Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

May 26
U.S. is telling Europe to defend itself.
Trump is shrinking the US military footprint in Europe toward pre-2022 levels.

The Pentagon is cutting brigade deployments from 4 to 3 and delaying 4,000 troops bound for Poland — FT. 1/ Image
The White House says this is about “maximising American security.”
Critics inside NATO call it a dangerous signal to Moscow.

Jim Townsend: “If we are pulling troops out willy-nilly, what messages does that send?” 2/
The change in policy hits Eastern Europe hardest.

Poland was blindsided after the US abruptly cancelled a planned troop rotation. JD Vance said the troops “could go elsewhere in Europe” instead. 3/
Read 9 tweets
May 26
Russia jams Ukrainian drones targeting its Baltic ports and redirects them into NATO airspace.

Baltic officials warn this could gradually erode public support for Ukraine in countries that have been among Kyiv's strongest backers, — Kyiv Independent.
1/ Image
The first major incident: March 2026, several drones crashed in Finland. At least one confirmed Ukrainian.
Kyiv apologized, saying the drones were aimed at military targets inside Russia but sent off course by Russian electronic interference.
2/
Latvia's government collapsed over it. After stray Ukrainian drones entered Latvian airspace on May 7, the defense minister resigned.
Days later, the prime minister quit after losing her coalition majority.
3/
Read 7 tweets
May 26
Snyder: The essence of MAGA is losing and pretending to win. Trump is a failed businessman whose political career depends on persuading people he is successful.

When he lost in 2020, he tried to convince people he had somehow won. 1/
Snyder: The Republican Party has become a one-person cult. For it to become a party again, Trump has to lose big.

His cult depends on the illusion of strength and invulnerability — and that illusion has to be broken. 2/
Snyder: Trump understands God as one more propaganda device. What bothers him about Pope Leo is that Pope Leo actually believes in God.

Trump does not believe in anything beyond his own personal convenience, so even God becomes part of his act. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 26
Snyder: Trump is very much on Putin’s side. He keeps saying Russia has to win, will win, or has already won — but none of that is true.

Trump moved a lot of American power onto Russia’s side, and still Russia has not won. Russia is losing the war. 1/
Snyder: America has two negotiators, and neither is a diplomat: the president’s son-in-law and the president’s friend.

In any other country, that would look corrupt and impossible to work. It has already failed with Ukraine and Iran. 2/
Snyder: Trump took the United States and made it much less powerful. China was never going to catch up unless Trump became president.

Now America has losses in science, education, and a war it should never have fought — so Trump goes to Beijing to beg. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 26
The Telegraph: Macron tore up 65 years of doctrine to defend Europe with French nukes, with or without the US.

Poland, Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, Greece, Sweden, Denmark, and now the Czech Republic will host French nuclear-armed Rafales. 1/ Image
France holds 290 warheads, Britain 225. Their combined arsenal totals 515 weapons against Russia's 5,580 and America's 5,225.
Without Washington, Russia alone outguns Europe 11-to-1 in warheads. Macron's plan makes those 515 European weapons unpredictable enough to matter. 2/
Under Macron's "forward deterrence" plan, French Rafale jets carrying tactical nukes will rotate secretly through allied bases across Europe.
Britain's four Trident submarines and France's four ballistic-missile subs will maintain a continuous at-sea deterrent. 3/
Read 12 tweets
May 26
Trump launched the Iran war to force capitulation. His exit ramp now lets the regime claim victory simply by surviving.

Iran reopens the Strait of Hormuz and pledges no nukes. Trump releases frozen funds and lifts sanctions — David Ignatius, Washington Post. 1/ Image
Iran reopens the Strait of Hormuz immediately, without tolls. Iran pledges not to seek nuclear weapons.

In exchange the US stops hostilities, releases Iran's frozen funds, and lifts sanctions gradually over 60 days. 2/
The denuclearization terms get negotiated over the next 60 days. Iran agreed to dispose of its highly enriched uranium stockpile, likely by diluting it or shipping to a third country.

The IAEA verifies. Iran has not agreed to give up its right to enrich. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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