Firepoint co-founder Shtilierman: Ukraine does not need 300 km ballistic missiles. Moscow is not 300 km from our border.
Russia is a monocentric state, with power concentrated in Moscow and St. Petersburg. That is why Ukraine is developing longer-range ballistic capabilities. 1/
Shtilierman: We produce Flamingo missiles as much as we are ordered to produce.
The capacity is there. The bottleneck is bureaucracy around engine exports in Europe and the U.S.
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Shtilierman: There are five Flamingo launches in open sources.
We never publish anything before the official General Staff report. Many missions happen and are never publicly reported.
Russia is planning an attack on Poland to test NATO, US warns.
The scenarios include missile and drone strikes on critical infrastructure or Russian troops crossing the border from Kaliningrad or Belarus, The Telegraph. 1/
Russian troops could cross into Poland and claim they entered by mistake because of GPS failure.
Another cover story: a mission to recover a disabled military helicopter. 2/
Moscow expects Poland to negotiate instead of opening fire if Russian troops cross the border.
The Kremlin would demand that NATO suspend military aid to Ukraine before withdrawing. If Poland agrees, Russia enters NATO territory and leaves on its own terms. 3/
Putin spent 10 minutes naming streets in Donetsk villages in a state TV interview — and described an encirclement near Rubtsi that no reliable source confirms exists.
There is no river called Stary Oskol in that region. — Simon Shuster, The Atlantic.
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81% of Russians want the war to end "as early as tomorrow."
Those who want to fight until victory dropped to 9% — the lowest ever recorded by the Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia across 10 rounds of polling since 2022.
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For Russian soldiers sent to the front, the average life expectancy is around two to three weeks, according to one Russian military blogger.
Russia now loses at least 30,000 troops a month while offering recruits bonuses worth up to $80,000.
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Zelenskyy: We are thankful to the American team for transfer of anti ballistic missiles, but for today it is too slow.
We don’t know what Putin will do. We are asking President Trump and his team: we don’t need too many words. You see what does it mean when the packages come? 1/
Zelenskyy: Europe, the United States and many other countries live from election to election. That is understandable. But please, the priority must be saving lives. 2/
Zelenskyy: Kushner and Witkoff said they would come to Ukraine. They have to come to see, understand and explain to the President Trump what Russia has to do quickly: sit, negotiate and stop this war. I hope they will come. 3x