Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 7
Stubb: 35,000 Russian soldiers killed per month won't end this war. Economic strain won't end it either.

What ends it: the Russian population turning against it. Drones hit St. Petersburg and Moscow. Kids lose their summers in Crimea. Gas lines. Internet shutdowns.

1/
Stubb: Ukraine's long-range strikes took down 40% of Russia's oil refining capacity.

2/
Stubb: Ukraine needs more Patriots — over 100 civilian buildings hit just the other night, civilians dying.

Europeans and Americans need to work on this together.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 7
Trump turned NATO from a security guarantee into a paid service. Allies buy American weapons, and in return the US keeps protecting them.

They committed nearly $120B in the past year and spent half of it on US-made arms — Politico. 1/ Image
Trump demanded that allies raise defense spending from 2 percent of GDP to 5 percent, or risk losing US protection altogether.

He has often threatened to quit the alliance if they fall short. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth tied higher spending to faster US arms sales. 2/
NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte said Europe supports 110,000 American jobs through $300B in orders for US weapons.

The United Kingdom and Germany announced plans to build US weapons under license in their own factories, just days before the Ankara summit opens. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jul 7
Europe is preparing for the once-unthinkable — defending the continent against Russia with little or no US help.

NATO's plans from a year ago assumed the US would carry nearly 40% of the warfighting burden. This share now almost certain to shrink after year of lost trust in Trump, — FT. 1/Image
The shift is driven by a string of shocks.
Trump's threat to take Greenland by force, cancelled US troop deployments, a national security strategy hostile to Europe, and recriminations over the lack of European support for his war in Iran. 2/
Replacing US assets — intelligence, air defence, refuelling, reconnaissance — needs faster spending. Germany hits 3.5% of GDP by 2029, but France and the UK are off track at ~2.5% and 2.7%, and even Berlin lacks a long-term funding plan. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Jul 7
EU’s 21st sanctions package could hit 90 more Russian banks, pushing banned lenders past 100 — over half of Russia’s internationally connected financial institutions.

A confidential European report warns of an explosive banking crisis, United24. 1/ Image
Russia’s Economy Ministry cut GDP growth forecasts: 2026 to 0.4% from 1.3%, and 2027 to 1.4% from 2.8%.
The report says 10% of corporate loans look questionable; in 2025, bad retail loans at several large banks hit 15%. 2/
More than 500,000 Russians declared bankruptcy, up nearly one-third from the previous year.
State-sponsored programs pushed over 13mn Russians to hold at least 3 loans at once. Cash outside banks rose over 17% YoY to more than $243bn. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 7
Rutte: Russia's war machine is not unstoppable.

Right now, Ukraine is changing the dynamics on the battlefield, thanks to the bravery, the dedication, and ingenuity of its armed forces — United24. 1/ Image
Rutte spoke on July 6 at a press conference in Ankara, ahead of the 2026 summit and its latest support for Kyiv.
He tied Ukraine's front-line progress to its soldiers, naming their courage, commitment, and inventiveness as the qualities driving the shift against Moscow. 2/
Rutte made the same case on June 17 at the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, telling allies Kyiv is proving Russia can be beaten.
Russia's offensive momentum has slowed, and Ukrainian commanders describe Moscow's forces as degraded and unable to mount major breakthroughs. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 7
Zelenskyy: Russia believed no one could reach its strategic rear — its factories, equipment, everything the war depends on.

We reached them. Ukraine in NATO is extraordinary defensive capability. The threat stays next door for a long time. We stay ready.

1/
Zelenskyy: War has changed as fundamentally as when machine guns decided WWI battles, or when tanks reshaped WWII.

Today drones and long-distance warfare represent that same revolutionary shift.

2/
Zelenskyy: Ukraine eliminates around 30,000 Russian soldiers every month defending the front line.

In June alone — nearly 28,000. Video confirmation for every single one.

3/
Read 8 tweets

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