Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

May 13
Kasparov: The Ukrainian flag over Sevastopol is the only thing that can knock imperial nonsense out of the average Russian's head.

The imperial idea has outlived many rulers — and may well outlive Putin, unless it's finally buried in the Ukrainian war.

1/
Kasparov: In Russia, victories in war have always been used to strengthen the regime.

WWII was ideological support for communism. Under Putin, it became just a marker — "We can repeat it" was preparation for a new imperialist war.

2/
Kasparov: Tucker Carlson gets paid by Putin and Iranians. Antisemitism unites his far-right and far-left allies.

Zelenskyy's ex-spokeswoman Yulia Mendel fed him pure Kremlin narratives — everything he says carries a KGB stamp.

3/
Read 6 tweets
May 13
Miroslav Simonov, a Russian drone operator from an elite unit defected to Ukraine, walking six miles through the front line at night, dodging sentries and minefields.

He carried drone secrets and intelligence on Russia's Rubicon Centre. — The Times.

1/ Image
Miroslav Simonov, 24, was an estate agent in Novosibirsk. He arrived in Moscow for a prestigious course — and was immediately arrested for not completing national service.

Officers watched him sign a military contract. Within weeks, he was at the front.

2/
In his drone unit, Simonov watched his commander joke in a chat after a strike hit a residential building — a 20-year-old girl in intensive care, grandmothers and children wounded.

"This is war. War will write everything off, will forgive everything," an officer told him.

3/
Read 7 tweets
May 13
Putin said the war in Ukraine may be "coming to an end." In April, Russia lost 45 sq miles — its first net territorial loss since August 2024.

Ukrainian strikes cut Russian oil exports from 5.2M to 3.5M barrels a day. — The Guardian.

1/ Image
In April, Russia lost 45 sq miles of Ukrainian territory — the first net loss since August 2024. Ukraine recaptured Kupiansk in December.

Gains in Zaporizhzhia reversed after Russia lost Starlink access. A slow-motion Russian victory no longer looks certain.

2/
Ukraine claims it killed or wounded more Russian soldiers than Russia recruited for five straight months.

March and April: ~35,000 casualties each month. Russian recruitment: 24,000–30,000 per month. Putin has no appetite for a second public mobilization.

3/
Read 6 tweets
May 13
The Iran war should have given Moscow an oil windfall, fiscal breathing room, and fresh leverage in Ukraine.

The opposite happened. Since the war began, Kyiv has been in its strongest stretch on and off the battlefield in years — Casey Michel, The Moscow Times. 1/ Image
Russia's offensive slowed to a WWI-style slog while Kyiv held the line.

For the first time in nearly 3 years, Ukraine retook more territory than Russia — some of it captured by a brigade of robots and drones alone. 2/
Drones did most of the work.

Ukraine now launches more cross-border drone attacks than Russia — confirmed by both the Ukrainian Air Force and Russia's Defense Ministry. 3/
Read 11 tweets
May 13
Keane: Five weeks of talks have produced almost no progress.

Iran still refuses to dismantle its nuclear enterprise, wants indefinite control of Hormuz, and wants the US to finance regime recovery through reparations, unfrozen assets, and sanctions relief. 1/
Keane: A deal like that would favor Iran and set back both the Iranian people and US interests.

Tehran would use the money to rebuild its nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and proxies — the very things this war was launched to stop. 2/
Keane: After all this time trying to negotiate, Washington should recognize that no deal meeting its objectives is available.

The best option is to return to full combat operations, finish what we started, and go full throttle with Israel for one to two weeks. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 12
Putin ran a parade he could not defend.

If the US and Europe keep Kyiv funded and armed, Ukraine can negotiate from strength.

The fastest way to prolong the war is to offer Putin an exit that preserves his system — The Telegraph. 1/ Image
Putin sells inevitability. The parade showed vulnerability.
Ukraine can now hit deep inside Russia. Putin avoided parking real hardware at a known place and time. 2/
After the spectacle, Putin said: "I think that the matter is coming to an end."
He still calls this war a "special operation." The language stays. The capacity shrinks. 3/
Read 9 tweets

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