Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 16
Congress can protect Ukraine from Trump’s volatility — the same way it protected Taiwan in 1979 and forced Clinton’s hand on Bosnia in 1995.

A bipartisan Ukraine Relations Act could do the same today, write Brendan Simms and Edward Siddl in FA. 1/ Image
The problem: Trump has taken contradictory positions.

In September 2025 he said Ukraine should “get their land back” and called Russia “a paper tiger.” Two months later he presented a 28-point peace plan widely seen as favorable to Russia. 2/
Trump said Ukraine would “lose in a short period of time” if it didn’t agree to the plan.

Since then he has pushed to end the war as quickly as possible — even if that means a bad deal for Ukraine. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Apr 16
Pistorius: The €90 billion Ukraine loan will be provided over two years. After elections in Hungary I expect the EU blockade to lift soon.

This money enables Ukraine to procure military equipment sustainably — and rebuild the infrastructure Russia destroyed.

1/
Pistorius: Our support package includes hundreds of Patriot guided missiles, delivered steadily over four years.

Additional launchers for IRIS-T systems. Funding for deep strike drones manufactured in Ukraine.

And we will jointly develop medium and deep strike drones.

2/
Pistorius: A quick end to the Hormuz blockade are in our fundamental interest. Unfortunately, it is not in sight.

Russia benefits from the surge in oil prices. Moscow uses this money to fund its terror against Ukraine.

Russia has never taken the peace talks seriously.

3X
Read 4 tweets
Apr 15
Keane: The Iranians shut down the Strait of Hormuz and got a ceasefire. The war stopped. That's what they wanted, because we are pounding the daylights out of them.

We are shutting down Iran's source of income. Economic warfare. The administration has more leverage. 1/
Keane: The Iranians made two miscalculations. They went into negotiations thinking the administration will make concessions because of pressure. Wrong.

We stood our ground. The president says I want everything. Iran had to go home with their tail between their legs. 2/
Keane: This is phase one. The blockade, taking revenue away from them, make certain no ships go in or out dealing with Iranian oil.

My judgment is it probably won't open up. That brings the operation to open up the straits: clear it, get the mines out, make it secure. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 15
Russian troops surrendered to robots. Drones and ground bots took a Russian position without infantry and without losses on Ukraine’s side — Telegraph.

Zelenskyy: For the first time in the history of this war, an enemy position was taken exclusively by unmanned systems. 1/
Ground robots now carry out assault, evacuation, mine-clearing, logistics, supply runs and reconnaissance.

Zelenskyy: they completed 22,000+ missions in the last three months. Syrskyi says robotic systems handled 50% more tasks in March than in Feb. 2/
Ukraine now has 280+ companies building ground robots. Kyiv aims to produce 20,000+ this year, with 99% made in Ukraine.

Front-line models can operate up to 31 miles away, and many cost £7,500-£22,000. Some brigades already created dedicated UGV units. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Apr 15
Hodges: Crimea is still the decisive terrain of the war. For Putin it is symbolic, because the whole war started with seizing it.

It also anchors Russia’s ports and its ability to project power across the Black Sea. 1/
Hodges: If Russia can no longer use Crimea’s ports, bridge, and ferries safely, the peninsula loses real value.

The Black Sea Fleet has already been pushed out of Sevastopol, and isolating Crimea further would strip Moscow of a key military asset. 2/
Hodges: Ukraine does not need a frontal assault on Crimea right now.

It should keep isolating it, keep hitting airfields and air defenses, and make the Kerch bridge unusable. Crimea is still on Zelenskyy, Syrskyi, and Budanov’s objective list. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Apr 15
Trump deployed 10,000 sailors, a dozen warships, and dozens of aircraft to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. He promised to stop "any and all ships."

In First 24 hours 6 ships turned back. Zero seized. Iran's ghost tankers kept moving — The Times. 1/ Image
Trump ordered the Navy to block "any and all Ships" at the Strait of Hormuz. He warned that anyone who paid Iran's transit toll would lose safe passage.

Central Command narrowed the mission to vessels heading to or from Iranian ports. 2/
The Elpis is a Comoros-flagged tanker under US sanctions for ferrying Iranian oil to China. In March it loaded methanol at Bushehr port and sat in the Gulf for two weeks.

After the blockade started, tracker websites showed it came to a virtual standstill outside the strait. 3/
Read 9 tweets

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