Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

May 28
Bolton: Ukraine now has the best army in Europe, better than any NATO member there except the U.S.

It has enormous combat experience and has developed drone and counter-drone technology that America should use, learn from, and take advantage of. 1/
Bolton: Ukrainians have brought Russia to a halt. Putin does not get serious about negotiations until Russian forces are really moving backward.

If you want to defeat aggression and tell others it is not in their interest, Ukraine is the model. 2/
Bolton: Ukrainians are a moral example for the world.

A free people, largely abandoned, confronted one of the world’s largest armies and refused to give in. Congress should be unabashedly pro-Ukraine — it is a tragedy America is not doing more. 3X
Read 5 tweets
May 28
Bolton: Trump is driven mainly by gasoline prices, not any coherent analysis of U.S. strategic interests.

Iran poses nuclear, terrorist and world-economy extortion threats — and the only real answer is eliminating the regime. If you don’t know where you’re going, any road will do. 1/
Bolton: Open the Strait militarily, keep the blockade on Iran, do not let Iranian oil out, and get as much Arab oil into global markets as possible.

That would show the U.S. can secure commerce, ease the threat to the world economy, and keep starving Iran. 2/
Bolton: Iran’s missile caves and storage sites are being opened again. Since Tehran has been gracious enough to reopen them, that is the reason to go back in and finish the job.

Every day that passes makes opening Hormuz and suppressing Iran harder. 3/
Read 7 tweets
May 28
Kellogg: Trump may not have anyone in Iran who can make hard decisions.

Khamenei is supposed to decide, but we have not seen him and do not know if he is alive or coherent. So who do you really talk to when the hard decisions are left to him? 1/
Kellogg: Iran is following its Mosaic plan: decentralizing the Revolutionary Guards so each unit commands its own area.

That is why boats are being sent into the Gulf. Trump is in their heads, but the regime still thinks it is winning — which is nuts. 2/
Kellogg: Trump has to keep military operations in his hand.

The U.S. has hammered Iran hard — sunk its navy and defeated most defensive systems — but as long as the theocratic leadership remains, it will fight with crossbows, rifles and rocks. 3/
Read 7 tweets
May 28
Bolton: Ukraine’s ability to strike deep inside Russia and destroy much of the Black Sea Fleet caught Moscow totally unprepared.

When Russians hear targets are hit near Moscow and at deep military bases, they see the war is not going according to plan. 1/
Bolton: Russia may be trying to justify new strikes on Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities, but the battlefield is at least at a standstill — and Ukraine is beginning to make small territorial gains.

It may be Russian forces that are about to crack, not Ukraine’s. 2/
Bolton: Putin will not be serious about negotiations until Russian forces are in retreat.

As long as he is advancing, he can tell Russians this is about rebuilding the empire. Once he starts losing, pent-up discontent inside Russia can begin to surface. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 28
Moscow wants Europe and U.S. to think it can escalate war further — NYT.
Russia is threatening Kyiv with “sustained strikes” because the battlefield is slowing against them.

[Ukrainian drones hit oil infrastructure and Russian cities daily. Drones turns every advance into a meat grinder] 1/Image
Russia followed its biggest strikes on Kyiv with warnings about attacks on “decision-making centers” and calls for diplomats to leave the city — psychological warfare. 2/
The Kremlin claims its patience was “exhausted” after a strike on a dormitory in occupied Luhansk. Moscow is using the incident to justify tougher attacks and escalation rhetoric. 3/
Read 12 tweets
May 28
Zelenskyy: Gripen fighters with Meteor missiles — 200km+ range.

We believe we can push Russian aircraft back far enough to stop their mass use of guided bombs against us.

1/
Zelenskyy: First Gripens arrive in 10 months. Pilots start training now.

The challenge: our pilots are already flying combat missions in Ukrainian skies. We need to pull them out to train — and that's never easy during a war.

2/
Zelenskyy: Ukraine has the world's greatest experience protecting lives, infrastructure, energy, schools.

No one else has this — we'll share it. Gripens, interceptor drones, EW, aviation, helicopters. Land, air, sea. That's a modern air defense shield.

3X
Read 5 tweets

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