Pekka Kallioniemi Profile picture
Nov 29, 2024 26 tweets 12 min read Read on X
In today’s #vatniksoup, I’ll introduce a Romanian politician and conspiracy theorist, Călin Georgescu (@calin_georgescu). He’s best-known for his pro-Kremlin and conspiratorial views, running for president of Romania, and doing it by only campaigning on TikTok.

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Georgescu has a doctorate in pedology (a branch of soil science), and held various positions in Romania’s environment ministry during the 90s.

Between 1999-2012, he was a representative for Romania on the national committee of the United Nations Environment Program.

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He was proposed as Romania’s prime minister in 2011, 2012 and 2016 by Romanian far-right parties, but he rose to international infamy in 2024, when he ran for president of Romania independently and obtained the most votes (22,95%) out of all candidates in the first round.

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This was totally unexpected, as he outperformed most surveys, shocking Romania’s political establishment. Romanian political consultant Cristian Andrei stated that Georgescu’s popularity appears to be a “large protest or revolt against the establishment.”

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Like in many other Western countries, Romania’s large budget deficit, relatively high inflation, and economic challenges may have pushed mainstream candidates towards populist rhetoric, offering quick and easy solutions for complex, global problems.

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Georgescu’s policies are typical for a populist candidate - supporting Romanian farmers, reducing dependency on imports, and ramping up energy and food production. But his massive success can be accounted to one important factor - his campaign on TikTok.

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Călin is extremely popular on TikTok - his first account had accumulated 1,7 million likes before it was deleted, and his current official account has 440 000 followers & +5 million likes. It is also clear that these numbers have been manipulated and are by no means organic.
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After taking a closer look, Georgescu appears to be a regular vatnik conspiracy theorist. His previous pro-Russian statements were so extreme, that some even considered him a representative of Kremlin’s interests in Romania. As is tradition, he’s also a harsh critic…

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…of EU and NATO, even calling the ballistic missile defense system based in Deveselu, a Romanian NATO base, a “shame of diplomacy”. He’s also claimed that NATO wouldn’t protect its members in case of a Russian invasion.

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He’s also praised Vladimir Putin as “a man who loves his country” and stated that Romania should abide by “Russian wisdom”. He has referred to Ukraine as “an invented state”. Of course, he’s said he’s not “pro-Russian” but merely wants to “engage in a dialogue” with them.

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He used to be a member of the nationalist conservative Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) party, but left the group after he was accused of being pro-Kremlin and too critical of NATO. Previously, Georgescu had invited the Russian fascist Aleksandr Dugin…

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…to visit Romania. Recently, Dugin praised Călin during an interview, claiming that “Călin Georgescu is an outstanding politician, he is useful for us. He cannot be called pro-Russian, but he is similar to Orban.”

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As was mentioned, Călin is also a raging conspiracy theorist. He doesn’t believe in the moon landing, claims that carbonated drinks contain nanochips which “enter you like into a laptop”, and says that climate change is “a global scam” that has “nothing to do with reality”.
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And there’s more:he claims that the Pyramids in Egypt are powerful energy centers that haven’t been activated yet.He’s also said that while working for the UN, he took part in “some very serious discussions” with other, non-human species. And of course there’s the classics…14/25 Image
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…such as promoting the idea of a “New World Order” planned by the World Economic Forum and its founder, Klaus Schwab. Georgescu claims that Schwab and his oligarch allies are trying to turn the UN into the World Oligarch System.

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Incidentally, Georgescu’s team kept all this information hidden during the first round of the elections, and even his Wikipedia page both in English and in Romanian seemed quite presentable (until GeorgescuFan1488 came along!) right before the elections.

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Romanian law states that all candidates have to declare the funds they’ve used for their campaign. Călin declared absolutely nothing (and still clings to that), despite his paid political ads on TikTok amounting to several million dollars.

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Romanian war correspondent and political consultant @RaduHossu accounted Georgescu’s success to several factors, including “the decades-long failure of the state education system coupled with the moral bankruptcy of the political class in recent years.”

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According to him, social frustration coupled with a lack of understanding of the national and international context (lack of education), combined with a massively manipulated social media campaign have led to the creation of this political product:

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Until now, Romania has staunchly supported Ukraine, even allowing its neighbour to use the Romanian port of Constanta on the Black Sea to export its grain. Romania is also a home to the largest American military base in Europe. The country has also signed…

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…a strategic partnership agreement with Ukraine. But if Georgescu wins, we may see a dramatic change in these policies, and we’ve already seen similar political successes based on populist rhetoric in Hungary, Austria and Slovakia. These elections should be seen as…

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…yet another “canary in the coal mine” warning of how much of a powerful tool social media can be in politics. We already saw this with Elon buying Twitter & turning it into his personal MAGA megaphone, and now Team Georgescu won the first round basically with TikTok.

