Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jun 7
GPS jamming has reached space, and from orbit a single source can blank an entire continent at once, far beyond any jammer on the ground.

Scientists traced short GPS outages across Europe, from Iceland to Italy, to three Russian satellites in at least 3 of 75 cases logged since 2019, NYT. 1/Image
The disruptions are short, lasting under 10 seconds, but they spread across a continent.

They hit the GPS networks of the U.S., China and the EU. Russia's own system stays untouched. 2/
Richard Bowden of Spanish tech firm GMV said the signal is clearly structured and well designed.

It sits next to a widely used GPS frequency but runs strong enough to bleed over and drown it out. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Jun 7
FT: Zelenskyy invited Roman Abramovich to Kyiv on May 21 and asked him to tell Putin he was ready for their first one-on-one summit after more than four years of Russia’s full-scale invasion.

Ukraine tried a direct peace channel. Putin still saw no point in meeting. 1/ Image
Ukraine wanted to prove it takes direct peace talks seriously while the US, which tried to broker a ceasefire, focuses on the Middle East war.

Kyiv also sees leverage in Russia’s slowed offensive, huge casualties, and Ukraine’s deep strikes behind enemy lines. 2/
Kyiv hopes its success in halting Russia’s offensive, now slowed to a crawl, and hitting deep behind enemy lines can push momentum toward an immediate ceasefire.

Putin still believes Russia’s larger resources will eventually wear down Ukraine’s resistance over time. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Jun 7
Snyder: Ukraine is a test of whether people put their country’s interests first or follow the whims of leaders who admire oligarchs and dictators.

People understand that Ukrainians have the right to defend themselves and that they can and should win this war. 1/
Snyder: You're always in history and your choices matter. Not making a choice is also a choice. Trump has weaknesses. He can't win wars, he loses them.
His corruption and greed create vulnerabilities. History won't solve these problems on its own. 2/
Snyder: Trump is trying to blow America’s chance to be a power in the 21st century. The answer is not to reinvent who you are, but to remember who you are and act on it. If enough people do small things together that affirm those values, it will matter. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jun 7
Putin's chief propagandists can no longer explain what Russia is fighting for.

Aleksandr Dugin spent decades justifying Russia's war against the West. Asked what is worth fighting for today, he failed to give a clear answer, The Atlantic. 1/ Image
Dugin answered with a fantasy of Russians leaving cities for the countryside, living among "neo-ancient ruins" and connecting through an "internet of Russian villages."

Even his interviewer, Sobchak, struggled to keep a straight face. 2/
At the end of May, he wrote that Russia's current elites give the country "critically low" chances of achieving victory.

He also questioned whether those elites could even hold the country together. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 6
Petraeus: The single most catastrophic imaginable event would be conflict between the U.S. and China.

America is spinning more plates than at any time since the Cold War, but the China plate is bigger than all the others combined. It cannot even wobble. 1/
Petraeus: Xi’s goal is Taiwan, reunification is his last bucket-list item. The task is to make sure that every morning in Beijing, when Xi looks at Taiwan, he concludes: not today.

That is the most important mission of the U.S. military. 2/
Petraeus: Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific rests on two things: China’s assessment of U.S. and allied capabilities, and America’s willingness to use them.

The U.S. must transform faster by learning from Ukraine and the Gulf. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jun 6
Petraeus: The U.S. is in a strategic cul-de-sac with Iran. Any route out has downsides.

Iran has been badly weakened militarily, but it still has drones, missiles, fast boats and the ability to create serious problems in the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz. 1/
Petraeus: The challenge is restoring freedom of navigation through Hormuz without giving Iran authority to charge tolls or navigation fees.

While still dealing with enriched uranium, sanctions, proxies and the future of Iran’s nuclear program. 2/
Petraeus: Tehran appears to believe Trump has less staying power than Iran does.

Iran does not face midterms, an affordability agenda or fear of losing the House. Trump needs a deal, and the regime seems to understand that leverage. 3X
Read 5 tweets

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