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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 2, 2024 • 12 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X

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https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/

https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/

2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/

3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/

Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/

4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/

5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/

6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/

There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/

Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov

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Apr 29

Bolton: The US military did sink all Iranian mine-laying ships. But Iran is using fast boats, each carrying one mine and able to swarm tankers with man-portable rockets.

Trump has said for weeks the Iranian navy was destroyed. Except for these boats. 1/

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When the bombing stops, they regroup and reorganize. Military pressure is what moved Iran at all. When you relent — they see American weakness. 2/

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That's not regime change. 3/

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Apr 29

Von der Leyen: Europe doubles down on support for Ukraine, while Russia doubles down on aggression.

We also adopted the 20th sanctions package. The sanctions are biting so hard that the Kremlin is restricting internet and free communication, creating a digital iron curtain. 1/

Von der Leyen: This is Europe’s second energy crisis in four years. In just 60 days of conflict, our fossil-fuel import bill rose by more than €27 billion without one extra molecule of energy.

The answer is obvious: cut imported fossil-fuel dependence and electrify Europe. 2/

Von der Leyen: Any peace agreement will have to restore full and permanent freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without tolls.

It will also have to address Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile program. The consequences of this conflict may echo for months or years. 3/

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Apr 28

Rubio: It’s unclear whether new Ayatollah has authority.

The key questions are his credibility versus his father, whether succession should be hereditary, if he has the clerical credentials, and whether he’s actually making decisions or someone else is.

1/

Rubio: Iran is run by radical Shia clerics and is deeply fractured. Talk of “moderates vs hardliners” is misleading — they’re all hardliners.

Some focus on running the state, others are driven by ideology, including the supreme leader and his circle.

2/

Rubio: Iran’s nuclear program is the core issue. The regime seeks to export its revolution and dominate the region through proxies like Hezbollah and Hamas.

Even now it uses Hormuz as economic leverage—imagine that power with nuclear weapons.

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Apr 28

China is rebuilding how occupied Ukrainian territories function — step by step.

It installs 6,000 Huawei base stations, replaces dollars with yuan, and keeps factories running with Chinese engineers. no ownership, no formal role, but everything depends on Chinese tech, Babel. 1/

Telecom comes first. Huawei supplies servers, antennas, routers.

Russia cuts Ukrainian networks when it captures a city. Miranda-Media reconnects it using Chinese infrastructure — across cities, villages, and roads. 2/

Industry: Karansky quarry in Donetsk operates on Chinese equipment. Chinese engineers maintain it. Without them, production stops. Russia uses the output to build roads and housing. 3/

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Apr 28

Iran offered the US a new deal: reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the war, bur nuclear negotiations postponed for a later stage.

The White House received the proposal but has not said whether it will explore it, — Axios.

1/

The problem for Trump: accepting the deal removes his leverage.

Ending the war and lifting the blockade before nuclear talks means Iran keeps its enriched uranium stockpile and faces no pressure to suspend enrichment — two primary US war objectives.

2/

Trump on the naval blockade: When you have vast amounts of oil pouring through your system — if for any reason this line is closed — that line explodes from within.

They say they only have about three days before that happens.

3/

Read 7 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

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Apr 28

Petraeus: Ukraine is stopping Russia almost cold on the front lines. Its drone warfare keeps improving, with a 35 km “death zone” under constant surveillance.

Production is surging: Ukraine may make 7 million drones this year, versus about 300,000 in the US last year.

1/

Petraeus: Ukraine is ahead of the world in drones — more capable and cheaper than others can make.

But others are racing to catch up, with the Pentagon planning $50bn+ on unmanned systems. Ukraine now has a brief window to secure its lead and protect its technology.

2/

Petraeus: Ukraine’s growing strike arsenal is impressive, with the Flamingo cruise missile still scaling up.

Its operations are also highly innovative — even launching aerial drones from sea drones. Russia’s Black Sea Fleet, after losing nearly 40%, has been pushed back and tied up in port.

3X