Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tymofiy Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Mylovanov

Apr 14
NATO’s eastern flank is getting much harder for Russia. Europe fields roughly 8,000+ tanks across NATO members.

Russia has 3,460 active plus 2,100 in storage — but most are T-55s, T-62s, and Soviet-built T-72s. NATO is pulling ahead on quality, writes United24. 1/ Image
Turkey has the most tanks in Europe — 2,381. But Poland is becoming NATO’s most dangerous armored power. Because of what it is building. 2/
Poland today fields 180 South Korean K2 Black Panthers, 233 American Abrams, 202 Leopard 2s, and 251 older PT-91 and T-72s.

Total: 897 tanks. Not the biggest fleet. But the most modern mix on NATO’s eastern flank. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Apr 14
Fukuyama: Hungary’s election was an extraordinarily important victory for liberal democracy.

Orban built “illiberal democracy”: no guardrails, no rule of law, no constitutional checks. JD Vance went to help him, and that seems to have hurt Orban. 1/
Fukuyama: Peter Magyar and Tisza won a supermajority and can now reverse many of the constitutional changes Orban put in place to keep himself in power.

That is a real chance to stop the slide toward authoritarian government and populism. 2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Apr 14
Sup. Com. of Sweden, Claesson: Russia is not 10ft tall. It’s their favorite tool to make us believe that they are. If Russia would make a true military assessment, they know they would lose [to NATO]. That leads to a hybrid warfare to exploit vulnerabilities in our societies. 1/
Claesson: With the means available to the Ukrainians, it is very compelling to see how they bring multi-domain situation awareness together, how they do targeting and make the command & control arrangements work throughout the whole structure. 2/
Claesson: One aspect of the Ukrainian success — they work incrementally, they try, they test, they take risks. With the back against the wall they must not be risk avert. It is important to learn from them and be less risk avert to apply those lessons. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 14
Budanov: If I’m sure about something, I’ll argue with anyone — even the president. I’m a general, a Hero of Ukraine [highest state award].

On running for president: Interesting question. Next. Now is not the time for politics. The country’s survival is at stake. –– Bloomberg. 1/ Image
Budanov: In talks with Russia, numbers matter — facts and dates. Nothing else.

Russians are pragmatic and calculate resources well. I won’t share details: removing their negotiators would only complicate talks. 2/
On cooperation with the EU, Budanov refused details: “Readers might go crazy.” 3/
Read 7 tweets
Apr 13
Keane: You do not need 10,000 troops to seize Iran’s uranium. The US controls the airspace.

The real threat is rockets and missiles. Another option is to threaten Kharg Island: give up enrichment, or lose more than 90% of your export lifeline. 1/
Keane: Trump’s blockade already shuts down Iran’s oil exports. Zero export oil leaves Iran under this order.

Kharg Island handles more than 90% of that flow, so cutting that artery hits Tehran hard and fast and strips away Tehran’s leverage. 2/
Keane: Iran misread the ceasefire. Tehran thought the shutdown gave it leverage and would push US negotiators into concessions.

Instead, talks collapsed, Trump wanted everything, and Washington’s answer was simple: absolutely not. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 13
Russian soldiers go to war for money, then pay it back to survive.

“I gave $650 to be moved to guard duty in Crimea. Others paid more. One guy said he pays more than he’ll ever earn. Someone turned this war into a business.” — Meduza. 1/ Image
Commanders run it like a system.

Skip a mission: $2,600. Stay in the rear: up to $6,500. Soldiers pay again and again — every rotation, every order. 2/
They pay for everything.

Armor, radios, fuel, food. Units collect $400 monthly per soldier. Some give away $25k+ over time. 3/
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(