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Georgescu’s opponent, @ElenaLasconi, a journalist-turned-mayor, is also relatively unknown. She and the party supporting her have little to no political background & she’s been criticized for her lack of experience in foreign policy. She’s staunchly pro-NATO & pro-Ukraine.

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To complicate things even more, the Constitutional Court is now likely demanding a recount of the votes, which would probably eliminate Elena Lasconi, who barely managed to get to the second round by a thin margin, from the race.

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The second round of the presidential election between Călin Georgescu and Elena Lasconi will be held on 8 Dec 2024.

Sources: @RaduHossu, @Daractenus (do give them a follow!)

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My book titled “Vatnik Soup - The Ultimate Guide to Russian Disinformation” has been published, you can order it here:

kleart.eu/webshop/p/vatn…

Or if you prefer Amazon:

amazon.com/Vatnik-Soup-Ul…

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More from @P_Kallioniemi

Feb 2
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I talk about populism. Populism includes a range of political stances with the focus on the idea of the “common people” in opposition to the “elites”. In recent decades, populism has been on the rise around the world,and especially in the US & Europe.
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At its core, populism pits “the people” against “the elites.” It’s a political approach that claims to represent the common folk, often oversimplifying complex issues and tapping into frustrations. Populism can be left-wing, right-wing, or somewhere in between.
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In the US and Canada during the 19th and early 20th century, populist sentiments often came from the small independent farmers, “the people”, who were opposing the bankers and politicians, or “the elites”. The People’s Party in the US was considered…

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Read 26 tweets
Jan 24
In today’s vatnik soup, I’ll discuss how Estonia, Latvia & Lithuania cut the cord on Russian energy, further reducing their reliance on the Kremlin.

At the same time, the Baltics set an example for EU countries like Slovakia & Hungary whose leadership still worships Putin.

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Moscow has long used its vast natural gas reserves as a geopolitical weapon, manipulating energy supplies to keep neighbors obedient. They’ve used the “energy weapon” several times, with the most blatant cases of Kremlin blackmail coming of course from Ukraine.

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Let’s rewind back to the 1990s: The USSR dissolved, but Russia inherited the gas reserves, pipelines, and Gazprom — its political weapon. Meanwhile, the Baltic states were politically free but economically tied to Russia, heavily reliant on Russian gas.

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Read 25 tweets
Jan 23
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce an Estonian politician, Jana Toom (@JanaToomEE). She’s best-known for promoting pro-Kremlin viewpoints both in domestic Estonian politics and in the European Parliament.

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Toom’s mother, Margarita Chernogorova, studied law in Leningrad & worked for the Communist Party. She was also a confidant to the most notorious leader of the Estonian Soviet Socialist Republic, Karl Vaino. One of Chernogorova’s tasks was to suppress the Singing Revolution.

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During the early 90s Toom lived with her husband in Snezhinsk, Russia and returned to Estonia in 1994. Soon after, she joined the editorial board of Molodyož Estonii, a paper known for being a mouthpiece for the Leninist Communist Youth League during the Soviet era.

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Read 23 tweets
Jan 22
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll discuss the Kremlin’s toolbox at sea. Recently, we have seen several sabotage operations allegedly conducted by Russia & its allies, especially in the Baltic Sea region. Since 2023, there have been several underwater cables cut by ships’ anchors.
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Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine,the Baltic Sea has become a hotspot for NATO-Russia rivalry. This rivalry ramped up in Sep 2022,when the Nord Stream gas pipelines were sabotaged by an unknown perpetrator (some blame a “pro-Ukraine group”, others, the Russians).
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These sabotage operations in the Baltic Sea now target critical infrastructure like Internet and energy cables, links that are vital for European communication and trade. Russia and its allies allegedly use these acts to test NATO’s resilience and response.

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Read 19 tweets
Jan 21
Post highlights/best memes from the inauguration.

I'll start with Zuck showing human emotions:
Friends enjoying each other's company:
Read 6 tweets
Jan 9
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll discuss the absolute state of X in January 2025. Since its acquisition by Elon Musk, this platform has rapidly transformed into his personal political tool and a breeding ground for hate speech and disinformation.

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Not everyone is following this shitshow as closely as I am, so I thought it would be good to write a summary of all the changes that have happened on this forum and outside of it. These changes have drastically changed how the platform operates and who gets “a voice” here.

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Elon’s team has been tweaking the algorithm many times after the takeover. One of these tweaks happened already around Nov 2022, when the platform heavily suppressed the visibility of pro-Ukraine accounts. This change was then noticed & reported by many pro-Ukraine accounts.
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Read 23 tweets

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