Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

May 12
Trump arrives in Beijing as a weakened president.

The Iran war unresolved, the Strait of Hormuz still closed, tariffs failing.

Xi holds the cards, including a near-monopoly over rare earths and critical minerals. — Gideon Rachman, FT.

1/ Image
When Trump imposed 145% tariffs on Chinese goods, Beijing restricted mineral exports.

US factory production lines shut down within weeks. Within months — a trade truce.

2/
China's AI models are now roughly six months behind US rivals. Electric vehicles — China is ahead. Nvidia is lobbying to soften chip export restrictions, arguing it will lose markets to Chinese competitors.

The US lead in technology is narrowing.

3/
Read 7 tweets
May 12
Palantir CEO Alex Karp met with Zelenskyy and Fedorov in Kyiv. Ukraine is scaling AI for warfighting with real data.

Palantir is helping Ukraine to analyze air attacks. Now the task is to integrate AI into defense tech projects and deep strikes, using intelligence data at scale. 1/Image
Ukraine builds feedback loops. Drones and missiles produce data. Analysts turn it into targets and defenses. The system learns. If the loop runs faster than Russia adapts, Ukraine wins time and lives. 2/
Fedorov showed Brave1 Dataroom — a pipeline that lets Ukrainian developers train models on battlefield data. More than 100 companies already use it. That is an industrial base for military AI, not a demo day. 3/
Read 7 tweets
May 11
Pomerantsev: Ukraine has all of society approaches to cognitive defense. It is way ahead.

When talking with partners, you have to be careful not to give anyone a sense that you're intervening in domestic politics. If you're dealing in truth, you have a duty to release it. 1/
Pomerantsev: Russia is aggressive inside Europe with assassinations, sabotage and cyber attacks. Some countries get intimidated, while others feel emboldened to act. The more aggressive Russia becomes, the more people see it as fair game to strike back. 2/
Pomerantsev: Americans accused anyone working on disinformation and media literacy of being part of a censorship industrial complex. European organizations monitoring disinformation have been sanctioned by the US. The Americans own tech companies that suppress voices. 3X
Read 5 tweets
May 11
Kasparov: Trump always plays for Trump: his money, his glory, his family. But in the Ukraine war, he is playing on Putin’s side.

He never says a bad word about Putin, always explains Putin’s actions, and every concrete step helps Putin’s war effort. 1/
Kasparov: This is a world war. China stands behind Putin and wants it to continue because it drains the West, splits America and Europe, and weakens Russia.

Iran and the terrorist networks it funds are also part of the same global picture. 2/
Kasparov: NATO is dead as an organization.

It was created to stop Soviet-Russian aggression against free Europe, and when that aggression came, NATO did not even try to stop it. A new European security system is now being built. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 11
One US sanction was enough to break normal life for a ICC judge in Europe.

Nicolas Guillou lost access to credit cards, bank transfers, hotel bookings, UPS deliveries, Paris bike rentals and parts of his health insurance because they all depended on American companies, FT. 1/ Image
The US sanctioned Guillou in August 2025 after the ICC issued arrest warrants for Benjamin Netanyahu and former Israeli defense minister Yoav Gallant over alleged war crimes in Gaza. 2/
Within days, banks blocked transfers.

and Expedia canceled hotel reservations. UPS returned packages. Paris’ Vélib’ bike system refused rentals because it required a credit card guarantee. 3/Booking.com
Read 10 tweets
May 11
Hodges: The war has shifted in Ukraine’s favor. Ukraine is killing and wounding more Russians than Moscow can replace.

That is a negative trend for Russia and may force full mobilization, including in Moscow and St. Petersburg — something the Kremlin does not want. 1/
Hodges: Ukraine’s long-range strikes on Russia’s oil and gas infrastructure will make it much harder for Moscow to keep fighting even into next year.

With drones and defense production, Ukraine has stopped Russian ground operations and opened a vector to victory. 2/
Hodges: The next phase should bring more Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian oil and gas infrastructure, shadow-fleet vessels, and factories.

Making critical components for Russian missiles and drones as Ukraine expands production of its own weapons. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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