Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

May 24
Kasparov: Putin is not just at war against Ukraine. He is at war against Europe, European institutions and the free world.

Dictators lie about what they have done, but very often they tell you exactly what they are going to do. Putin has for decades. 1/
Kasparov: Putin’s goal was, is and will be to restore the Russian Empire and push NATO back to 1997 borders.

Ukraine is the main target now, but not the ultimate goal. Europe still treats this as hypothetical. It is not a threat — it is a menace. 2/
Kasparov: Putin needs a success story: proving NATO is dead because Article 5 does not work.

Narva, Daugavpils, maybe Vilnius are ideal targets. It is not about occupying Europe; it is about showing NATO will debate, hesitate and fail to respond. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 24
Putin put a nuclear-capable Oreshnik into Russia’s overnight strike on Kyiv region.

The hypersonic missile hit Bila Tserkva as Moscow launched around 90 cruise and ballistic missiles plus hundreds of drones. 4 people died, at least 80 were injured — Telegraph. 1/
Oreshnik travels 10 times faster than sound and can carry nuclear warheads. Russia had used it before near Dnipro and Lviv with dummy warheads, causing little damage but sending a symbolic threat.

Ukraine said earlier this year Moscow had only 4 of these missiles. 2/
Zelenskyy: Putin can no longer even properly pronounce the word hurrah, he slurs and mumbles, yet he still wins against residential buildings with his missiles.

He launched his so-called Oreshnik against Bila Tserkva. They really are unhinged. 3/
Read 10 tweets
May 24
Former Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba: Ukraine’s victory is not just a line on a map.

Victory is preserving an independent, sovereign, European Ukraine: not absorbed by Russia, not controlled by Russia, and not part of the Russian world. 1/
Kuleba: Putin’s death could seriously break the course of this war.

Apart from Putin and maybe Patrushev, there is no one in Russia’s elite for whom destroying Ukrainian statehood is the meaning of life at this level of obsession. 2/
Kuleba: Putin cannot become the first Russian ruler since 1654 who failed to keep Ukraine. For him, everything in life is now at stake.

That is why this war is personal, historical and much bigger than ordinary imperial pressure. 3X
Read 5 tweets
May 24
Petraeus: The U.S. has not remotely learned the lessons it should from Ukraine.

This is the future of war: Ukraine alone uses 10,000 drones a day, and 90% of Russian casualties are caused by drones. That should force institutional change. 1/
Petraeus: Tanks cannot maneuver anymore. Armored vehicles cannot survive.

You cannot even drive vehicles in the 35-km death zone on either side of the front, because drones can fly into trenches and kill people. This is a vast change. 2/
Petraeus: The U.S. has to overhaul its concepts of war: create unmanned-systems forces like Ukraine has, change how leaders train, and build weapons that can get software updates weekly and hardware changes every few weeks. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 24
Fukuyama: The key issue was Taiwan.

A $14B arms package was held up, and Trump seemed to see Taiwan as a “very good negotiating chip” with Beijing — trading an ally’s security for economic advantage while repeating false claims about Taiwan stealing U.S. chip technology. 1/
Fukuyama: The optics showed how far Trump had fallen in Chinese eyes.

Xi did not meet him at the airport, Trump was seated to look smaller, and the worst part was Trump’s constant flattery — calling Xi a great leader, a friend, someone from central casting. 2/
Fukuyama: American decline is a direct product of Trump’s rise since 2016.

It is as if Trump decided to weaken the U.S. against China: polarizing America, attacking universities, cutting science funding, and depleting advanced munitions in the Middle East. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 24
A Russian drone is still outside my window. And air-defense machine guns are working a hundred yards away.

This night Russia attacked Kyiv again.

For the first time, our university KSE, was hit.

One staff member was injured. No one in our community was killed, thank God. 1/ Image
Windows and doors in two main buildings are shattered.

The team is checking for structural damage.

So far, I have no reports of any more student, staff or faculty injuries. But one apartment and one house are destroyed, another apartment damaged. 2/ Image
Our operations and management teams were on site at 5am, the moment curfew ended, while the attack was still continuing.

We are okayish, but Kyiv is damaged. The death tool is 1 as of writing, I expect it to rise to dozens. 3/ Image
Read 7 tweets

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