Joni Askola Profile picture
Nov 30 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/7 Something to watch in the coming days is how HTS and the SDF interact with one another. Will this lead to intense clashes, or will they be able to reach some sort of agreement? Image
2/7 The breakdown of the Assad regime's defenses in Aleppo has benefited not only HTS, which is advancing further south, but also the SDF, which is leveraging this momentum to secure territories in and around Aleppo. Image
3/7 Numerous rumors about clashes are circulating, but the situation appears to be stable for the time being. Turkey may be displeased with the SDF making gains. Image
4/7 The majority of people in Syria and the West are not in favor of Jolani and HTS governing Syria, yet they are so eager to see Assad removed that they are willing to support anyone who can achieve that goal. They perceive Assad as the greater evil. Image
5/7 Both HTS and the SDF have a common objective of preventing Assad from regaining control over all of Syria, and they are both pleased to expand their control over additional Syrian territories. Image
6/7 The actions of Assad's regime and its supporters, including russia and iran, as well as the ongoing and upcoming bombings of civilians in Aleppo, may currently allow HTS and the SDF to avoid confrontation. The next few days will be interesting. Image
7/7 Source:
Spectator - Syria’s conflict is heating up once more Image

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More from @joni_askola

Dec 1
1/7 Imperial russia is not the only regime facing setbacks in recent years: Tehran's influence, power, and deterrence in the Middle East have significantly diminished over the past year, and the situation in Syria is only exacerbating these challenges Image
2/7 A little over a year ago, Tehran's influence, power, and deterrence in the Middle East were relatively strong, supported by capable proxies ready to carry out iran's interests and significantly enhancing its overall deterrence Image
3/7 Tehran's weapons industry was thriving, and its proxies were strong in the countries where they operated. However, a year later, most of these proxies have been significantly weakened, and iran itself has also faced a decline. Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 30
1/12 The Kings of False Flags: Today marks 85 years since the beginning of the Winter War, but russia has yet to learn from its history. As long as it avoids addressing its past and present, russia will persist as a toxic and aggressive imperialist nation Image
2/12 On November 30, 1939, the USSR launched a significant attack on Finland, signaling the start of the 105-day Winter War. The main Soviet offensive began at 6:50 AM with an artillery barrage on the Karelian Isthmus, followed by a full-scale assault from land, sea, and air. Image
3/12 The war was preceded by a false flag incident called the shelling of Mainila. The Soviet Union alleged that Finnish artillery attacked the village, but it was actually the Soviets who fired the shells, aiming to blame Finland for the war's outbreak. Image
Read 12 tweets
Nov 29
1/17 The wannabe strategic thinker who often backs the wrong horse: Putin has created global chaos and is now too weak to manage the consequences, relegating russia to a pitiful pawn that china uses to cause more chaos and confront the West Image
2/17 When you create a mess, you ultimately face the repercussions. Putin has extended his reach too far in various areas, and now russia finds itself engulfed in chaos that is beyond its capacity to manage, leaving it too diminished and vulnerable to regain control. Image
3/17 russia's situation has deteriorated on every front compared to just a few years ago. NATO has expanded to its largest size yet, now sharing more borders with russia than ever before. Additionally, russia's economy is overheating due to a war it cannot win. Image
Read 17 tweets
Nov 28
1/11 Both of these points are true and finger-pointing won't help solve these issues: 1) Western military and financial aid to Ukraine has been insufficient and too slow, and 2) Ukraine needs to mobilize more men to replace losses in existing units Image
2/11 The Biden administration is pressing Ukraine to rapidly expand its military forces. This includes urging Ukraine to draft more troops and overhaul its mobilization laws to allow for the conscription of 18-year-olds. Image
3/11 A senior Biden administration official, speaking anonymously, said the outgoing administration wants Ukraine to lower the military mobilization age from 25 to 18, to expand the pool of fighting-age men for its war with russia. Image
Read 11 tweets
Nov 28
1/11 Is russia simply stretched too thin due to its failed invasion of Ukraine, or is this just a classic case of russian incompetence? The Syrian rebels have initiated an offensive that appears to be succeeding so far, even though Assad and Putin were aware of it for weeks Image
2/11 Syrian opposition forces have launched a large-scale attack against government troops in western Aleppo, according to sources from the Free Syrian Army and local residents. This marks the first major confrontation between the two sides in several years. Image
3/11 The opposition offensive in western Aleppo has made significant gains in the first 24 hours, capturing villages and a military base. The situation has become so precarious for Assad's forces that Assad has traveled to Moscow. Image
Read 11 tweets
Nov 27
1/19 Putin's Race Against Time: Prices continue to increase, the ruble crumbles, and russia's economy is in huge trouble, unable to sustain the current pace of the war for long. It's not the right time for the West to fumble by giving in to any of russia's insane demands! Image
2/19 As Putin continues to pour resources into military spending, russia's economy is deteriorating, leaving russians feeling the strain in their daily lives and at the checkout. Furthermore, the ruble is rapidly losing value. Image
3/19 Butter prices have skyrocketed by 30% in 2024 amid high inflation and interest rates, transforming this basic item into a luxury. People are stealing butter to resell on the black market, leading supermarkets to use anti-theft casings usually reserved for premium products. Image
Read 19 tweets

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