Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Dec 10
Western money and technologies power up Russian wars. Without Western chips, Russia wouldn’t be able to launch missiles, including the now feared by the West Oreshnik Intercontinental Ballistic Missile System

Reuters reports on how Russia gets the chips 1/ Image
Russia is under sanctions that are supposed choke its access to high-tech components, including semiconductors

Yet, chips still flow into Russia

Sanctions are not enforced? They don’t work? Not really, the sanctions are incomplete and some countries are complicit 2/
Russia does third-party re-routing

It relies on intermediaries in countries like China, Turkey, and the UAE. These nations serve as stopovers, allowing chips to bypass direct sanctions 3/
Read 14 tweets
Dec 10
Saidnaya’s Horror: Known as al-Maslakh al-Basharia (“the human slaughterhouse”), Saidnaya prison is a symbol of Assad’s brutality

Human-rights groups estimate between 13,000 and 30,000 people have been killed there since 2011

The Economist went there 1/ Image
On a prison wall: “Take me, already.”2/
Hidden chambers held men crammed into pitch-black spaces, with ventilation failing 3/
Read 7 tweets
Dec 9
WP inverts the truth

No, Ukraine doesn’t start thinking about drafting 18-year olds

Not a single quote or fact in the article to support this

The article is just a collection of random statements about draft without any insight 1/ Image
The article quotes Blinken who says Ukraine problem is manpower, not arms. This is not true. Brigades face shortage of weapons. They lost men because of lack of bullets and artillery shells 2/
But Blinken says these things to create a soft landing in case Ukraine is defeated. So that the Biden administration cannot be blamed for indecisiveness and delays and fear of Russia 3/
Read 9 tweets
Dec 7
The tide is turning for Ukraine

Zelensky had his first face-to-face with Trump since the election

Yermak, Zelensky’s right-hand man, was in Washington, engaging with Trump’s team, incl those skeptical

This is fresh momentum for Ukraine

1/

Image
Macron hosted the meeting at the Élysée Palace during Notre Dame's reopening. His messaging reinforced Europe’s stance that Ukraine’s voice is critical to any negotiations 2/
But more importantly the U.S. appears to be interested in a win-win solution with Ukraine, with supporting defense tech, entry into critical materials, and providing support that will ensure that any deal with Russia won’t fall apart.

If that’s true, it is good news. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Dec 7
Russia might lose its military bases in Syria, including its sole naval facility in the Mediterranean, which provides critical support to its naval operations south of Europe.

Good for everyone! 1/ Image
Reuters: Two strategically important Russian military facilities in Syria - the Hmeimim air base and the Tartous naval facility - are under serious threat from rapidly advancing insurgents, according to Russian war bloggers 2/
With Russian military resources mostly tied down in Ukraine, Russia's ability to influence the situation on the ground in Syria is far more limited than in 2015 when it intervened to prop up the Assad regime 3/
Read 9 tweets
Dec 7
Syrian rebels continue to advance. They have taken the city of Palmyra and continue to move south. Putin is either unable or unwilling to come to the rescue

Here are recent headlines: 1/

Assad family escapes to Russia 2/ Image
Iranian military officials flee too 3/ Image
Read 6 tweets

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