Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tymofiy Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Mylovanov

Jun 23
A «lonely» Ukrainian housewife traded WhatsApp messages with a Chechen commander for months. "Send me a picture," she asked. He photographed himself and a map of his unit's position pinned on the wall behind him.

The housewife did not exist — The Atlantic. 1/ Image
"She" was a middle-aged Ukrainian intelligence officer named Serhiy. Shortly after Achmad sent the photo, a drone struck the coordinates it revealed.

His commander: "Serhiy was great at flirting. Guys in our team started asking him for dating advice." 2/
Inside occupied territory, any phone sold there comes preloaded with Russian spyware called Druge. Encrypted apps like Signal guarantee a trip to "the basement."

Resistance agents smuggle in clean phones — sometimes delivered by drone — with no SIM card and no spyware. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 22
Bolton: Damage to Iran's military infrastructure is real, but the regime stays and this deal is a significant political defeat.

Trump wanted the strait open to get gasoline prices down before November. He lost sight of the strategic issues that should have been central. 1/
Bolton: Gulf Arabs will live in fear that Tehran turns the strait on and off like a light switch.

Friends around the world wonder even more what an American commitment means. If we had taken military control of the strait at the outset, none of this would have happened. 2/
Bolton on the $300B fund Trump says the US won't pay for, the MOU says the US undertakes to create this fund "while ensuring financing of at least $300 billion."

That is a guarantee, and the US is the guarantor. If the Saudis and Emirates won't pay, it comes from us. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jun 22
Graham: If the Iran deal fails, Trump takes the Strait of Hormuz by force. The US will control it and charge a fee for all ships passing through.

He says he spent four and a half hours with Trump on Friday laying this out. Expand the Abraham Accords in 2026. 1/
Graham: New policy if diplomacy collapses — when Hezbollah attacks Israel, the US hits Iran directly.

Not the proxy. Iran itself. "If Iran tests control of the Strait of Hormuz by the United States, we will obliterate them." To the Iranians: that is the message. 2/
Graham: On the $300B fund he called "a Marshall Plan for Germany with the Nazis still in charge", he changed position.

If money comes from Sunni Arabs, not the West, it proves Iran changed. "Do you think Saudi Arabia will invest in a theocracy bent on destroying Sunni Islam?" 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jun 22
Hodges on Hegseth saying Trump tested our allies and they failed over the Iran war: Absolute total horseshit. The war is now being spun as a test of alliance solidarity.

That's the mentality. And that's what's going into the NATO summit in Ankara in a few weeks. 1/
Hodges: What a childish, immature way to think about strategy — reward allies that spend enough, punish those that don't. US soldiers in Europe are not here to guard Germans or protect Poles.

It's for our interest. Just like British forces on the continent are for UK's interest. 2/
Hodges: Romania, a leader in defense spending. What happened? The rotational brigade got cancelled. Pentagon cancels an armored brigade to Poland. Thank you very much.

The president said we're sending 5,000 troops to Poland. I'm pretty sure he has no idea if that's happening. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jun 22
Hodges: Hard to imagine a worse outcome of this war of choice. Worse than Obama's JCPOA. Failed every objective the president laid out, and they changed the objective several times and still didn't hit any of them.

The IRGC came out of this more empowered than before. 1/
Hodges: This demonstrated the limits of American power — especially going it alone. Even with the best navy and air force, we could not achieve the strategic end state.

The technology is incredible. But we could not solve our military problem with technology alone. 2/
Hodges: The crowning moment of the G7 was Macron getting Trump to sign what we all consider a surrender document — in Versailles. The humorists wasted no time capturing the irony.

The administration didn't have the stomach for it. They're looking at midterms in November. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jun 22
The US may win AI and still lose the technology race — Bloomberg.

AI is only one piece of the competition with China. Twenty years ago, the US led China in 61 of 64 key technologies tracked by ASPI. Three years ago, China led in 57 of them. 1/ Image
The bigger challenge is turning innovation into industrial power.

For example, China now manufactures 70–80% of the world’s drones, despite many core technologies being invented in the US, Europe, and Japan. 2/
US biotech remains a global leader in research, but lacks manufacturing capacity to capture the economic value of its discoveries fully.

Quantum computing still requires sustained public investment to avoid a future "quantum winter." 3/
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(