Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

May 15
Even Satan cannot save Putin — Telegraph.

His latest nuclear threats is attempt to convince Russians that he still holds cards.

After 4 years of war, much of its Black Sea Fleet damaged, territorial gains limited, so Moscow relies on nuclear rhetoric to project strength. 1/ Image
Kremlin’s latest showpiece is the RS-28 Sarmat, branded “Satan II.”

Putin claims it can strike targets 21,750 miles away and bypass Western missile defenses — but the program suffered repeated delays and failed tests. 2/
Sarmat is liquid-fueled, requiring lengthy launch preparation from fixed silos — a vulnerability against modern precision-strike systems used by NATO countries. 3/
Read 9 tweets
May 15
The US-China relationship is a zero-sum contest. Their meetings and negotiations do not change that — even after Xi and Trump’s summit in Beijing on May 14th, writes The Economist. 1/
Xi greeted Trump with a ceremony on Tiananmen Square, talks in the Great Hall of the People and an escorted tour of the Temple of Heaven — the first American president to visit it since 1975. 2/
Trump called Xi a “great leader” and said they would have “a fantastic future together.” The main goal: extend the year-long trade truce agreed in South Korea last October. At their peak, Trump’s tariffs on some Chinese goods reached 145%. 3/
Read 10 tweets
May 15
Applebaum: Putin’s real fear is a Maidan-style street revolution — people against corruption, demanding democracy and Europe.

Liberal-democratic language is explosive inside Russia. That is why he needed to crush Ukraine’s democracy movement. 1/
Applebaum: Russia invaded Ukraine knowing it was breaking the post-1945 rule that borders in Europe must not be changed by force.

This war is not only about Ukraine, it is a fault line between the democratic world and the autocratic world. 2/
Applebaum: The order built after 1945 — rules, treaties, the UN, borders not changed by force — is breaking down.

The US was a pillar but is changing from within, while Russia, China, Iran and others challenge it in a real war of ideas. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 15
Applebaum: Trump’s net worth reportedly went from $2.3B when he entered office to $6.5B two years later.

We’ve never had a president running businesses while in office, decisions are being made not for Americans, but for his company. 1/
Applebaum: Why did Saudi Arabia invest $2B in Jared Kushner’s fund? Not because they liked him — because he is Trump’s son-in-law.

Now Kushner negotiates in the Middle East with his own business partners. The conflict is overwhelming. 2/
Applebaum: Most people think democracies end with tanks in the street or someone shooting up the palace.

Today they mostly end when someone legitimately elected starts taking apart the system from within — removing what keeps elections free. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 15
Graham: China buys 90% of Iranian oil and tops Russian oil purchases. Xi could call and end both wars today.

If this summit ends with no action on that — we made a big mistake.

1/
Graham: China buys Russian and Iranian oil cheap — keeps both war machines running. Stop it — the wars end.

Xi isn't irrational. If he believes Trump will crush China's economy for propping up Iran, he'll change. Make it real.

2/
Graham: China puts on a show — but their economy struggles. 1.4 billion people, no social security, no Medicare.

Our worst day is China's best day. Trump must tell Xi: fuel Iran and Russia — get punished. Stop — get rewarded. That's the goal of this summit.

3X
Read 5 tweets
May 15
Bolton: Xi could trade Trump concessions on Iran or trade for one phrase: "The US opposes Taiwanese independence."

Taiwan is terrified. We don't know yet if Trump gave it. They still have hours of meetings left.

1/
Bolton: Trump wanted the biggest trade deal in history — he won't get it today either.

Some Boeing sales, some economic deals he'll tout. But the core issues aren't resolved. China played rare earths. They may agree a trade war ceasefire. That's it.

2/
Bolton: If the US pulls back on Taiwan, Taiwan is in real jeopardy.

China won't invade across 100 miles of open ocean — they'll blockade and wait to see if we break it. Deterrence works only if China stays uncertain what Trump would do.

3/
Read 6 tweets

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