Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jun 2
Commander of Ukraine's 3rd Corps Biletsky: Russia runs short on manpower — you feel it every month.

The meat waves that were normal 7-8 months ago are gone, even at the hottest sections of the front. And Ukraine now dominates the air — from the first trench to 200km deep.

1/
Biletsky: Russia failed winter, failed spring. In May they captured roughly 10km² — Ukraine gained more.

When you can't win on the battlefield, you terrorize women and children. The tactical shift is happening right now.

2/
Biletsky: In 6-7 months Russia loses tactically on the ground.

Their answer: terror strikes on Ukrainian cities, new drone volumes to overwhelm air defense. Against drones alone, Ukraine can reach 100% interception.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Jun 2
Ukraine was supposed to have “no cards.” Now Putin is trapped in “zugzwang”.

Russia captured only 0.04% of Ukraine this year, lost territory in Apr, cut the Victory Day parade to 45 minutes, and now fears Ukrainian drones near Moscow, George Will for the WP. 1/ Image
Zelenskyy turned Putin’s main war ritual into a security problem.

Ukraine “permitted” the May 9 parade by not striking Red Square, while fewer troops and vehicles appeared because Moscow feared drone attacks on staging areas. 2/
Russia’s battlefield gains now cost absurd amounts of manpower.

Putin’s troops can spend weeks losing hundreds of fighting-age men to seize patches of land the size of the National Mall. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Jun 2
Blumenthal: Ukraine can win this war — if it has air defense interceptors to stop drones and hypersonic missiles.

Americans should understand: drone warfare technology advances at an astronomical pace. We learn from Ukraine as much as we help it.

1/
Blumenthal: The only way to get Putin to the table is strength. Interceptors, F-16s, long-range artillery.

Sanctions that choke his revenue. Show the US stands with Ukraine long term. That's how you get peace — not by going weak.

2/
Blumenthal: Interceptors flow to Ukraine — but not in the numbers needed. Increasing them before November is feasible.

Trump's primary fights aren't about Ukraine. They're about personal revenge. The bipartisan case for Ukraine is stronger than that.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Jun 1
Russia's war spending can exceed its budget by at least $28 billion this year. In a worst-case scenario — $56 billion over.

The Finance Ministry asked the cabinet to freeze $40 billion of planned civilian spending through 2028 to cover the shortfall, FT.

1/ Image
Russia allocated $238 billion, nearly 40% of this year's entire budget, to defence and security. Still not enough.

In the first four months of 2026, Russia's deficit already hit 2.5% of GDP — the largest since the full-scale invasion began.

2/
Finance Minister Siluanov: "Our reserves are not endless. We can't allow any weak points in our finances while such major transformations are going on in the world."

The economy ministry cut its 2026 growth forecast to just 0.4%.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jun 1
Ukraine hit Rosneft's Saratov oil refinery in southwestern Russia.

The plant processes 7 million tons of crude per year and produces fuel for Russia's military. This is the third strike on it this year. — Bloomberg. 1/ Image
The same night, Ukraine hit an oil-pumping station on the Surgut-Gorky-Polotsk pipeline in central Russia's Kirov region.

Russia's Defense Ministry said 216 Ukrainian drones were shot down overnight.

2/
The strikes are part of Ukraine's stepped-up campaign against Russian oil assets — refineries, pipeline infrastructure and ports — targeting Kremlin petrodollar revenue as the Iran war keeps oil prices elevated.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Jun 1
Russia declared it had captured all of Luhansk. Ukrainian drones answered by striking Izvaryne, the crossing on the Russian border that funnels armor, ammunition, and troops into the region.

The deepest strike landed 205 km inside occupied territory — Kyiv Post. 1/
Izvaryne is the primary artery moving heavy equipment and reinforcements from mainland Russia to the Donbas front.

Cut it, and resupply into occupied Luhansk slows for thousands of Russian troops. 2/
The corps' unmanned systems battalion bypassed Russian electronic warfare cover to reach the target.

Pilots neutralized armored vehicles and destroyed forward ammunition depots inside the occupied enclave. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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