Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 13
Magyar: I will not actively seek ties with Russia, but if Putin calls me, I will pick up the phone and ask him to end the war.

Hungary is a free, independent European country, part of the EU and NATO, and that is how we will act in the world. 1/
Magyar: We cannot change geography. Russia will still be there and Hungary will still be here.

So we must diversify our energy supply for security and lower prices. That does not mean cutting ourselves off, it means buying oil and gas as safely and cheaply as possible. 2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Apr 13
Peter Magyar just toppled Orban after 16 years in power.

He spent 20 years inside the very system he just brought down. Here is who he is. 1/ Image
He grew up in a conservative family with deep roots in Hungarian politics.

His grandfather Pal Eross was a well-known TV personality and lawyer. His godfather Ferenc Madl served as President of Hungary from 2000 to 2005. 2/
In 2004 he graduated from the law faculty of Pazmany Peter Catholic University in Budapest. After Fidesz took power in 2010 he was appointed to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. 3/
Read 15 tweets
Apr 13
“Iron must fight. People must live”

Ground robotic systems went from an outsider idea to the backbone of Ukrainian army logistics. Viktor Pavlov, founder of the UGV School, writes for UP on how it happened and what still blocks Ukraine from winning the robot war. 1/ Image
In 2022 Pavlov was in reconnaissance when his unit carried a wounded soldier 800 meters through a tree line under fire — left flank under enemy control, right flank the same. No way out.

“If we had a ground drone, we would have just put the guy on it and driven him out.” . 2/
The first UGV his unit tested: a 12 kg tracked drone ordered with private funds, arrived late 2022. They rebuilt the comms themselves, mounted cameras, printed parts on a 3D printer.

First combat test — Bakhmut direction in January 2023. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Apr 13
Von der Leyen: Today Europe is Hungarian without any question. The people of Hungary have spoken and reclaimed their European path.

It is a victory for fundamental freedoms. Like in 1956, in 1989, when you cut the barbed wire dividing our continent. Our union is stronger. 1/
Von der Leyen: Moving to qualified majority voting in foreign policy is an important way to avoid systemic blockages.

We should use the momentum now to move forward. We are one family. Hungarian story is our story. Your future is our future. 2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Apr 13
Former US Sec. of State Blinken: Result of war with Iran may be tactical success, but the regime is still in place

Iran still has enriched uranium and centrifuges it can spin up, rebuild missile production, and it has a huge advantage: leverage over the Hormuz 1/
Blinken: Trump has taken an off-ramp. The question is whether it leads to a rest stop, some destination, or a dead end.

He has put himself in a corner over the last few weeks, and if there is no durable agreement in two weeks, it gets much harder to get out. 2/
Blinken: Trump has had two guardrails on this war: markets and munitions. Oil, gas, fertilizer, bonds and stocks on one side.

Depleted offensive and defensive munitions on the other. That means diminished deterrence, including with regard to China. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Apr 12
Bolton: There are no moderates in Iran’s regime — all support nuclear weapons.

The opposition exists but is disorganized. If the regime starts collapsing, expect turmoil — and insiders will begin to abandon it rather than go down with it.

1/
Bolton: Gulf states don’t want to live under Tehran’s control.

The Strait must be opened now — by force if needed. If not, Iran will keep closing it, driving up oil prices and forcing the region into dependence.

2/
Bolton: The ceasefire gave Iran a chance to regroup after weeks of strikes.

Pressure should return. The goal is to open the Strait — but for Gulf oil, not Iranian oil.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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