Crémieux Profile picture
Dec 8, 2024 24 tweets 10 min read Read on X
Thread of some surprising things that are older than other things

Notre Dame predates the Maori settlement of New Zealand Image
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Oxford is older than the Aztecs Image
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The Great Pyramid of Giza was completed before Woolly Mammoths went extinct Image
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The University of Bologna is quite literally older than "Time Immemorial" (1189, the beginning of the reign of King Richard I) Image
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A bridge still in use in Trier is nearly a thousand years older than the Inca Empire Image
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Socrates is about as old as the oldest Nazca Lines Image
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Polynesians started settling the Hawaiian Islands about 500 years after the fall of Rome Image
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Nintendo is older than sliced bread Image
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The Taj Mahal is younger than Shakespeare Image
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The Cherokee Alphabet postdates the U.S. Constitution Image
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Alexander the Great got to India about 600 years before Bantu speakers got to South Africa Image
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Cleopatra lived closer to the creation of the iPhone than to the construction of the Great Pyramid Image
Harvard is older than Hasidic Judaism Image
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The fax machine predates the telephone Image
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The start of the Great Wall of China predates Islam Image
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The Sámi identity postdates Protestantism Image
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You can probably think of a lot more than these examples. There really are so many things that feel modern, or dated to a particular era, that just aren't.
Göbekli Tepe was coextensive in time with the giant sloth Image
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The grandson of the tenth U.S. president, John Tyler (born 1790), is still alive (born 1928). Image
The Last Samurai died twelve years after Abraham Lincoln Image
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Order of these Supreme Court cases:

Katz 1967: electronic microphone placing outside a phonebooth needs a warrant

Kyllo 2001: thermograms of a residence need a warrant

Jardines 2013: dog sniffs on curtilage need a warrant

Ramos 2020: juries in criminal cases must be unanimous
The first vending machine might have been for holy water:

The Battle of Hastings occurred after the Viking settlement of Greenland and before the Inuit arrived there.

h/t @ElonBachman

@ElonBachman Correction on the Hawaii arrival date.

Apparently that happened later than I was led to believe, so they arrived closer to 800 years after the fall of Rome.

pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Apr 3
Timeline's feeling down. Thread of good news.

At every age, the incidence of dementia is down. As a society, people are no longer suffering dementia nearly as often! Image
The world over, child mortality is way down. It's unusual for parents to experience the death of a child these days, where even a century ago, it was the global norm. Image
Each year, novel gene therapies are approved.

The number of gene therapies in the pipeline is also rapidly increasing. There is tons of progress to be made here, and the main issue is regulatory.

We have lots of low-hanging fruit in curing disease! Image
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Apr 3
Which is more impressive for China, its

GDP Per Capita, or its

Actual Individual Consumption Per Capita (AIC is a superior measure of how rich its people actually are. It's based on how much they really consume)

Answer is below.
Here's the GDP Per Capita data. Image
And here's the AIC data. Image
Read 5 tweets
Apr 3
There's a common type of misunderstanding that sounds like this:

"If taller people tend to be more educated, and women tend to be shorter than men, how do you explain women tending to be more educated?"

The issue has to do with intercepts. Consider this plot: Image
You can see that, among Whites, women tend to be shorter than men, and they tend to have lower earnings.

But at the same time, to similar degrees in both sexes, taller people tend to have higher earnings.

Perplexed? You shouldn't be.
The fact is that there's more to this that differentiates men and women than height, so the intercept for women is shifted down, even though the slopes of the height * income relationship are fairly comparable.

You could also ask the same thing about race.
Read 8 tweets
Apr 2
Debate about the value of essays in college admissions missed a key point:

Essays are biased, so should not be used.

Here's an example: High-income people know 'what to write' to look good to raters, so they outperform on essays relative to their other qualifications. Image
This shows up by race, too, and that's why admissions departments use essays to infer race for the express purpose of discriminating.

Write that you're Black; that you grew up as a poor immigrant; that you're gay or a cripple.

They love that!

The reason essays do not have a role to play in the admissions process is because they're biased. It's plain, it's simple, it doesn't need to be discussed any further.

And here's some good policy: Use tools that are not biased or lose public funding.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 2
A new meta-analysis and systematic review on the effects of social media abstinence interventions on mental health has been published.

First result: No effect on positive affect: Image
Second result: No effect on negative affect. Image
Third result: No effect on life satisfaction in general. Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 2
Happy Autism Awareness Day! I think too many people are 'aware' of autism.

Have you ever met someone who claims to be autistic, but they've never been diagnosed?

Self-reported autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is practically uncorrelated with real, clinician-diagnosed autism🧵 Image
Sort self-reporters into those with high and low ASD scores, and you get the bars on the left. The "high-trait" self-reporters look like people with diagnosed autism (ASD column).

But they're more socially anxious (middle) and avoidant (right). Image
So far, the means of distinguishing diagnosed from self-reported autistics have been crude.

To get a more nuanced understanding of their differences, we have to look at behavior.

For that, we'll start with the social control task.
Read 14 tweets

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