Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 3
Sikorski: The Nobel Peace Prize is of some interest. Right now, prime ministers get letters. As foreign ministers, we have the right to nominate.

If President Trump secures a fair peace for Ukraine, I shall do it myself. But it's I who will decide what a fair peace is. 1/
Sikorski: Norwegian air defense systems and F-35s were the 1st to help protect the Polish sky. Defense cooperation has been growing steadily and effectively.

Together we are helping Ukrainian soldiers who can now train in Poland in camps. 2/
Sikorski: Our locations give us a strategic role in the regions near to Russia. Poland is between East and West. In NATO, they used to joke that God created Poland for tank warfare.

We are trying to get away from that. We like to think of ourselves as southern Scandinavia. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Feb 2
At the end of Ukraine conflict, we'll have a very big Russia problem

Russia will be reconstituting its force on NATO borders, led by the same people, convinced we're the adversary, and very angry. Putin taking on Baltic republics might be a gamble he's willing to take, Times 1/
Russia maintains the world's biggest nuclear stockpile: ~5,000 warheads on 324 ballistic missiles, 71 bombers, and 12 missile launching submarines.

Much of its arsenal, including strategic weapons, has not been damaged in Ukraine. 2/
Russia produces more than 200 Shahed drones a day.

If there was a ceasefire with Ukraine and production continued at the same rate, they would soon have stockpiled thousands for possible use against NATO countries. Russia's arms industry is running hot. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Feb 2
Kasparov: Europeans’ dominant thought has been that somehow war in Ukraine will end: “Somehow they’ll come to an agreement. We don’t want to go all the way; we’re not at war with Putin.”

It’s still this mentality of detente. No one took any radical action. 1/
Kasparov: The Russian government will be a threat. This threat could escalate into outright aggression. Europe is preparing for this. Multi-year military budgets are being planned. It is understood that this war must be won and Putin deprived of the ability to fight. 2/
Kasparov: This is a war in which the stakes aren’t just Ukraine’s survival as a state and a nation. Essentially, the future of all of Europe is at stake. The future of the Russian opposition depends on whether we can offer an adequate political expression of this demand. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 2
Sarah Paine: Putin is fixated on Ukraine, Xi on Taiwan — opposite ends of Eurasia. Their main theaters don’t align.

The West should avoid hot war, avoid trade wars, grow stronger. While Putin burns through Russia’s assets in Ukraine. That’s how the last Cold War was won.

1/
Sarah Paine: Putin is trying to build an empire in the age of nationalism. It’s a non-starter.

He’s burning Russia’s military in Ukraine while China expands into Central Asia.

Moscow chose a hot war while weak, and Beijing is strong. That’s what makes this so damaging.

2/
Sarah Paine: Siberia has exactly what China needs — resources and, above all, water.

Lake Baikal holds over 20% of the world’s surface freshwater.

China is famous for massive water projects, and Siberia is the nearest ‘quick fix.’

3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 2
In a Kyiv suburb a Shahed strike erased a family in minutes.

Svitlana Blatova and her partner Maksym were killed instantly. Their 4-year-old daughter survived.

“A child screaming, ‘Mama, mama, mama.’ And her mother wasn’t answering. The upper floor was burning,” — Hromadske. 1/ Image
Hours before the hit, Svitlana posted plans for the next day — errands, work, preparations for her eldest son’s 20th birthday. She went to sleep smiling. 2/
At 1:30 am, a Russian Shahed hit her apartment in Bilohorodka.

The duplex they had nearly finished paying off burned out completely. Svitlana and her partner Maksym were killed instantly. Their 4-year-old daughter survived. 3/ Image
Read 10 tweets
Feb 2
From Morgan Stanley to the front line.

At 22, Ukrainian Viktoriia Honcharuk had a Manhattan banking job, Midtown apartment. Two weeks later, she was evacuating wounded soldiers under Russian fire, NY Post. 1/ Image
Image
Viktoriia quit her investment banking role in Dec 2022 and flew home.

No combat or medical background. She signed up as an emergency combat medic because it was the most needed job. One week of training. Then the front. 2/
Viktoriia: “I was afraid of blood. Afraid of needles. I’d never done anything medical. But I knew that’s what I had to do.”

She worked about 800 meters from the front, racing in a makeshift ambulance to retrieve the wounded. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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