Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Dec 11
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has entered the economic track of Trump–Ukraine negotiations — a major signal that reconstruction planning is moving into real money and procedures, reports Bloomberg. 1/ Image
Zelenskyy said Fink joined Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Jared Kushner on Wednesday for what he called “the first meeting of the group that will work on a document concerning reconstruction and economic recovery of Ukraine.” 2/
Fink’s return is notable: BlackRock paused its Ukraine recovery fund nearly a year ago after Trump’s re-election.

Before the freeze, the fund was on track to raise $2.5B from governments, development banks and private investors. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Dec 11
Russia is not as resilient as Putin claims.

Its army crawls forward with heavy losses, its economy stalls with a 22% drop in oil and gas revenue and public support for the war collapses , writes The Economist.

1/ Image
Putin films himself in fatigues and boasts that troops “advance virtually everywhere.”

On the ground, Russian commanders send small assault groups to record victory clips before they die.

Ukrainian forces still hold Pokrovsk, weeks after Russia claimed to seize it.

2/
War spending hits half of Russia’s budget.

Tank plants work overtime, carmakers cut shifts.

The deficit nears 3% of GDP.

Sanctions block foreign borrowing, so the Kremlin drains its own people — higher taxes, domestic debt, and inflation.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Dec 11
Zelenskyy: The Ukrainian people must answer the territorial question — either through elections or through a referendum.

1/ Image
Zelenskyy: The US President said Ukrainians want the war to end and shouldn’t delay it just so someone can hold on to a position. So I said clearly: yes, I support elections.

2/
Zelenskyy: If our partners can help us organize elections safely and on time, I will support it. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Dec 11
Shapiro: The US shouldn't pretend to be neutral between Russia and Ukraine. There’s corruption in Ukraine, but also in Qatar and other nations with which Trump has relations. The idea that Russia will become pro-American is foolish. Russians are adversarial to US interests. 1/
Shapiro: Many Europeans on the right want to make a separate deal with Russia. That’s bad for the U.S. if Russia gains a large part of Ukraine and invades again.

I can see why Russia wants to expand, but what guarantee could the U.S. offer Ukrainians to stop fighting? 2/
Shapiro: You can see why Zelenskyy is refusing to cede land to Russia, though this doesn’t excuse the corruption in his regime. I asked Zelenskyy directly about corruption when I visited him in Kiev. You can watch the interview. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Dec 11
Croatian Prime Minister, Andrej Plenković: Croatia has already transferred M84 and M80 tanks to Germany so they could go straight to Ukraine, where they will be used against Russian aggression.

This cooperation works and it should grow. 1/
Q: Why is Russian energy still entering the EU when Croatia can fully fill it through Liquefied Natural Gas and Jadranski Naftovod?

Plenković: JANAF can supply 100% of the oil Hungary and Slovakia need, without Russian oil. Croatia will present this again to the EU Commission 2/
Q: Does Croatia support ending sanctions exemptions?

Plenković: The Serbia–Hungary route breaks the logic of sanctions.

Russian oil enters via Druzhba, gets refined in Hungary and is shipped to Serbia — we can’t send non-Russian oil because they control the Serbian refinery. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Dec 11
Boris Johnson: The only chance of ending the Russia-Ukraine war is to turn up the heat on Putin

It’s no use for Europeans to blame Americans while Europe still buys Russian gas. And no use us sitting in beautiful Bergen whimpering about Friday’s document [the new US strategy] 1/
Johnson: I was sitting in every significant NATO meeting from 2016 to 2022, and there was never a snowball’s chance in Hades [hell] of Ukraine joining NATO.

Because any such suggestion faced vetoes from France, Germany, and the USA — a caviar bowl of black balls. 2/
Johnson: It is a damnable lie for Putin to claim he was driven to invade by NATO expansionism.

He is the revanchist and neoimperialist terrified of Ukraine’s choice of a free, pluralist, democratic Western European identity. That’s what he hates, that’s what he fears. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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