Crémieux Profile picture
Dec 8, 2024 24 tweets 10 min read Read on X
Thread of some surprising things that are older than other things

Notre Dame predates the Maori settlement of New Zealand Image
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Oxford is older than the Aztecs Image
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The Great Pyramid of Giza was completed before Woolly Mammoths went extinct Image
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The University of Bologna is quite literally older than "Time Immemorial" (1189, the beginning of the reign of King Richard I) Image
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A bridge still in use in Trier is nearly a thousand years older than the Inca Empire Image
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Socrates is about as old as the oldest Nazca Lines Image
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Polynesians started settling the Hawaiian Islands about 500 years after the fall of Rome Image
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Nintendo is older than sliced bread Image
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The Taj Mahal is younger than Shakespeare Image
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The Cherokee Alphabet postdates the U.S. Constitution Image
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Alexander the Great got to India about 600 years before Bantu speakers got to South Africa Image
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Cleopatra lived closer to the creation of the iPhone than to the construction of the Great Pyramid Image
Harvard is older than Hasidic Judaism Image
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The fax machine predates the telephone Image
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The start of the Great Wall of China predates Islam Image
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The Sámi identity postdates Protestantism Image
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You can probably think of a lot more than these examples. There really are so many things that feel modern, or dated to a particular era, that just aren't.
Göbekli Tepe was coextensive in time with the giant sloth Image
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The grandson of the tenth U.S. president, John Tyler (born 1790), is still alive (born 1928). Image
The Last Samurai died twelve years after Abraham Lincoln Image
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Order of these Supreme Court cases:

Katz 1967: electronic microphone placing outside a phonebooth needs a warrant

Kyllo 2001: thermograms of a residence need a warrant

Jardines 2013: dog sniffs on curtilage need a warrant

Ramos 2020: juries in criminal cases must be unanimous
The first vending machine might have been for holy water:

The Battle of Hastings occurred after the Viking settlement of Greenland and before the Inuit arrived there.

h/t @ElonBachman

@ElonBachman Correction on the Hawaii arrival date.

Apparently that happened later than I was led to believe, so they arrived closer to 800 years after the fall of Rome.

pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Jan 29
How well-known is this?

A lot of the major pieces of civil rights legislation were passed by White elites who were upset at the violence generated by the Great Migration and the riots.

Because of his association with this violence, most people at the time came to dislike MLK. Image
It's only *after* his death, and with his public beatification that he's come to enjoy a good reputation.

This comic from 1967 is a much better summation of how the public viewed him than what people are generally taught today. Image
And yes, he was viewed better by Blacks than by Whites.

But remember, at the time, Whites were almost nine-tenths of the population.

Near his death, Whites were maybe one-quarter favorable to MLK, and most of that favorability was weak. Image
Read 5 tweets
Jan 28
The Pope, like his recent predecessors, is good to take this position: anti-Semitism is manifestly idiotic!

On that note, did you know that the Catholic Church was actually one of the biggest forces in stopping the rise of the Nazis?

It's true!🧵 Image
You might say that the Catholics didn't vote for the Nazis because they had their own party: Zentrum.

This isn't the explanation.

Note: the Catholic Church opposed both forms of totalitarianism in Germany, but it had an asymmetric effect against the Nazis, not the Communists.Image
The real "Catholic effect" on far right vote shares was small.

In reality, Catholics only became poised against the far right when the church began to actively campaign against it.

But when the local clergymen were "Brown Priests" (Nazi-supporting priests) like Alois Hudal? Image
Read 22 tweets
Jan 27
The researcher who put together these numbers was investigated and almost charged with a crime for bringing these numbers to light when she hadn't received permission.

Now we have an update that goes through 2020!

First: Where are Sweden's rapists from?

Mostly not Sweden. Image
What countries were those foreign rapists from?

We only got information on the top five origins, constituting roughly half of the foreign-born samples, and thus about a quarter of all the rapists. Image
What about welfare usage? 35.1%.
Alcoholism? 14.9%
Drug addiction? 23.7%
A diagnosed psychiatric disorder besides that? 13%

What about a criminal prior? 52%. That compares to 13.4% of non-rapist criminals. So rapes? Considerably more preventable.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 17
Greater Male Variability rarely makes for an adequate explanation of sex differences in performance.

One exception may be the number of papers published by academics.

If you remove the top 7.5% of men, there's no longer a gap! Image
The disciplines covered here were ones with relatively equal sex ratios: Education, Nursing & Caring Science, Psychology, Public Health, Sociology, and Social Work.

Because these are stats on professors, this means that if there's greater male variability, it's mostly right-tail
Despite this, the very highest-performing women actually outperformed the very highest-performing men on average, albeit slightly.

The percentiles in this image are for the combined group, so these findings coexist for composition reasons. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jan 17
One of the issues with understanding Greater Male Variability on IQ tests is that groups that perform better tend to show greater variance

Therefore, to estimate the 'correct' male-female gap, you need to estimate it when the difference is 0

In the CogAT, that looks like this: Image
In Project Talent, that looks like this: Image
And comparing siblings in the NLSY '79, that looks like this: Image
Read 5 tweets
Jan 14
About a decade ago, a theory emerged:

If men do more of the housework and child care, fertility rates will rise!

Men have been doing increasingly large shares of the housework and child care.

Fertility is lower than ever.Image
In fact, they're doing more in each generation, but fertility has continued to fall. Image
The original claim, that men's household work would buoy fertility, was based on cross-sectional data that was inappropriately given a causal interpretation.

The updated cross-sectional data is as useful, and it affords no assurances about the original idea.

We should move on.
Read 4 tweets

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