#Suwayda has witnessed a recent spike in clashes between rival #Druze militias, while an #Assad regime General in command of the region's 'National Guard' has fired 2 commanders & all their men, stirring major tensions.
A key trigger was a recent visit by an American.
A 🧵:
Roughly a week ago, a controversial American "Tim Ballard" -- a QAnon follower, forced from his own NGO on sexual misconduct allegations, then expelled from the Mormon Church -- visited #Suwayda.
While there, he met #Druze cleric Hikmat al-Hijri & 'National Guard' commanders.
While in #Suwayda, Ballard told many of those he met that he was close to President Trump & was there on a "mission" on behalf of #America.
That created a narrative that a US gov't delegation was in #Suwayda, meeting with #Druze leaders -- something that'd have been huge news.
When #SDF leader Mazloum Abdi signed a framework agreement with #Syria's President al-Sharaa in March, it triggered nationwide celebrations rivaled only by #Assad's fall.
Yet 7 months later, none of the deal has been realized & now the 2 sides are engaged in heavy fighting. 🧵
In the past 7 months, the #SDF has come under *intense* US pressure to be flexible & move forward on a deal to integrate into the #Syria state.
But that pressure appears to have created a dynamic in which the #SDF has hardened its positions & backtracked on multiple commitments.
Since May 2025, locals in urban centers of #Raqqa & #Hasakeh have reported a *huge* intensification of #SDF tunnel construction -- and photos & video footage shows an extraordinary network of covered tunnel entry points in places like Tabqa, Raqqa, Hasakeh & more.
#Israel's intervention in #Suwayda has completely backfired, with #Jerusalem now signaling it wants #Syria's gov't to go back in to restore order amid huge tribal mobilization.
#Israel's approach to post-#Assad #Syria has never been strategic & the last week shows that palpably.
By intervening, #Israel (1) exacerbated #Suwayda's intra-#Druze divisions; (2) fueled (by 1,000x) Sunni Arab hostility to #Druze calls for decentralization; (3) triggered a nationwide tribal mobilization that's now advancing; & (4) placed #Druze civilians in far greater danger.
Let's get something very clear -- crimes/violations have been committed by all sides (gov't forces, tribes/Bedouin, #Druze militias).
There was never a "pure" side here & by stirring the pot, #Israel poured gallons of fuel onto the fire -- for crimes to simply intensify.
#Syria's SW province of #Suwayda has seen 5 days of chaotic, complex conflict now -- but as with previous bouts of hostilities in recent months, the information space has been plagued by disinformation, conflicting information & fast-changing developments.
What's happened, a 🧵:
Late on July 11, Bedouin gunmen ambushed a vegetable truck on the #Damascus-#Suwayda highway, beating the driver & stealing the truck & its contents.
The next day, #Druze gunmen kidnapped 8 Bedouins as retaliation, triggering Bedouin gunmen to kidnap 5 #Druze in response.
July 12 saw a flurry of tit-for-tat kidnappings, amid attempts by local notables to negotiate a calm-down.
Tensions & conflict between Bedouin clans & #Druze militia in #Suwayda dates back years -- tied to the drugs & weapons trade, control of smuggling routes & land ownership.
Last night, Saraya Ansar al-Sunna claimed responsibility for the suicide bombing that killed 25 people at the St Elias Church outside #Damascus on Sunday.
This is a group with a murky history -- a 🧵
Ansar al-Sunna first emerged in the public on Feb 1, 2025 -- claiming responsibility for massacring ~12 Alawites in #Hama several days earlier.
But the group was formed in June 2024 (~6months pre-#Assad's fall) in #Idlib by #HTS defectors & operatives aligned with Huras al-Din.
At least 3 Ansar al-Sunna operatives were detained by #HTS's General Security Service in October 2024 -- they were deemed to be an #ISIS sleeper cell.
GSS interrogations revealed communication with militants in Deir ez Zour.
What's happening in #Syria's #Druze-majority governorate of #Suwayda?
A 🧵:
Last night, almost all of #Suwayda's #Druze religious, civil & military leaders agreed a deal w. #Damascus to begin a gradual integration of #Syria's Interior Ministry, by folding #Druze militias into the "Public Security" force -- & later, more into the Defense Ministry.
This morning, that deal began moving -- with ~700 #Druze militiamen fast-tracked into a #Suwayda-specific Public Security force responsible for security in the (a) capital & (b) border areas. ~1,300 more men are in process to join too.