Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jan 26
Stubb: We need to reverse the narrative that Putin is winning the war in Ukraine. He is not.

He tried to take over Ukraine. He failed. He tried to stop NATO from expanding. Also failed. He tried to keep NATO’s defense spending down. It’s now at 5%. 1/
Stubb: My big fear is that the Russians are going to say “nyet” [no to a deal on Ukraine].

Ukraine, the US, and Europe are now on the same page, there is a clear some progress in negotiations. But it is still unclear what the Russians are going to do. 2/
Stubb: The US is able to project power, but Russia is not.

Put simply, what the US did in Venezuela in less than 24 hours is what Putin tried — and failed — to do in Kyiv four years ago.

One million died in casualties later, here we are. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jan 26
A Russian missile shut down a Kyiv heating plant — underwater.

Ukrainian divers crawled through a flooded tunnel buried beneath the Dnipro river and sealed missile-caused cracks by hand, Hromadske. 1/ Image
On Jan 15, engineers showed divers a sketch.

A vertical shaft led into a square concrete tunnel, hundreds of meters long, underground and below river level. Only one person could pass. Seismic shock fractured about 30 meters of walls. Water flooded the plant. 2/
Team lead Andrii Vlasenko: first-class diver, working since 2009, over 2,000 hours underwater.

But he had never done this. No rope signals. No acoustic comms. Reinforced concrete blocked everything. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Jan 26
Russia has just 3 Oreshnik missiles but is trying to scare Europe with a growing “arsenal”.

Ukrainian Foreign Intelligence (FISU): The system is a tool for intimidating Ukraine’s partners, but it's combat performance is dubious and relies on outdated technology — United 24. 1/
FISU: Moscow plans to start serial production of Oreshnik in 2026, aiming for at least five missiles per year. But its combat value is doubtful.

The system relies on Soviet-era designs, suffers frequent failures, and one launch reportedly flew without a proper warhead. 2/
The Oreshnik strike on Lviv earlier this month appears to have been psychological, not kinetic.

With only a handful of missiles available, Moscow is using them to amplify fear and political pressure on Europe. They compensate for limited stock with intimidation. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jan 26
Kasparov: Russia is losing influence. Not because of Maduro, Iranians, or Syria, but because Ukraine survived, period.

Ukraine proved that Putin is not all-powerful.

In 2022, leaders of the free world — Biden, Scholz, Macron — were ready to give up.

1/
Kasparov: Trump betrayed Iranian protesters. He promised them that “help was on the way”. Then betrayed.

Tens of thousands were killed or arrested. The free world stayed paralyzed, while much of the media ignored Iran’s massacre, treating it as unimportant.

2/
Kasparov: Putin exposed the UN as a shield for dictators.

Crimea in 2014 proved the postwar world order was fake.

Instead of acting, the US and Europe kept pretending the rules worked — and nothing happened to Russia until 2022. There are no rules, and everyone knows it.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Jan 25
Olena Janchuk, a former kindergarten teacher, can’t leave her apartment on the 19th floor in Kyiv for weeks.

She has severe rheumatoid arthritis, and the elevator is not working due to constant power outages from Russian attacks on energy plants — ProKyiv, AP. 1/
The apartment has frost on the windows from the inside

Lyudmila Bachurina, Olena’s mother: When the lights come on, I start turning on the washing machine, fill up water bottles, cook food, charge power banks.

It’s cold, but we manage. 2/
Bachurina: I’m tired, really tired, to be honest. When you can’t go outside, when you don’t see the sun, when there’s no light and you can’t even go to the store on your own.

It wears you down. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jan 25
Anna, wife of a missing Ukrainian soldier: "I still text him. It’s really difficult to send texts in one way and not get a response. The silence is depressing.

I will believe until the very end that he is alive," — The Times. 1/
More than 150,000 soldiers on both sides remain missing.

Vadym, son of a missing soldier: "After a year and a half, I still don’t fully accept that he is missing.

I cried the first time only after a month." 2/
Vadym: "My dad’s leg was wounded. He asked for evacuation, but was told it’s impossible.

I hope he is alive." 3/
Read 6 tweets

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