Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

• • •

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 17
I told BBC that people in Kyiv are surprised, annoyed, disappointed with the government reshuffle, but not angry.

The reshuffle won’t affect Zelenskyy’s popularity either way. And student protests are real, but not anti-Zelenskyy. They want Fedorov back.

1/
Me: For students, Fedorov is an icon and a cultural role model. He represents youth and the new generation.

They love him and are really sad he is gone.

2/
Me: There is an open conflict between Syrskyi [Сommander-in-chief] and Fedorov.

The cabinet reshuffle triggered the dismissal of the Ministry of Defense. Some people say the reshuffle was just a pretext to remove Fedorov.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 17
Kasparov: Putin could launch an incursion into Latvia or Estonia to test NATO after Russia’s September election.

He has always escalated when he felt he was in trouble. The most likely next escalation is a provocation, Politico. 1/ Image
Kasparov: There is no sign in Russian propaganda, government actions or Putin’s speeches that Moscow is preparing for peace: War, war, war, war. 2/
Kasparov: Russia does not need a full-scale invasion to undermine NATO. Moscow could seize a small border town, possibly with a Russian-speaking population, and wait for the response.

If the US failed to help defend it, NATO is no longer there. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 16
Kuleba: Something personal broke between Zelenskyy and Fedorov.

Zelenskyy likely learned something that hit him personally and stopped trusting him. Yermak pressured Fedorov, but Fedorov had always been indispensable.

1/
Kuleba: I see no parallel with last year. Back then, I saw an attack on NABU, an independent instution.

Today, I see an attack on a strong manager and rising politician whose ties with Zelenskyy broke. Once that trust breaks, he cannot run defense or help the system.

2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Jul 16
Congressman Moulton: Putin started an illegal war, and Ukraine turned it into a gift for NATO. Russia’s army is being decimated.

It proved far weaker than expected, with few tanks left. Americans now have more confidence because Ukrainians keep beating the Russians.

1/
Moulton: I worry that if Russia fights the U.S. or a NATO ally, it will have fewer tanks, fewer aircraft, and a weaker economy.

But on the ground, Russian troops have more experience fighting in a drone warfare environment than ours.

2/
Moulton: It may sound easy coming from me as a Democrat who opposes Trump. But behind the scenes, smart Republicans feel the same.

Most Republicans support Ukraine, support NATO, and do not want Putin or Xi to succeed. Trump gives a different picture: he cozies up to both.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Jul 16
Zelenskyy: The dialogue between the army leadership and Defense Ministry is difficult at different levels. It is not only about personalities.

Fedorov will remain on the team. The new Prime Minister has his own vision and must be strengthened by people he trusts. 1/
Zelenskyy: The army is responsible for holding the battlefield and our successful long-range strikes. There are problems in some brigades that must be addressed boldly.

Everyone is tired of the war. Our task is to ensure Russia becomes completely exhausted first. 2/
Zelenskyy: We still have not found a respectful way to solve mobilization problems. There are issues on the battlefield and in some brigades that must be addressed.

This is not the responsibility of one side alone. The problems have to be solved together. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 16
Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi: I’m proud Kyiv’s defense saved the capital in 2022. That is why people can hold briefings here, shape plans, and make decisions today.

I thank Mykhailo Fedorov for his work as defense minister. Hope he stays on Ukraine’s team.

1/ Image
Syrskyi: I will do everything so Ukraine stays free and independent.

To keep Ukraine free, we must focus on the war and on a strategy that already brings results.

2X
Read 4 tweets

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