Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 13
Volker: Zelenskyy has learned how to deal with Trump. This time [in Ankara] he was disciplined.

He didn't want to talk too much in public. He wanted their private meeting to have a positive tone. He joked a little.

That's the right way to handle things. 1/
Volker: Zelenskyy has an advantage over Russia in drones, counter-drones, electronic warfare, defense tech, innovation and logistics.

Many things that Putin is not able to do. Long-range strikes are hitting Russia's source of money: its oil and gas industry. 2/
Volker: Putin wants another shot at the winter.

He wants to keep fighting and try again to shut off Ukraine's electricity. Ukraine is in a stronger position than last winter, but Putin probably wants to try again. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 13
Kuleba: Putin is living through his Stalin moment. When everything falls apart around you, you do not give in.

You tighten the screws and double down: nothing can break me. Putin is waiting for winter to crush Ukraine’s energy system and its people’s resilience.

1/
Kuleba: Ukraine asked to build Patriot missiles at home in December 2023. The West takes too long to make obvious decisions.

War is becoming more aerial, and Ukraine will never have enough Patriots to intercept all ballistic missiles.

2/
Kuleba: Trump’s first year hit Ukraine hard. No one expected an easy relationship, but no one imagined it would get this bad.

Things look better now, but no one can guarantee it will hold.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 13
At a secret factory in southern Germany, Helsing SE mass-produces AI attack drones for Ukraine.

The HX-2 weighs 26 pounds, can cost as little as €17,500, needs barely a week of training and has been deployed by the thousands, NYT. 1/ Image
Helsing is Europe’s most valuable AI defense start-up.

Founded in 2021, it set out to mass-produce cheap war machines as Western defense moves beyond multiyear contracts for tanks, jets and submarines toward cheaper, nimbler systems. 2/
The factory operates under tight secrecy.

Helsing’s name appears nowhere, other tenants do not know it exists, and the site can be dismantled and relocated within a day because the company fears sabotage or attack. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jul 12
Venezuela is formally sovereign, yet power is exercised from Washington.

Marco Rubio controls its money, oil rules, sanctions, appointments and public messaging.

Decisions about elections, timelines, and who can run remain unresolved or influenced from abroad, — NYT. 1/ Image
Most Venezuelan export revenue goes first to the U.S. Treasury, then gets disbursed back through Venezuela’s banking system.

Rubio’s team decides what can be spent, and by whom. 2/
That gives Washington leverage over acting leader Delcy Rodríguez.

She needs U.S.-released money to pay workers and support the currency. Her government operates under U.S. financial permission. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Jul 11
Kasparov: If Russia crosses into Estonia or Finland — NATO formally needs Article 5, Brussels, the American general reports to Washington.

The question is: will Trump not be playing golf at that moment?

1/
Kasparov: I see zero signs that Russia is ready for any negotiation process — not in propaganda, not in the economy, not in statements from Putin, Lavrov or Peskov.

Maybe I missed something. But so far we see exactly the opposite vector.

2/
Kasparov: NATO as we knew it no longer exists. The infrastructure remains, the internal ties remain, but it will all work differently now.

For the first time since the Cold War, NATO faces a real threat of military confrontation with Russia. And in fact, it is already happening.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 11
Queues stretch up to nine miles beyond Crimea's checkpoints. 79% of hotel bookings cancelled. Fuel sold on Telegram at $25 a gallon. Blackouts last for days. Water available one hour a day.

Putin's "sacred" peninsula has become a burden. — The Telegraph.

1/ Image
Ukraine struck 50 energy facilities in Crimea between July 1–8. Hit 76 shadow-fleet tankers in the Sea of Azov this week. Long-range strikes jumped 1,150% in 2026.

Six choke-point bridges under attack. Russian authorities suspended all fuel sales to private individuals.

2/
Fedorov: "In the near future, Crimea will become an island. For the Russians, the real hell is just beginning."

The fuel crunch has spread to at least 78 of Russia's 83 federal regions. Police and National Guard deployed to petrol stations to prevent confrontations.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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