Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 20
Snyder: We'e normalizing a world where one country tries to wipe out another nation. Americans have a hard time understanding that we're losing this war and are not in a position to tell Iranians what to do. No amount of targeting civilian infrastructure is going to change that. 1/
Snyder: Orban stood between Putin and Trump. Orban was the European who legitimated international networks of ideas, of personal contacts and of money. The American right, especially MAGA, is much more cosmopolitan and international than people realize. 2/
Snyder: Orban formula was the Trump formula. Be an oligarch, have oligarchs around you, divert tax money and EU money to you and your friends. Give people an enemy. If you make the connection between corruption at the top and the failure of the economy, then you can win huge. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Apr 20
A Russian FPV tore her arm, scarred her face, and took 45–50% of her hearing.

Yana “Multyk” Zalevska is 25. On the fourth day after waking up, she said: “Fix my ears. I’m coming back.” 1/ Image
She met full-scale war at home in Kherson. Russians shelled apartment blocks, terrorized civilians, took people prisoner.

She joined the first anti-Russian rallies. Before enlisting, she wrote a will to her mother. “I have a small daughter. You have to think ahead.” 2/
Yana first fought for Kherson with the assault group Rukh as a combat medic. By late 2022 she was in Donbas.

One unit refused her: “A child, a girl, you came here for money.” The 59th said yes. “Come if you want.” She went. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Apr 20
Hodges: Lavrov said Russia needs a security guarantee. It’s almost laughable. They were quite secure before they decided to attack Ukraine.

Unfortunately, I have not sensed a change where the U.S. administration would say we need to be on the side of Ukraine. 1/
Hodges: Russians have their hands full with Ukraine. I don't know that they would want to open up another front with NATO. They will continue to conduct gray zone operations with disinformation, criminal activity, disruption of infrastructure, violations of airspace. 2/
Hodges: The Russians will look for some other way to influence what goes on inside the EU and inside NATO. But that will be tough for them to replace Orban. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Apr 20
Bolton: Ukraine aid and the Iran war show US stockpiles of weapons and ammunition are too low.

Defense spending should rise further, and America should restore the ability to fight and win two regional wars at the same time.

1/
Bolton: Trump is in a panic and wants out of the war. If he thought Iran would be quick and easy, he was wrong.

Anyone who understood Iran knew stopping its nuclear threat was always going to be hard.

2/
Bolton: Trump hopes Iran blinks first, but the regime is driven by ideology.

Its priority is staying in power, not helping Iranians after decades of misrule, repression, and economic damage.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Apr 20
Serhii Plokhy: Russia gets away with the history, territory, and crimes of empire because it was a land empire. Empire is still imagined as western.

But you do not become the world’s largest country by being a nation state. You get that territory only by being an empire. 1/
Plokhy: Russia weaponizes anti-Westernism and presents itself as anti-imperial, even as it remains imperial.

That distortion shaped the West too: during the Cold War, many treated the Soviet Union as simply Russia, then were shocked when 15 republics emerged. 2/
Plokhy: Ukraine’s fight in 1917-21 was not mainly about left versus right. It was about independence.

Even very leftist Ukrainian forces declared independence when Bolshevik troops moved on Kyiv. The key divide was whether Ukraine would exist as an independent state. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Apr 19
Russia hinted it could strike drone factories inside Britain.

Moscow named 23 sites across the UK and Europe tied to drone production for Ukraine, including locations near RAF Mildenhall and addresses in west London, — The Times. 1/ Image
Medvedev, deputy head of Russia’s security council: "The list of European facilities which make drones and other equipment is a list of potential targets for the Russian armed forces. Sleep well, European partners." 2/
Russia tries to turn suppliers into co belligerents, then uses the label to justify intimidation, sabotage, or strikes. 3/
Read 8 tweets

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