Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 24
Zelenskyy: The Soviet Union was the most dangerous enemy for the United States, not only for your democracy or way of life, but for 70 years.

Putin’s global idea is to take everything back: the Soviet Union, former Soviet republics, and Europe too.

1/
Zelenskyy: If Russia becomes the Soviet Union again, this becomes a global war. Then you get China and a restored Soviet empire with the biggest army in the world.

They would be bigger than the United States, and that would be dangerous for America.

2/
Zelenskyy: Israel’s Russian-speaking Jews are not all from Russia.

Many came from Ukraine, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Lithuania after the Soviet Union killed languages, churches, religion and traditions for 70 years. They know Russian, but they are not “Russian-speaking people.”3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 24
Keane: Ukraine can put 10,000 drones in the air in a single day.

The entire US Army does not have 10,000 drones. Ukraine’s defense industry gets new technology into soldiers’ hands at a speed that is nothing short of remarkable. 1/
Keane: Ukraine will manufacture 8 million drones this year — aerial drones and unmanned ground vehicles.

Ukrainian forces pushed Russians off a position defended by troops with no humans in the fight. It was the first time this had happened in warfare. 2/
Keane: Ukraine defeated Russia’s Black Sea Fleet without having a navy of its own.

It did it with surface drones, aerial drones and subsurface drones. We will likely see what Ukraine has proven reproduced in other countries. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jul 24
Musk: Saying Russia should completely withdraw is not realistic. We need to be pragmatic. Another three years of dying at the front would be terrible.

I hope there is a peace deal soon. The border has barely moved for two or three years, while people die every day.

1/
Musk: We never sold Starlink to Russians. They got units through Ukraine, smuggled them into occupied eastern Ukraine, and used them for attacks.

To stop it, we worked with Ukraine on a whitelist of approved terminals. The downside: some innocent users lost access too.

2/
Musk: I am offended by fancy diplomats having seven-course dinners in luxury while people die at the front.

They lecture that Russia should withdraw, but Russia will not withdraw. There needs to be an accepted peace along those lines.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 24
Kasparov: Putin called the Soviet collapse the greatest catastrophe of the 20th century in a 2005 speech.

Had he broken Ukraine's defenses in 2022, he wouldn't have stopped there. The real goal was rolling NATO back to its 1997 borders, pushing Eastern Europe out. 1/
Kasparov: What looks like bravado is really an understanding of an obvious truth: anything short of victory ends Putin and his regime.

War has become how Russia is governed — it's penetrated every layer of society, from kindergartens to the top of government. 2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Jul 23
WSJ: Russia is bombing Odesa’s grain silos, port infrastructure, commercial ships, homes and energy sites. Life still goes on.

Resorts open, freight moves, cadets graduate, engineers repair substations, and the city keeps refusing to live on Moscow’s terms. 1/ Image
Odesa keeps Ukraine connected to the world. The city sends billions of dollars in agricultural exports through the Black Sea and the Danube, even after years of Russian attempts to cut that route. 2/
Ukraine broke Russia’s naval blockade in late 2023. Sea drones and missiles pushed the Black Sea Fleet away from the coast and reduced the immediate threat of a landing operation. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Jul 23
Kellogg: To gain leverage, I would take Kharg Island and Larak Island, the Gulf’s command-and-control center.

Then the president owns something Iran no longer has. We can give it back at the end of the war, or keep it forever.

1/
Kellogg: If you let a weaker team hang around into the ninth inning or fourth quarter, it gets more dangerous.

You should have closed them out early. That is where we are now with Iran. I think Trump will close it out, and he should.

2/
Kellogg: Do not negotiate with Iran. We should dictate the terms. There is a war going on, and we should keep taking out their leadership.

Decapitation should continue. If that means taking out anyone, fine. It destabilizes the regime.

3/
Read 8 tweets

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