Kaya Profile picture
Nov 27 18 tweets 4 min read Read on X
It's time for the annual "Where's the White Male" contest.

Also known as the GoodReads Choice Awards.

No, really, where are the white males? Let's see...
First category, Fiction.

White men: 0 Image
Next up, Historical Fiction.

White men: 0 Image
Mystery genre.

White men: 2

So we're at 2/30 so far. Doing great. Image
Romance.

White men: 0 (As God intended, but still) Image
I have no idea what Romantasy is but

White men: 0 Image
Fantasy

White men: 3

Running total, 5/50 Image
Sci Fi brings all the white dudes out

White men: 5

Running total, 10/60 Image
Horror also has a lot of white dudes.

White men: 6

Running total, 16/70 Image
Debut novel, these are repeats so I dunno if they count but let's count them anyway. They need all the help they can get.

Whtie men: 2

Running total, 18/80 Image
Audio book. Another repeat category, but hey!

White men: 3

Running total, 21/90 Image
Young Adult Fantasy

White men: 1

Running total, 22/100 Image
Young Adult Fiction

White men: 0

Running total, 22/110 Image
Nonfiction

White men: 2

Running total, 24/120 Image
Memoir

White men: 1

Running total, 25/130 Image
History

White men: 6

Running total, 31/140 Image
So the overall percentage of white men with prominent literary works out this year is roughly 22%.

This is notable for one reason, because normally IDGAF about racial distribution across industries. But in this case, I care. Why?
Back around 2014 the literary world began a massive, concerted effort to eliminate white men from the ranks of the published authors out there.

They weren't hiding it. They bragged openly about it.

And here we are, 10 years later. They've been reduced to a fraction.

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More from @sisterinferior

Nov 1
Feeling super confident in my Georgia prediction after cruising the neighborhood tonight and talking to all the neighbors.
Could be wrong who knows but it feels even more right than it did when I ran the numbers.
And no I don’t like it either but it also aligns with the net migration statistics the NYT shared earlier today

Heavy D movement to Georgia in the past two years.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 28
Prediction time!

Going to just drop the map first. Let it wash over you. Get all of your instant visceral reactions out of the way. Will walk through the data I looked at to lead me here in a bit. Image
The margins I came to on two of these make me somewhat uncertain of those specific states, but even if both go to either Harris or Trump, the victory still goes to Trump, even if a bit more narrow.
A reminder that I have no idea what I'm doing, and anyone who tweets about the data also has no idea what they're doing unless their first name is Nate (there's more than one!) or they do election data science for a living.

I just dabble in data science on the side.
Read 25 tweets
Oct 23
Okay let's look at a few scenarios.

First, the current "no tossups" scenario--if all polls are accurate and we average them out (the RCP method), we're here.

Comfortable Trump victory. Image
Now, what if the polls are off as much in 2024 as they were in 2020?

Same exact thing.

Which means no other states outside the main 7 battlegrounds identified this year were close enough for the polling error to impact them. Image
Okay, let's see something INTERESTING.

What if we attempt to account for the pro-abort cohort that sort of surprised everyone in 2022?

Using the most accurate pollster in each state from 2022, Harris wins: Image
Read 7 tweets
Sep 12
Let me start this thread by saying I don't hate anyone, and I don't wish violence upon anyone, regardless of race, creed, or immigration status.

Now, let us start to look at what is going on, because it's not good--and the media is going to only tell you one side of the story.
This post is part of a broader problem in the media.

The threats are *not okay*, but the take from the media is "This is because of statements by Trump and Vance."

First, it's almost insinuating Trump and Vance themselves made up the stories.
But second, it assumes that there would be zero societal unease if it wasn't for Trump and Vance. The people of Springfield would be living in perfect harmony with 20,000 (in a town that was only 60,000 large) displaced immigrants suddenly appearing in their streets.
Read 14 tweets
Aug 4
Back from the sports bar for dinner.

Harris is spending INSANE amounts of money here (North Georgia). Almost every break on every station there was a Harris ad, and some of them were a minute long.

Holy crap.
I haven’t seen a politician go this hard with ads ever in my life.
Number of Trump ads over the course of two hours:

Zero.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 22
Perhaps he's fine. Perhaps nothing is wrong at all. Perhaps he's just sad that he had to quit.

But so much of it makes no sense.
Announcing you're suspending your reelection campaign via tweet and informing your cabinet about it with a messenger and not in person? Really fuckin' weird!

But then so many others say he called them and spoke with them.

I can't square the circle folks.
The "drop it on twitter" is the most Gen Z nonsense I've ever heard, and Biden's even older than Boomers. Hate the guy all you want but he still played the game with proper decorum.

I can't imagine Biden himself approved this messaging avenue. But hell I dunno anymore.
Read 12 tweets

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