Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 19
Russia hinted it could strike drone factories inside Britain.

Moscow named 23 sites across the UK and Europe tied to drone production for Ukraine, including locations near RAF Mildenhall and addresses in west London, — The Times. 1/ Image
Medvedev, deputy head of Russia’s security council: "The list of European facilities which make drones and other equipment is a list of potential targets for the Russian armed forces. Sleep well, European partners." 2/
Russia tries to turn suppliers into co belligerents, then uses the label to justify intimidation, sabotage, or strikes. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Apr 19
Stubb: Ukraine is killing 30–35k Russians a month; Russia can’t replace losses. About 95% of kills are by drones.

Ukraine is retaking ground and in March launched more drones/missiles at Russia than vice versa. This isn’t charity anymore — the West needs Ukraine’s know-how.

1/
Stubb: In the long run, I’d prefer Ukraine in NATO. Europe’s strongest conventional militaries are Turkey, Ukraine, Poland, and Finland — we should use that.

Russia isn’t going away. Ukraine is now doing well by the numbers, and Europe needs its modern war expertise.

2/
Stubb: We see three scenarios this year: the war in Ukraine continues, a peace deal, or one side weakens.

The most likely outcome is the first — the war goes on.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Apr 19
Applebaum: Peter Magyar faced government control of 90% of media, a rigged election system favoring the countryside, a girlfriend recruited to spy on him, and his party's data hacked.

He won by going village to village — because he couldn't reach people through media.

1/
Applebaum: In Hungary, Orbán made clear his government was a form of national control — the government decided who got rich and who didn't.

It had a very heavy hand in business and commerce. People could see that, and Magyar support was partly for it.

2/
Applebaum: The journalist, who uncovered the call where Orban called himself a mouse and Putin a lion, was accused of being a foreign spy.

Hungarian journalists are used to being doxxed and harassed. It's like a huge thumb was pressed on the scale of journalism.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 19
"This is not our war," European leaders say about Iran.

Politico: The infiltration of European societies by Islamist networks is more advanced in Europe than U.S.

Europe will pay a high price for withdrawal of solidarity because future U.S. governments will remember it. 1/ Image
If the war in Iran is not a European matter, then the war in Ukraine is not an American one — that's the logic. Then Europeans should solve it themselves in the future, and alone.

Ukraine and Russia are much farther from Washington than the mullahs and their terror are from Berlin or Paris. 2/
For more than 45 years, IRGC have terrorized the free world.

Their goal is not just the destruction of Israel, but the destruction of the open society — decadent liberal democracy they despise. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Apr 19
Ukraine can withstand Trump’s pressure in negotiations. We’ve already become a partner to leading powers.

We sell our battlefield know-how to Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE. Germany signed a $4bn deal with us, Phillips O’Brien for The Atlantic. 1/ Image
Trump also showed something important: the US can no longer be treated as an automatic security guarantee.

So Ukraine is doing what strong states do: building new alliances, expanding its own power, and acting without permission. 2/
For more than a year after Trump’s return, Ukraine tried to preserve ties with Washington.

Despite aid cuts, pressure on Kyiv, and Trump’s sympathy for Putin, Zelensky kept negotiating and kept the channel open. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Apr 19
Kasparov: Trump’s team is run by cronies, not institutions. While war and negotiations continue, Rubio is at UFC with Trump.

The State Department doesn’t function. America’s strength was its professional bureaucracy that helped prevent catastrophic mistakes.

1/
Kasparov: We’re seeing the collapse of the Trump administration — incompetence, corruption, and inability to meet challenges.

America is being discredited. Trump bankrupted six companies, even casinos — that says enough.

2/
Kasparov: America is facing geopolitical and moral-political bankruptcy. Trump uses the term “special military operation” — echoing Putin — because formally he has no right to start a war without Congress.

3/
Read 6 tweets

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