Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 16
Putin legalizes invading NATO countries.

Russian parliament approved a bill that gives Putin the right to deploy troops abroad to free russians arrested under ICC warrants.

Russia can use that to start operations against NATO members to test Article 5 — The Times.
1/ Image
Estonia is the most cited target. Moscow could launch a campaign there under the pretext of protecting the Baltic country's large russian-speaking population.

Estonia halted detention of russian shadow fleet tankers this month, because of "risk of military escalation."

2/
In May, russia sent a fighter jet into NATO airspace over the Baltic Sea to escort a sanctioned oil tanker into russian waters.

Last week, a russian warship escorted two tankers through the English Channel. The UK announced it would detain such vessels — but has not acted.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 16
CENTCOM com. Brad Cooper: We launched own one way drones into Iran, originally Iranian designed. We took the guts out, put a "made American" stamp on them and fired them back. Very effective.

We are employing AI to sift through information to help us make decisions faster. 1/
Cooper: We have collected dozens, if not hundreds, of lessons learned. The joint force is taking them and very tactically applying them right now.

Great teams are always adjusting, and that's what we're doing right now. 2X
Read 4 tweets
Apr 16
Zelenskyy: Russia does not want only Ukraine. It has openly said it wants to control all its neighbors and decide what security in Europe should look like.

Russia has carried these war ideas as far as Syria and Africa. This is a truly global threat. 1/
Zelenskyy: At the core of Russia’s war is the false claim that Ukraine does not exist and is merely part of Russia.

Putin knows exactly what he is doing and who he resembles. He is rightly compared to the Nazis. He has the same expansionist ambitions. 2/
Zelenskyy: Air defense remains crucial. Pressure on Russia must continue through sanctions and restrictions, but Russian war criminals must also face justice.

The tribunal for Russia’s aggression must move forward. Do not let Russia go unpunished. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 16
Petraeus: Iran could come out of this much weaker militarily and economically, yet strategically stronger if it keeps control of Hormuz.

A battered Iran that still dictates the strait would leave the US and Gulf partners with an unacceptable result. 1/
Petraeus: Confrontation may well be coming. A US Navy ship apparently already shot down a recon drone, mines are reportedly in the channel, and even one attack every day or two can shut traffic down.

This is not about insurance. It is about the lives of ship crews. 2/
Petraeus: Clearing Hormuz and escorting ships through the normal channel is a very difficult mission.

Demining is laborious and hazardous. Maritime experts say it could require two carrier groups, 8 to 10 frigates and destroyers, and a sustained coalition effort. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 16
On April 13, 2022 a Neptune operator picked up a target on radar 120 km away. He had minutes to decide: fire or not. Nobody could confirm the target. Bayraktars refused to fly. He pressed launch. UP tells the story of how Ukraine sank the cruiser Moskva four years ago. 1/ Image
That day heavy rain clouds hung just a few kilometers above the Black Sea. Aircraft, Bayraktars, and optical satellites were all useless. 2/
The Neptune's standard radar could see targets only up to 18 km. The Moskva knew this and closed to within 120 km of the Ukrainian coast, certain it was untouchable. 3/
Read 15 tweets
Apr 16
Congress can protect Ukraine from Trump’s volatility — the same way it protected Taiwan in 1979 and forced Clinton’s hand on Bosnia in 1995.

A bipartisan Ukraine Relations Act could do the same today, write Brendan Simms and Edward Siddl in FA. 1/ Image
The problem: Trump has taken contradictory positions.

In September 2025 he said Ukraine should “get their land back” and called Russia “a paper tiger.” Two months later he presented a 28-point peace plan widely seen as favorable to Russia. 2/
Trump said Ukraine would “lose in a short period of time” if it didn’t agree to the plan.

Since then he has pushed to end the war as quickly as possible — even if that means a bad deal for Ukraine. 3/
Read 12 tweets

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