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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 2, 2024 • 12 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X

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https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/

https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/

2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/

3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/

Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/

4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/

5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/

6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/

There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/

Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Jun 25

Howard Buffett: I've never had friends like the ones I've found in Ukraine. Part of that comes from the danger people live with here every day.

When I say goodbye and say, "See you on my next trip" — the answer is often: "I hope we're still here." –– UkrPravda.

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Buffett: The invasion threatened not just Ukraine's food security, but the world's — we saw that within the first year or two.

This is our fight too. You're fighting for freedom, sovereignty, independence — the same values we live by in the United States.

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Buffett: This year marks 250 years of American independence. Few think about it — our own war for independence lasted over a decade.

War is hell. Year two, year three pass, it feels close to ending. Sometimes it doesn't. Now we're at year five here.

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Germany no longer trusts that the US will share intelligence. So Berlin is unshackling its spy agency to stand on its own, after Trump briefly cut Ukraine off.

A new law hands the BND its broadest powers in 70 years, putting the service on a war footing against Russia — FT. 1/

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

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Jun 24

Kasparov: Ukraine's drone revolution is the equivalent of gunpowder ending feudalism.

A townsman trained with an arquebus could take down a knight from 50 meters — and the entire medieval vassal system collapsed. What we're witnessing now is a shift of the same magnitude. 1/

Kasparov: The head of Rheinmetall mockingly said a Ukrainian housewife on a 3D printer can make a drone. He didn't realize he was signing the death warrant for the entire military procurement system

A drone for $1,000 that destroys a $10 million tank, that changes everything. 2/

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

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Jun 24

Snyder: Trump thinks everybody is going to roll over when he says stuff. That's true of a lot of people in his party. It's not true of people in the rest of the world.

Nobody in the world thinks Trump is strong. Nobody. I leave the US— nobody thinks he's strong. 1/

Snyder: They think he has power within a set of institutions that can do things. But they don't think he personally is strong or threatening. He's seen as an incredibly weak leader by everyone.

They're polite to him — you have to be. But everybody sees him as colossally weak. 2/

Snyder: Trump plays a strongman on TV and some people go for that. Similarly the idea he can negotiate — he can't.

He's a worse negotiator than kindergarteners selling lemonade. He can't negotiate at all. But he can play a negotiator on TV. And the charisma is part of it. 3/

Read 6 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Jun 24

Snyder: We've lost this war. I'll make that very clear. We lost it a long time ago.

Americans are very slow to realize we've lost wars, but that doesn't mean we're slow to lose them. We lost this one very quickly. The terms of this peace are basically capitulation. 1/

Snyder: This goes to two issues of American power. First — how incompetent leadership can be. Second — how you get to a situation where radically incompetent leadership is possible.

That second point worries me. We're in a cycle now. And these are wars of whimsy. 2/

Snyder: The answer is Venezuela. That call Trump made to Fox and Friends where he just seemed like he was high. That sentence — we can do this over and over and nobody can stop us.

That's where he switched. From skepticism about war to this utopian idea of violence. 3/

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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Jun 24

Bolton: Trump doesn't understand the concept of alliances. He thinks we defend Europe, they don't pay, we get nothing. In fact the US gets a lot out of NATO.

It's been a mistake of American politicians treating NATO membership as an act of charity by the United States. 1/

Bolton: If Trump had a strategic vision, if he knew what he was after — there was a lot at stake. The allies can justifiably say: Trump never briefed us on his plans.

He might have had a lot more political support if he had. Instead he played it entirely by ear. 2/

Bolton: Iran, the biggest state sponsor of terrorism, has missiles that can reach Europe but not the United States. Has committed plenty of terrorist attacks in Europe

Trump can't see the virtue of carrying allies with him. That's called alliance management. He doesn't do it. 3/