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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 2, 2024 • 12 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X

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https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/

https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/

2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/

3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/

Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/

4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/

5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/

6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/

There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/

Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

May 5

Kellogg: When regimes near collapse, they lash out — raising risks at sea. Accept that risk, but avoid harming civilians.

Focus on IRGC command and control, overload the system, and force a breakdown while maintaining pressure.

1/

Kellogg: Increase pressure by breaking Iran’s command structure. Strike its 31 IRGC Headquarters and key nodes like Kharg Island and Hormuz.

The goal is to fracture unity of command so they can’t coordinate or control operations.

2/

Kellogg: Iran will retaliate. The key risk is a strike on a US warship, which would sharply escalate the conflict.

Gulf allies, especially the United Arab Emirates, are taking the удар but continue to support.

3X

Read 4 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

May 5

Graham: I love the idea of a Second Amendment solution [arming Iranians to rise up] for the Iranian people.

We do not need American boots on the ground. We have millions of boots on the ground in Iran. They just do not have weapons. 1/

Graham: Give them weapons so they can rise up and destroy this regime. Arm the Iranian people and make the Revolutionary Guard’s life hell.

It is one thing to be bombed by America. It is another to have your own people shoot back. 2/

Graham: The Strait of Hormuz is the only thing left. Iran’s nuclear program has been destroyed, its economy is in tatters, and its military has been decimated.

If we can control the Strait, it is checkmate. Blockade plus. Arm the people. Victory is near. 3/

Read 7 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

May 5

Kasparov: I cannot give a precise assessment of Iran, because this time the information is badly distorted from both sides.

Dictators always create fog, but here it is mirrored: Trump is no reliable narrator either. What we are seeing is a mutual deadlock. 1/

Kasparov: Trump has two options on Iran: finish it off or stop. Finishing it is politically almost impossible.

He would not get support even from loyal Republicans, and America likely is not ready for an operation of that scale. That still doesn't rule out some mad adventure. 2/

Kasparov: Pulling troops from Germany would be catastrophic for US. Those bases are not there to defend Germany.

They are the infrastructure that lets the US operate across the world. This is another step toward America’s geopolitical bankruptcy and a direct gift to Putin. 3/

Read 6 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

May 5

For 177 days, a Ukrainian soldier lay trapped in a factory ruin, surrounded by Russians, with no way out.

Roman Mongold, 38, survived on drone-dropped food — and weekly voice messages from his wife that kept him alive, WP. 1/

He entered Vovchansk on Mar 24, 2025.

4 bottles of water, canned food, grenades, cigarettes, a rifle — and a handwritten prayer from his wife tucked into his vest. Russians were already surrounding the city. 2/

The front collapsed into buildings.

No trenches — just apartments and factories. Fighting room to room. Drones hunted anything that moved. Roads mined, bridges destroyed, escape routes gone. 3/

Read 13 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

May 5

Vincent Awiti, unemployed in Nairobi, signed up for a shop job in Russia. Weeks later he was wading past corpses floating "like waterlilies" in a Ukrainian river beaten by his squad for losing his gun.

1,000 Kenyans went. 30 came home — NYT. 1/

Vincent met a recruiter on the street who promised a shop job in Russia. The agent paid his flight to St. Petersburg on July 14.

On arrival, Russians handed him a contract in Russian. Sign, or repay travel costs. He had no money. He signed. 2/

Four days of training near Shebekino. Then Awiti's squad was sent to Vovchansk in Ukraine's Kharkiv Province.

The order: cross two small rivers and a patch of open ground to reach a Russian trench. 3/

Read 11 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

May 5

Defense analyst Michael Clarke: If I were advising Trump, I would tell him to get out fast.

If he cannot win decisively — this war will define his legacy. He needs an exit he can sell as honorable before it damages not only the midterms, but his place in history. 1/

Clarke: That means moving toward a nuclear deal that looks a lot like 2015, even if Trump would never admit it.

Let Iran keep a civilian program, tighten the breakout routes, build international backing, and sell it as tougher and better than Obama’s deal. 2/

Clarke: If I were advising Tehran, I would say: do not overplay your hand.

The regime may think it has the tactical edge, but the economy is wrecked, most Iranians want it gone, and revenge would be a strategic mistake. The revolution survives only if it winds its neck in. 3/