longer term...
Research to remove barriers and allow effective RPE in practice.
๐ทWhy can't we make masks more comfortable?
๐ฌWhy can't we improve communication?
26/
@CliveBeggs CVF๐๐๐ are calling for the inquiry to recommend:
1. Review all DNACPRs since start of the pandemic 2. Review of the notes of all CEV 3. Psychological support for all affected
Decision support tools should only be used in the context of an overall clinical assessment.
27/
@CliveBeggs โ๏ธ Equality Act โ๏ธ
Clinical vulnerability is a newly recognised issue that causes serious detriments across society but is not protected under the law.
"That is why we are asking the inquiry to consider recommending changes to the Equality Act"
28/
โข โข โข
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๐ Calling all UK COโ monitor owners
AND any helpful UK voters
PLEASE REPOST โป๏ธ โค๏ธ and tag others!
๐ Can you *please* help us at the local elections next Thursday?
- Even if you don't own one, we still need your help!
1/๐งต
<Read our new article - next post>
Last year, your evidence helped us change the Electoral Commission guidance for assisting Clinically Vulnerable voters - which has improved safety for everyone.
This year, we NEED YOUR HELP - to audit whether the guidance has worked. ๐
The UK has not shared data from 2025. But for CV people it is much worse:
2024 JCVI data showed that vaccines reduced hospitalisations for Clinically Vulnerable people by 45%.
They published it!
...then removed millions with health conditions from eligibility!
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45% may sound lower.
But if your baseline is 2-12x more likely to be hospitalised from Covid, a 45% reduction in risk prevents 2-12x more hospitalisations per dose.
The JCVI removed high-risk groups on cost-effectiveness grounds.
But the cost-effectiveness case is stronger!
3/
The government just published its Pandemic Preparedness Strategy.
TLDR: Some welcome commitments inc. on ventilation. But Clinically Vulnerable people are still not clearly defined or automatically protected, and the prioritisation framework won't arrive until 2027.
1/๐งต
What's new?
Published 25 March 2026, this is the UK's first major pandemic strategy since Covid.
It covers all 4 nations, sets out 12 principles and detailed action plans to 2030, backed by around ยฃ1 billion of investment.
But what about the detail...?
2/
They know another pandemic is coming... and epidemics are also a risk.
The question is:
Will Clinically Vulnerable families be protected when it does?
- This document raises the question more than it answers it.
โ ๏ธEast Kent Trust failed to report their first case for 2 daysโ ๏ธ
Here's what you need to know.
TLDR: Peaked 13th March. No new cases since - with reporting delays, but that's even better news than it sounds.
1/๐งต ๐ @laurabundock @SkyNews
THE OUTBREAK IS DECLINING but understates how well that's going. ๐
The earliest case became unwell on 9th March, with the latest on 16th March, and the peak was 13th March.
2/
Cases take time to be confirmed and reported.
The fact that nothing new has surfaced in the data as of 23rd March - despite the reporting lag - means the real-world situation is almost certainly better than the numbers show.
Meningitis
* Important thread for those who prefer balanced and factual information *
In order to understand risk we need to break down a few things....
๐ฆ Risk from the bacteria
๐๐๐ Individual risk
๐ Environmental risks 1/
The Kent outbreak is predominantly MenB (Group B). This is a serious infection - and potentially an adapted strain - investigations are ongoing...
Bacterial meningitis is rare but more severe than viral, and up to 1 in 10 cases of bacterial meningitis in the UK is fatal.
2/
MenB isn't new. There are around 300 cases of MenB per year in the UK, even with vaccination programmes.
What's unusual is the cluster - multiple cases linked to a single location in a short window. It has now spread to a student at a second university in Canterbury, Kent. 3/
UK COVID INQUIRY - CVF๐๐๐
@AdamWagner1 Closing Submissions
The Covid Inquiry has good ventilation protocols (as advised by CVF at the start of the Inquiry) including HEPA filters.
Under 1000ppm is therefore the safe threshold ( but without it would be under 800ppm).
1/
We need to understand airborne transmission in order to make all indoor environments safer for everyone, and especially for Clinically Vulnerable people.
2/
The need for Clinically Vulnerable people to have: