Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

• • •

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 16
Zelenskyy named Ihor Obolenskyi a Hero of Ukraine. He commands Khartiia, a combat unit that fights with drones, robots, scouts and artillery.

In Kupiansk, his Lava unit sent robots and drones instead of soldiers and destroyed a Russian bunker, ammo dump and 10 troops.

1/ Image
Callsign: Kornet.

Obolenskyi is from Sumy. He graduated from the Bohdan Khmelnytskyi Military Institute of Missile Forces and Artillery.

2/
He served in the 26th Artillery Brigade in Berdychiv. First he commanded a platoon. Then a battery.

In 2012, he joined the Omega special forces unit. In 2014, he fought near Sloviansk, Lyman, and Zakitne.

3/
Read 15 tweets
Jul 16
Azov and Khartiia commanders backed Ihor Klymenko for defense minister.

Khartiia's Obolenskyi: He can turn resources into battlefield results, reform the army and grow arms production.

Azov's Prokopenko: He knows the front, worked on the corps system and can fix mobilization.1/ Image
Image
Obolenskyi: A wartime defense minister must turn resources into battlefield results, reform the army, and grow defense industry.

It is like changing a race car’s wheels while driving. Ihor Klymenko is worthy of this new challenge.

2/
Prokopenko: In a short time as defense minister, Fedorov strengthened Ukraine’s defense and weakened Russia’s military power.

Klymenko knows front-line needs, worked on the corps system, defended National Guard soldiers, and has the experience to fix mobilization.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Jul 15
Lindsey Graham embodied a political bargain.

He mocked Trump, then became one of his closest allies.

That turn bought Ukraine time and leverage. Trump backed deep strikes into Russia, let Kyiv build Patriot interceptors, and moved toward sanctions bill — Bret Stephens, NYT. 1/ Image
Their relationship began with humiliation. In 2015, Trump gave out Graham’s phone number at a rally.

Graham answered by destroying the phone on video: blender, golf club, toaster oven, lighter fluid. 2/
Then came the turn. Graham went from brutal critic to loyal Senate friend. He said a round of golf showed him Trump was “funny as hell.” Stephens calls it a devil’s bargain — honesty traded for influence. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Jul 15
Russian POW Maksim (born 2007): I joined the army and stayed. An order is an order. I only saw myself in the army. It is prestigious. It is beautiful. It is a source of pride to be a soldier.

Q: Your motivation was not material?

Maksim: No. 1/
Maksim: I was not interested in the war in Ukraine. I wanted to be a soldier for my country, for my state. But when the order came, I had taken an oath, like any citizen of my country. An order is an order. 2/
Maksim: People think, “It’s just a little war. It will end soon. I’ll sign a contract, make some money, and that’s it.” But in reality, you either come home in a body bag or end up in captivity. That’s all. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 15
Fire Point co-founder Shtilierman: When Russia enters a territory, it kills at least 20% of the population.

It happened in the Holodomor, the Baltics, western Ukraine, and Chechnya. If they come here, they will cut down 20% as “prevention.”

1/
Shtilierman: The company’s goal is to help humanity avoid the Fermi paradox and not destroy itself as a civilization.

Russia stands in the way. It fuels war and confrontation to keep Europe from living in peace.

2/
Shtilierman: The U.S. already treats Russia like losers. Russia keeps showing weakness: burning forums, Moscow’s “roof,” failed signals.

And if Russians had not killed civilians in Bucha, the world might never have started supporting Ukraine.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 14
Khodorkovsky [former Russian oligarch brought down by Putin]: Putin may decide NATO will not answer strike for strike.

In that case, he could hit logistics chains and transport hubs in Europe that feed supplies into Ukraine. As I remember, there are two major entry points.

1/
Khodorkovsky: I doubt the stories about camouflage nets and taking Kostiantynivka are for Trump. Trump does not care where Kostiantynivka is.

They are for Russians. Putin thinks Russians care about it. They don’t. They care that the war ends on Russia’s terms.

2/
Khodorkovsky: Trump may warn Putin that any strike beyond Ukraine will end badly. Poland would be hit first, and its diaspora matters in the U.S.

I think Trump will cover Poland. Putin won’t stop before spring, but by spring he may have to.

3X
Read 5 tweets

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