Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jun 23
Ex-Ukrainian FM, Kuleba: Trump's G7 softening on Ukraine is not a real shift. Right words at the right table, nothing more. Before the summit he spoke to Putin and called him wonderful.

Every change in tone is situational. This is performance for the camera. 1/
Kuleba: Trump desperately needs a big foreign policy victory. There are only two places left on Earth where he can get one, Cuba and Ukraine.

That is why American efforts on Ukraine will intensify. Not from conviction — from necessity. Trump needs a win he can sell. 2/
Kuleba: One test tells you everything. Kushner is heading to Moscow again. If before Moscow he stops in Kyiv, something is genuinely changing inside the American system.

If he flies straight past, same pattern, same priorities, same war. Watch the itinerary, not the rhetoric. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jun 23
800,000 — that is how many verified Russian military targets Ukrainian drones hit in the first half of 2026, with an estimated 167,000 Russian casualties.

Mykhailo Fedorov, Ukraine's defense minister: Today, drones account for more than 90% of enemy targets hit — United24. 1/ Image
The verified hits since January span Russian personnel, air defense, artillery, rocket systems, command posts, ammunition depots, and electronic warfare units.
Ukraine's Defense Forces aim the strikes at logistics routes and key assets behind the front lines. 2/
May was the most productive month for Ukraine's drone units this year. In that month alone they struck more than 181,000 verified targets.
The same strikes killed or seriously wounded 31,530 Russian service members in 31 days. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 23
Ukrainian drones struck both sides of the Kerch Strait.

They hit logistics, fuel infrastructure, and air defenses in occupied Crimea and Russia's Port Kavkaz — about 300 km from the front, United24.

1/ Image
Zelenskyy: Ukraine hit military logistics, oil industry facilities, four radar stations linked to S-400 systems, and two Pantsir air defense complexes.

It is a fair response to Russia's brutal strikes against our people.

2/
The AEGAZ-Terminal liquefied gas complex in Kerch was among the targets.

Port Kavkaz, one of Russia's largest Black Sea–Azov cargo hubs, also caught fire, disrupting a key logistics node supplying Crimea and southern Ukraine.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jun 23
Anthropic CEO Amodei: Russia invading Ukraine, the risk of China invading Taiwan. That's the authoritarian bloc we defend against.

We can't let China and Russia use AI to attack Ukraine and Taiwan while we can't defend them. Not for the money, government networks pay little.1/
Amodei: Conflicts happen when both sides misunderstand each other — without oversight, accidents become likely.

But superior intelligence deters conflict. Predict an invasion of Taiwan or troop movements in Ukraine, and adversaries think twice before acting.

2/
Amodei: We planned for 10x annual compute growth. Instead we saw 3x quarterly revenue growth — that's 80x annualized.

We didn't plan for 80x, and we couldn't have rationally planned for it. This is a local explosion in compute demand, not a sustainable trajectory.

3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 23
Kasparov: Putin cannot stop the war. His system is built on it, budget, economy, propaganda, education. Kindergartens train with drones. Universities open special courses. Plan: a million drone operators by 2030.

War became Russia's routine. You can't reverse this in one second. 1/
Kasparov: An inclined plane from physics, one direction, speed always increasing. Napoleon couldn't stop. Hitler couldn't stop. Macron admitted diplomacy won't work here

For Putin, ending the war means total collapse, ideology, system, power. All of it built on permanent war 2/
Kasparov: Stalin demobilized 10 million over a decade, because he won. Red Flag over the Reichstag, new technologies, the West behind him. Something to build on.

Putin has no victory image. No triumph. His soldiers return from a war with no Reichstag moment, only retreat. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jun 23
Kasparov: Drones hit the Urals, Petersburg, barely noticed, but Moscow? The imperial reflex snapped. Citizens asking why someone drags their city into a war between Ukraine and Russia

That question is the virus at its purest. Moscow sees itself as above the war it launched 1/
Kasparov: Anti-Putin opposition carries the same virus. They say stop the war because you can't win, not because invading a neighbor is wrong. The moral case drops to third, fourth place.

Russians who opposed the war on principle from day one were a vanishing minority. 2/
Kasparov: Putin shielded Moscow perfectly. Mobilization barely touched the capital. The war was a distant noise behind the imperial feast

Classic Rome before the fall. A feast during the plague. Moscow became the purest symbol of imperial denial 3/
Read 6 tweets

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