Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tymofiy Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Mylovanov

Apr 13
Keane: You do not need 10,000 troops to seize Iran’s uranium. The US controls the airspace.

The real threat is rockets and missiles. Another option is to threaten Kharg Island: give up enrichment, or lose more than 90% of your export lifeline. 1/
Keane: Trump’s blockade already shuts down Iran’s oil exports. Zero export oil leaves Iran under this order.

Kharg Island handles more than 90% of that flow, so cutting that artery hits Tehran hard and fast and strips away Tehran’s leverage. 2/
Keane: Iran misread the ceasefire. Tehran thought the shutdown gave it leverage and would push US negotiators into concessions.

Instead, talks collapsed, Trump wanted everything, and Washington’s answer was simple: absolutely not. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 13
Russian soldiers go to war for money, then pay it back to survive.

“I gave $650 to be moved to guard duty in Crimea. Others paid more. One guy said he pays more than he’ll ever earn. Someone turned this war into a business.” — Meduza. 1/ Image
Commanders run it like a system.

Skip a mission: $2,600. Stay in the rear: up to $6,500. Soldiers pay again and again — every rotation, every order. 2/
They pay for everything.

Armor, radios, fuel, food. Units collect $400 monthly per soldier. Some give away $25k+ over time. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Apr 13
When soldiers are taught how to survive an FPV drone, they’re taught “how to try to survive.”

Rule number one: don’t stay together. One strike can wipe out a group. If you scatter, the drone has to pick one target. After that — it’s all down to chance, The Telegraph. 1/
If there’s no cover, drop low and make yourself harder to see. If there is cover — run. Stay in shadows, hug walls, use vegetation to reduce visibility and heat signature. 2/
Drone Fight Club founder Vladyslav Plaksin: You have to think ahead. What you’re doing now is already in the past. You need to know where the drone will be in 2–3 seconds. That’s why musicians make great operators. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Apr 13
Anne Applebaum: If Orbán lost, Putin and Trump can be next.

Illiberal regimes can fall even after 16 years in power — Hungary just proved it, writes she in The Atlantic. 1/ Image
Péter Magyar and his party Tisza won a constitutional majority of Parliament seats.

To get there he had to defeat a regime that controlled the judiciary, bureaucracy, universities and a chunk of the economy through oligarchic companies. 2/
In the final weeks Orbán received support from Trump, Vance, Netanyahu, Marine Le Pen, Alice Weidel and other illiberal leaders from Argentina, Poland, Slovakia and Brazil. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Apr 13
Here is what Peter Magyar plans to do first as Hungary's new leader:

1. pass a new constitution
2. unlock $20 billion in frozen EU funds
3. introduce a wealth tax, repair ties with Ukraine and the EU
4. fix a near-junk credit rating, writes Bloomberg. 1/ Image
Politics: demand resignations of the president, top justices and chief prosecutor. Pass a new constitution. Change election rules that favored Fidesz. Limit prime ministers to two terms — effectively barring Orbán from running again. 2/
Foreign policy: unlock more than $20 billion in EU funds frozen over graft and rule of law concerns. Pass anti-corruption legislation. Restore judicial independence and media freedom. First trip: Warsaw. Then Vienna and Brussels. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Apr 13
McFaul: Before this war, Hormuz was open. Now Trump is talking about a joint venture with the Islamic Republic to charge ships for passage.

Charging for a natural strait is a terrible precedent, and doing business with this regime could hand it billions. 1/
McFaul: The costs go far beyond Iran.

This war generated billions for Putin through higher oil prices, pushed NATO into a major crisis because Trump is lashing out at allies, and made America look less like a defender of order and more like another rogue power. 2/
McFaul: If we want to compete with China, we need allies, values, and a reputation for playing by the rules.

Instead, this war makes China look prudent and cautious while America looks reckless, punitive, and willing to wreck the order it claims to defend. 3/
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(