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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Dec 2, 2024 • 12 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X

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https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/

https://twitter.com/ft/status/1863549523760476451

The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/

2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/

3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/

Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/

4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/

5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/

6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/

There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/

Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

https://x.com/Mylovanov/status/1862846682058129856

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 2

Oleh flew across Europe for a living. At 51, a Russian missile took his sight. Two years later, he changed Ukrainian law for wounded civilians.

This is the story of Oleh Miroshnychenko, — Ukrainska Pravda.

1/

Miroshnychenko spent most of his life in the cockpit.

Passenger flights. Then business jets. A European EASA license after a year of study in the UK and 14 exams. He planned to fly until 65.

2/

On September 29, 2022, he walked home in Dnipro, near Troitskyi Market.

A Russian missile struck nearby. “I was walking. Then darkness.” The blast damaged the part of his brain responsible for vision.

3/

Read 14 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 2

Kallas: In the last 100 years, Russia has attacked at least 19 countries — some repeatedly. None attacked Russia.

To stop this war from spreading, concessions must come from Russia: limits on its military and accountability for its crimes.

1/

Kallas: Right now there’s heavy pressure on Ukrainians to make very difficult concessions. They’re willing to do it because they truly want this war to stop.

2/

Kallas: Some say the rules-based order was an illusion — the strong take what they want. But even in the jungle, animals cooperate.

We must build international law with countries that want rules. The UN Charter has principles — but it lacks accountability.

3X

Read 5 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 1

Russia’s war budget is tightening as peace talks restart — and the math is getting worse.

Ahead of US-Russia talks in Miami, the Kremlin is scrambling to plug a 1.2tn ruble ($16bn) budget hole if war spending rises again, Bloomberg. 1/

That gap equals about 0.5% of GDP on top of the planned 1.6% deficit.

Energy revenues are falling, the ruble is unexpectedly strong, and Moscow is already preparing for spending to overshoot targets — again. 2/

The 2026 budget assumes Urals at $59 and 92 rubles per dollar. Reality: Urals $55, 75 rubles.

At current levels, oil and gas revenue drops to 6.75tn rubles vs 8.9tn rubles planned — a 2.2tn ruble shortfall. 3/

Read 7 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 1

Jack Lopresti, UK volunteer for Ukraine: What Ukrainians are living through is in our DNA. Britain remembers 1940 — being bombed, fighting alone for survival.

What Russia is doing now is simply evil: nightly air attacks, murdered civilians, war crimes, kidnapped children.

1/

Lopresti: Appeasement doesn’t work. Invasions can’t be negotiated away. Dictators must be deterred and defeated.

Peace by surrender is easy.

A just peace means Ukraine controls its own future, its alliances, its army, and its path to NATO and the EU.

2/

“Bard”, US volunteer: Some Americans understand what’s at stake in Ukraine. Some don’t. If we claim to be bastions of freedom, we should act like it.

My message to those who don’t get it: open a history book.

3/

Read 6 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 1

West is finally squeezing Russia’s shadow fleet — and oil revenues with it.

On Jan 22, French commandos seized the tanker Grinch off Spain: false flag, under sanctions, carrying 730,000 barrels of Russian oil. It’s one of at least 5 tankers captured this month, The Economist. 1/

Nearly 700 mostly aging tankers now move embargoed oil for Russia and Iran — up to 1,500 if counting occasional users.

In Dec, they carried 5M barrels per day, about 11% of global seaborne oil. One in 5 tankers now sails “dark.” 2/

In 2025 alone, 623 tankers were newly sanctioned, vs 225 in 2024.

About 40% of ships moving Russian oil last year are now blacklisted, for Iran, 2/3. Tankers hauling 80% of Russian oil now face potential sanctions. 3/

Read 9 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 1

Belgian PM De Wever: When Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, I thought we were back in the 1980s — a tyrant attacking a democracy.

I expected an American leader to say, “Mr. Putin, get out of Ukraine.” Instead, Washington says it takes no side between Putin and Zelenskyy.

1/

De Wever: When tyranny invades democracy and the U.S. says it won’t take sides, you know it’s not the 1980s — it’s the 1880s.

This is a new age of imperial thinking and gunboat diplomacy. It may fade after Trump — or get worse.

2/

De Wever: Trump is hostile to the European Union.

When he says he loves Europe, he means 27 separate states living in vassalage. The only economy big enough to stand up to him is the EU — and that’s exactly what he doesn’t like.

3/