Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

May 20
Q: What are the top-3 innovations Germany looks up to in Ukraine?

Pistorius: AI, drones, including UAV, and for us it's very important to develop a long-range missile, an anti-ballistic missile.

We need more European solutions for what we are now forced to buy elsewhere.

1/
Fedorov: Our goal is to intercept 90–95% of missiles and Shaheds.

Ukraine launched the world's first 'Short-Range Air Defense' structure within the Air Force. Interceptor drones now hit 50–75% of Shaheds.

Germany is investing in Ukrainian Air Defense.

2/
Pistorius: I really admire the creativity and power of innovation in Ukraine. Not everything has to be invented in Germany.

We have to see what we can learn, what we can improve — or what we can just copy.

3/
Read 6 tweets
May 19
Rachman, FT: "The current wars in Ukraine and Iran underline how foolish it is to assume that a military superpower will always win a war against a smaller country."

China's assumption that Taiwan would be helpless without American support is a dangerous mistake.

1/ Image
Ukraine has no navy — yet forced the Russian navy out of the Black Sea. Iran's navy was reportedly destroyed — yet Tehran keeps the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed with drones, missiles and speedboats.

Naval superpowers are increasingly vulnerable to cheap weapons.

2/
Taiwan's strengths: a top-20 global economy, 90%+ of the world's most advanced semiconductors, its own anti-ship missiles and drones, and the natural protection of being an island.

China would need one of the most ambitious seaborne invasions in history.

3/
Read 7 tweets
May 19
CNN: Russian drones circle targeting vehicles and dropping explosives on troops. You have to keep moving or they may swarm around you.

The battlefield has completely changed in a year. Nobody drives cars or tanks unless they have to. Nets and robots are now key protection. 1/
CNN: Drones also target heavy gunfire. Their friend, a lieutenant, killed when this car was hit just two days ago.

We are nearing their bunker position. There are moments here to rest, to see the trophies of drones that failed. It's a bit tough at this moment. 2/
CNN: The drones never stop, but neither does Ukraine. Ukraine is adapting and engineering new warfare to bridge its manpower crisis. The sense that Ukraine was inevitably losing is gone. Deep strikes are now inflicting pain in the heart of Russia. 3X
Read 5 tweets
May 19
Merz: With Europe facing enormous security challenges, close coordination has never been more important.

Europe will not let up in its efforts for a durable and just peace in Ukraine — and Kyiv can rely on Europe’s consistent support. 1/
Merz: Europe will keep increasing pressure on Moscow. Russia must understand that it has to negotiate.

Europe is ready to come to the negotiating table with Ukraine, Russia and the United States. 2/
Merz: Bulgaria is ready to follow this path in European solidarity.

Europe’s new unity and determination — especially since the change in Hungary’s government — will bring us a step closer to peace. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 19
Graham: If China invades Taiwan, the full weight of U.S. sanctions and tariffs should hit on day one.

That is deterrence. If we had done this with Russia before Ukraine, I do not think Putin would have invaded. 1/
Graham: China buys 90% of Iran’s oil.

Trump says he does not need Beijing’s help, but there will come a moment when China has to be held accountable. If you keep funding Iran, there must be a price. 2/
Graham: I think negotiations with Iran have hit a wall. They agree one day and back up the next.

You cannot want a deal more than the other side wants one. The smart play now is to weaken them militarily and keep the embargo on. 3/
Read 8 tweets
May 19
Sybiha, Ukrainian FM: Russia plans to complete what the Russian Empire began and what the Soviet Union failed to finish.

They want to destroy the very foundation of the existence of Ukrainians as a separate nation. — Times of Central Asia.

1/ Image
Sybiha: “Ukraine and Kazakhstan both remember bans on language and culture, the destruction of the intelligentsia, deportations, repression, and famines. We cannot allow this to happen again."

Kazakhstan provided Ukraine with around 600 tons of humanitarian aid since 2022.

2/
Sybiha: Ukraine wants to join the China-Central Asia-Caspian-South Caucasus-Black Sea-EU logistics chain. Our Black Sea ports can serve as a gateway into the European Union.

Ukraine is not just a destination — we are a fully integrated participant in the regional logistics system.
3/
Read 7 tweets

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