Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Nov 28
Azov fighter “Rusty” spent 2.5 years in Russian captivity — Olenivka, Taganrog, Donetsk, Makiivka.

At 26, he survived torture, starvation, a 29-year sham sentence and returned to fight. This is his story, as reported by ArmyInform. 1/ Image
When Mariupol fell, he was in a mobile recon group changing 5-15 positions a day, reacting to tank breakthroughs, spotting artillery, raiding Russian units.

In the final days at Azovstal, Russian aviation carried out 110 bombing sorties a day on one plant. 2/
After capture, he became the only prisoner on his floor tortured daily. Interrogations lasted 12 hours. Russians beat his 50 kg body until an FSB officer broke his own finger on him.

They forced Rusty to “confess” to killing civilians after seizures. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Nov 28
If Satan has a residence on earth, it is in Russia, — former Kherson mayor Volodymyr Mykolayenko.

He survived Russian captivity, tells UP that Ukrainians have no second homeland — no spare country, only Ukraine and warns that part of the elite still behaves as if they do. 1/ Image
The war wasn’t caused by abstract “mistakes,” but by geography and responsibility.

Ukrainians could not defend Russia’s media or constitution for Russians. Russians accepted Putin and many still do.

Endless “what ifs” change nothing when the front is 1,000 km long. 2/
His harshest criticism is for part of Ukraine’s elite. Too many act as if they have a “backup country” — Paris, Prague, New York, where they can flee and blame “the people who failed.”

But most Ukrainians have no exit. No spare country. Only Ukraine. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Nov 28
Trump has again pulled his son-in-law back into high-stakes diplomacy. This time on Ukraine.

FT: Jared Kushner helped draft the early peace text after the Gaza deal and fed in Russian input from Dmitriev’s side. Trump is now considering sending him to Moscow with Witkoff. 1/ Image
Ukrainian officials noticed Kushner sitting directly at the table in Geneva, typing notes as ministers debated each clause.

Sergiy Kyslytsia said he was surprised to see him, but noted that Kushner “tracked every detail” of the talks. 2/
Kushner’s involvement mirrors Trump’s previous use of him in Middle East diplomacy: pushing the Abraham Accords, handling Gulf negotiations, and helping structure the Gaza ceasefire.

Trump now treats him as a go-to fixer for written peace frameworks. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Nov 28
Germany’s secret plan shows Berlin preparing for a real war with Russia.

With a continent-wide logistics machine moving up to 800,000 NATO soldiers on the East flank through German ports, rails, and autobahns. All-of-society shift back to Cold War logic, WSJ. 1/ Image
Urgency stems from intel Russia could strike NATO by 2029 or earlier, amid growing sabotage and airspace intrusions.

A Ukraine armistice might free Moscow’s forces, so plan’s core aim is deterrence: make clear an attack won’t be successful. 2/
Exercises reveal gaps: Rheinmetall’s 500-soldier camp hit land and traffic issues, while a Hamburg convoy was delayed two hours because police lacked solvent to remove mock protesters — exposing fragile coordination. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Nov 27
Europe races to unlock Russia’s frozen money for Ukraine, writes Reuters.

EU wants to pull €140 billion from Russia’s immobilized sovereign assets to arm Ukraine and pay its budget. Belgium blocks the plan and time runs out.

1/ Image
Belgium holds €185 billion of the €210 billion frozen in Europe.

Brussels fears lawsuits against Euroclear, court orders to return the cash and a Hungary veto that could unfreeze it overnight.

EU lawyers now scramble to plug every hole.

2/
The EU plan gives Ukraine a €140 billion loan for defence and salaries in 2026–27.

Kyiv repays only when Russia pays reparations.

Von der Leyen: Europe must fund Ukraine’s survival and cannot dump the bill on taxpayers alone.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Nov 27
Trump’s Ukraine “peace” push swings like a pendulum, writes The Atlantic.

This month it swung hard to Moscow: a 28-point plan packed with Kremlin demands and Ukraine got 5 days to accept it.

1/ Image
Army Sec. Dan Driscoll brought the ultimatum to Kyiv just as it leaked.

Streets swore, headlines screamed “capitulation”, but Zelenskyy did not slam the door. He agreed to talk and the U.S. quietly dropped the Thanksgiving deadline.

2/
In Geneva, negotiators cut the plan from 28 to 19 points.

They removed the worst parts: the war-crimes amnesty, the harshest limits on Ukraine’s army, and the clearest grabs for Russian frozen assets.

Trump now sends another envoy to Moscow.

3/
Read 10 tweets

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