Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Mar 1
Dan Hoffman: Putin wouldn’t end the war if Ukraine gave Russia territorial concessions.

We might see a tactical pause, but Putin would continue to pursue his strategic objective to overthrow the democratically-elected government and install a puppet regime. 1/
Hoffman: If Ukraine were forced to give up that territory, it would put Zelenskyy in an incredibly weak position and compromise all of Ukraine's military leadership.

That's exactly what Putin wants: to create internal instability inside Ukraine and take advantage of that. 2/
Hoffman: The Biden administration, US intelligence accurately forecasted Russia's invasion, but our policy was to send a plane to exfiltrate Zelenskyy.

Zelenskyy bravely said, no, I don't need a plane, I need ammunition because the fight is here in Ukraine. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Feb 28
“Help me! I’m freezing to death!” — an 87-year-old woman screaming from a Kyiv balcony during blackouts.

Writer James Meek returns to Kyiv after 3 decades and finds a city surviving winter strikes, cold apartments, and exhausted people, The Guardian. 1/ Image
“A Russian attack two nights earlier” tore up the grid. Even places with generators lost water.

Kyiv keeps getting patched up, then hit again — power, heating, water, repeat. 2/
A young photographer tells him she once saw a Russian drone operator’s POV locked onto her car — then it veered away.

Different scale of risk. People still take the lift when a foreigner hesitates. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Feb 28
Musk shut down Starlink for Russia because its drone glided into Kyiv’s government district, heading to Zelenskyy’s office, The Atlantic.

Drone flew so low, officials in the Cabinet of Ministers could see it from the 7th floor. Then the battlefield shifted for the Russians. 1/ Image
Ukraine’s defense minister, Fedorov, presented Musk with evidence that Russian forces were using Starlink to operate long-range drones.

On January 29, he wrote: "Western technologies must protect civilians — not be used for terror.” 2/
SpaceX implemented a whitelist of Ukrainian users in late January.

Russian access was shut off. Inside SpaceX, the instruction was: “No limits. Take off the gloves, use Starlink for anything to help Ukraine.” 3/
Read 10 tweets
Feb 28
“If anything happens to me, I’ll be buried here in Ukraine.” — Antony, 34, Colombian fighting in Kupiansk, Ukraine.

More than 7,000 Colombians have fought for Ukraine since 2022. Over 800 are reported killed, The Times. 1/ Image
Colombia is now the single largest source of foreign fighters in Ukraine. About 25% of all foreign volunteers are Colombian.

With Argentines, Brazilians, Peruvians, and others, South Americans form the biggest foreign contingent on Kyiv’s side. 2/
Ukraine signs around 600 foreign recruits per month on 6-month contracts.

Mobilization at home is limited to men over 25. In January, over 200,000 Ukrainian soldiers were AWOL, and 2 mln men were wanted for draft evasion. 3/
Read 13 tweets
Feb 28
A Bundestag aide who tried to slow Germany’s Leopard 2 tank shipments to Ukraine was working with an FSB officer, The Insider and Der Spiegel.

Vladimir Sergienko, 52, aide to AfD MP Eugen Schmidt, corresponded with an officer of the FSB’s Fifth Service known as “Alexei.” 1/ Image
Image
His real name: Ilya Vechtomov, born 1987 — officer of the Fifth Service, the FSB unit tasked with destabilizing Ukraine before the Feb 24, 2022 invasion. 2/
Phone metadata shows Vechtomov in constant contact with dozens of FSB officers, including Vladimir Petrovsky, head of the Ninth Division.

Usernames, passwords and avatars linked his “Alexei” alias to his real identity. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Feb 28
Russia weighs halting peace talks unless Ukraine cedes territory, Bloomberg.

If Kyiv refuses concessions on Donetsk, Moscow is prepared to exit negotiations.

Next week’s negotiations will determine whether a Zelenskyy-Trump-Putin summit happens — or talks collapse. 1/ Image
Russia is ready to sign a draft memorandum if Ukraine withdraws from the eastern Donetsk region.

That would be followed by a Zelenskyy-Trump-Putin summit and a mutual pullback of forces. 2/
Zelenskyy rejects withdrawing from fortified areas of Donetsk and refuses to recognize any occupied territory.

Kyiv proposes a ceasefire along current frontlines, diplomatic restoration of land, and US-European security guarantees. 3/
Read 8 tweets

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