Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 17
Oleksiy "Botanik" spent 343 days on the front line without leaving.

Russians attacked on APCs, motorcycles, ATVs and on foot — but his company did not give up a single meter of territory, writes Ukrainska Pravda. 1/ Image
Before the war Oleksiy worked at an employment center in Cherkasy Oblast. He recruited contract soldiers for the army and regularly dealt with military recruitment offices. 2/
One day the recruitment office invited him for coffee and handed him a draft notice. He did not hide.

"I decided to serve my 18 months and look people in the eye without shame." 3/
Read 12 tweets
Apr 17
Former NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg: Most NATO allies supported US operations in Iran with bases and logistics.

This wasn’t a NATO mission — there were no consultations or formal decisions within the alliance.

1/
Stoltenberg: NATO faces challenges, but it has always overcome differences.

We are safer together than apart — unity is what protects us.

2/
Stoltenberg: NATO decisions require full consensus and take time.

But allies can act individually — and it’s positive that European countries are now stepping up to help secure the Strait of Hormuz.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Apr 17
A cornered Putin is more dangerous than a winning one.

His army is at a standstill in Ukraine. His ally Iran is collapsing. His friend Orban is out. The scariest question now is not whether he loses, but what he does next — David Ignatius, Washington Post. 1/ Image
Ignatius: Putin may already be thinking about the next war — against Europe — even as he slogs ahead in Ukraine.

The window to strike could be closing: before Europe rearms, before Ukraine reaches deeper into Russia, and while Trump treats NATO like a punching bag. 2/
The Russian economy is a mess despite a brief windfall from the oil price spike. NATO forces line up from the White Sea in the Arctic to the Black Sea.

Europe is getting stronger and angrier. Putin sees no path to the decisive victory he craves. 3/
Read 13 tweets
Apr 17
Gen. Petraeus: The US military performed brilliantly in the Gulf. But the real war of the 21st century is happening right now in Ukraine — a war of drones, constant innovation, and near-equal armies — WSJ. 1/ Image
The Gulf was fought under permissive conditions. US and Israeli forces controlled the electromagnetic spectrum. Iran had limited ability to contest operations at scale.

Ukraine is different — drones get jammed, spoofed, destroyed and replaced within days. 2/
Ukraine produces millions of unmanned systems annually. Manufacturers predict seven million units this year. The US will not come anywhere close to that scale. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Apr 17
Ukraine has 900,000 active soldiers. Drones kill and robots advance.

But the most valuable asset on the battlefield is still a human being who is willing to fight, writes Luke McGee in Foreign Policy. 1/ Image
When people saw what unmanned vehicles could achieve, some suggested wars could be fought without personnel. It is a nice idea.

But to hold territory and operate UAVs and ground robots, you need people physically there. 2/
The problem is motivation in practice.

Pavlo Zaichenko, 59th Brigade: “When there is no clear understanding of where one will serve, how the service will look, and how long it will last, this becomes a significant barrier for potential volunteers.” 3/
Read 9 tweets
Apr 17
Russian soldier Vladimir Ivanov laughs after confessing that he shot two unarmed Ukrainian captives in Kursk oblast.

Ivanov: There were shots.

Q: Who was shooting?

Ivanov: Me [laughs]. And my commrade. We fired 10 times after the Ukrainians tried to escape.

1/
Ivanov: Two Ukrainians entered our position. My commrade stopped them. They said they were partisans, bit it’s bullshit. I could say that too.

They were in military pants and in civilian jacket.

2/
Lanzov, Russian PoW: On the radio I said there are two harmless Ukrainian captives. Our commander said: “Shoot them”.

He said it very loudly, so Ukrainians tried to escape and ran.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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