Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Dec 26
Rutte for ARTE: Russia is the next threat and EU is already in danger

Russia spends around 40% of state budget on defense and about 10% of national income on military. It has developed missiles capable of reaching the EU within 5–10 minutes

There is no “safe” Europe anymore 1/
Rutte: Peace is hard to predict because Russia is unpredictable

Security guarantees must ensure that after any peace deal or long-term ceasefire, Ukraine stays strong and Russia cannot attack again

If Russia gains control over Ukraine even 5% defense spending won’t be enough 2/
Rutte on Ukraine’s defense: First, strong Ukrainian armed forces. Second, an EU-led coalition of the willing.

NATO is already deeply involved. We coordinate weapons deliveries, training and lessons learned from the war through NATO–Ukraine structures and coordination hubs. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Dec 25
Trump should call Putin’s bluff now. Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Steven Henriques write in TIME arguing that Trump is overestimating Putin - his ability to wage war, his economic stability, and the “cards he holds.” 1/ Image
Henry Kissinger once wrote: “A bluff taken seriously is more useful than a serious threat interpreted as a bluff.” This insight fits Russia today. Putin projects strength, but the fundamentals behind that image are eroding fast. 2/
Trump’s reaction to the Ukraine peace proposal revealed how deep the deadlock remains. Territorial concessions, control of Donbas, security guarantees, and limits on Ukraine’s army still block any realistic path to peace. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Dec 25
“I helped. I set up the position, dug, handed ammunition. I wanted to live.

Russians wouldn’t sort out who’s theirs and who’s not. There’s an order not to take prisoners” — Danylo, Russian POW, who stayed in Ukrainian trench for almost two months. 1/
Danylo: I was captured while moving to a position. My partner was with me. He ran for cover. While he was running, two bursts of automatic fire went off. My partner was dead.

Then one of Ukrainian soldiers ran out. I raised my hands, threw away my rifle and surrendered. 2/
Danylo: I served as an anti-tank unit commander and received two awards for a deployment to Karabakh.

Then I struck an officer, and was sent to Novocherkassk — a criminal case was opened. The case was dropped, and I was sent to Donetsk. From there I was sent to the Rusyn Yar. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Dec 24
A Russian defence factory boss set himself on fire on Red Square

After the invasion the state flooded him with orders. Deadlines impossible, output jumped in ten times — Reuters

Officials quoted Stalin: fail and you’re a criminal. That’s how Russia forces “production growth” 1/ Image
Vladimir Arsenyev ran a small Moscow firm making electronics for tank crew communications.

Before the war: about 5,000 units a year

After the invasion: contracts for over 50,000

This is how Russian war economy works: refusal banned, failure criminalised. Contract is a trap. 2/
By 2023 the factory was behind schedule.

A shareholder reported the firm to Rostec, not to sabotage it, but to protect himself.

Bailiffs arrived and found nothing to seize. The company was sliding toward bankruptcy but still had to complete the contract — or face prison. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Dec 23
John Bolton: The West is losing Ukraine without losing a single battle.

EU paralysis and Trump’s diplomacy are shifting the war in Moscow’s favor — without Russia changing its goals. Ukrainian sovereignty and NATO unity are now at stake, he writes for WP. 1/ Image
EU summit failed to agree on using €210bn in frozen Russian state assets as collateral for a reparations loan to Ukraine.

Belgium, backed quietly by others, blocked the plan over legal and financial risks. 2/
Instead, the EU approved a €90bn loan—less than half the original proposal. Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic opted out.

The money covers short-term budget support, not Ukraine’s defense or reconstruction. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Dec 23
“The best thing Russians can do against Russia’s dictatorship is to fight on Ukraine’s side,” says Pyotr Ruzavin, a Russian journalist who joined Ukraine’s military in 2024. — Suspilne 1/ Image
Ruzavin serves in Khartiia, a National Guard unit, working in UAV operations. He was wounded during service, recovered, and returned to his unit within a month. 2/
He has lived in Ukraine since 2017. Before the war, he worked for Russian independent outlets including Dozhd, Mediazona, and Important Stories. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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