Thread of some surprising things that are older than other things
Notre Dame predates the Maori settlement of New Zealand
Oxford is older than the Aztecs
The Great Pyramid of Giza was completed before Woolly Mammoths went extinct
The University of Bologna is quite literally older than "Time Immemorial" (1189, the beginning of the reign of King Richard I)
A bridge still in use in Trier is nearly a thousand years older than the Inca Empire
Socrates is about as old as the oldest Nazca Lines
Polynesians started settling the Hawaiian Islands about 500 years after the fall of Rome
Nintendo is older than sliced bread
The Taj Mahal is younger than Shakespeare
The Cherokee Alphabet postdates the U.S. Constitution
Alexander the Great got to India about 600 years before Bantu speakers got to South Africa
Cleopatra lived closer to the creation of the iPhone than to the construction of the Great Pyramid
Harvard is older than Hasidic Judaism
The fax machine predates the telephone
The start of the Great Wall of China predates Islam
The Sámi identity postdates Protestantism
You can probably think of a lot more than these examples. There really are so many things that feel modern, or dated to a particular era, that just aren't.
Göbekli Tepe was coextensive in time with the giant sloth
The grandson of the tenth U.S. president, John Tyler (born 1790), is still alive (born 1928).
The Last Samurai died twelve years after Abraham Lincoln
Order of these Supreme Court cases:
Katz 1967: electronic microphone placing outside a phonebooth needs a warrant
Kyllo 2001: thermograms of a residence need a warrant
Jardines 2013: dog sniffs on curtilage need a warrant
Ramos 2020: juries in criminal cases must be unanimous
The first vending machine might have been for holy water:
At every age, the incidence of dementia is down. As a society, people are no longer suffering dementia nearly as often!
The world over, child mortality is way down. It's unusual for parents to experience the death of a child these days, where even a century ago, it was the global norm.
Each year, novel gene therapies are approved.
The number of gene therapies in the pipeline is also rapidly increasing. There is tons of progress to be made here, and the main issue is regulatory.
We have lots of low-hanging fruit in curing disease!
There's a common type of misunderstanding that sounds like this:
"If taller people tend to be more educated, and women tend to be shorter than men, how do you explain women tending to be more educated?"
The issue has to do with intercepts. Consider this plot:
You can see that, among Whites, women tend to be shorter than men, and they tend to have lower earnings.
But at the same time, to similar degrees in both sexes, taller people tend to have higher earnings.
Perplexed? You shouldn't be.
The fact is that there's more to this that differentiates men and women than height, so the intercept for women is shifted down, even though the slopes of the height * income relationship are fairly comparable.
Debate about the value of essays in college admissions missed a key point:
Essays are biased, so should not be used.
Here's an example: High-income people know 'what to write' to look good to raters, so they outperform on essays relative to their other qualifications.
This shows up by race, too, and that's why admissions departments use essays to infer race for the express purpose of discriminating.
Write that you're Black; that you grew up as a poor immigrant; that you're gay or a cripple.
The reason essays do not have a role to play in the admissions process is because they're biased. It's plain, it's simple, it doesn't need to be discussed any further.
And here's some good policy: Use tools that are not biased or lose public funding.
Happy Autism Awareness Day! I think too many people are 'aware' of autism.
Have you ever met someone who claims to be autistic, but they've never been diagnosed?
Self-reported autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is practically uncorrelated with real, clinician-diagnosed autism🧵
Sort self-reporters into those with high and low ASD scores, and you get the bars on the left. The "high-trait" self-reporters look like people with diagnosed autism (ASD column).
But they're more socially anxious (middle) and avoidant (right).
So far, the means of distinguishing diagnosed from self-reported autistics have been crude.
To get a more nuanced understanding of their differences, we have to look at behavior.
For that, we'll start with the social control task.