Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jan 19
Fukuyama: Trump is a bully who wants to dominate everyone around him. Trying to placate him with concessions is a fool’s errand. He despises weakness.

As an American, I say to my European friends: do not back down. Appeasing Trump with flattery has failed and must stop. 1/
Fukuyama: Europeans think conceding Greenland will mollify Trump. It won’t. He will come back for more later. Europe says it still depends on the U.S. to deal with Russia.

But Trump’s America has abandoned Ukraine and declared Europe secondary to the Western Hemisphere. 2/
Fukuyama: Countries that stood up to Trump’s threats — Brazil, India, China — have done well. They boosted domestic support, and China forced the U.S. to back down.

Trump is not the United States: most Americans are dismayed by his policies and likely to vote against him. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jan 19
Fukuyama: Corruption domestically has direct effects on foreign policy.

Trump imposes a heavy tariff on Switzerland, they give him a gold bar and a fancy Rolex clock, and he decides he's going to lower that tariff.

American foreign policy is being made on personal whims. 1/
Fukuyama: Predictions are that the Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives.

Once that happens, Trump's power declines because they can hold hearings, call cabinet members to be answerable for corruption that starts in the White House. 2/
Fukuyama: Friends of the old United States shouldn't give up hope, should stand up for their principles, continue to support democracy and democratic allies around the world.

The United States has a good chance of regaining some of that position it upheld for 70 years. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jan 18
Syrskyi: In 2025, Ukraine struck 719 Russian targets, inflicting total losses exceeding $15B. We significantly reduced their oil production. DeepStrike is our strong suit.

We targeted military facilities, oil-refining infrastructure, and responded to strikes on energy system. 1/
Syrskyi: In March 2025, we conducted active operations with incursions into Belgorod region, and by summer — into Kursk region.

This forced Russia to pull back and redeploy about 70,000 troops — their best units — which had been concentrated on the Sumy direction. 2/
Syrskyi: The counteroffensive on the Dobropillia axis disrupted Russia’s plan for an offensive deeper into Dnipro region.

A Russian naval infantry grouping of 18,000 was redeployed from the Novopavlivka axis to the Dobropillia axis, where it is now fighting unsuccessfully. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Jan 18
Trump is a narcissist — and Putin and Xi know it.

In The Guardian, historian Brendan Simms analyzes whether Trump is reviving a Nazi-era idea of dividing the world into imperial “great spaces.”

Simms: Trump disrupts the order, but he does not build a coherent one. 1/ Image
Carl Schmitt, the Nazi regime’s chief legal theorist, argued in 1939 that the world should be divided into “great spaces,” each ruled by an empire that excludes outside powers.

Nazi Germany would dominate Europe and block Anglo-American influence. 2/
Schmitt’s ideas did not disappear.

Russian ideologues, especially Alexander Dugin, use them today to justify empire, territorial expansion, and the exclusion of Western influence from Eastern Europe and the post-Soviet space. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Jan 18
Russia is building submarines, warships, and missiles to prepare for war in Europe. Procurement order books reveal the plan.

In Foreign Affairs, Jacob Parakilas and Pavlo Shkurenko from KSE Institute, explain why Europe should pay attention. 1/ Image
Russian drones, aircraft, and warships keep entering European airspace and waters. They test responses and normalize intrusion.

Each probe is backed by an expanding military industry built for long-term pressure, not only war in Ukraine. 2/
Despite losses in the Black Sea, Russia did not cut naval production. It shifted toward diesel-electric submarines, ice-capable fleets, and nuclear service ships.

These platforms are optimized for the Baltic, Arctic, and North Sea — Europe’s weak points. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jan 18
$1 billion to buy a permanent seat at Trump’s Board of Peace.

Trump would chair it, pick members, control the agenda and funds, and veto decisions.

The board would act as a UN alternative, created outside UN rules, once three countries sign on. — Bloomberg. 1/ Image
Trump asks countries to pay $1 billion in cash to secure permanent membership. Those who don’t pay serve three-year terms, renewable only if Trump approves. 2/
Trump would chair the board himself.

He would control invitations, approve agendas, oversee the funds, and sign off on every decision. No decision takes effect without his approval. 3/
Read 11 tweets

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