Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 13
EU’s top court adviser says the Commission was wrong to release €10B to Hungary in Dec 2023.

If judges follow the opinion, Budapest may have to repay the money, Politico. 1/ Image
The funds had been frozen over rule-of-law concerns.

The European Parliament argues the Commission unfroze them on the eve of a key EU summit — when leaders needed Viktor Orbán’s support on Ukraine aid. 2/
Advocate-General Tamara Ćapeta says the Commission “incorrectly” applied its own rule-of-law criteria.

She cites failures to properly assess judicial independence and Constitutional Court appointments in Hungary. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Feb 12
Zelenskyy for The Atlantic: Ending the war is also a path to success for Republicans. The most advantageous moment for Trump is before the midterms.

Yes, Trump wants fewer deaths. But if we’re honest, it’s also a political victory for him.

1/ Image
Zelenskyy: There is no greater victory for Trump than stopping the war between Russia and Ukraine. For his legacy, it’s No. 1.

2/
Zelenskyy: I’d rather take no deal than force Ukrainians to accept a bad one.

Even after four years of war, we’re ready to fight on for a dignified, lasting peace. Ukraine is not losing.

3/
Read 13 tweets
Feb 12
Putin tightens the grip of dictatorship. Russia has erased WhatsApp from its internet.

Roskomnadzor removed the Meta-owned app — used by at least 100M Russians — from the national registry, making access nearly impossible without VPN workarounds, FT. 1/ Image
It’s a deeper block than past slowdowns.

By Dec, WhatsApp traffic had already been throttled 70-80%. Now Moscow appears to be cutting access long-term — after labeling Meta platforms “extremist” and degrading YouTube. 2/
The push is toward Max — a state-designated “national messenger” owned by VK, linked to Putin’s inner circle.

Modeled on China’s WeChat, it combines messaging and госservices — but without encryption. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Feb 12
Finland’s DM Antti Häkkänen: Russia shows no will for peace. It fights, while losing heavily on the battlefield and suffering economically.

We must increase support for Ukraine and tighten sanctions. The West must show Putin we are not backing down.

1/
Häkkänen: Arctic defense and deterrence are about the security of the entire Alliance, including North America.

‘Arctic Sentry’ is a good start, but much more needs to be done.

For Finland, the Arctic has always been crucial to European security.

2/
Häkkänen: Finland is fully Arctic. Right now, the Gulf of Finland is frozen. Our 300-kilometer border with Russia is covered in snow and ice.

That border is Arctic too. And we must treat it as a serious defense zone.

3X
Read 4 tweets
Feb 12
Ian Bremmer, President at Eurasia Group: Russia's dug its own grave. They've dug hundreds of thousands over the last 4 years in Ukraine.

They are weaker. Their economy, security, diplomacy is weaker. They're becoming a second rate state that has to follow China's lead. 1/
Bremmer: The global economy today is increasingly multipolar while the security environment is still dominated by the US.

Even if you don't trust the US as a security ally, you don't have many good options. Europeans are buying American weapons. 2/
Bremmer: When you think of the global economy, there are options. Even Canada can diversify with Europeans, Chinese, others.

Modi steps up relations with the EU and Australians and stabilizes with China. This hedge is happening in diversifying away from US trade. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Feb 12
The IOC disqualified Ukrainian skeleton racer Vladyslav Heraskevych from the Winter Games minutes before his race.

Vladyslav Heraskevych's "helmet of remembrance" honors the two dozen Ukrainian athletes killed since Russia's invasion, Reuters. 1/ Image
The IOC ruled it violated Rule 50.2, which bans political messaging on the field of play.

Heraskevych: “They were killed, but their voice is so loud that the IOC is afraid of them.” 2/
IOC President Kirsty Coventry met him at the start gate and proposed compromises: a black armband or showing the helmet before and after racing.

They didn’t reach agreement. Heraskevych was stripped of accreditation and removed from the venue. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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