Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tymofiy Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Mylovanov

May 16
Ukraine's FP-1/2 long-range drone now flies into Crimea carrying two FPV drones strapped to its wings.

One FPV is fitted with a flat antenna that matches a compact Starlink terminal — United24. 1/
Russian sources filmed the downed mothership in a bay near occupied Crimea. The wings still held two attached FPV drones.

Analysts identified the antenna on one of them as Starlink-grade. 2/
A Starlink link means the FPV does not depend on the mothership as a radio relay.

It can be dropped over the target and flown directly through satellite, while the FP-1/2 keeps going to its own warhead mission. 3/
Read 9 tweets
May 16
Putin and Zelenskyy are both losing faith in Trump’s peace talks — but for opposite reasons.

Russia believes it can still win militarily. Ukraine believes it no longer has to accept a bad deal under US pressure after stabilizing the front, FT. 1/ Image
Putin is shifting from negotiations back to territorial expansion.

Russian commanders told him they could seize all of Donbas by autumn, after which Moscow plans to raise demands further. 2/
Ukraine says the talks stalled months ago.

“There has been zero progress secured by the American side from Russia,” a Ukrainian official says. Kyiv believes Washington failed to pressure Moscow to moderate demands. 3/
Read 7 tweets
May 16
Defense analyst Michael Clarke: Militarily, this is simple. The US tried to hit Iran’s political center of gravity by decapitating the IRGC.

It did not work. Iran’s political center is now stronger. 1/
Clarke: The US could go into Hormuz, fight a battle and win, but there would be losses.

Trump is not prepared to take that cost, so America is trying to win from 400–500 miles away with robotics, drones and AI. 2/
Clarke: What has the war achieved? At best, the US may return to something like the 2015 nuclear deal.

Iran has survived, the IRGC has consolidated power, and Hormuz may never fully return to how it was before. 3X
Read 5 tweets
May 15
McFaul: Iran has a good reason to think it did not lose.

Trump team declared Epic Fury over without achieving its major goals: no nuclear deal, no missile limits, no end to terror funding, no regime change. 1/
McFaul: If the Americans have already quit, Iran is in a strong negotiating position.

Now the whole discussion is about reopening Hormuz — something that was open before Epic Fury even started. That is perfect for Tehran. 2/
McFaul: Trump never clearly explained why America needed this war.

That makes it almost impossible to explain how he is ending it — especially when none of the goals he used to justify the war are being achieved. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 15
Last night Russia bombed Kyiv for 8 hours and killed 24 people.

Today it forced the city into air raid sirens again. KSE students ran to shelters four times during classes and came back to continue studying each time.

This is what university life in Kyiv looks like now. 1/
On May 14 Russia launched 1,560 drones at Ukraine in 24 hours — one of the largest drone attack since the start of the full-scale war.

Most of them hit Kyiv. Air raid sirens lasted from 00:50 until 8:43 a.m. 2/
Nobody forced students to return to classrooms after a night like that. They came anyway. And nobody will stop them. Not Putin. Not drones or missiles. Not exhaustion.

KSE students keep studying, working, and supporting each other because they refuse to live in survival mode. 3/
Read 4 tweets
May 15
Even Satan cannot save Putin — Telegraph.

His latest nuclear threats is attempt to convince Russians that he still holds cards.

After 4 years of war, much of its Black Sea Fleet damaged, territorial gains limited, so Moscow relies on nuclear rhetoric to project strength. 1/ Image
Kremlin’s latest showpiece is the RS-28 Sarmat, branded “Satan II.”

Putin claims it can strike targets 21,750 miles away and bypass Western missile defenses — but the program suffered repeated delays and failed tests. 2/
Sarmat is liquid-fueled, requiring lengthy launch preparation from fixed silos — a vulnerability against modern precision-strike systems used by NATO countries. 3/
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(