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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 2, 2024 • 12 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X

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https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/

https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/

2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/

3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/

Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/

4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/

5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/

6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/

There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/

Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Mar 20

Allied leaders stopped trying to find hidden logic behind Trump's actions.

They understand any contribution they make will count for nothing. Few days later, Trump will not even remember it happened — Anne Applebaum, The Atlantic. 1/

For 14 months American president tariffed allies, mocked their security concerns, repeatedly insulted them.

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Mar 20

The new world war has already started. Ukraine and Iran are not two separate conflicts — they are Act One of the same war.

The war in Ukraine involves Russian soldiers, Chinese circuits, Iranian drones, and mercenaries from North Korea, writes Will Lloyd in New Statesman. 1/

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

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Mar 20

Bill Browder: Putin is definitely licking his lips, feeling like a real gift has come out of left field. The extra money he'll be getting will be about $10B.

That goes to pay for soldiers, ammunition, and whatever else he needs to carry on his war in Ukraine. 1/

Browder: At the same time the Ukrainians have gained territory because they've gotten so good with drone warfare.

Putin's not getting any more territory, he's hiding in a bunker.

It's not all one-sided, it's a complicated story where he's winning some, he's losing some. 2/

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

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CIA Director Ratcliffe: “I don’t take Vladimir Putin at his word.”

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Ratcliffe: “The Iranians are requesting intelligence assistance from Russia, from China, and from other adversaries of the US.”

Details on whether support is being provided were kept classified. 2/

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

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Mar 19

Keane: European weakness comes from decades of cutting defense spending to pay for domestic programs.

Russia saw those vulnerabilities and invaded Ukraine, while the US now needs allied support for operations — and expects Europe to step forward after initial hesitation. 1/

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

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Kellogg: The Strait of Hormuz is passable now — we just need the courage to do it.

They are softening targets by taking out shore-to-ship missiles and batteries. If you take Kharg Island and secure the strait, you’re in great shape and can move ships through. 1/

Kellogg: The strait is about 25 miles wide, but shipping lanes are only two miles each way.

You clear mines and missile threats — Iran’s systems come largely from Russia and China — and run escorted ships through to reopen the route. 2/

Kellogg: War is a two-way street — you’re going to get hit.

The first runs will face drones or missiles, like the “Thunder runs” into Baghdad. You push through expecting fire — you just have to kill them all, and sooner or later they’re going to break. 3X