Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 4
FT: Russian satellites Luch-1 and Luch-2 have been intercepting and spying on European satellites — exposing how Moscow can monitor, disrupt, or even hijack systems that power Europe’s communications, TV, and government links. 1/ Image
This matters because many European satellites still use unencrypted command links.

If Russia records these signals, it can later imitate ground controllers, alter orbits, knock satellites off alignment, or force them to fail. 2/
Since its launch in 2023, Luch-2 has approached 17 European geostationary satellites, parking next to them for weeks at a time above Europe, Africa, and the Middle East, according to orbital tracking data. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 4
Sometimes we don’t think about what the loss of heating and electricity really means.

This winter, Kyiv’s National Botanical Garden is fighting to save plants and research dating back to the 1940s, maintained through decades of scientific work and generational effort. 1/ Image
Kyiv Independent: the garden holds over 4,000 species of tropical and subtropical plants.

Many exist in only a few collections worldwide. Some ecosystems where they were originally collected no longer exist at all. 2/
Outside temperatures dropped to –25°C.

Inside the greenhouses, temperatures fell to 0°C or lower.

For tropical plants, 15°C is the minimum for survival. Below that, growth stops, immunity collapses, and death can come weeks or months later. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Feb 4
Trump: Putin agreed to pause strikes Sunday to Sunday and kept his word. The attacks resumed after that.

One week may not sound like much, but with the extreme cold in Ukraine, we’ll take anything.

1/
Trump: I want Putin to end the war. I spoke to him, and that’s what I want him to do.

2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Feb 3
Why Donetsk sits at the center of the peace talks.

In Abu Dhabi, Rubio called it the one remaining item. Moscow disputes that — but the Ukrainian-held part of Donetsk is the core territorial demand Russia won’t drop, NYT. 1/ Image
Russia still wants 2,082 sq miles of Donetsk — smaller than Delaware, but politically decisive.

For months, Moscow has signaled it won’t stop fighting until Kyiv hands over the rest of the region it still controls. 2/
Donetsk is the symbolic heart of the war.

Since 2014, the Kremlin has framed the invasion around “saving Donbas.” Luhansk is fully occupied. Leaving part of Donetsk outside Russian control breaks the propaganda story. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 3
Foreman: Russia's "third army" is effectively a bit of a rabble. It will throw emphasis back onto nuclear weapons.

Russia is already inferior economically, militarily, financially to Europe. That gap's going to grow. Russia is in decline. Russian economy is creaking along. 1/
Foreman: Why would Russia want to attack NATO when having suffered at the hands of Ukraine so grievously and then have to face an even more superior enemy?

Even European NATO could handle the Russian army let alone with the Americans there. An army quite good on paper. 2/
Foreman: More evidence was building that Russia was going to invade Ukraine. Shoigu and Gerasimov met with Putin.

We'd speak to the Russians directly. It was the last attempt to deter them. They were Champions League liars. We saw through their lies. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 3
Sikorski: The Nobel Peace Prize is of some interest. Right now, prime ministers get letters. As foreign ministers, we have the right to nominate.

If President Trump secures a fair peace for Ukraine, I shall do it myself. But it's I who will decide what a fair peace is. 1/
Sikorski: Norwegian air defense systems and F-35s were the 1st to help protect the Polish sky. Defense cooperation has been growing steadily and effectively.

Together we are helping Ukrainian soldiers who can now train in Poland in camps. 2/
Sikorski: Our locations give us a strategic role in the regions near to Russia. Poland is between East and West. In NATO, they used to joke that God created Poland for tank warfare.

We are trying to get away from that. We like to think of ourselves as southern Scandinavia. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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