Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 23
Ukraine’s new Commander-in-Chief Drapatyi in 2023: Ukraine is inconvenient for Russia’s history, because without Ukraine there is no Russia or empire.

That is why they still try to control us. Ukraine did not appear in 1991; it has centuries of culture, traditions and army.

1/
Drapatyi: In 7th or 8th grade, I dreamed of becoming a tank officer. After school, I entered the Kharkiv Tank Troops Institute.

That is how my military path began. My rule in life is simple: whatever I do, I do it well and responsibly, so I have nothing to be ashamed of.

2/
Drapatyi: In the hardest moments, the first rule is: do not panic. Assess the situation, look at the best case and the worst case, and see how to prevent the worst.

What helps me is cold calculation and a clear read of the situation before making a decision.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Jul 23
Volker: Crimea is everything to Putin — the jewel in his restoration of the Russian empire. If he fails to hold it, he's failed as the new Tsar.

Russia, an energy-rich country, is now rationing gasoline for consumers and, I'd guess, for its military too. 1/
Volker: Putin is going after people once assumed untouchable, like his old St. Petersburg associate Ilya Traber, and that's a signal to everyone else: know your place.

If even Traber is vulnerable, anybody is. 2/
Volker: Everybody in Russia knows this is a mistaken war that's going badly.

Nobody in St. Petersburg or Moscow wants to be conscripted — one British military analyst put the average lifespan of a Russian soldier on the battlefield at 20 minutes. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 23
NYT: Ukraine picked the pace of its drone war over a decorated general. Zelenskyy fired commander in chief Oleksandr Syrskyi late Tuesday, closing a four-decade Soviet-era career.

The trigger was a drone-contract fight. He hands the army to younger, tech-first commanders. 1/ Image
The fight ran through Mykhailo Fedorov, the defense minister who built Ukraine's drone program. Fedorov said Syrskyi blocked military contracts for drones.

Zelenskyy fired Fedorov first. Soldiers and crowds then filled Kyiv's streets and demanded that Syrskyi go too. 2/
Syrskyi rose in the Soviet system. Born in 1965 near Moscow, he studied at a Moscow military academy, then built his career in Ukraine's army, where he led a fight in the east in 2014. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Jul 23
The Economist: The West keeps falling for the myth of Russian greatness.

Foreigners see power, spirituality, tradition or reform where Russia often shows coercion, corruption, weakness and imperial violence. Ukrainians have spent years breaking that illusion. 1/ Image
Leo Hare, a Texan who moved his family to Russia for its supposed Christian values, later said he was swindled out of $66,000 and admitted, “I believed in the propaganda.” 2/
The Economist gave space to sanctioned billionaire Andrey Melnichenko, presenting him as a reformist voice.

His argument asked for Russia’s great-power status, not accountability for Ukraine. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Jul 22
I told CNN Fedorov knows how tech can isolate Crimea and hit Russia’s rear. Russia should worry.

Moscow cheered his removal, now Drapatyi is back. Ukraine showed it is still a vivid democracy that wants innovation and younger leaders.

1/
Me: Zelenskyy first removed Fedorov, but hedged: in an ideal world, he said, he would also remove Syrskyi, yet could not do it then because it would disrupt military operations.

A week later, after protests continued and grew, he fired Syrskyi too.

2/
Me: The Fedorov-Syrskyi fight looks political, not battlefield-driven. Ukraine will keep innovating under any commander.

The front and deep strikes continue: Russia attacks Ukraine, Ukraine attacks Russia. Zelenskyy first backed Syrskyi, then reversed fast.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Jul 22
Caine: A Ukrainian F-16 recently achieved its first air-to-air kill against a Russian fighter, showing how far its layered defense has advanced.

Ukraine’s defense industry has made remarkable progress, scaling capabilities from surface-to-air to air-to-air systems. 1/
Caine: Cheap, widely available drones give states, terrorists, and other actors lethal technology at scale.
Ukraine shows we must adapt these lessons. Modern war spans land, sea, air, space, cyber, and the information domain at once. 2X
Source:

Read 4 tweets

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