Petraeus: Iran is unquestionably much weaker militarily.
The US and Israel have badly damaged its leadership, missile and drone production, navy, air force, air defenses, security headquarters, logistics bases, and further damaged the nuclear program. 1/
Petraeus: Military objectives largely have been met, but Iran could still emerge strategically stronger if Hormuz stays shut.
It cannot be acceptable for Iran to turn the strait into an “Iranian canal” and charge tolls for ships going in and out. 2/
Petraeus: Reopening Hormuz is a very challenging mission.
The defender has to be perfect, while the attacker only has to succeed every few days to destroy confidence. Hit two or three ships, and owners decide they are not taking that risk. 3/
On Budanov’s desk sits notebook labeled “List of Assholes 2026.”
He is a Hero of Ukraine, former head of military intelligence, now head of the Presidential Office. Babel tells his story. 1/
Born in Darnytsia, raised in an ordinary family. His father engineered parts for the Soviet space program at the Kyiv Radio Plant. He studied at a school with Jewish classes funded by the Jewish community. He learned Hebrew and still keeps ties with Ukraine’s chief rabbi. 2/
He dreamed of being a soldier from childhood — his grandfather told family legends about intelligence officers. He trained in Crimea every summer, hiking 30-40 km with a backpack and climbing cliffs. That passion would later save his life. 3/
Stubb: Russia gained under 1% of Ukrainian territory in 2025 at a cost of 400,000 killed or wounded.
At this pace, taking Donetsk could cost another 800,000. Militarily, this is failure. Putin’s goal remains all of Ukraine; only a threat to his regime may change that.
1/
Stubb: Putin’s war has been a strategic failure. He wanted to take Ukraine, but pushed it deeper into Europe and NATO.
He wanted to stop NATO expansion, but got Finland and Sweden instead. He wanted global power — yet Russia’s influence is fading from Syria to Iran.
2/
Stubb: Air defense is changing fast as Ukraine reshapes warfare with drones and missiles. We need to diversify more.
And we’re reaching a point where Europe, the US, and Gulf states may need Ukraine’s military know-how more than Ukraine needs them.
Kasparov: Wars end when the cause that produced them is removed. In Ukraine, that cause is Putin’s regime and the imperial policy of Putin’s Russia.
As long as that regime survives, the war will not end. That is the whole answer. 1/
Kasparov: Trump is about Trump, and about money for Trump and his entourage. No real peace talks are possible there.
Witkoff and Kushner are not diplomats. Ukraine was right to refuse territorial concessions, because those concessions could have been catastrophic. 2/
Kasparov: European politicians already understand that the threat now reaches even NATO countries
EU is preparing for war, but still fears saying it aloud. Only the military defeat and collapse of Putin’s regime give a chance for peace in Europe and a settlement in Ukraine 3X
Kasparov: “Russian Taiwan” is a metaphor, but the split is already real.
Hundreds of thousands of Russians have broken with Putin’s Russia, including legally, yet got no new status. Their documents expire every day. Europe needs one cardinal solution: recognize that we exist. 1/
Kasparov: “Russian Taiwan” is not about moving everyone to some island. Territory is secondary
The point is legal recognition for people who cut ties with Putin’s Russia and are stuck in limbo, instead of begging country by country for visas, exemptions, and documents. 2/
Kasparov: If Europe gives us legal status, we must offer something in return.
Nothing in Russia will change while Putin stays in power, and Putin stays in power while Russia can keep waging war. Only Ukraine’s victory gives us that historic chance, so we must help Ukraine win 3X
Ukrainian robots charged a Russian position through a valley — little green wagons, each carrying 66 pounds of explosives. One blew itself up.
A sheet of cardboard appeared above the trench: "We want to surrender." — NYT.
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Last month Ukraine carried out 9,000+ frontline missions using armed ground robots. In November 2025 — 2,900. A year ago they were rare and experimental.
Each robot typically lasts 24 hours before its battery dies or it is destroyed.
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In February, Russian soldiers occupied a school in Kupiansl. Ukraine sent ground robots. One carried thermobaric rockets.
Others carried 500+ pounds of explosives. The building collapsed with at least nine Russian soldiers inside.
3/