RISE IN PEOPLE NOT WORKING DUE TO LONG-TERM ILLNESS

When I did this very simple number crunching, it was a huge lightbulb moment for me!💡

It’s suddenly pretty obvious why there’s been such a stratospheric rise in people dropping out of the workforce due to long-term illness… Image
As BBC Health reporter, @jim_reed, said on @bbc5live a few weeks ago:

“Almost every expert out there thinks <Long Covid> is now a very important factor in explaining why we’ve seen this rise over the past 4-5 years in people who are off work long-term sick”.
@jim_reed @bbc5live PS. It wasn’t really a lightbulb moment for me. 💡

For anyone who’s been paying attention, it’s been pretty obvious for a long time.

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More from @_CatintheHat

Nov 28
💚 The Green Party have published a new policy calling for urgent action to tackle the ongoing waves of Covid which are causing so much harm to the nation’s health & economy.

Huge thanks to everyone involved in making this happen.

@AdrianRamsay @carla_denyer @ZackPolanski
The Green Party are absolutely right.

We cannot continue to ignore Covid.

Covid has not gone away, nor has it settled into a seasonal pattern.

The endless waves continue to batter the nation throughout the year - and even in the dips, remains at a relatively high level. Image
Last Winter, the government briefly reinstated their ‘gold standard’ ONS Covid Infection Survey…

The data revealed that, at the peak of last Winter’s wave (Dec 2023), 1 in 24 people across England were infected with Covid.

Sadly, the survey has not been reinstated this winter. Image
Read 20 tweets
Nov 24
COVID INQUIRY: X Megathread 🧵

As module 3 of the @covidinquiryuk draws to a close, I’ve been looking back at what we’ve learned about how it all went so wrong with infection control guidance for hospitals.

This is a long thread, so please grab a cuppa & make yourself comfy… Image
One thing that really stands out from the Inquiry testimonies is just how many professional bodies repeatedly raised the alarm about the inadequate infection control guidance in hospitals…

…and how their concerns were disregarded at every stage, with profound consequences.
The lady taking the stand in the clip above is Rosemary Gallagher, IPC Lead at the Royal College of Nursing.

She explains how, in November 2020, the government had just released a video to the public highlighting how coronavirus lingers in the air…

gov.uk/government/new…Image
Read 84 tweets
Nov 22
COVID INQUIRY CONTRADICTIONS

🔎Did supply of PPE influence the IPC guidance?

Matt Hancock testified that the Covid infection control guidance *had* factored in the available supply of PPE, rather than being based purely on what was required to adequately protect NHS staff…

🧵
A similar account had previously been given by Laura Imrie, a member of the IPC Cell (the group responsible for writing the guidance).

She explained how lack of supply & the need for fit testing meant they weren’t in a position to be able to recommend wider use of FFP3 masks.
However, we heard a very different story from Dr Lisa Ritchie, who chaired the IPC Cell.

She wrote in her witness statement:

“The supply of PPE did *not* influence the IPC advice provided by the UK IPC Cell.”

When asked under oath about this, she confirmed:

“That is correct.”
Read 6 tweets
Nov 18
A Canadian teen is currently critically ill with H5N1 bird flu.

The really concerning thing about this case is that sequencing has revealed several NEW mutations which improve the virus's ability to bind to human receptors & increases its potential to spread between humans…

🧵
You can read a more technical summary of the specific mutations in the H5N1 sequence in the thread below from @HNimanFC.

Lots of interesting (and concerning) comments on the thread also. Image
And also in the thread below posted by @SCOTTeHENSLEY ⬇️

bsky.app/profile/scotte…

Screengrabs below for those who aren’t on the other place. x.com/jbloom_lab/sta…Image
Read 13 tweets
Nov 15
MHRA have finally approved the updated Novavax (JN.1) formulation for use in the UK…

…HOWEVER…

…Novavax have confirmed that this vaccine will *NOT* be available in the private market for purchase or distribution for the autumn 2024 OR spring 2025 season in Great Britain. Image
And the government also confirmed this week that Novavax won’t be offered at all as part of the NHS booster campaign either…

…even though it is now authorised by MHRA.

theyworkforyou.com/wrans/?id=2024…Image
The timing of all of this is quite interesting since the UK government has been in dispute with Novavax about historical £123.8 million payments.

This dispute was finally settled on the 5 November when Novavax agreed to refund $123.8 million to UKHSA…

reuters.com/business/healt…Image
Read 6 tweets
Nov 14
COVID VACCINE ELIGIBILITY 🇬🇧,
a thread🧵

JCVI have just advised that, going forwards, eligibility for Covid vaccination will be even more tightly restricted.

But the ‘bespoke cost-effectiveness assessment’ upon which this is based is heavily flawed…

gov.uk/government/pub…Image
Before I dive into the issues, let’s just recap where we are…

In the UK, if you’re under 65 and not ‘at risk’, the last time you were eligible for a Covid vaccination was 2 years ago (Autumn 2022).

For most under 50s, it’s been 3 years since you were eligible (Autumn 2021). Image
Meanwhile, in many other countries, the entire population is given A CHOICE.

Their governments recommend that certain risk groups should get vaccinated…

…but even outside these risk groups, ANYONE who wants to get vaccinated, can be as part of their national vax programme. Image
Read 30 tweets

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