Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 24
It is easier to show partners Ukraine retakes land than explain Russia burning thousands of soldiers for a few kilometers.

Ukraine recaptured 300+ sq km on the Oleksandrivsk axis, fastest gains since 2023, and pushes Russian troops from the Dnipropetrovsk border. — United24 1/ Image
Ukraine’s Air Assault Forces launched the offensive to block Russia’s push toward Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia.

Gen. Oleh Apostol leads the operation. The 82nd Bukovyna and 95th Polissia Brigades drive the assault. 2/
Airborne units cleared Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups and keep advancing despite heavy resistance and fresh Russian reserves.

They repel counterattacks while pressing forward. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Feb 23
Zaluzhnyi: The old rules no longer work, but people still have high hopes for them. The new ones have not yet even been formulated yet.

Personally, for me, the main condition is the preservation of democracy and freedom and the standard of living. 1/
Zaluzhnyi: The reconstruction process should begin now, without waiting for a peace deal, which may never happen.
The energy system has become a new front in the war. Its stability determines the outcome of the conflict and the country's ability to survive, therefore to win. 2/
Zaluzhnyi: In Europe there is not a single country with a positive birth rate, so the loss of manpower on the battlefield would have huge socio-economic rather than near military complications.

Evolution towards the robotization of warfare offers an alternative. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Feb 23
Trump's new parlor game is asking advisers "Vance or Rubio?" for 2028. He favors Vance but increasingly praises Rubio.

His dream ticket? "Vance-Rubio, and to be clear, that's Vance on top."

But he'd also be "absolutely" happy flipping it — Axios. 1/ Image
Trump's thinking: "Vance-Rubio is the president's dream ticket for 2028," a Trump adviser says.

Vance has the political infrastructure to run. Rubio lacks it and has made clear he's fine with Vance being the guy. 2/
Rubio told Vanity Fair last year: "If JD Vance runs for president, he's going to be our nominee, and I'll be one of the first people to support him."

Sources say Rubio has communicated that to Vance privately. The two are close friends. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 23
X’s algorithm amplifies conservative content and shifts users’ political attitudes to the right within 7 weeks, with no reversal when switched off.

Evidence come from a 2023 randomized field experiment — Nature. 1/ Image
Active US users were randomly assigned to either the algorithmic “For You” feed or the chronological “Following” feed for 7 weeks.

Researchers measured engagement, policy priorities, and views on major political events. 2/
Switching from chronological to algorithmic increased engagement and shifted policy priorities toward more conservative issues such as inflation, immigration, and crime. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Feb 23
Putin will fight Ukraine until he dies.

In address on Feb 2023, he announced plans to scale up military capabilities, modernize nuclear triad, and called on society for total militarization. 2026 declared year of unity of Russia's peoples around sacred duty — UkrainskaPravda. 1/ Image
Putin promised to increase military capabilities of all branches of russian armed forces.

Special attention to modernization and creation of new weapons, and nuclear triad. Promised to increase army readiness and ability to act in "most difficult conditions." 2/
Putin called russian soldiers who commit war crimes daily, kill civilians and destroy Ukrainian cities "true patriots" and "backbone of the state."

He is heroizing participants of genocidal war and turning them into new elite of society. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Feb 23
Ukraine starts exporting weapons to Europe.

Kateryna Mykhalko, who led Ukraine's Technological Forces for 2.5 years: "Cheap Shaheds cannot be shot down with multimillion-dollar missiles.

This is ineffective defense strategy. Europe needs asymmetric solutions" — Hromadske. 1/ Image
On Feb 8, Zelenskyy announced start of Ukrainian weapons export. 10 export centers to open in Europe in 2026.

Germany already started production of Ukrainian drones. Similar production lines began operating in Britain. Technological Forces unite 80+ defense companies. 2/
Mykhalko: "Export is not just about crossing border with piece of metal. First of all, it's about technological cooperation, integration, supply chains to European countries.

This is critical for Ukraine's strategic defense, and for EU security it's no less important." 3/
Read 9 tweets

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