Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tymofiy Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Mylovanov

Dec 17
The EU has sanctioned two of the most influential oil traders behind Russia’s shadow fleet.

Etibar Eyyub (Azerbaijan) and Murtaza Lakhani (Pakistan) are accused of keeping Russian oil exports alive despite Western sanctions. — WSJ 1/ Image
Brussels says both men provided a “substantial source of revenue” to Moscow by moving oil and refined fuels on risky tankers that conceal cargo origins.

Assets in the EU are frozen, travel is banned and business ties are cut. 2/
Oil and gas generate up to one-third of Russia’s federal budget revenue.

Every tanker that slips through sanctions helps finance the war against Ukraine. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Dec 17
Trump is preparing new sanctions on Russia’s energy sector if Vladimir Putin rejects a peace deal with Ukraine, according to people familiar with the plans.

Targets include Russia’s shadow fleet of oil tankers and the traders who move its crude. — Bloomberg 1/ Image
The measures could be announced this week. Scott Bessent briefed European ambassadors, while the Kremlin warned that new sanctions would “harm relations,” signaling Moscow’s vulnerability on energy exports. 2/
Sanctions since 2022 have not stopped the war, but they have crushed Russia’s oil revenues. Russian crude trades at deep discounts, Brent is down 20% this year and Moscow’s economy is under growing strain. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Dec 17
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by the end of 2025?

This is a live betting market on Polymarket, where traders wager millions on the fall of Ukrainian cities.

Polymarket presents itself as a neutral “truth machine” for forecasting reality. — EP 1/ Image
Polymarket is a crypto-based prediction platform where users buy “Yes” or “No” shares on real-world events.

Prices move with demand and are framed as probabilities: a 60-cent share implies a 60% chance. 2/
The platform allows bets on elections, wars, assassinations, natural disasters, and military outcomes.

If the event happens, the winning share pays $1.

If it does not, it pays nothing. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Dec 17
Russia's S-400 air defense system runs on US-made components, Kazakhstan ceramics, and Chinese middlemen — Kyiv Post.

A new RUSI report maps 70+ vulnerabilities in the production chain. Ukraine is already striking the supply routes. 1/ Image
The S-400 needs RO4003C high-frequency laminate from US-based Rogers Corporation for its phased-array radars. Russia doesn't produce this at scale. Despite export controls, Russian defense firms buy it through China and Hong Kong intermediaries. 2/
China openly advertise materials for Russian radar systems. RUSI's Dr. Jack Watling: this reflects "weak enforcement rather than weak legislation." The laws exist — countries just aren't vigilant about stopping obvious circumvention. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Dec 17
Trump’s business model is to weaken Europe.

Washington wants a free hand for Silicon Valley and Russian investment. The EU is an obstacle — and the far right is an ally, FP. 1/ Image
Trump’s team is not focused on using frozen Russian assets to rebuild Ukraine.

They want those EU-held funds repurposed as investment capital to reintegrate Russia — enabling US firms to buy assets and secure first-mover advantages in energy and resources. 2/
That only works if Europe folds.

US access to Russian energy, Arctic projects, and companies like Lukoil is most profitable if EU sanctions weaken and European markets reopen to Russian flows. Ukraine peace becomes the political lever to dismantle Europe’s resistance. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Dec 16
Europe is preparing to lead a multinational military force inside Ukraine as part of a White House–backed peace plan.

The plan offers “Article 5–like” security guarantees without NATO membership and would deploy European troops, with U.S. backing — The Guardian. 1/ Image
The proposed force would operate inside Ukraine, helping regenerate Ukraine’s armed forces, secure the airspace and support safer seas. UK, France, Germany and 8 other countries called it a “coalition of the willing,” supported politically and operationally by Washington. 2/
Ukraine would keep a standing army of about 800К troops. The U.S. would lead a ceasefire monitoring and verification mechanism, providing early warning if Russia prepares another attack.
European states would sign legally binding commitments to respond to a future invasion. 3/
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(