Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 9
Zaluzhnyi: Do not assume Russia has lost the war.

Russia has not achieved its original political objectives. But it still fights, occupies substantial Ukrainian territory, and shows no intention of accepting terms that would mean defeat, — for Telegraph. 1/ Image
Zaluzhnyi: Ukraine cannot yet claim outright victory either.

Kyiv has stopped Russia’s main goals and damaged its economy and military. But Ukraine still depends heavily on Western money, weapons, technology, and air defense. 2/
Zaluzhnyi: This is no longer a war of swift manoeuvres. It is a war of attrition.

Tactical gains now come at enormous cost. Positions can be taken, but holding them, reinforcing them, and evacuating the wounded is harder under constant drone surveillance. 3/
Read 13 tweets
Jul 9
Petr Pavel: Ukraine may have about two months to force talks before Russia’s September elections.

After Sept. 20, Putin could declare a general mobilisation and shrink the window for peace, — The Telegraph. 1/ Image
Pavel: Putin is unlikely to mobilise before parliamentary elections because it would be deeply unpopular. But once the vote is over, the political cost changes. 2/
Pavel: Allies must use the current pressure on Russia now.

Give Ukraine what it needs, keep hitting Russia’s weak points, and make Moscow believe negotiation is the only way to get anything. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Jul 9
At 69, Tetiana Tepliuk defended Azovstal under full encirclement, then spent 7 months in Russian captivity. Now 74 — she is back on active duty.

Soldiers call her "Khreshchena." The Godmother. — U24.

1/ Image
In the bunkers, she refused to eat her own rations.

Khreshchena: "Every evening, we were given a spoonful of sugar and a spoonful of honey. I saved it and gave it to two soldiers — the sugar to one, and the honey to the other."

2/
In Russian captivity at Taganrog, a guard told her she would not need her slippers — she would soon receive "white slippers" instead. A Russian cultural reference meaning she was being prepared for a coffin.

Tetiana accepted the threat with stoic calm.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 8
Applebaum: Putin's war has finally reached Moscow.

Muscovites have lost cell service, struggled to use ATMs and come under drone attacks.

They understand Russia isn't winning. Putin won't fall tomorrow, but it has shifted the mood of Russia's business and political elite. 1/
Applebaum: Russia's system will eventually change.

Nobody knows who will succeed Putin or how that person will be chosen. There is no Politburo or ruling party to pick the next leader. The successor will emerge from Russia's elite groups. 2/
Applebaum: The frontline in Ukraine has stalled.

It has become a transparent zone where drones can see every person, tank and vehicle. Large offensives have become difficult, if not impossible. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jul 8
Trump: If it's necessary to close the skies over Ukraine — yeah.

1/
Trump: When we have a deal, we're gonna have a deal.

Security guarantee or no security guarantee. We're not gonna have to worry about that.

2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Jul 7
Stubb: 35,000 Russian soldiers killed per month won't end this war. Economic strain won't end it either.

What ends it: the Russian population turning against it. Drones hit St. Petersburg and Moscow. Kids lose their summers in Crimea. Gas lines. Internet shutdowns.

1/
Stubb: Ukraine's long-range strikes took down 40% of Russia's oil refining capacity.

2/
Stubb: Ukraine needs more Patriots — over 100 civilian buildings hit just the other night, civilians dying.

Europeans and Americans need to work on this together.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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