Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jun 9
Russia shut down part of the secret surveillance system guarding Putin and his inner circle.

Engineers switched it back on only after sealing it off from the internet.

Russia acted after Israel used AI on Iranian cameras to find and kill Khamenei — FT. 1/ Image
Israeli intelligence harvested footage from thousands of Iranian traffic cameras to pin down a February 28 meeting of Ayatollah Khamenei and his closest aides. Several top security officials died in the opening strike of the US-Israel war.
AI parsed millions of hours of video to isolate the targets from the crowd. 2/
Alexander Bortnikov, FSB director, told regional security chiefs on May 26 that Russia's own surveillance apparatus had turned into a weakness its enemies could exploit.
Bortnikov: The victims' locations were identified, in part, through software backdoors in Tehran's video surveillance systems. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jun 9
The tank is no longer the king of the battlefield.

In Finland, 18 miles from Russia, NATO watched Leopard 2 tanks get “destroyed” by anti-tank teams, drones and artillery in a simulated war game.

This is Ukraine’s lesson becoming NATO doctrine — The Telegraph. 1/ Image
Russia has lost 11,974 tanks and almost 25,000 armored vehicles. Ukraine has lost around 5,700 tanks and armored vehicles to drones, mines and missiles.
Armor still matters, but alone it dies fast. 2/
In Ukraine, drones reportedly account for more than 90% of battlefield casualties, mostly tanks and armored vehicles.
A cheap drone can now find, track and help destroy a platform worth millions. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Jun 8
Kasparov: On Bulgakov, my advice to Russian liberal society is simple: keep quiet.

While Russian missiles keep hitting Kyiv, Russians have no moral right to criticize Ukrainians for removing monuments tied to Russian culture, however much we value the literature. 1/
Kasparov: Every Russian missile that kills Ukrainian civilians widens the abyss between Ukraine and the Russian world.

It will take years before new generations can separate Pushkin, Bulgakov or Dostoevsky from the imperial culture now bombing them. 2/
Kasparov: Any participation in political procedures run by a fascist dictatorship helps legitimize it.

If the regime is illegitimate, how can you discuss the legitimacy of its elections? Even standing near the polling station means joining their staged process. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 8
Kasparov: Europe cannot enter talks with Putin as both mediator and participant.

If Europe acts as mediator, it starts trading Ukrainian territory. But if Ukraine stops fighting, Europe will have to fight Putin itself. Europe must be part of Ukraine’s coalition. 1/
Kasparov: Russia violates every treaty, bombs everything, kills civilians and still enjoys legal protections, lawyers, procedures and sovereign-money arguments.

But a missile flies faster than a court process. Europe still has not matched law to reality. 2/
Kasparov: Ukraine showed it can paralyze Russia’s second-largest city.

During the St. Petersburg forum, Kyiv demonstrated it can hit military targets with remarkable precision. If Ukraine sends ten times more drones, St. Petersburg will feel it very hard. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 8
Former President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko: Ukraine launched 140 drones at St. Petersburg. Capacity is up to 1,000. Russia has no air defense against it.

That's drone diplomacy — and Putin can no longer ignore Ukrainian insistence.

1/
Poroshenko: Every day the price of aggression grows. Putin's window of opportunity is now.

Unconditional, comprehensive ceasefire — stop the war, freeze the conflict, sit at the table. US and EU at the table. Nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine.

2/
Poroshenko: Time stopped working for Putin. Every month he pays more. Ukraine will never surrender — we have no choice.

The sooner Putin understands that, the sooner he moves toward ceasefire. And ceasefire doesn't save Ukraine — it saves Russia.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Jun 8
Kuleba: Every meter of Ukrainian land along the border with Belarus and Russia is already, in fact or potentially, frontline territory.

Lukashenko’s actions today are different from what we have seen since 2022. I am not saying an attack is tomorrow, but this is different. 1/
Kuleba: Lukashenko is either preparing for war or demonstrating that he is preparing.

Does he want war? Definitely not. But he is not a free man. What he is told to do, he will eventually have to do. He is maneuvering, but something is happening in Belarus. 2/
Kuleba: Do not think linearly. It could be a local operation against an EU country and, at the same time, a massive attack on Ukraine — or the reverse.

Russia is in a negative dynamic in the war, and Putin needs to do something differently. 3/
Read 8 tweets

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