Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin to reject Trump’s peace offer. New Russian conditions demand concessions from the U.S., not just Ukraine:

“Kellogg comes to Moscow with his plan, we take it and tell him to screw himself, because we don’t like any of it.”
1/
The Russian conditions for negotiations

1. Reversal of U.S. Support for Ukraine:

Cease the provision of advanced long-range weapons to Ukraine [So, it is finally hurting! Great!]

Remove President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from power [How? Kill him?]

2/
2. Territorial Concessions

Ukraine must formally cede four occupied regions to Russia [This is impossible as it would violate the Ukrainian Constitution]

Commit to never joining NATO [The same here] 3/
3.High-Level Global Negotiations:

Trump and Putin must meet to discuss a “general agreement” on the global order, security and geopolitics, the Middle East and Russia-China relations

[This is delusional non-sense as the U.S. doesn’t have formal power over other countries] 4/
Acknowledge Ukraine as part of Russia’s core sphere of influence

[Basically, surrender Ukraine to Russia and make it a province. Won’t happen!] 5/
4. Sanctions Relief:

Full rollback of Western sanctions imposed on Russia

6/
5. Recognition of Russia’s Position in Global Affairs:

A long-term peace agreement must validate Russia’s global strategic interests

[I think they mean Russian right to dictate other countries policies] 7/
6. Broader Conditions for Peace:

Address other international flashpoints and establish a new global framework for peace and security

[New United Nations? With Russian at the chair seat?] 8/
There are explicit threats if demands are not met:

Escalation, including the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, leading to catastrophic consequences and a radiation zone in Ukraine

[Russia is nuts and Trump will have his plate full with these idiots] 9/
Continued strengthening of Russia’s economy and alliances (China, Iran, North Korea) through confrontation

[At least, they are honest about who they are - barbarians who want to get their way by force, and so must be stopped by force]

10X
If you want to support Ukraine, please consider donating to the Kyiv School of Economics to support war affected students.

You can contribute to KSE University here foundation.kse.ua/en/donate-to-e…

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More from @Mylovanov

Jan 7
Ukraine is negotiating and preparing for a long war at the same time.

Zelenskyy: I do not want and will not wait another six months hoping that maybe negotiations will work. After months of saying peace talks were “90 percent complete,” he now sounds far more cautious. — NYT 1/ Image
Zelenskyy: The first priority is ending the war. The second is being prepared for Russia’s unwillingness to end the war.

I understand that we are very close to results, but at some point, Russia may block everything. 2/
Ukraine and the US have not reached agreement on two core issues:

Where a future boundary in eastern Ukraine would run, and who would control a Russian-occupied nuclear power plant. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Jan 7
The US seized a Russian-flagged oil tanker linked to Venezuela after a 2+ week chase across the Atlantic - US European Command

The Coast Guard says the ship dodged a US blockade of sanctioned tankers and refused boarding. A Russian submarine and warship stayed nearby, Reuters 1/ Image
The tanker originally sailed as Bella-1. It later re-flagged as Russian and renamed itself Marinera.

The Coast Guard tried to stop it last month, the crew refused to let boarding teams on and kept sailing. 2/
The Coast Guard and the US military moved to seize the ship near Iceland.

This is the first US attempt in recent memory to seize a Russian-flagged vessel. A Russian submarine and warship operated in the area during the seizure. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Jan 7
The UK and France have pledged to deploy troops and weaponry to Ukraine as part of security guarantees to underpin a proposed peace deal.

A European-led deterrence force would provide reassurance in the air, at sea and on land with US support — FT.

1/ Image
UK PM Starmer said allies made commitments paving "the way for the legal framework under which British, French and partner forces could operate on Ukrainian soil."

After a ceasefire, the UK and France will establish military hubs across Ukraine with protected weapons facilities.

2/
The commitment is the most significant promise of ongoing support from European allies in the "coalition of the willing" as US-led peace negotiations gain momentum.

Macron said there's been recent "convergence" between US, Ukrainian and European positions.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Jan 6
Dmytro, Russian POW: Try to leave your position and we’ll shoot you ourselves. That’s what commanders told us.

Over the radio, wounded soldiers begged to pull back — some without arms, some without legs.

[Russians treat their people no better than enemies]

1/
Dmytro: We walked for five days and nights with no food or water, sleeping in forest pits.

Wounded were brought in, one had lost a leg to a mine, but no food, no medicine arrived.

About 25–30 went in. Only three survived.

2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Jan 6
They stripped me naked and put a dead body next to me. “If you move, you’re next.”

Russian forces told this to a Ukrainian captured near Mariupol on March 3, 2022. He spent more than three years in captivity.

This is the story of Oleksandr Hurzhov — Hromadske. 1/ Image
Hurzhov is 30, from Mariupol. Russian troops captured him less than a week after the full-scale invasion began.

He was wounded, cut off from Ukrainian units, and later listed as AWOL while in captivity.  2/
Russian guards beat him, used electric shocks, and staged mock executions.

They searched his phone, tried to extract information, and took his money. They never filed charges.  3/
Read 12 tweets
Jan 6
Sikorski: Putin may have hoped, as he did from the beginning, that democracies are pathetic, democracies don't have the staying power.

Now he has to be ready to fight for another two years. And it's not clear that his army and his economy can bear that burden. 1/
Sikorski: The list of agreements where West Europeans decide above the heads of Central and Eastern Europe is a long and a very unhappy one.

And we know what they are. The latest ones, of course, were Minsk I and Minsk II, and we don't need a Minsk III. 2/
Sikorski: We need to rebuild our defense industry to deter Putin irrespective of what the United States does. Intention is one thing, but capability is another.

Till the end of the decade, we have to build the kind of military that Putin will be reluctant to challenge. 3X
Read 5 tweets

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