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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 2, 2024 • 12 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X

https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/

https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/

2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/

3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/

Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/

4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/

5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/

6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/

There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/

Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 30

Zelenskyy: Ukrainian people have to vote in referendum for the 20 points plan.

If Ukrainian nation will approve it positively, it's a great success for President Trump because it's under his leadership. 1/

Zelenskyy: We have the question with the territories. We can't just withdraw. It's out of our law. 300,000 people live there. We can't lose just people. We can't go out because hundreds of thousands have been wounded, dozens of thousands have been killed there. 2/

Zelenskyy: I don't trust Putin. He doesn't want success for Ukraine. he can say such words to Trump, but it's not truth. He doesn't want more pressure with sanctions. We don't need cheap electricity [from Russia]. It's not about energy. We don't need anything from them. 3/

Read 5 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 29

Mike Pompeo: There may be 90% agreement, but Putin won’t give up the final 10%. Security guarantees are likely a poison pill for him.

Putin hasn’t contributed to peace—and he will only negotiate seriously if hit with a bigger stick.

1/

Pompeo: Russia shows no real interest in peace. Ukraine keeps defending itself and hitting Russian military assets.

Knocking 15–20% of Russia’s energy infrastructure offline is the kind of pressure that can force Putin toward peace.

2/

Pompeo: Russia has suffered nearly a million casualties—an enormous toll by any measure.

The cost keeps rising. Ukraine must keep fighting, and Europe must keep supporting Ukraine so it can do so.

3X

Read 4 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 29

I was born 51 years ago. What is the purpose of my life?

I have lived several lives in my lifetime. A happy but oblivious childhood in the Soviet Union, focused on family, mathematics and sports. The gangster 1990s in Ukraine focused on survival and money. 1/

My next life was in the US and Europe as an academic economist: PhD in Wisconsin, a first job in Bonn, later Penn State, Penn, and Pittsburgh, the pressure of tenure, first top publications.

In 2014, a new life started: policy work in Ukraine. 2/

I co-founded an important this-tank, served on the supervisory board of the central bank of Ukraine, and became the president of the Kyiv School of Economics.

Then, in 2019 there was a very short diversion into politics. Zelenskyy appointed me the minister of economy. 3/

Read 9 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 29

Zelenskyy: We discussed all the aspects of the peace framework:

20-point peace plan 90% agreed, US-Ukraine security guarantees 100%, US-Europe-Ukraine security guarantees almost agreed, military dimension 100%, prosperity plan being finalized. 1/

Zelenskyy: Security guarantees are the key milestone in achieving lasting peace, our teams will continue working.

We had a joint productive call with European leaders. Our teams will meet in upcoming weeks. Trump will host us in January. Ukraine is ready for peace. 2/

Zelenskyy: We have to respect our law and our people. We respect the territory that we control.

Our attitude is very clear, that's why President Trump said this is a very tough question, and of course we have different positions on it with Russians. 3/

Read 5 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 28

Le Monde: Russia has turned occupied Mariupol into a staged showcase of “Novorossiya.”

After destroying the city in 2022, Moscow now rebuilds it and tells residents life is better this way. 1/

During the siege, more than 22,000 civilians were killed, according to Mariupol’s Ukrainian city council in exile. 90% of residential buildings were destroyed or damaged, the UN says. Nearly half the population fled. 2/

Vyacheslav, 17, a Mariupol native studying welding, says daily life feels “better and safer” now.

“I was born here. During the fighting, I never left. Now life is easier. I lost many friends — most left, but those who stayed are still together.” 3/

Read 11 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 28

Ex-CIA station chief Dan Hoffman: Trump offered Putin a way out and a path back into the global economy—Putin refused

His aim was to overthrow Ukraine’s elected government and he failed at huge cost. The way to stop him is to halt Russia’s advance and keep NATO arming Ukraine.1/

Hoffman: Ukraine has negotiated in good faith and made concessions, but Russia keeps firing missiles and drones, including strikes on Kyiv.

The real question isn’t Ukraine—it’s how to get Putin to stop the war.

2/

Hoffman: Putin wants to frame the cost question, but Ukraine faces two bad options: keep fighting in self-defense or capitulate and accept Russian rule.

From Ukraine’s view, sometimes you have to fight to defend your country.

3/