Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

May 6
Ukraine is building a Hague tribunal for Putin, Lukashenko, and Russia’s top leadership — while demanding over $1T in reparations from Russia.

Iryna Mudra, deputy head of Ukraine’s Presidential Office: “Accountability is not a subject of bargaining in peace talks,” EP. 1/ Image
Russia repeatedly demanded immunity.

During talks in 2022 and in its recent 28-point “peace plan,” Moscow pushed for lifting sanctions, ending court cases, and granting amnesty for Russian leadership and war crimes. 2/
Tribunal moves from politics to implementation. Council of Europe ministers will finalize legal creation of the court in Chisinau on May 14-15. It will operate in Hague.

Mudra: “A tribunal for Putin.” 3/
Read 12 tweets
May 6
Kasparov: Putin is paranoid, but his fears are real. Russian history shows that bad wars lead to massive change, sometimes revolution.

If a war goes well, the public never cares about the price of victory. But bad, unwinnable wars are what bring regimes down. 1/
Kasparov: The war against Ukraine began with a consensus that Russia would win easily. Now it looks unwinnable.

Even pro-war bloggers are expressing doubts that Putin can deliver, and for a dictator that is the greatest danger: people start believing he is weak. 2/
Kasparov: May 9 is a sacred date for Putin. It is what made Russia feel great.

So for him to cut the parade down now, with no tanks, is already a sign of weakness. Soviet and Russian rulers always tried to capitalize on World War II victory. 3/
Read 7 tweets
May 6
Gen. Hertling: These [recent Iranian attacks on merchant shipping and US naval vessels] are more than random incidents.

So yes, it does look like a violation of the ceasefire, and Trump clearly does not want to go back to kinetic operations. 1/
Hertling: I do not think the Navy can personally escort hundreds, maybe up to 2,000 ships, out of the Strait.

The real task is clearing lanes, finding where Iran laid mines, and moving ships without creating dense targets for Iranian missiles and drones. 2/
Hertling: Trump’s dismissal of the public is staggering. Congress and the American people have to be brought together before America’s sons and daughters are put in harm’s way.

You cannot fight a war with weak support and then wave it away by saying the polls are fake. 3/
Read 7 tweets
May 5
Rubio: Iran has always said it does not want a nuclear weapon. They just do not mean it.

They keep doing the things countries do when they want one: building long-range missiles, hiding enrichment in mountains and caves, and keeping parts of the program secret. 1/
Rubio: Iran kept highly enriched uranium at 60%, and that has no civilian use.

If all it wanted was a civilian nuclear program, it could do what many other countries do: import enriched material instead of hiding domestic enrichment underground. 2/
Rubio: A real diplomatic path now means Iran must prove at the front end what it is actually willing to negotiate and what concessions it will make.

No one needs a full agreement tomorrow, but talks are worthless if Tehran still acts like it wants a military nuclear program. 3X
Read 5 tweets
May 5
Rubio: Nearly 23,000 civilians from 87 countries are trapped in the Gulf and left for dead by the Iranian regime.

For more than two months, innocent sailors and commercial crews have been stranded at sea by Iran’s desperate, destructive blockade of Hormuz. 1/
Rubio: At least 10 civilian sailors have already died.

Many nations have asked the US to free their ships and restore freedom of navigation in Hormuz, so Trump ordered the military to guide stranded vessels to safety and create a protective bubble. 2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
May 5
A Ukrainian sea drone killed the entire crew of a Russian FSB patrol boat guarding the Kerch Bridge on April 30 — U24.

Eight FSB agents in the boat Project "Sobol" died. Sobol is a high-speed patrol craft for coastal interception, capable of 48 knots.

1/ Image
Two Russian vessels were struck in the overnight operation near the Kerch Bridge.

Both were part of the maritime security perimeter protecting the bridge connecting occupied Crimea to Russia.

2/
The same week, Ukraine struck two Russian shadow fleet oil tankers near Novorossiysk.

Zelenskyy: These tankers had been actively used to transport oil — not anymore.

Russia operates around 11 "Sobol" patrol boats in the Black Sea and Azov Sea.

3X
Read 5 tweets

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