Artur Rehi Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
The attempt to ignite a conflict in the Middle East and draw Israel into it and distract the West from Ukraine turned out to be a shot in the foot for Putin. After several crushing blows to Hezbollah, Israel has greatly weakened the group, and Bashar Assad relied on it,
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among other things. The weakening of forces was used by the rebels fighting against Assad. Government troops are retreating and Aleppo has already come under the control of the rebels. A lot of weapons have been captured, including Russian equipment. Syria was an important
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stronghold for Russia in the region, from where operations in the Middle East and Africa were coordinated. Syria was an important logistical hub, from where Russian weapons and Russian military specialists were delivered, mainly arriving by sea through the Mediterranean Sea
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The airbase in Khmeimim was also an important facility. However, due to the war in Ukraine, Russia's ability to maintain control over its satellites has sharply decreased. Syria has also become a kind of "retirement" for the Russian army generals who have shown themselves
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poorly. They all show themselves poorly, but for those who have especially distinguished themselves with major failures. So the group is currently commanded by Sergei Kisel, who was sent to Syria after he failed to take Kharkiv. What is happening in Syria primarily damages
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Russia's reputation. This is a signal to other countries that Russia is losing its grip and in the near future we should expect an increase in tension in other places of frozen conflicts. Georgia, Moldova, Chechnya, Dagestan - a list of countries that want to leave Russia's
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influence or leave the federation of a large one, and as soon as it becomes clear on the ground that Russia no longer has the strength to keep them in its orbit, a struggle for independence and a struggle for power will begin.
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Russia is cracking at the seams and will soon begin to tear where it is thin. It is necessary to increase the pressure of sanctions on the economy, increase support for Ukraine and then this will happen sooner.
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More from @ArturRehi

Apr 29
Putin’s declaration of a ceasefire during the Victory Day celebrations in Moscow is nothing but another manipulation. He’s simply afraid of Ukrainian drones that could ruin the parade and steal the show. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated: “We value human lives,
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not parades. That’s why we believe — the world believes — that there is no reason to wait until May 8,” and proposed a 30-day ceasefire instead. In response, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov called Ukraine’s lack of direct response to Putin’s proposal a “manipulation.”
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“Manipulation is not giving a direct answer to President Putin’s initiative. It’s more than just manipulation. Still, we hope that the peaceful initiative of the Russian president will be acknowledged. Because we haven’t heard any reaction from European capitals, nor a
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Read 9 tweets
Jan 10
The outgoing Biden administration will be remembered in history as an example of failed U.S. security assistance policy. Enormous sums allocated by the United States for aid to Ukraine have remained uncontracted. Of the many billions of dollars provided through the USAI
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program, only $13 million were committed to contracts. Approximately $10 billion remains unused, and its allocation will be handled by the new administration. For comparison, $4.6 billion in replacement funds were obligated during the same period. While the United States
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continues to declare itself Ukraine’s strongest ally, its delays lead to significant losses among Ukrainians. Ukraine depends on international aid, and without the support of its allies, it would not have been able to hold back Russia’s advance for so long. However,
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Read 5 tweets
Jan 7
Russia exploits the energy crisis in Transnistria to escalate tensions in the region and shift blame onto Ukraine. Moldova offered assistance with fuel and gas supplies, but the government of the unrecognized republic refused the help. Playing the victim and portraying
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Ukraine in a negative light now serves their interests much better. The same tactics are employed by other allies of Putin and Moldova's neighbors - Hungary and Slovakia. The Kremlin uses these situations as part of a massive information campaign against Ukraine, aiming
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to influence public opinion across Europe. Propagandists are on the ground, producing videos showing freezing, impoverished residents left without gas. Although Hungary and Slovakia secured gas supplies through the TurkStream pipeline, costs have risen significantly.
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Read 12 tweets
Jan 6
Happy New Year! So many events have unfolded during the break that it’s hard to choose a topic for an article. Perhaps the most pressing issue today is the new offensive in the Kursk region. Since the operation has just begun, and naturally, the Armed Forces of Ukraine
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keep their plans secret, reports on Telegram suggest the offensive is progressing successfully. Ukrainian forces are actively using electronic warfare systems. Regarding the Donetsk region, Russia continues its advance, though the pace has noticeably slowed, which does not
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make the AFU’s job any easier. In Pokrovsk, Russian drones are operating intensively. Multiple sources have noted that the main issue on the Pokrovsk front is internal problems within the Ukrainian army, as reported by numerous military insiders. There are shortages of
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Read 18 tweets
Dec 16, 2024
This week, we received an answer on how effective the Korean troops are and how much they are helping Russia in the Kursk region. Footage of North Korean attacks demonstrates that they lack the skills to conduct modern warfare, which was not a surprise. They managed to
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capture several trenches, which were eventually recaptured by Ukrainian forces. The North Koreans became easy targets as they advanced through open fields in large groups. They proved to be ineffective, but it should not be forgotten that Ukrainians still have to repel these
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attacks, incurring their own losses. The situation remains difficult on the Pokrovsk direction as well. However, there have been some changes and personnel reshuffles. For a long time, reports from the area highlighted inadequate command, which led to the advancement of
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Read 15 tweets
Dec 11, 2024
No dictatorship lasts forever, and all dictators are mortal. Putin, due to his age alone, may "kick the bucket" very soon, although, unlike ordinary Russians, he can afford proper medical care. The events in Syria are clearly a significant blow to his nervous system and
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heart health. Such a scenario is now easy to imagine within Russia itself. The fall of Assad created a power vacuum in Syria, and now several countries are advancing their interests. Sunnis backed by Turkey, Kurds supported by the U.S., factions supported by Israel, Iran and
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remnants of Hezbollah, along with the remains of Russian units — all of it has become a chaotic mix. It's far too early to speak of an end to the crisis. Stability in Syria will not return soon. Over the years, Assad destroyed the moderate opposition, leaving only the most
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Read 9 tweets

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